对我国高速铁路客运量预测的探讨

冷俊峰;陆凤山;王美云

【期刊名称】《西南交通大学学报》

【年(卷),期】2001(036)001

【摘要】The influ ence factors of passenger traffic volume and the roleof railway passenger trans portation in our country are analyzed. A method of forecasting the high-speed railway passenger traffic volume in the condition of markete conomy is put forward, I.e.,to forecast the total traff ic volume first, then to determine the traffic volume of high-speed railways according to its role in the total passenger transportation market. Specifically, a sample is given to illu strate the proposed forecasting method.%分析了客运量的影响因素、铁路客运在全国客运市场的地位，提出在市场经济条件下高速铁路客运量的预测方法，即先预测整个客运市场的客运量，再根据高速铁路在客运市场的地位和作用确定其客运量。最后给出一个例子对此予以说明。

【总页数】4页(88-91)

【关键词】旅客运输;预测;高速铁路

【作者】冷俊峰;陆凤山;王美云

【作者单位】长沙铁道学院经济管理学院,;长沙铁道学院经济管理学院,;长沙铁道学院经济管理学院,

【正文语种】中文

【中图分类】U293.1+3