绩效考核的困境外文翻译及原文

绩效考核的困境外文翻译及原文
绩效考核的困境外文翻译及原文

原文一:

The Dilemma of Performance Appraisal

By Peter Prowse and Julie Prowse

It will outline the development of individual performance before linking to performance management in organizations.The outcomes of techniques to increase organizational commitment, increase job satisfaction will be critically evaluated. It will further examine the transatlantic debates between literature on efficiency and effectiveness in the North American and the United Kingdom) evidence to evaluate the HRM development and contribution of performance appraisal to individual and organizational performance.

Appraisal potentially is a key tool in making the most of an organisation’s human resources. The use of appraisal is widespread estimated that 80–90%of organizations in the USA and UK were using appraisal and an increase from 69 to 87% of organisations between 1998 and 2004 reported a formal performance management system (Armstrong and Baron, 1998:200).There has been little evidence of the evaluation of the effectiveness of appraisal but more on the development in its use. Between 1998 and 2004 a sample from the Chartered Institute of Personnel and Development (CIPD, 2007) of 562 firms found 506 were using performance appraisal in UK.

What is also vital to emphasise is the rising use of performance appraisal feedback beyond performance for professionals and managers to nearly 95% of workplaces in the 2004 WERS survey (seeTable 13.1).Clearly the use of Appraisals has been the development and extension of appraisals to cover a large proportion of the UK workforce and the coverage of non managerial occupations and the extended use in private and public sectors.

Critiques of appraisal have continued as appraisal shave increased in use and scope across sectors and occupations. The dominant critique is the management framework using appraisal as an orthodox technique that seeks to remedy the

weakness and propose of appraisals as a system to develop performance.

This “orthodox” approach argues there are conflicting purposes of appraisal (Strebler et al, 2001). Appraisal can motivate staff by clarifying objectives and setting clear future objectives with provision for training and development needs to establish the performance objective. These conflicts with assessing past performance and distribution of rewards based on past performance (Bach, 2005:301).

Employees are reluctant to confide any limitations and concerns on their current performance as this could impact on their merit related reward or promotion opportunities(Newton and Findley, 1996:43).This conflicts with performance as a continuum as appraisers are challenged with differing roles as both monitors and judges of performance but an understanding counsell or which Randell(1994)argues few manager shave not received the raining to perform.Appraisal Manager’s reluctance to criticise also stems from classic evidence fromMcGregor that managers are reluctant to make an egative judgement on an individual’s performance a sit could be demotivating,leadto accusationsoftheirown supportand contributiontoindividual poor performance and to also avoid interpersonal conflict (McGregor, 1957).

One consequence of this avoidance of conflict is to rate all criterion as central and avoid any conflict known as the central tendency.In a study of senior managers by Long neckeretal.(1987),they found organisational politics influenced ratings of 60 senior executives.The findings were that politics involved deliberate attempts by individuals to enhance or protect self-interests when conflicting courses of action are possible and that ratings and decisions were affected by potential sources of bias or inaccuracy in their appraisal ratings (Longeneckeret al., 1987).

There are methods of further bias beyond Longenecker’s evidence. The political judgements and they have been distorted further by overrating some clear competencies in performance rather than being critical across all rated competencies known as the halo effect and if some competencies arelower they may prejudice the judgment acrossthe positive reviews known as the horns effect (ACAS, 1996).

One consequence of this avoidance of conflict is to rate all criterion as centralThereare methods Some ratings may only cinclude recent events and these

are known as the recency effects. In this case only recent events are noted compared to managers gathering and using data throughout the appraisal period .A particular concern is the equity of appraisal for ratings which may be distorted by gender ,ethnicity and the ratings of appraisers themselves .A range of studies in both the US and UK have highlighted subjectivity in terms of gender (Alimo-Metcalf, 1991;White, 1999) and ethnicity of the appraise and appraiser(Geddes and Konrad, 2003). Suggestions and solutions on resolving bias will be reviewed later.

The second analysis is the radical critique of appraisal. This is the more critical management literature that argues that appraisal and performance management are about management control(Newton and Findley, 1996;Townley, 1993). It argues that tighter management control over employee behaviour can be achieved by the extension of appraisal to manual workers, professional as means to control. This develops the literature of Foucault using power and surveillance. This literature uses cases in examples of public service control on professionals such a teachers (Healy, 1997) and University professionals(Townley, 1990).

This evidence argues the increased control of public services using appraisal as a method of control and that the outcome of managerial objectives ignores the developmental role of appraisal and ratings are awarded for people who accept and embrace the culture and organizational values . However, this literature ignores the employee resistance and the use of professional unions to challenge the attempts to exert control over professionals and staff in the appraisal process (Bach, 2005:306).

Thisevidence argues One of the different issues of removing bias was the use of the test metaphor (Folgeretal.,1992).This was based on the assumption that appraisal ratings were a technical question of assessing “true” performance and there needed to be increased reliability and validity of appraisal as an instrument to develop motivation and performance. The sources of rater bias and errors can be resolved by improved organisational justice and increasing reliability of appraiser’s judgement.

However there were problems such as an assumption that you can state job requirements clearly and the organization is “rational” with objectives that reflect

values and that the judgment by appraisers’ are value free from political agendas and personal objectives. Secondly there is the second issue of subjectivity if appraisal ratings where decisions on appraisal are rated by a “political metaphor”(Hartle, 1995).

This “political view” argues that a appraisal is often done badly because there is a lack of training for appraisers and appraisers may see the appraisal as a waste of time. This becomes a process which managers have to perform and not as a potential to improve employee performance .Organisations in this context are “political” and the appraisers seek to maintain performance from subordinates and view appraises as internal customers to satisfy. This means managers use appraisal to avoid interpersonal conflict and develop strategies for their own personal advancement and seek a quiet life by avoiding censure from higher managers.

This perception means managers also see appraisee seeks good rating and genuine feedback and career development by seeking evidence of combining employee promotion and pay rise.This means appraisal ratings become political judgements and seek to avoid interpersonal conflicts. The approaches of the “test” and “political” metaphors of appraisal are inaccurate and lack objectivity and judgeme nt of employee performance is inaccurate and accuracy is avoided.The issue is how can organisations resolve this lack of objectivity?

Grint(1993)argues that the solutions to objectivity lies in part with McGregor’s (1957) classic critique by retraining an d removal of “top down” ratings by managers and replacement with multiple rater evaluation which removes bias and the objectivity by upward performance appraisal. The validity of upward appraisal means there moval of subjective appraisal ratings.This approach is also suggested to remove gender bias in appraisal ratings against women in appraisals (Fletcher, 1999). The solution of multiple reporting(internal colleagues, customers and recipients of services) will reduce subjectivity and inequity of appraisal ratings. This argument develops further by the rise in the need to evaluate project teams and increasing levels of teamwork to include peer assessment. The solutions also in theory mean increased closer contact with individual manager and appraises and increasing services linked to customer facing evaluations.

However, negative feedback still demotivates and plenty of feedback and explanation by manager who collates feedback rather than judges performance andfail to summarise evaluations.There are however still problems with accuracy of appraisal objectivity asWalker and Smither (1999)5year studyof 252 managers over 5 year period still identified issues with subjective ratings in 360 degree appraisals.There are still issues on the subjectivity of appraisals beyond the areas of lack of training.

The contribution of appraisal is strongly related to employee attitudes and strong relationships with job satisfaction(Fletcher and Williams, 1996). The evidence on appraisal still remains positive in terms of reinvigo rating social relationships at work (Townley,1993)and the widespread adoption in large public services in the UK such as the national health Service (NHS)is the valuable contribution to line managers discussion with staff on their past performance, discussing personal development plans and training and development as positive issues.One further concern is the openness of appraisal related to employee reward which we now discuss.

Appraisal and performance management have been inextricably linked to employee reward since the development of strategic human resource management in the 1980s. The early literature on appraisal linked appraisal with employee control (Randell, 1994;Grint, 1993;Townley, 1993, 1999) and discussed the use of performance related reward to appraisals. However therecent literature has substituted the chapter titles employee “appraisal” with “performance management”(Bach, 2005; Storey, 2007) and moved the focus on performance and performance pay and the limits of employee appraisal. The appraisal and performance pay link has developed into debates to three key issues:

The first issue is has performance pay related to appraisal grown in use?

The second issue is what type of performance do we reward?

and the final issue is who judges management standards?

The first discussion on influences of growth of performance pay schemes is the assumption that increasing linkage between individual effort and financial reward increases performance levels. This linkage between effort and financial reward

increasing levels of performance has proved an increasing trend in the public and private sector (Bevan and Thompson, 1992;Armstrong and Baron, 1998). The drive to increase public sector performance effort and setting of targets may even be inconsistent in the experiences of some organizational settings aimed at achieving long-term targets(Kessler and Purcell, 1992;Marsden, 2007). The development of merit based pay based on performance assessed by a manager is rising in the UK Marsden (2007)reported that the: Use of performance appraisals as a basis for merit pay are used in65 percent of public sector and 69 percent of the private sector employees where appraisal covered all nonmanagerial staff(p.109).

Merit pay has also grown in use as in 1998 20% of workplaces used performance related schemes compared to 32% in the same organizations 2004 (Kersley et al., 2006:191). The achievements of satisfactory ratings or above satisfactory performance averages were used as evidence to reward individual performance ratings in the UK Civil Service (Marsden, 2007).Table 13.2 outlines the extent of merit pay in 2004.

The second issue is what forms of performance is rewarded. The use of past appraisal ratings as evidence of achieving merit-related payments linked to achieving higher performance was the predominant factor developed in the public services. The evidence on Setting performance targets have been as Kessler (2000:280) reported “inconsistent within organizations and problematic for certain professional or le ss skilled occupations where goals have not been easily formulated”. There has been inconclusive evidence from organizations on the impact of performance pay and its effectiveness in improving performance. Evidence from a number of individual performance pay schemes report organizations suspending or reviewing them on the grounds that individual performance reward has produced no effect in performance or even demotivates staff(Kessler, 2000:281).

More in-depth studies setting performance goals followed by appraisal on how well they were resulted in loss of motivation whilst maintaining productivity and achieved managers using imposing increased performance standards (Marsden and Richardson, 1994). As Randell(1994) had highlighted earlier, the potential objectivity

and self-criticism in appraisal reviews become areas that appraisees refuse to acknowledge as weaknesses with appraisers if this leads to a reduction in their merit pay.

Objectivity and self reflection for development becomes a weakness that appraises fail to acknowledge as a developmental issue if it reduces their chances of a reduced evaluation that will reduce their merit reward. The review of civil service merit pay (Makinson, 2000)reported from 4 major UK Civil Service Agencies and the National Health Service concluded that existing forms of performance pay and performance management had failed to motivate many staff.

The conclusions were that employees found individual performance pay divisive and led to reduced willingness to co-operate with management ,citing managerial favorites and manipulation of appraisal scores to lower ratings to save paying rewards to staff (Marsden and French, 1998).

This has clear implications on the relationship between line managers and appraises and the demotivational consequences and reduced commitment provide clear evidence of the danger to linking individual performance appraisal to reward in the public services. Employees focus on the issues that gain key performance focus by focusing on specific objectives related to key performance indicators rather than all personal objectives. A study of banking performance pay by Lewis(1998)highlighted imposed targets which were unattainable with a range of 20 performance targets with narrow short term financial orientatated goals. The narrow focus on key targets and neglect of other performance aspects leads to tasks not being delivered.

This final issue of judging management standards has already highlighted issues of inequity and bias based on gender (Beyer, 1990; Chen and DiTomasio, 1996; Fletcher, 1999). The suggested solutions to resolved Iscrimination have been proposed as enhanced interpersonal skills training are increased equitable use of 360 degree appraisal as a method to evaluate feedback from colleagues as this reduces the use of the “political metaphor”(Randell, 1994;Fletcher, 1999).

On measures linking performance to improvement require a wider approach to enhanced work design and motivation to develop and enhance employee job

satisfaction and the design of linkages between effort and performance are significant in the private sector and feedback and awareness in the public sector (Fletcher and Williams, 1996:176). Where rises be in pay were determined by achieving critical rated appraisal objectives, employees are less self critical and open to any developmental needs in a performance review.

There are key issues that require resolution and a great deal depends on the extent to which you have a good relationship with your line manager . Barlow(1989)argued `if you get off badly with your first two managers ,you may just as well forget it (p. 515).

The evidence on the continued practice of appraisals is that they are still institutionally elaborated systems of management appraisal and development is significant rhetoric in the apparatus of bureaucratic control by managers (Barlow, 1989). In reality the companies create, review, change and even abolish appraisals if they fail to develop and enhance organisational performance(Kessler, 2000).

Despite all the criticism and evidence the critics have failed to suggest an alternative for a process that can provide feedback, develop motivation, identify training and potential and evidence that can justify potential career development and justify reward(Hartle, 1997).

Source: Journal of Accounting Research, Jun2009

译文一:

绩效考核的困境

作者:彼得·布朗斯,茱莉亚·布朗斯

绩效管理发展中的个人业绩与企业组织相联系,以提高组织承诺的成果的实现性,审慎评估以增加工作满意度。它将进一步研究文献的跨领域的效率和有效性议题在北美和英国的证据,以评估个人和组织绩效的人力资源开发和考核贡献。

评估是充分利用企业组织人力资源的一个关键工具。绩效考核的使用分布广泛,根据1998年至2004年一个正式的绩效管理系统的报告(Armstrong and Baron, 1998:200),估计80-90%的美国组织正在使用,而英国使用比例从69%增加至87%。有很少关于在发展考核的证据,而有更多的使用效益。 1998年至2004年从英国特许人事样本562,发现在英国506人使用表现评估,这是还必须强调的是越来越多地使用的表现。

在2004年WERS调查中,在几乎95%的工作场所强调的关键是基于专业人员和管理人员的绩效的绩效考核反馈。显然,考核已经是不断发展和拓展,已经覆盖很大比例的英国劳动人口和非职业管理以及在私营和公共部门推广使用。

考核评比继续作为绩效波动被更多的部门和行业使用。占主导地位的批判是作为一个正统的技术的管理框架,旨在纠正弱点及评估作为一个发展绩效的系统。

这种“正统”的做法认为有考核冲突目的(Strebler et al, 2001)。考核可以通过明确的目标激励工作人员,制定明确的培训和发展的需要,提供未来的目标来确定绩效目标。这些与过去的绩效考考核和奖励与分配的冲突是基于过去的表现(Bach, 2005:301)。

员工不愿意吐露任何限制和关注他们目前绩效因为这可能对绩效的影响,与相关奖励或晋升机会(Newton and Findley, 1996:43)。这些绩效冲突对于考核人来说是连续作为管理者和判定者的业绩不同角色的挑战,而是理解辅导员的兰德尔1994)认为少数管理人员没有得到执行。McGregor认为绩效考核经理不愿意考核是有典型的证据的,管理者不愿意就个人的表现和培训服务进行判断可能

使士气低落,导致自己的支持和贡献个人表现欠佳,并同时避免人际冲突(McGregor, 1957)。

避免冲突一个后果是,以速度为中心的所有标准并避免为中心的高级管理人员倾向的冲突。由longneckeretal(1987年)对于高级管理者的研究,他们发现组织政策的影响比率60名高级管理人员,调查结果显示,通过加强个人或保护自身利益来刻意的参与政策行动时,当可能的冲突情况,在他们的评估等级比率和是由偏见或受影响的潜在来源决定的(Longeneckeret,1987)。

这有Longenecker’s的证据进一步证明偏见的方法。他们的政治判断和已扭曲不自量力,一些表现能力进一步明确而不是在关键的环节和已知的额定能力,如果一些较低的判决他们可能影响作为角色整个正面影响(ACAS,1996年)。

有些评级可能只包括最近发生的事件,这些都是近期的已知影响。在这种情况下,经理搜集和使用的只有在整个考核期间最近的比较事件。特别关注对绩效数据的公平性的考核,这可能通过性别,种族和考核者的阶层自身而扭曲。一些对于美国和英国的研究凸显了对于性别(Alimo-Metcalf, 1991;White, 1999)考核和考核者的级别的主观性(Geddes andKonrad, 2003)。建议和解决偏见的方案稍后将检讨。

第二个分析是对考核激进的批判。这是更多重要管理文献中认为,评估和表现管理都是关于管理控制(Newton and Findley, 1996;Townley, 1993)。It argues它认为加强对员工行为的管理控制,可实现的对人工考核的拓展,是控制的专业手段。这发展了Foucault利用职权和监视的文献。这些文献使用像教师这样的专业人员的公共服务控制的例子(Healy, 1997)和大学专业人员的(Townley, 1990)。

这方面的证据认为使用考核来加强对公共服务的控制,作为一种控制方法并认为,管理客观性结果忽视了考核和等级评定的发展作用,均获得人们接受和支持的文化和组织价值。然而,这种文献忽略员工阻力与利用工会来挑战试图对专业人员和工作人员在评估过程施加控制。(Bach, 2005:306)

消除偏见的不同议题之一是使用隐喻的测试(Folgeretal,1992年)。这是基于假设考核比率一个评估“真实”绩效的技术性问题,这需要增加考核的可靠性和有效性作为一种发展动力和绩效的工具。评价者偏见和错误的来源可以通过

改进组织公平,增加考核者鉴定可靠性解决的。

但有一个假设的问题,如你可以清晰描述工作要求,该组织是通过考核人从价值和政治议程自由裁量权的价值观和判定反映“理性”的目标。其次存在第二个问题是主观性,如果由考核决定的的绩效比率是由一个“政治隐喻” 决定的(Hartle, 1995)。

这种“政治观点”认为,考核做不好是因为绩效评估者缺少训练,他们把绩效考核看成是一种浪费时间。这成为管理者必须执行,而不是作为一个潜在的改进员工绩效的一个过程。本文中的组织是“政治”的,评估师设法维持下属的绩效并视考核为内部顾客满意。这意味着管理人员使用考核,以避免人际冲突和发展战略的个人地位,并寻求一个安静的生活,避免较高的管理人员的谴责。

这种看法是指管理者也看到考核者寻找好考核比率和反馈以及职业发展,通过寻求员工促进和支付手段相结合的证据.这意味着考核比率成为政治上的判断并设法避免人际冲突。在绩效的“测试”和“政治”的比喻是不准确的考核,缺乏判断雇员绩效客观性,精度偏差。这问题是组织如何能解决这种缺乏客观性?

格林特(1993)认为,在对客观的解决方案的一部分,是麦格雷戈的(1957年)由再培训的经典批判和清除“向下”的管理人员评分封顶和更换多个考核者考核以消除偏见和由绩效评估的客观性基础上。向上有效性的考核意味着主观性的考核比率,这种方法还消除建议考核评分,以消除对妇女的考核(Fletcher, 1999) 多元化报表解决方案(内部同事,客户和收件人服务)将减少评分的主观性和考核比率的不公平。这争论的进一步发展所需要评估的项目团队和越来越多的增加团队合作水平,包括同事评估。在该解决方案的理论上,平均增加经理和加强与个别考核和联系以增加与客户服务所面临的考核。

但是,负反馈仍然是伤害性很大的。通过整理反馈意见,而不是考核绩效表现的经理大量工作。然而,我们总结反馈和解释考核。这与考核的准确性仍然存在客观问题,沃克和史密瑟(1999)用360考评法五年研究了252位经理五年期间,这主观考核问题仍然在评估主体的问题超出缺乏培训等领域。

在考核的贡献是密切相关员工的态度和强烈与工作满意度(Fletcher andWilliams, 1996)。该证据正面考核仍然在振兴工作中的社会关系方面(汤利,1993年)和大型公共服务的广泛采用,英国等作为国家卫生服务体系(NHS)是

各级管理人员的宝贵贡献讨论有关其员工过去的表现,讨论个人发展计划和培训,并积极议题,进一步关注发展是开放性与员工的报酬,我们现在讨论的考核。

20世纪80年代,由于战略人力资源管理的发展,考核和绩效管理已与雇员奖励密不可分。关于考核的早期文献中就将考核与员工控制(Randell, 1994;Grint, 1993;Townley, 1993, 1999)相联系,并讨论了有关考核奖励绩效的使用问题.然而有一部分文献已经取代了章节标题雇员“考核”与“绩效管理”(Bach, 2005; Storey, 2007),焦点转移到绩效和绩效激励与员工考核的限制上来。绩效与绩效工资的联系已发展为对三个关键问题的讨论:第一问题讨论绩效工资是否已经与考核发展在使用中同步进行?

第二个问题是什么类型的绩效,我们应该奖励?

最后的问题是谁来判断工作标准?

关于绩效工资方案不断增长的影响是第一个讨论的问题,它是在增加个人的努力和物质回报之间的联系以提高绩效水平。这种个人努力和物质回报联动以提高绩效水平,证明了在公共和私营部门的发展趋势(Bevan and Thompson, 1992;Armstrong and Baron, 1998)。这样促使增加公共部门的绩效努力和目标设置可能甚至在实现旨在实现长期目标的某些组织设置中会不一致 (Kessler and Purcell, 1992;Marsden, 2007),通过经理的基于绩效评估的工资的优点的发展是由英国的马斯登(2007)报告中提出:考绩用作绩效工资的基础是在覆盖了非管理层员工的公共部门中的使用比率为65%,私营部门的使用比率为69%(109页)。绩效工资的使用也在增加,在1998年组织使用绩效工资的比率为20%,而在相同的组织2004年这一比率达到32% (Kersley et al., 2006:191)。令人满意的比率或以上的绩效超过令人满意的成果平均数的将作为证据,以奖励英国公务员中个人业绩评级(Marsden, 2007)。

第二个问题是什么样的绩效形式应该获得奖励。对于过去绩效比率的使用是为实现与实现更高的奖赏支付的证据在公共服务中式鉴定评级绩效的主要因素。The evidence on Setting performance targets have been as Kessler (2000:280)关于设置业绩目标已被证明凯斯勒(2000:280)的报告“不一致的内部组织和目标模糊的组织中的某些专业问题或技术水平较低的地方”。这里有从组织对绩效工资的影响pay and its effectiveness in improving performance.和提高表

现的效率的不确定的证据。从大量的个人绩效薪酬计划报告的证据中,机构暂停或审查他们对个别表现却没有获得任何报酬的影响,甚至伤害工作人员(Kessler, 2000:281)。

建立绩效目标更深入的研究,紧随其后的是取决于他们的评估,是如何导致失去动力,同时保持生产率和实现管理者使用性能提高的绩效标准(Marsden and Richardson, 1994)。正如As兰德尔(1994)早前曾强调,潜在的客观性和自我批评在考核区域中,成为评核者拒绝承认评估师的弱点如果从而导致了他们的绩效工资的减少。

客观性和自我反思的发展成为一个弱点,那就是考核失败作为一个发展问题,如果它减少了降低评估的机会,这将减少他们的绩效奖励。审视公务员的绩效工资(Makinson, 2000) 来自于英国4大公务员服务机构和公务员国家卫生服务的结论,绩效工资和存在形式绩效管理没能激励许多工作人员

得出的结论是,雇员发现个人绩效工资分裂并且导致降低管理合作的意愿,管理偏好的引用,对于绩效分数降低比率以减少员工的绩效工资的问题的修复(Marsden and French, 1998)。

这有明确含义关于一线管理人员和考核之间的关系,被动的结果并减少承诺提供明确的证据将个人绩效考核与在公共部门的奖励联系起来。雇员注重这样的问题,以获取关键绩效以集中与关键因素有关的而不是所有的个人性格相联系的具体目标为重点相关的关键绩效指标。 Lewis(1998)的一个银行业绩效工资的研究强调,实施目标是一个在20个绩效目标范围内遥不可及的狭隘的短期业绩目标。这种狭隘的对重点对象关注而忽略其他绩效方面将导致工作无法实现。

最后一个问题是这种判断管理标准已经突出基于性别的不公平和偏见的问题(Beyer, 1990; Chen and DiTomasio, 1996; Fletcher, 1999)。建议的解决歧视的方案为加强人际技巧训练来增加运用360度考核的公平性并作为考核评估的方法从同事的反馈,因为这可以减少在“政治隐喻”使用(Randell, 1994;Fletcher, 1999)。

连接绩效与工作改进的措施连接绩效和连接需要更广泛的方法,加强工作设计和发展动力以及提高员工工作满意度和努力和绩效之间的联系的设计,是重要的私营部门和反馈和在公共部门的宣传(Fletcher and Williams, 1996:176)。

凡在工资上升由实现的关键考核目标决定的,员工缺乏自我批判和开放在任何绩效考核的发展需要中。

需要讨论和解决的关键问题是取决于你与您的顶头上司是否有良好的关系。Barlow(1989)如果你说你跟的两位经理不好,你可能只是把这事给忘它(第515页)。There are key issues that require resolution and a great deal depends on the关于考核继续实践的证据,他们还阐述了管理体制和发展的系统考核在战略决策控制上的应用(Barlow, 1989). In reality the companies create, review, change and even abolish (Barlow, 1989)。在现实中,如果他们没有评估发展和提高组织绩效(Kessler, 2000),公司将会创建,审查,变更,甚至取消考核。尽管所有的批评和批评者的证据都没有显示一个过程,可以提供反馈,发展动力,确定培训和潜在的理由和证据,可以潜在的职业发展并断定奖励(Hartle, 1997)。

资料来源:大学会计研究所。2009年6月。

原文二:

Performance Evaluations and Efficient Sorting

By: RAY, KOROK.

Much of the production in firms takes place over time. This paper seeks to understand the value of interim performance information on long projects. In particular, the model explores the sorting effects of performance evaluations. Conducting an interim performance evaluation increases efficiency by providing the option to end projects with low early returns. The main result: It is efficient to allocate more resources towards the end of a project. This result holds under a variety of scenarios: when the worker has unknown ability, when the outside options vary with output, and even under an agency framework with a risk-averse agent.

The production of goods and services takes time. It takes time to build cars, write software, develop drugs, formulate strategy, market products, audit clients, and value companies. In fact, many firms today organize their production in the form of projects that run for weeks, months, or even years at a time before the firm can sell the finished product in a market. For example, software development runs through design, implementation, and testing stages before final release. This paper examines the problem of performance evaluation before a project is finished. The main idea is that performance evaluations generate efficient sorting. They provide the firm with the option of ending projects with low early returns. A performance evaluation conducted at the interim stage sorts employees into two groups: stay or quit. It is efficient to quit if the early returns are weak, and to stay otherwise. If the agent’s early output is low, it is in the interest of both the firm and the agent to discontinue work and collect their respective outside options. In this sense, the performance evaluation assigns an agent to his most efficient use. The role of the evaluation, therefore, is to perform this sorting.

Interim performance evaluations change the efficient allocation of re-sources over time in surprising ways. The main result shows that it is efficient to assign more resources to the later stages of the project. The evaluation creates the possibility of

termination after the early stage, which reduces the marginal return from first-stage effort, and so the agent shades his effort downward in the early stage. Once the agent advances, the possibility of termination vanishes and the marginal return to effort rises, so he works harder. In sum, it is efficient to stay if the early returns are high, and for those that stay, it is efficient to work harder.

The usual analysis of performance evaluations takes place in agency mod- The usual analysis of performance evaluations takes place in agency models that span an enormous literature in accounting, economics, and finance (see Baiman [1982, 1990], Indjejikian [1999], Lambert [2001], Prendergast[1999] for reviews). Agency theory has enjoyed wide theoretical attention over the last 20 years, and has dramatically advanced our understanding of performance measurement. Unfortunately, its empirical support remains mixed, as Prendergast [2002] and Lazear [2003] document. The results of most agency models are highly sensitive to their details—the information structure, the timing of the game, the restrictions on the contracts, etc. So when the details of the game change, even slightly, so do the predictions of the model.

This paper takes a different approach. The focus here is not on incentives, but on sorting. I propose a simple and robust efficiency model that does not rely on a complex contracting game within the firm. The aim is to understand the value of interim performance information to all parties, not the opportunistic use of information by one side. The analysis here shifts attention away from distortions from first-best to improvements in first-best.

Performance evaluations don’t just slice up a fi xed pie, but make the pie itself bigger. Exploring the sorting effects of interim performance evaluations in a first-best world abstracts from conflicts of interests between parties and makes more apparent the economic forces driving the effort allocation decision. Nonetheless, I show that the main result of the model is still robust within an agency context. In particular, when a risk-neutral principal cannot observe effort and contracts with a risk-averse agent, the agent still shifts his effort into the later stages. The difference in risk preferences between the two parties causes the agent to distort his effort choice within each period, but does not qualitatively change his effort decision between periods.

The sorting effect of the interim evaluation o nly impacts the agent’s dynamic decision problem, and does not interact with the difference in preferences between the principal and agent. Therefore, the result still holds within an agency context, even though it is not necessary to operate in a second-best world to generate the sorting effect. The model consists of an agent working for a firm on a project over two stages. His effort levels across stages are perfect substitutes, so the production technology by itself does not skew his effort allocation. Production is indivisible: The firm cannot capture the full value of output until the end of the project. This is the sense in which production takes time. In particular, incomplete projects fetch a low market price, normalized to zero. The firm has invested so much firm-specific capital and labor into the project that it becomes too costly for other firms to understand and finish it. Finally, firms and workers have outside options, which include future profits from new projects for the firm and future wages from new jobs for the employee.

The existing body of theoretical literature on intertemporal allocation The existing body of theoretical literature on intertemporal allocation of effort in multistage projects falls into three categories: first-best analyses, models based on general agency considerations under discounting and/or risk aversion, and career-concerns models. The first strand of this literature, dating back to the early 1970s, is similar to my paper in that it examines efficient intertemporal effort allocation in research and development (R&D) projects, in the absence of any incentive problems. Examples include Kamien and Schwartz [1971], Luss [1975], and Grossman and Shapiro [1986]. Kamien and Schwartz [1971] study the time pattern of optimal R&D expenditures when the total cumulative effort E required tocomplete the project is not known. They find that per-period investment (effort) is increasing in time if the hazard rate associated with the cumulative distributive function of E is nondecreasing. Luss [1975], on the other hand, examines a setup in which a project is completed in known finite time, but its returns depend on effort exerted each period, and the effectiveness of effort decreases over time. He finds that it is optimal to exert the highest effort in the first period, medium-level constant effort in the following intermediate periods, and the lowest effort in the last period. Grossman and Shapiro

[1986] argue that when the total amount of effort required to complete a project is known, optimal effort increases over time. This result occurs due to discounting: The marginal product of effort falls at the discount rate. However, when time to completion is not known, effort is higher when the expected value of the project is higher, which does not necessarily imply a time-monotonic path of effort. This result is shown to be in line with Kamien and Schwartz’s [1971] result: If the hazard rate is increasing over time, so is the expected project value. Finally, it is interesting to note that in the discrete two-period case, their model predicts that second stage effort will be lower than first stage effort, provided that the second stage occurs. This is due to a disappointment effect: The occurrence of the second stage is unambiguously bad news; it shows that the project will take two periods rather than one.

The second strand of literature addresses optimal effort choice in anagency setting. A seminal paper in this line of work is Lambert [1984], who shows that when the project has time separable, mutually independent returns each subperiod, a risk-averse manager will choose effort to “smooth” income to keep it close to its ex ante expectation. In particular, second-stage effort is decreasing in observed first-stage output (but it can be higher or lower than first-stage effort). The author also shows that this result is an artifact of the incentive problem: Under the first-best, each period’s effort is independent of the previous periods’ output. Given that so much of today’s production takes plac e in long-term projects, it is natural to explore the role and consequences of performance evaluations on projects before they finish. By their very definition, projects take time, and firms cannot collect full value from them until they are completed. So interim performance evaluations give firms the option to end projects (or fire employees on existing projects) if the early returns are low. Performance evaluations efficiently sort projects and employees into those that quit and those that stay. A surprising consequence of this sorting is its effect on dynamic resource allocation: It is efficient to allocate more effort towards the later stages.

The logic of the main result runs as follows. Because production is indivisible, firms and agents cannot sell the project after the first stage, and instead use

early-stage output to calculate future project value and ultimately the value of continuing. If the continuation value is sufficiently low, both parties prefer to capture their outside options. This is the role of interim performance evaluations. The possibility of termination after the first stage reduces the expected project return in stage 1, and hence lowers the marginal return to effort. Thus the agent invests more of his resources (effort) later in the project. This is the main consequence of interim performance evaluations. The paper shows that the main result is robust under a variety of permutations. First, the result generalizes beyond the simple two-stage model to the finite stage game, proving that restriction to two stages is without loss of generality. Second, even if the evaluation returns detailed performance information, so that the agent can condition his second-stage effort on first-stage output, the agent efficiently works harder on average in stage 2 than in stage 1. Third, if the outside options vary with output such that the marginal increase in outside options does not exceed the marginal cost of effort, the agent exerts more effort on average in stage 2 than in stage 1. And most importantly, this result holds within an agency framework. With a risk-neutral principal and a risk-averse agent, the agent still shades his effort downward in the early stage. The differential risk preferences do not change the allocation of effort between stages even though they do change the allocation of effort within each stage.

The purpose here is to show that production that takes place over time gives firms the option of ending projects before they finish. Exercising this option and collecting intermediate performance information skews the efficient allocation of resources in surprising ways. The prior agency literature on career concerns gives a mixed verdict on optimal effort allocation; some papers predict increasing effort over time while others predict decreasing effort over time. The aim of my analysis is to argue that sorting delivers a strong prediction that resource allocation increases over time. I present the majority of the analysis in a first-best world to show the main forces at work and highlight the key economic intuition.

Source: Journal of Accounting Research, Sep2007, V ol. 45 Issue 4

ASP外文翻译原文

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外文文献-绩效考核管理系统

英文文献及翻译 文献题目An Overview of Servlet and JSP Technology 文献作者Nagle ,Wiegley 题目翻译Servlet和JSP技术简述 参考人 院 (系) 专业班级 学号

1 A Servlet's Job Servlets are Java programs that run on Web or application servers, acting as a middle layer between requests coming from Web browsers or other HTTP clients and databases or applications on the HTTP server. Their job is to perform the following tasks, as illustrated in Figure 1-1. Figure 1-1Web middleware role 1.1 Read the explicit data sent by the client. The end user normally enters this data in an HTML form on a Web page. However, the data could also come from an applet or a custom HTTP client program. 1.2 Read the implicit HTTP request data sent by the browser. Figure 1-1 shows a single arrow going from the client to the Web server (the layer where servlets and JSP execute), but there are really two varieties of data: the explicit data that the end user enters in a form and the behind-the-scenes HTTP information. Both varieties are critical. The HTTP information includes cookies, information about media types and compression schemes the browser understands, and so on. 1.3 Generate the results. This process may require talking to a database, executing an RMI or EJB call, invoking a Web service, or computing the response directly. Your real data may be in a relational database. Fine. But your database probably doesn't speak HTTP or return results in HTML, so the Web browser can't talk directly to the database. Even if it could, for security reasons, you probably would not want it to. The same argument applies to most other applications.You need the Web middle layer to extract the results inside a document.

毕业设计外文翻译附原文

外文翻译 专业机械设计制造及其自动化学生姓名刘链柱 班级机制111 学号1110101102 指导教师葛友华

外文资料名称: Design and performance evaluation of vacuum cleaners using cyclone technology 外文资料出处:Korean J. Chem. Eng., 23(6), (用外文写) 925-930 (2006) 附件: 1.外文资料翻译译文 2.外文原文

应用旋风技术真空吸尘器的设计和性能介绍 吉尔泰金,洪城铱昌,宰瑾李, 刘链柱译 摘要:旋风型分离器技术用于真空吸尘器 - 轴向进流旋风和切向进气道流旋风有效地收集粉尘和降低压力降已被实验研究。优化设计等因素作为集尘效率,压降,并切成尺寸被粒度对应于分级收集的50%的效率进行了研究。颗粒切成大小降低入口面积,体直径,减小涡取景器直径的旋风。切向入口的双流量气旋具有良好的性能考虑的350毫米汞柱的低压降和为1.5μm的质量中位直径在1米3的流量的截止尺寸。一使用切向入口的双流量旋风吸尘器示出了势是一种有效的方法,用于收集在家庭中产生的粉尘。 摘要及关键词:吸尘器; 粉尘; 旋风分离器 引言 我们这个时代的很大一部分都花在了房子,工作场所,或其他建筑,因此,室内空间应该是既舒适情绪和卫生。但室内空气中含有超过室外空气因气密性的二次污染物,毒物,食品气味。这是通过使用产生在建筑中的新材料和设备。真空吸尘器为代表的家电去除有害物质从地板到地毯所用的商用真空吸尘器房子由纸过滤,预过滤器和排气过滤器通过洁净的空气排放到大气中。虽然真空吸尘器是方便在使用中,吸入压力下降说唱空转成比例地清洗的时间,以及纸过滤器也应定期更换,由于压力下降,气味和细菌通过纸过滤器内的残留粉尘。 图1示出了大气气溶胶的粒度分布通常是双峰形,在粗颗粒(>2.0微米)模式为主要的外部来源,如风吹尘,海盐喷雾,火山,从工厂直接排放和车辆废气排放,以及那些在细颗粒模式包括燃烧或光化学反应。表1显示模式,典型的大气航空的直径和质量浓度溶胶被许多研究者测量。精细模式在0.18?0.36 在5.7到25微米尺寸范围微米尺寸范围。质量浓度为2?205微克,可直接在大气气溶胶和 3.85至36.3μg/m3柴油气溶胶。

毕业设计外文翻译原文.

Optimum blank design of an automobile sub-frame Jong-Yop Kim a ,Naksoo Kim a,*,Man-Sung Huh b a Department of Mechanical Engineering,Sogang University,Shinsu-dong 1,Mapo-ku,Seoul 121-742,South Korea b Hwa-shin Corporation,Young-chun,Kyung-buk,770-140,South Korea Received 17July 1998 Abstract A roll-back method is proposed to predict the optimum initial blank shape in the sheet metal forming process.The method takes the difference between the ?nal deformed shape and the target contour shape into account.Based on the method,a computer program composed of a blank design module,an FE-analysis program and a mesh generation module is developed.The roll-back method is applied to the drawing of a square cup with the ˉange of uniform size around its periphery,to con?rm its validity.Good agreement is recognized between the numerical results and the published results for initial blank shape and thickness strain distribution.The optimum blank shapes for two parts of an automobile sub-frame are designed.Both the thickness distribution and the level of punch load are improved with the designed blank.Also,the method is applied to design the weld line in a tailor-welded blank.It is concluded that the roll-back method is an effective and convenient method for an optimum blank shape design.#2000Elsevier Science S.A.All rights reserved. Keywords:Blank design;Sheet metal forming;Finite element method;Roll-back method

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绩效考核标准Performance assessment standard 序号S/N 项目 ITEM 内容 CONTENT 权重 weight 1 工作态度 Working attitude 1,品德端正,遵纪守法,每月无违反公司的各项管理规定和制度(3); Possess virtue, following regulations, no violation of company regulations within one month(3). 2,工作认真负责,积极主动,能吃苦耐劳,服从安排(3);Reliable and active to work, capable of doing hard job, obedience to work arrangement(3) 3,为公司利益不计个人得失,扎根本职工作,锐意进取,为公司员工树立 良好形象并起到带头作用(3)Take company interest as first priority, make more progress based on your win duty to set an good example to other staff in company(3). 4,热爱公司,维护公司形象,认同公司企业文化,爱岗敬业,乐于助人, 与同事相处融洽,有团队精神和集体荣誉感(3);Trust company from inside your heart, protect company culture and image, be loyal to company, possess sense of team spirit and collective honor(3). 5,良好的个人形象和素养(3)suitable personnel appearance and cadibre(3),个人(工序)岗位7S工作做得好(10)do well at implementation of 7S working standard(10); 6,每月内无任何被投诉记录(经查实的);受到领导、员工或雇主普遍好 评的(3)No compliance received within one month, get high praise from boss, master and other working staff(3). 28% 2 工作能力 Working capability 8,生产的重点就是平衡产量和质量,不能要求产量忽视了质量,也不能 因质量忽视了产量,达到并超过专业技能或业务水平优秀,完全胜任本职 工作,把质量放到首位;The most important point of production is to keep balance between product quality and quantity. (考核办法:按返工、修复频次和数量核算,找不到责任人,班组长承担 所有罚款,每个罚款?10,再每个扣1分,扣完为止,如果已外发客户因质 量问题退回返工,每个罚款?20 Assessment rules: for each unqualified product, the person who is responsible will be fined 10 NAIRAS and lose 1 point, until all available points are gone. For each unqualified product which is detected by customer, the fine would be 20 NAIRAS. Squad leader will be responsible for the fine if the direct responsible cannot be found ) 20% DISCOVERY INTERNATIONAL FZE 拓展国际自贸区公司

毕业设计(论文)外文资料翻译〔含原文〕

南京理工大学 毕业设计(论文)外文资料翻译 教学点:南京信息职业技术学院 专业:电子信息工程 姓名:陈洁 学号: 014910253034 外文出处:《 Pci System Architecture 》 (用外文写) 附件: 1.外文资料翻译译文;2.外文原文。 指导教师评语: 该生外文翻译没有基本的语法错误,用词准确,没 有重要误译,忠实原文;译文通顺,条理清楚,数量与 质量上达到了本科水平。 签名: 年月日 注:请将该封面与附件装订成册。

附件1:外文资料翻译译文 64位PCI扩展 1.64位数据传送和64位寻址:独立的能力 PCI规范给出了允许64位总线主设备与64位目标实现64位数据传送的机理。在传送的开始,如果回应目标是一个64位或32位设备,64位总线设备会自动识别。如果它是64位设备,达到8个字节(一个4字)可以在每个数据段中传送。假定是一串0等待状态数据段。在33MHz总线速率上可以每秒264兆字节获取(8字节/传送*33百万传送字/秒),在66MHz总线上可以528M字节/秒获取。如果回应目标是32位设备,总线主设备会自动识别并且在下部4位数据通道上(AD[31::00])引导,所以数据指向或来自目标。 规范也定义了64位存储器寻址功能。此功能只用于寻址驻留在4GB地址边界以上的存储器目标。32位和64位总线主设备都可以实现64位寻址。此外,对64位寻址反映的存储器目标(驻留在4GB地址边界上)可以看作32位或64位目标来实现。 注意64位寻址和64位数据传送功能是两种特性,各自独立并且严格区分开来是非常重要的。一个设备可以支持一种、另一种、都支持或都不支持。 2.64位扩展信号 为了支持64位数据传送功能,PCI总线另有39个引脚。 ●REQ64#被64位总线主设备有效表明它想执行64位数据传送操作。REQ64#与FRAME#信号具有相同的时序和间隔。REQ64#信号必须由系统主板上的上拉电阻来支持。当32位总线主设备进行传送时,REQ64#不能又漂移。 ●ACK64#被目标有效以回应被主设备有效的REQ64#(如果目标支持64位数据传送),ACK64#与DEVSEL#具有相同的时序和间隔(但是直到REQ64#被主设备有效,ACK64#才可被有效)。像REQ64#一样,ACK64#信号线也必须由系统主板上的上拉电阻来支持。当32位设备是传送目标时,ACK64#不能漂移。 ●AD[64::32]包含上部4位地址/数据通道。 ●C/BE#[7::4]包含高4位命令/字节使能信号。 ●PAR64是为上部4个AD通道和上部4位C/BE信号线提供偶校验的奇偶校验位。 以下是几小结详细讨论64位数据传送和寻址功能。 3.在32位插入式连接器上的64位卡

产品部门绩效考核表

产品部门绩效考核表 考核项目考核标准自我 评价 主管 评价 备注 各类文档质量出色完成,内容充实完善,有新意有亮点10 按要求完成,符合撰写要求,基本不需修改8 基本完成,内容框架大致完成,需润色 6 部分完成,内容需要经过多次的补充与完善 4 未完成,不能按时按量完成所需文档的撰写工作0 市场调查研究充实、合理、针对性强,为产品规划决策具有强有力的支持10 有针对性,为产品规划决策提供应有的支持8 提出分析,为产品规划决策提供部分支持 6 提出分析,但内容偏离,不能为产品规划决策提供支持 4 没有进行市场调查研究,不能为产品规划决策提供支持0 针对用户需求所做的产品优 化能够全方位地感受用户需求,对产品的功能和内容提出切实可行的 优化意见,且事后被证实合理 10 基本能够感受用户需求,对产品的功能和内容提出较为可行优化意 见,且事后被证实合理 8 大致能够感受用户需求,对产品的功能和内容提出较为可行优化意 见,且事后被证实部分合理 6 能够部分感受用户需求,对产品的功能和内容提出的优化意见有待 商榷 4 对用户需求感受不深,对产品的功能和内容所提出优化意见有待商 榷,且事后被证实不合理 项目间规划与 协调不同产品线的发展战略、具体策略和实施步骤能及时有效地兼顾市 场变化和公司战略,有一定的前瞻性 10 不同产品线的发展战略、具体策略和实施步骤基本能兼顾市场变化 和公司战略 8 不同产品线的发展战略、具体策略和实施步骤勉强兼顾市场变化和 公司战略,反应略微滞后 6 不同产品线的发展战略、具体策略和实施步骤不能有效兼顾市场变 化和公司战略 4 不同产品线的发展战略、具体策略和实施步骤存在严重冲突、有重 大缺陷 单个产品周期内工作的规划与协调准确及时地平衡市场、运营、产品的策略关系,产品的滚动计划和 年度规划合理有效,明显减少研发相关费用,对公司获得利润方面 贡献显著(相对往年同期) 10 能及时平衡市场、运营、产品的策略关系,产品的滚动计划和年度 规划合理,能够减少研发相关费用(相对往年同期) 8 能及时平衡市场、运营、产品的策略关系,产品的滚动计划和年度 规划合理 6 能及时平衡市场、运营、产品的策略关系,产品的滚动计划和年度 规划欠佳 4 不能平衡市场、运营、产品的策略关系,产品的滚动计划和年度规 划很差

英文翻译与英文原文.陈--

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员工激励外文文献Word版

1. 原则之一:激励要因人而异 由于不同员工的需求不同,所以,相同的激励政策起到的激励效果也会不尽相同。即便是同一位员工,在不同的时间或环境下,也会有不同的需求。由于激 励取决于内因,是员工的主观感受,所以,激励要因人而异。 在制定和实施激励政策时,首先要调查清楚每个员工真正需要的是什么。将这 些需要整理、归类,然后来制定相应的激励政策帮助员工满足这些需求。 2. 原则之二:奖励适度 奖励和惩罚不适度都会影响激励效果,同时增加激励成本。奖励过重会使员工 产生骄傲和满足的情绪,失去进一步提高自己的欲望;奖励过轻会起不到激励 效果,或者使员工产生不被重视的感觉。惩罚过重会让员工感到不公,或者失 去对公司的认同,甚至产生怠工或破坏的情绪;惩罚过轻会让员工轻视错误的 严重性,从而可能还会犯同样的错误。 3. 原则之三:公平性 公平性是员工管理中一个很重要的原则,员工感到的任何不公的待遇都会影响 他的工作效率和工作情绪,并且影响激励效果。取得同等成绩的员工,一定要 获得同等层次的奖励;同理,犯同等错误的员工,也应受到同等层次的处罚。 如果做不到这一点,管理者宁可不奖励或者不处罚。 管理者在处理员工问题时,一定要有一种公平的心态,不应有任何的偏见和喜好。虽然某些员工可能让你喜欢,有些你不太喜欢,但在工作中,一定要一视 同仁,不能有任何不公的言语和行为。 1. 激励员工从结果均等转移到机会均等,并努力创造公平竞争环境。 举例来说,吴士宏在IBM从一个打扫卫生的人做起,一步一步到销售业务员, 到地区负责人,到中国区总经理,是什么原因呢?除了个人努力,还应该说 IBM良好的企业文化给了一个发展的舞台,那就是每一个人都有无限的发展机会,只要有能力就会有发展的空间,实现自我,这在很多企业是做不到的,这 种体制无疑会给员工莫大的激励作用。 2. 激励要把握最佳时机。 ——需在目标任务下达前激励的,要提前激励。 ——员工遇到困难,有强烈要求愿望时,给予关怀,及时激励。 3. 激励要公平准确、奖罚分明 ——健全、完善绩效考核制度,做到考核尺度相宜、公平合理。 ——克服有亲有疏的人情风。 ——在提薪、晋级、评奖、评优等涉及员工切身利益热点问题上务求做到公平。 4. 推行职工持股计划。

工程造价外文翻译(有出处)

预测高速公路建设项目最终的预算和时间 摘要 目的——本文的目的是开发模型来预测公路建设项目施工阶段最后的预算和持续的时间。 设计——测算收集告诉公路建设项目,在发展预测模型之前找出影响项目最终的预算和时间,研究内容是基于人工神经网络(ANN)的原理。与预测结果提出的方法进行比较,其精度从当前方法基于挣值。 结果——根据影响因素最后提出了预算和时间,基于人工神经网络的应用原理方法获得的预测结果比当前基于挣值法得到的结果更准确和稳定。 研究局限性/意义——因素影响最终的预算和时间可能不同,如果应用于其他国家,由于该项目数据收集的都是泰国的预测模型,因此,必须重新考虑更好的结果。 实际意义——这项研究为用于高速公路建设项目经理来预测项目最终的预算和时间提供了一个有用的工具,可为结果提供早期预算和进度延误的警告。 创意/价值——用ANN模型来预测最后的预算和时间的高速公路建设项目,开发利用项目数据反映出持续的和季节性周期数据, 在施工阶段可以提供更好的预测结果。 关键词:神经网、建筑业、预测、道路、泰国 文章类型:案例研究 前言 一个建设工程项普遍的目的是为了在时间和在预算内满足既定的质量要求和其他规格。为了实现这个目标,大量的工作在施工过程的管理必须提供且不能没有计划地做成本控制系统。一个控制系统定期收集实际成本和进度数据,然后对比与计划的时间表来衡量工作进展是否提前或落后时间表和强调潜在的问题(泰克兹,1993)。成本和时间是两个关键参数,在建设项目管理和相关参数的研究中扮演着重要的角色,不断提供适当的方法和

工具,使施工经理有效处理一个项目,以实现其在前期建设和在施工阶段的目标。在施工阶段,一个常见的问题要求各方参与一个项目,尤其是一个所有者,最终项目的预算到底是多少?或什么时候该项目能被完成? 在跟踪和控制一个建设项目时,预测项目的性能是非常必要的。目前已经提出了几种方法,如基于挣值技术、模糊逻辑、社会判断理论和神经网络。将挣值法视为一个确定的方法,其一般假设,无论是性能效率可达至报告日期保持不变,或整个项目其余部分将计划超出申报日期(克里斯坦森,1992;弗莱明和坎普曼,2000 ;阿萨班尼,1999;维卡尔等人,2000)。然而,挣值法的基本概念在研究确定潜在的进度延误、成本和进度的差异成本超支的地区。吉布利(1985)利用平均每个成本帐户执行工作的实际成本,也称作单位收入的成本,其标准差来预测项目完工成本。各成本帐户每月的进度是一个平均平稳过程标准偏差,显示预测模型的可靠性,然而,接受的单位成本收益在每个报告期在变化。埃尔丁和休斯(1992)和阿萨班尼(1999)利用分解组成成本的结构来提高预测精度。迪克曼和Al-Tabtabai(1992)基于社会判断理论提出了一个方法,该方法在预测未来的基础上的一组线索,源于人的判断而不是从纯粹的数学算法。有经验的项目经理要求基于社会判断理论方法的使用得到满意的结果。Moselhi等人(2006)应用“模糊逻辑”来预测潜在的成本超支和对建设工程项目的进度延迟。该方法的结果在评估特定时间状态的项目和评价该项目的利润效率有作用。这有助于工程人员所完成的项目时间限制和监控项目预算。Kaastra和博伊德(1996)开发的“人工神经网络”,此网络作为一种有效的预测工具,可以利用过去“模式识别”工作和显示各种影响因素的关系,然后预测未来的发展趋势。罗威等人(2006)开发的成本回归模型能在项目的早期阶段估计建筑成本。总共有41个潜在的独立变量被确定,但只有四个变量:总建筑面积,持续时间,机械设备,和打桩,是线性成本的关键驱动因素,因为它们出现在所有的模型中。模型提出了进一步的洞察了施工成本和预测变量的各种关系。从模型得到的估计结果可以提供早期阶段的造价咨询(威廉姆斯(2003))——最终竞标利用回归模型预测的建设项目成本。 人工神经网络已被广泛用在不同的施工功能中,如估价、计划和产能预测。神经网络建设是Moselhi等人(1991)指出,由Hegazy(1998)开发了一个模型,该模型考虑了项目的外在特征,估计加拿大的公路建设成本: ·项目类型 ·项目范围

外文翻译原文

204/JOURNAL OF BRIDGE ENGINEERING/AUGUST1999

JOURNAL OF BRIDGE ENGINEERING /AUGUST 1999/205 ends.The stress state in each cylindrical strip was determined from the total potential energy of a nonlinear arch model using the Rayleigh-Ritz method. It was emphasized that the membrane stresses in the com-pression region of the curved models were less than those predicted by linear theory and that there was an accompanying increase in ?ange resultant force.The maximum web bending stress was shown to occur at 0.20h from the compression ?ange for the simple support stiffness condition and 0.24h for the ?xed condition,where h is the height of the analytical panel.It was noted that 0.20h would be the optimum position for longitudinal stiffeners in curved girders,which is the same as for straight girders based on stability requirements.From the ?xed condition cases it was determined that there was no signi?cant change in the membrane stresses (from free to ?xed)but that there was a signi?cant effect on the web bend-ing stresses.Numerical results were generated for the reduc-tion in effective moment required to produce initial yield in the ?anges based on curvature and web slenderness for a panel aspect ratio of 1.0and a web-to-?ange area ratio of 2.0.From the results,a maximum reduction of about 13%was noted for a /R =0.167and about 8%for a /R =0.10(h /t w =150),both of which would correspond to extreme curvature,where a is the length of the analytical panel (modeling the distance be-tween transverse stiffeners)and R is the radius of curvature.To apply the parametric results to developing design criteria for practical curved girders,the de?ections and web bending stresses that would occur for girders with a curvature corre-sponding to the initial imperfection out-of-?atness limit of D /120was used.It was noted that,for a panel with an aspect ratio of 1.0,this would correspond to a curvature of a /R =0.067.The values of moment reduction using this approach were compared with those presented by Basler (Basler and Thurlimann 1961;Vincent 1969).Numerical results based on this limit were generated,and the following web-slenderness requirement was derived: 2 D 36,500a a =1?8.6?34 (1) ? ??? t R R F w ?y where D =unsupported distance between ?anges;and F y =yield stress in psi. An extension of this work was published a year later,when Culver et al.(1973)checked the accuracy of the isolated elas-tically supported cylindrical strips by treating the panel as a unit two-way shell rather than as individual strips.The ?ange/web boundaries were modeled as ?xed,and the boundaries at the transverse stiffeners were modeled as ?xed and simple.Longitudinal stiffeners were modeled with moments of inertias as multiples of the AASHO (Standard 1969)values for straight https://www.360docs.net/doc/5313139275.html,ing analytical results obtained for the slenderness required to limit the plate bending stresses in the curved panel to those of a ?at panel with the maximum allowed out-of-?atness (a /R =0.067)and with D /t w =330,the following equa-tion was developed for curved plate girder web slenderness with one longitudinal stiffener: D 46,000a a =1?2.9 ?2.2 (2) ? ? ? t R f R w ?b where the calculated bending stress,f b ,is in psi.It was further concluded that if longitudinal stiffeners are located in both the tension and compression regions,the reduction in D /t w will not be required.For the case of two stiffeners,web bending in both regions is reduced and the web slenderness could be de-signed as a straight girder panel.Eq.(1)is currently used in the ‘‘Load Factor Design’’portion of the Guide Speci?cations ,and (2)is used in the ‘‘Allowable Stress Design’’portion for girders stiffened with one longitudinal stiffener.This work was continued by Mariani et al.(1973),where the optimum trans-verse stiffener rigidity was determined analytically. During almost the same time,Abdel-Sayed (1973)studied the prebuckling and elastic buckling behavior of curved web panels and proposed approximate conservative equations for estimating the critical load under pure normal loading (stress),pure shear,and combined normal and shear loading.The linear theory of shells was used.The panel was simply supported along all four edges with no torsional rigidity of the ?anges provided.The transverse stiffeners were therefore assumed to be rigid in their directions (no strains could be developed along the edges of the panels).The Galerkin method was used to solve the governing differential equations,and minimum eigenvalues of the critical load were calculated and presented for a wide range of loading conditions (bedding,shear,and combined),aspect ratios,and curvatures.For all cases,it was demonstrated that the critical load is higher for curved panels over the comparable ?at panel and increases with an increase in curvature. In 1980,Daniels et al.summarized the Lehigh University ?ve-year experimental research program on the fatigue behav-ior of horizontally curved bridges and concluded that the slen-derness limits suggested by Culver were too severe.Equations for ‘‘Load Factor Design’’and for ‘‘Allowable Stress Design’’were developed (respectively)as D 36,500a =1?4?192(3)? ?t R F w ?y D 23,000a =1?4 ?170 (4) ? ? t R f w ?b The latter equation is currently used in the ‘‘Allowable Stress Design’’portion of the Guide Speci?cations for girders not stiffened longitudinally. Numerous analytical and experimental works on the subject have also been published by Japanese researchers since the end of the CURT project.Mikami and colleagues presented work in Japanese journals (Mikami et al.1980;Mikami and Furunishi 1981)and later in the ASCE Journal of Engineering Mechanics (Mikami and Furunishi 1984)on the nonlinear be-havior of cylindrical web panels under bending and combined bending and shear.They analyzed the cylindrical panels based on Washizu’s (1975)nonlinear theory of shells.The governing nonlinear differential equations were solved numerically by the ?nite-difference method.Simple support boundary condi-tions were assumed along the curved boundaries (top and bot-tom at the ?ange locations)and both simple and ?xed support conditions were used at the straight (vertical)boundaries.The large displacement behavior was demonstrated by Mi-kami and Furunishi for a range of geometric properties.Nu-merical values of the load,de?ection,membrane stress,bend-ing stress,and torsional stress were obtained,but no equations for design use were presented.Signi?cant conclusions include that:(1)the compressive membrane stress in the circumfer-ential direction decreases with an increase in curvature;(2)the panel under combined bending and shear exhibits a lower level of the circumferential membrane stress as compared with the panel under pure bending,and as a result,the bending moment carried by the web panel is reduced;and (3)the plate bending stress under combined bending and shear is larger than that under pure bending.No formulations or recommendations for direct design use were made. Kuranishi and Hiwatashi (1981,1983)used the ?nite-ele-ment method to demonstrate the elastic ?nite displacement be-havior of curved I-girder webs under bending using models with and without ?ange rigidities.Rotation was not allowed (?xed condition)about the vertical axis at the ends of the panel (transverse stiffener locations).Again,the nonlinear distribu-

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