辽宁省县域乡村性与经济社会发展对应分析

Correspondence Analysis of the Rurality and Economic and Social Development in Counties of Liaoning Province

Abstract

The countryside is the foundation of the traditional Chinese society.The development of the countryside is related to the overall development of the party and the country’s cause.At present,China is in a critical period of the construction of a new socialist countryside.The assessment of the rurality will be conducted.The analysis of the interactive relationship between the rurality and economic and social development will provide an important reference for the exploration of the rural development path in the new era.

This paper takes44counties(cities)of Liaoning Province as the research object, takes the socio-economic statistical yearbook as the data source,evaluates the rurality level of Liaoning Province from1990to2015,and analyzes the spatial correlation evolution characteristics.On this basis,the corresponding analysis method is used to discriminate the corresponding relationship between the rurality and economic and social development in Liaoning Province.Finally,the countermeasures and suggestions for promoting rural development in Liaoning Province are proposed.

The results show that:(1)In1990,the average rural value of Liaoning Province was0.5125,and the standard deviation was0.4657.In2015,the rural average of Liaoning Province was0.2707,and the standard deviation was0.2207,indicating that the level of rural areas in Liaoning Province was continuously declining from1990to 2015,showing the characteristics of high in the northwest and low in the southeast, and the overall differences gradually narrowed.(2)1990-2015,Moran's I values in rurality in Liaoning Province are all greater than0and tend to decline overall.This shows that the rurality of Liaoning province tend to be spatially agglomeration,and the spatial aggregation of the rurality weakens with time.The local characteristics are as follows:The rurality cold hot spots show the spatial pattern of high in the northwest and low in the southeast,the sub-cold spots are always distributed in the periphery of the cold spots,the sub-hot spots are always distributed in the periphery of the hot spots,and the overall pattern is relatively stable.However,the agglomeration area changed with time,the concentration of cold spots and hot spots increased,the degree of sub-cold spot and sub-hot spot agglomeration weakened,and from the number of cold hot spots,the number of cold spots With the increase,the

number of sub-cold areas has increased significantly,and the number of sub-hot spots and hotspots has decreased significantly.This shows that the disparity in rurality in Liaoning Province has narrowed.(3)The main influencing factors of rurality changes in Liaoning Province have undergone the transformation from the endogenous factors in the countryside—the influence of urban exogenous factors—the combined effects of internal and external factors.Urbanization,industrialization,and the degree of agricultural development are the key factors affecting rural development.

Key Words:Rurality；Economic and Social Development；Correspondence；Liaoning Province

摘要...........................................................................................................................I Abstract..........................................................................................................................II 1绪论. (1)

1.1研究背景及意义 (1)

1.1.1研究背景 (1)

1.1.2研究意义 (2)

1.2国内外研究进展 (2)

1.2.1国外研究进展 (2)

1.2.2国内研究进展 (3)

1.3基本概念和基本理论 (5)

1.3.1基本概念 (5)

1.3.2基本理论 (6)

1.4研究区域与研究方法 (7)

1.4.1研究区域 (7)

1.4.2研究方法 (7)

1.5研究内容 (7)

2辽宁省县域乡村发展现状和发展类型分析 (10)

2.1研究区域概况 (10)

2.1.1地理位置 (10)

2.1.2自然地理环境 (10)

2.1.3社会经济发展 (10)

2.2辽宁省县域乡村发展现状 (11)

2.2.1第一产业现状 (11)

2.2.2基础设施现状 (13)

2.2.3居民生活水平现状 (15)

2.3辽宁省县域乡村发展类型分析 (16)

2.3.1农业主导型类型区 (17)

2.3.2工业主导型类型区 (18)

2.3.3商旅服务业主导型类型区 (18)

2.3.4均衡发展型类型区 (18)

2.4本章小结 (18)

3辽宁省县域乡村性评价及空间演化特征分析 (19)

3.1数据来源 (19)

3.2乡村性评价指标体系建立 (19)

3.3研究方法 (21)

3.3.1乡村性指数 (21)

3.3.2探索性空间数据分析方法(ESDA) (22)

3.4结果分析 (23)

3.4.1辽宁省县域乡村性时空变化分析 (23)

3.4.2辽宁省县域乡村性空间关联演化分析 (26)

3.5本章小结 (30)

4辽宁省县域乡村性与经济社会发展对应分析 (31)

4.1数据来源和对应指标选取 (31)

4.1.1数据来源 (31)

4.1.2对应指标选取 (31)

4.2研究方法 (32)

4.2.1对应分析法简介 (32)

4.2.2对应分析法的数学原理 (32)

4.2.3评价工具与指标分类 (33)

4.3结果分析 (33)

4.4本章小结 (37)

5结论与对策 (38)

5.1研究结论 (38)

5.2建议 (39)

5.3不足与展望 (40)

参考文献 (42)

攻读硕士学位期间发表学术论文情况 (45)

致谢 (46)