项目管理Project Mangement第2章

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Project Management-02

Project Management-02
收尾过程 各管理工作过程之间的相互联系
第二节
项目管理过程
启动过程: 启动过程: 定义一个项目阶段的工作与活动、 定义一个项目阶段的工作与活动、决策一 个项目或项目阶段的起始与否, 个项目或项目阶段的起始与否,以及决定 是否将一个项目或项目阶段继续进行下去 等工作。(项目批准和授权) 。(项目批准和授权 等工作。(项目批准和授权) 计划过程: 计划过程: 拟定、 拟定、编制和修订一个项目或项目阶段的 工作目标、工作计划方案、资源供应计划、 工作目标、工作计划方案、资源供应计划、 成本预算、计划应急措施等方面的工作。 成本预算、计划应急措施等方面的工作。
展示与 验证
阶段2 阶段2
工程与 制造开发
阶段3 阶段3
生产与 开发
阶段4 阶段4
运营与 支持
里程碑1 里程碑1 (概念展示 批准书) 批准书)
里程碑2 里程碑2 (开发批 准书) 准书)
里程碑3 里程碑3 (生产批 准书) 准书)
里程碑4 里程碑4 (主要修订 批准书) 批准书)
美国防部的项目生命周期示意图
第二节
项目管理过程
收尾过程: 收尾过程: 制定一个项目或项目阶段的移交与接受条 项目或项目阶段成果的移交, 件,项目或项目阶段成果的移交,从而使 项目顺利结束的管理工作和活动。 项目顺利结束的管理工作和活动。
项目设计阶段
项目实施阶段
起始过程 计划过程 执行过程 控制过程
起始过程 计划过程 执行过程 控制过程
3.美国国防部兵器项目的生命周期描述 3.美国国防部兵器项目的生命周期描述 美国防部1993 1993年修订的兵器开发项目生命周期模型 美国防部1993年修订的兵器开发项目生命周期模型
使命/ 阶段0 使命/需求 阶段0 确定 概念扩展 与定义

项目管理Project management课件Chapter 2 Slides_Organisational Context (1)

项目管理Project management课件Chapter 2 Slides_Organisational Context (1)

individuals into departments
确定组织中的任何部门
departments into the total organization
3. Design of systems to ensure
effective communication
系统设计
coordination
Project organizations – group people into project teams on temporary assignments
Matrix organizations – create a dual hierarchy in which functions and projects have equal prominence
项目利益相关者的定义:与项目利益相关的个人和群体,他们能影响项目运转
Project Stakeholders are defined as all individuals or groups who have an active stake in the project and can potentially impact, either positively or negatively, its development.
6.Identify the characteristics of three forms of project management office (PMO).
7.Understand key concepts of corporate culture and how cultures are formed.
difficult to achieve cross-

华中科技大学《项目管理》第二章-44页PPT资料

华中科技大学《项目管理》第二章-44页PPT资料

2020/1/13
2
Chapter Outline
A Systems View of Project Management Project Phases and the Project Life Cycle
Product Life Cycles The Importance of Project Phases and Management
2020/1/13
5
A Systems View of Project Management
Three parts include:
Systems philosophy: View things as
systems, interacting components working within an environment to fulfill some purpose
Explain the differences among functional, matrix, and project orgaain why top management commitment to project management is critical for a project’s success
--质量 --成本 解决问题
收尾 15% 产品最终审查 接收 结算 转交产品责任 评估
结果文档化 重新分配资源
2020/1/13
10
Product Life Cycles
Products also have life cycles The Systems Development Life Cycle
project phases
Project phases vary by project or

Project Management 课件(part2)

Project Management 课件(part2)

SEG5790 Project and TechnologyManagement•Part I: Project Management–Overview.–Project screening and selection.–Multiple-criteria methods for evaluation.–Project structuring–Project scheduling–Budgeting and resource management.–Life-cycle costing.–Project control.–Computer support for project management.•Part II Technology Management–Strategic and operational considerations oftechnology–Forecasting of technology–Management of R&D projectsChapter 3. Multiple-criteria Methods forProject Selection§3.1 Project selection by using utility functions§3.2 Project selection under multiple criteria§3.1 Project selection by using utilityfunctions•Suppose you are asked to choose between two lotteries, L1 and L2, asfollows:• If you choose L1, you are guaranteed to get $10,000.• If you choose L2, your expected return is $15,000.• Which lottery would you like to choose ?L2L11/21/21$30,000$0$10,000§3.1 Project selection by using utilityfunctions• Although L2 has a larger expected return than L1, many people prefer L1 to L2.• The reason is, L1 offers the certainty to win.• In other words, we prefer L1 to L2, since L1 involves less risk than L2.L2L11/21$30,000$0$10,000How to measure the risk ?•Different people have different perception on risk.•Some people may be more risk averse, but some people may be more risk seeking.•How to measure the risk ? And how to evaluate and represent the degree of your acceptance to risk, if you are the decision maker ?•Your attitude toward risk will affect your decision to choose a project proposal.•Utility theory allows one to build his utility function to represent his attitude toward risk, and therefore to make the decision which he thinks right in situations involving uncertainties.Utility functions•Our goal is to determine a method that a person can use to choose between lotteries (alternatives) involving risks.•Suppose that she must choose to play L1 and L2 but not both.•We write– L1 i L2 if she is indifferent between L1 and L2.– L1 p L2 if she prefers L1 to L2.– L2 p L1 if she prefers L2 to L1.•We also say that L1 and L2 are equivalent lotteries, ifL1 i L2 .U (M )M M MU (M )U (M )(a ) Risk averse (b ) Risk seeker (c ) Risk neutral Utility functionsUtility functions•For a given lottery L=(p1, r1; p2, r2; …; p n, r n), define the expected utility of the lottery L, written E(U for L), byi=nE(U for L)= Σ p i u(r i).i=1•Fundamental Property ofUtility Function: Fundamental Property of Utility Function:Two lotteries are indifferent if they have the same expected utility.An approach to Generate utilityvalues1)Given three monetary values: M1, X, M2 (M1 < X < M2). Let u (M1) = 0, u (M2) = 1. Find u (X).2)Choose p so that the following two lotteries are indifferent :a. Get X with probability 1.b. Get M2 with probability p and M1 with probability (1-p ).Then u (X) = p . (Think about why ? )L2L1p 1-p1M2X M1§3.1 Project selection by using utilityfunctions•Example -- How to rank the following lotteries:L4L10.50.021-$10,000$0$10,000L31$00.98L20.5$500$30,000§3.1 Project selection by using utilityfunctions•The utility theory suggests to rank these lotteries as follows:–(1) Identify the most favorable ($30,000) and theleast favorable (-$10,000) outcomes that canoccur.–(2) For all possible outcomes r i (r1=$10,000,r2=500, and r3=$0), the decision maker is askedto determine a probability p i such that she isindifferent between:p i$30,0001r i1-p i-$10,000§3.1 Project selection by using utilityfunctionsSuppose that for r1=$10,000, the decision maker is indifferent between:0.90$30,0001$10,0000.10-$10,000§3.1 Project selection by using utilityfunctionsFor r2=$500, the decision maker is indifferent between:0.60$30,0001$00.40-$10,0000.62$30,0001$5000.38-$10,000For r3=$0, the decision maker is indifferent between :§3.1 Project selection by using utilityfunctionsTherefore, we can see:0.50$30,0001$10,0000.50L1L2”(i)0.90$30,0000.10-$10,000L1’0.50$30,0000.50$0L2$30,000-$10,0000.40.6(i)§3.1 Project selection by using utilityfunctions0.50$30,0000.50L2”-$10,000$30,0000.40.6 0.80$30,0000.20-$10,000L2’• • L’’ is a compound lottery.•It yields a chance of 0.5+0.5(0.6) =0.8 at $30,000,and a chance of 0.4(0.6)=0.2 at -$10,000. • Since L2 i L2” and L2” i L2’, we know L2 i L2’.(i)§3.1 Project selection by using utilityfunctions0.02$30,0000.98L4’’-$10,000-$10,0000.380.62 0.6076$30,0000.3924-$10,000L4’(i)1$0L30.60$30,0000.40L3’-$10,000(i)§3.1 Project selection by using utilityfunctions0.6076$30,0000.3924-$10,000L4’0.90$30,0000.10L1’-$10,0000.60$30,0000.40L3’-$10,0000.80$30,0000.20L2’-$10,000• We can see that L1’ p L2’ p L4’ p L3’.• Since L1 i L1’, L2 i L2’, L3 i L3’, and L4 i L4’ , we conclude that L1 p L2 p L4 p L3.§3.1 Project selection by using utilityfunctions•Generally, the utility of the reward r i , written u(r i ), is the number q i such that the decision maker isindifferent between the following two lotteries:Most favorable outcome11- q iLeast favorable outcomer iq i • That is, u(r i ) = q i .• The definition forces u(least favorable outcome)=0and u(most favorable outcome)=1.§3.1 Project selection by using utilityfunctions•So, for our possible payoffs of $30,000, -$10,000, $0, $500, and $10,000, we have: u($30,000)=1, and u(-$10,000)=0.•From 0.90$30,0001$10,0000.10-$10,000we have u($10,000)=0.90.§3.1 Project selection by using utilityfunctions•From:0.60$30,0001$00.40-$10,0000.62$30,0001$5000.38-$10,000• From :we have u($500)=0.62.we have u($0)=0.60§3.1 Project selection by using utilityfunctions•For a given lottery L=(p1, r1; p2, r2; …; p n, r n), define the expected utility of the lottery L, written E(U for L), byi=nE(U for L)= Σ p i u(r i).i=1• Thus, in our example,E(U for L1) = 1(0.9) =0.9E(U for L2) = 0.5(1) + 0.5(0.6) = 0.8E(U for L3) = 1(0.6) =0.6E(U for L4) = 0.02(0) + 0.98(0.62)=0.6076.§3.1 Project selection by using utilityfunctions•From the example above, we can see that:E(U for L)Most favorable outcomeLi’1- E(U for L)Least favorable outcome• So, we know Li p Lj, if E(U for Li) > E(U for Lj)§3.1 Project selection by using utilityfunctions•More specifically,Li p Lj, if and only if E(U for Li) > E(U for Lj)Lj p Li, if and only if E(U for Lj) > E(U for Li)Li i Lj, if and only if E(U for Li) = E(U for Lj)Estimating an individual‘s utilityfunction•(1) We begin by assuming that the least favorable outcome (say, -$10,000) has a utility zero and the most favorable outcome (say, $30,000) has a utility one.•(2) Next we identity the number x1/2 having u(x1/2)=1/2.To determine x1/2, we ask the decision maker (DM) for the number x1/2 that makes her indifferent between:1/2$30,0001x1/21/2-$10,000 Suppose the DM states that x1/2=-$3400.Estimating an individual‘s utilityfunction•(3) Using x1/2 and the least favorable outcome (-$10,000) as the possible outcomes, we can construct a lottery that can be used to determine x1/4 (that is, u(x1/4)=1/4). The point x1/4 must be such that the DM is indifferent between1/2x1/2=-$34001x1/41/2-$10,000Suppose the DM states that x1/4=-$8000. This gives another point on the DM’s utility function.Estimating an individual‘s utilityfunction•(4) We can now use x1/2 and the most favorable outcome ($30,000) as the possible outcomes to construct a lottery that yields x3/4 with u(x3/4)=3/4. Again, the point x4/4 must be such that the DM is indifferent between1/2$30,0001x3/41/2x1/2=-$3400Suppose the DM states that x3/4= $8000. This gives one more point on the DM’s utility function.Estimating an individual‘s utilityfunction•(5) Gradually, we have a number of points:(-$10,000,0), (x1/8, 1/8), (x1/4 , 1/4), …, ($30,000, 1).•(6) The DM’s utility function can be approximated by drawing a smooth curve joining these points. (See below for the example).Chapter 3. Multiple-criteria Methods forProject Selection§3.1 Project selection by using utility functions§3.2 Project selection under multiple criteria§3.2 Project selection under multiplecriteria•In this section, we discuss the extension of utility theory to situations in which more than one attribute (criterion) affects the decision maker’s preferences and attitude toward risk.•When more than one attribute affects a decision maker’s preferences, her utility function is called a multi-attribute utility function.•In the following we restrict our discussion to multi-attribute functions with only two attributes.§3.2 Project selection under multiplecriteria•Suppose a decision maker’s preferences and attitude toward risk depend on two attributes, and letx i=level of attribute i, i=1,2.•Then,u(x1,x2)= utility associated with level x1 and x2.•How can we find a utility function u(x1,x2) such that choosing a lottery or alternative that maximizes the expected value of u(x1,x2) will yield a decision consistent with the decision maker’s preferences and attitude toward risk ?§3.2 Project selection undermultiple criteria•In general, determination of u(x1,x2) (or, in case of n attributes, determination of u(x1,x2,…, x n) is a difficult matter.•However, under certain conditions, the assessment of a utility function can be greatly simplified.§3.2.1 Properties of multi-attributeutility functions •Definition - Attribute 1 is utility independent (ui) of attribute 2 if preferences for lotteries involving different levels of attribute 1 do not depend on the level of attributes 2.§3.2.1 Properties of multi-attributeutility functions•Example - The Wivco Toy Co. is to introduce a new product (a gobot) and must determine the price to charge for each gobot. Two factors (market share and profits) will affect Wivco’s pricing decision. Let:x1 = Wivco’s market sharex2 = Wivco’s profits (million of dollars)§3.2.1 Properties of multi-attribute utilityfunctions •Suppose that Wivco is indifferentbetween: L11/230%, $20L1’11/216%, $2010%, $20• If attribute 1 (market share) is ui of attribute 2 (profit), Wivco would also be indifferent betweenL11/230%, $5L1’11/216%, $510%, $5§3.2.1 Properties of multi-attribute utilityfunctions•In short, if market share is ui of profit, then for any level of profits, a 1/2 chance at a 10% market share and a 1/2 chance at a 30% market share has a certainty equivalent of a 16% market share.§3.2.1 Properties of multi-attributeutility functions•Definition - If attribute 1 is ui of attribute 2, and attribute 2 is ui of attribute 1, then attributes 1 and 2 are mutually utility independent (mui).§3.2.1 Properties of multi-attributeutility functions•Theorem 3.2.1 -- Attributes 1 and 2 are mui if and only if the decision maker’s utility function u(x1,x2) is a multi-linear utility function of the following form:u(x1,x2)=k1u1(x1) + k2u2(x2) +k3u1(x1)u2(x2),where k1, k2 and k3 are constants andu1(x1) and u2(x2) are utility functions of x1 and x2 , respectively.§3.2.1 Properties of multi-attribute utilityfunctions•Let x 1(best) or x 2(best) be the most favorable level of attribute 1 or 2 that can occur. Also, let x 1(worst) or x 2(worst) be the least favorable level of attribute 1 or 2 that can occur.•Definition - A decision maker’s utility function exhibits additive independence if the decisionmaker is indifferent between:L11/2L21/21/21/2x 1(best), x 2(worst)x 1(worst),x 2(worst)x 1(worst),x 2(best)x 1(best), x 2(best)§3.2.1 Properties of multi-attribute utilityfunctions•Corollary 3.2.1 -- If attributes 1 and 2 are mui and the decision maker’s utility function exhibits additive independence, then k3=0 and u(x1,x2)=k1u1(x1) + k2u2(x2).§3.2.1 Properties of multi-attribute utilityfunctions •Justification:–We can scale u1(x1) and u2(x2) so that u1(x1(best))=1,u1(x1(worst))=0, u2(x2(best))=1, and u2(x2(worst))=0.–So u(x1,x2)=k1u1(x1) + k2u2(x2) + k3u1(x1)u2(x2) implies: u(x1(best), x2(best))= k1 + k2 + k3, u(x1(worst),x2(worst))=0,u(x1(best), x2(worst))= k1, u(x1(worst), x2(best))= k2.–Then additive independence implies that(1/2)(k1 + k2 + k3)+(1/2)(0)=(1/2) k1 +(1/2) k2This gives us k3 =0.§3.2.2 Assessment of multi-attributeutility functions•We have known that, if attributes 1 and 2 are mui, then u(x1,x2)=k1u1(x1) + k2u2(x2) + k3u1(x1)u2(x2).•Now the question is, how can we determine u1(x1),u2(x2), k1, k2 and k3, so as to determine u(x1,x2) ?•To find u1(x1), u2(x2), we can use the technique for assess single-attribute utility functions as introduced in §3.1.•To find k1, k2 and k3, we begin by rescaling u1(x1), u2(x2) and u(x1, x2) so thatu(x1(best), x2(best))=1, u(x1(worst), x2(worst))=0,u1(x1(best))=1, u1(x1(worst))=0,u2 (x1(best))=1, u2(x2(worst))=0.§3.2.2 Assessment of multi-attributeutility functions•Now, u(x 1, x 2)=k 1u 1(x 1) + k 2u 2(x 2) +k 3u 1(x 1)u 2(x 2) yieldsu(x 1(best), x 2(worst))= k 1(1)+ k 2(0)+ k 3(0)= k 1•Thus, k 1 can be determined from the fact that the decision maker is indifferent between L2L11- k 11x 1(worst),x 2(worst)x 1(best), x 2(worst)k 1x 1(best), x 2(best)§3.2.2 Assessment of multi-attributeutility functions•Similarly, u(x 1, x 2)=k 1u 1(x 1) + k 2u 2(x 2) + k 3u 1(x 1)u 2(x 2) yieldsu(x 1(worst), x 2(best))= k 1(0)+ k 2(1)+ k 3(0)= k 2•Thus, k 2 can be determined from the fact that the decision maker is indifferent between L2L11- k 21x 1(worst),x 2(worst)x 1(worst), x 2(best)k 2x 1(best),x 2(best)§3.2.2 Assessment of multi-attributeutility functions•To determine k 3, observeu(x 1(best), x 2(best)) = u 1(x 1(best))=u 2 (x 1(best))=1. •So, from u(x 1, x 2)=k 1u 1(x 1) + k 2u 2(x 2) + k 3u 1(x 1)u 2(x 2), we have1= u(x 1(best), x 2(best)) = k 1(1)+ k 2(1)+ k 3(1)= k 1 + k 2+ k 3•Thus, k 3= 1- k 1 - k 2•Of course, if the decision maker’s utility function exhibits additive independence, then k 3= 0.§3.2.2 Assessment of multi-attributeutility functions•The procedure to assess a multi-attribute utility function:–Step 1. Check if attributes 1 and 2 are mui. If yes, go to Step 2. (If no, see Keeney and Raiffa, DecisionMaking with Multiple Objective, Wiley, Section 5.7,1976).–Step 2. Check for additive independence.–Step 3. Assess u1(x1) and u2(x2).–Step 4. Determine k1, k2 and (if there is no additiveindependence) k3.–Step 5. Check if the assessed utility function is reallyconsistent with the decision maker’s preferences. Todo this, set up several lotteries and use the expectedutility of each lottery to rank the lotteries. If theassessed assessed utility function is consistent withthe decision maker’s preferences, the ranking underthe assessed utility function should be closelyassemble the decision maker’s ranking of lotteries.§3.2.2 Assessment of multi-attributeutility functions•Example 1a - Assume the current year is 1998. Fruit Computer Company is certain that during the next year 1999 its market share will be between 10 and 50 percent of the microcomputer market. Fruit is also sure that its profits during 1999 will be between $5 million and $30 million. Assess Fruit’s multi-attribute utility function u(x1, x2), wherex1 = Fruit’s market share during 1999x2 = Fruit’s profits during 1999 (in millions of dollars)§3.2.2 Assessment of multi-attributeutility functions•Step 1 - We begin by checking for mui. To check if attribute 1 is ui of attribute 2, we set x2 at different levels, and see whether the lottery w.r.t. x1 is affected or not. Similar experiments can be conducted to check if attribute 2 is ui of attribute 1. Assume that we have found that in this example attributes 1 and 2 are (at least approximately) mui.§3.2.2 Assessment of multi-attribute utility functions •Step 2 - To check for additive independence. We must determine if Fruit is indifferentbetweenL11/2L21/21/21/250%, $510%, $510%, $3050%, $30• Suppose that Fruit is not indifferent between these lotteries. Then Fruit’s utility function will not exhibit additive independence.• We now know that u(x 1, x 2) takes the following form: u(x 1, x 2)=k 1u 1(x 1) + k 2u 2(x 2) + k 3u 1(x 1)u 2(x 2).§3.2.2 Assessment of multi-attributeutility functions•Step 3 - We now assess u1(x1) and u2(x2). Suppose we obtain the results as shown in the following figures.。

项目管理-Project+Time+Management-2(ppt文档)

项目管理-Project+Time+Management-2(ppt文档)
Break into your groups for a few minutes and discuss the following questions preparing a response which you may be asked to present.
Question 1: One of the bullet items referenced in Motorola’s development of formal practices is the planning and tracking of resources. Besides personnel, give a realistic example of what else Motorola might track.
Engineering Planning and Project Management
Lecture 6 Project Time Management
Example from Industry – Motorola (Telecommunications Engineering)
Review the short text provided from P. 103-104 of PM Best Practices
Work Package – A deliverable at the lowest level of the work breakdown structure.
Project Network Diagram – Any schematic display of the logical relationships of project activities.
The Rules for creating Network Activity Diagrams

工程项目管理第二.ppt课件

工程项目管理第二.ppt课件

• 项目的定义
项目管理知识指南(PMBOK)将企业中各种社会经 济活动划分为两种类型:运作和项目
日常运作
项目
连续不断和重复的 临时性、一次性和
活动
独特的活动
共同点:
1.需要有人来执行;2.受到有限资源条件的 限制;3.需要施行计划、执行与控制过程
PMI:项目是为创造特定产品或服务的一项有 时限的任务。
▽面向客户、面向过程、面向变化 ▽经济发展的客观需要 ▽应用范围已经有很大的拓展
三、项目管理的历史发展
(一)我国古代的项目管理 (二)现代项目管理的发展历程 (三)现代项目管理的特点 (四)项目管理的发展趋势
(一)我国古代的项目管理
1.中国曾有辉煌的项目: 古代以宫殿、水利工程、道路、城墙、园林工程为主体。如长 城、都江堰、运河、故宫等。 这些工程的建设过程都是项目。
建设桥梁、房屋、高速公路或其它 建筑;
应用一个新的商业程序;
21世纪的社会,一切都 是项目,一切也必将成 为项目。
组织一次同学聚会;
……
• 项目的基本特征
1.临时性(一次性) 是指项目有确切的开始时间与结束时间
项目终止——项目在什么情况下终止?
美国Standish集团在1994年对 小 8 400余个项目的研究表明:
3.项目的生命周期性
启动 计划 实施 收尾
实现“时间-成本-绩效”的优化组合,是项目生 命周期不同阶段所追求的永恒目标
• 项目的基本金、时间、信息…… 任何项目都是在有限资源条件下进行的
例外
5.项目的冲突性 人员、资源、权利、权力 主导地位
项目范围的变更
项目协调和沟通
2.施工方的项目管理
质量、成本、工期和安全

《项目管理知识体系指南》第二章节风险管理

《项目管理知识体系指南》第二章节风险管理

《项目管理知识体系指南》第二章节风险管理Project risk management is an essential aspect of project management. It involves identifying, assessing, and prioritizing risks to minimize potential negative impacts on a project. 项目风险管理是项目管理的一个重要方面。

它涉及识别、评估和优先考虑风险,以最小化对项目的潜在负面影响。

The first step in project risk management is to identify potential risks. This involves brainstorming with the project team to come up with a comprehensive list of possible risks that could affect the project. 项目风险管理的第一步是识别潜在风险。

这涉及与项目团队进行头脑风暴,以得出可能影响项目的全面风险清单。

Once potential risks have been identified, the next step is to assess their likelihood and potential impact. This involves assigning a probability and severity rating to each risk to determine which ones require the most attention. 一旦确定了潜在风险,下一步是评估它们的可能性和潜在影响。

这涉及为每个风险分配概率和严重性评级,以确定哪些风险需要最多的关注。

After assessing the risks, the project team should prioritize them based on their potential impact on the project. This will help the team focus on the most critical risks and allocate resources accordingly. 在评估风险之后,项目团队应根据其对项目的潜在影响对其进行优先排序。

项目管理第二、三章

项目管理第二、三章

启动过程组
明确项目需求、确定项目目标 和范围、识别干系人等。
执行过程组
协调资源、实施项目计划、完 成项目工作等。
收尾过程组
项目验收、项目总结、项目后 评估等。
02
项目整体管理
项目整合的定义与重要性
项目整合是指将项目各个领域、阶段和 要素进行整合,形成一个协调一致、相 互支持的项目管理体系的过程。
重要性
项目成本管理对于项目的成功实施至 关重要。有效的成本管理能够确保项 目的经济效益和社会效益,提高企业 的竞争力。
制定项目预算与成本计划
制定项目预算
项目预算是项目成本管理的核心,需要根据项目需求、资源价格和市场行情等因素进行编制。预算应包括项目的 直接成本和间接成本,并留有一定的余地以应对不可预见的风险。
按时完成。
时间管理对于项目的成功至关重 要,因为按时完成项目可以降低 成本、提高客户满意度,并增强
项目团队的绩效。
时间管理有助于项目团队成员更 好地规划工作,合理安排时间,
提高工作效率。
制定项目进度计划
01
02
03
04
确定项目目标
明确项目的范围、目标和预期 成果,为制定进度计划提供基
础。
任务分解
将项目工作分解为具体的任务 ,并估算每项任务所需的时间
缺乏项目整合可能导致项目目标不明确 、资源浪费、利益相关方之间的矛盾和 冲突,以及项目成果的效益低下。
项目整合的重要性在于确保项目目标的一致 性、各利益相关方的协同工作、资源的合理 配置和有效利用,以及项目成果的整体效益 。
项目计划制定与实施
项目计划是项目整体管理的核心,包括明确项目目标、制定项目计划方案、分配资 源、制定进度计划、预算计划等。
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2–3
Projects and Strategy
• Mistakes caused by not understanding the role of projects in accomplishing strategy:
– Focusing on problems or solutions with low strategic priority. – Focusing on the immediate customer rather than the whole market place and value chain.
– Evaluating proposals
– Managing the portfolio of projects.
2–12
Portfolio of Projects by Type
FIGURE 2.2
2–13
A Portfolio Management System
• Selection Criteria
2–2
Why Project Managers Need to Understand the Strategic Management Process
• Changes in the organization’s mission and strategy
– Project managers must respond to changes with appropriate decisions about future projects and adjustments to current projects. – Project managers who understand their organization’s strategy can become effective advocates of projects aligned with the firm’s mission.
2–9
Project Portfolio Management Problems
• The Implementation Gap
– The lack of understanding and consensus on strategy among top management and middle-level (functional) managers who independently implement the strategy.
– Overemphasizing technology that results in projects that pursue exotic technology that does not fit the strategy or customer need
– Trying to solve customer issues with a product or service rather than focusing on the 20% with 80% of the value (Pareto’s Law). – Engaging in a never-ending search for perfection only the project team really cares about.
2. Set long-range goals and objectives. 3. Analyze and formulate strategies to reach objectives. 4. Implement strategies through projects
2–6
Strategic Management Process
• Positive NPV: project meets minimum desired rate
of return and is eligible for further consideration.
• Negative NPV: project is rejected.
2–16
Example Comparing Two Projects Using Payback Method
• Limitations of Payback:
– Ignores the time value of money. – Assumes cash inflows for the investment period (and not beyond). – Does not consider profitability.
• Responding to changes in the external environment—
environmental scanning
• Allocating scarce resources of the firm to improve its
competitive position—internal responses to new programs
Developing potential scenarios and assessing the impact of STEEP factors
Developing potential contingency strategies and best future strategic options
Identifying early indicators and establishing triggers for strategic action
2–15
Financial Models (cont’d)
• The Net Present Value (NPV) model
– Uses management’s minimum desired rate-of-return (discount rate) to compute the present value of all net cash inflows.
– Multiproject environment creates interdependency relationships of shared resources which results in the starting, stopping, and restarting projects.
– Use several weighted selection criteria to evaluate project proposals.
2–14
Financial Models
• The Payback Model
– Measures the time the project will take to recover the project investment. – Uses more desirable shorter paybacks. – Emphasizes cash flows, a key factor in business.
CHAPTER TWO
Organization Strategy and Project Selection
McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2011 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
Where We Are Now
2–4
The Strategic Management Process: An Overview
• ery project to be clearly linked to strategy. – Provides theme and focus of firm’s future direction.
Realistic
Time related
EXHIBIT 2.1
2–8
Scenario Planning: A Supplement to Traditional Strategic Planning
Clarifying your core business and assessing drivers of change in the industry environment
EXHIBIT 2.3a
2–17
Example Comparing Two Projects Using Net Present Value Method
2–10
Benefits of Project Portfolio Management
• Builds discipline into the project selection process. • Links project selection to strategic metrics. • Prioritizes project proposals across a common set of criteria, rather than on politics or emotion. • Allocates resources to projects that align with strategic direction. • Balances risk across all projects. • Justifies killing projects that do not support strategy. • Improves communication and supports agreement on project goals.
– Requires strong links among mission, goals, objectives, strategy, and implementation.
2–5
Strategic Management Process Activities
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