利用人工神经网络(ANN)预测变压器油中呋喃含量毕业论文外文文献翻译

利用人工神经网络(ANN)预测变压器油中呋喃含量毕业论文外文文献翻译
利用人工神经网络(ANN)预测变压器油中呋喃含量毕业论文外文文献翻译

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文献、资料中文题目:利用人工神经网络(ANN)预测变压器油中呋喃含量文献、资料英文题目:

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翻译日期: 2017.02.14

利用人工神经网络(ANN)预测变压器油中呋喃含量

阿联酋沙迦,美国沙迦大学,

摘要-在变压器中,变压器油中对油浸渍纸的老化状态评估的呋喃化合物浓度能有效的测量,呋喃含量浓度变化率对纤维素绝缘材料恶化率及其严重性的评估至关重要,这促进了变压器油中呋喃含量作为变压器状态评估及相应的资产管理的有效参数,在本文中,利用人工神经网络(ANN)对油参数和呋喃含量之间联系的研究,神经网络根据不同输入参数的组合已知纤维素纸降解相关的变压器来预测呋喃含量,这些输入参数是一氧化碳(CO)、二氧化碳(CO2),水含量,酸度,击穿电压(BDV)。四十台变压器的真实数据结果显示,提议的模型能够预测呋喃含量,平均有90%的准确性。因此,这个模型提高了油化学试验分析和溶解气体分析(DGA)效率和评估变压器固体绝缘状况的能力。

I简介

作为电力系统网络反常的结果,公用事业已通过很好的发达资产管理计划争取优化他们的经营成本。接近发达的资产管理计划,有限条件评估和可靠的电力基础设施的剩余寿命的估计方法是主要的,电力变压器在电力系统网络是最重要的部分由于其高资金成本和直接影响网络可靠性。

运行中的电力变压器常遭受某些电的、热的、机械的、环境压力

以至于严重影响它的绝缘完整。这降低了变压器在运行中的能力和它的使用周期。因此,已开发的几种状态监测与诊断的方法实现准确的变压器状态评估。最重要和最可靠的监测技术是绝缘监测方法。这是因为变压器运行可靠性主要依靠它的绝缘系统去承受外部和内部压力的能力。此外,电力变压器剩余的使用期限等于它的纤维素纸绝缘的使用期限。因此,高效的变压器生存管理是通过接近可靠的诊断和它的纸绝缘状态评估来实现的。

浸过油的纤维素分解由于三个主要机制:水解,氧化降解(高温分解机制),热降解【1-3】。在变压器油中,通过加速老化试验和实地观察已经提出了若干参数来评估退化纤维素绝缘纸,如拉伸强度,聚合程度(DP)和呋喃含量。

变压器中呋喃含量浓度能有希望间接测量变压器纸绝缘老化。呋喃含量的测量包括测量变压器油中溶解的5个糠醛,其稳定性不同。糠醛有2-呋喃甲醛,5-羟甲基-2-呋喃甲醛,2—糠辑酸,呋喃甲醇,5-甲基-2-呋喃甲醛和2-乙酰基呋喃化合物组成。2-呋喃甲醛是最稳定的测量化合物;然而,除2-呋喃甲醛之外的所有的呋喃化合物检测绝缘油可达140℃

在实用程序,呋喃含量作为降解测量变压器固体绝缘中得到广泛接受,因为它是更实际的在线油采样,而不需要有一个变压器停电。变压器油中的呋喃含量的优势,油品质量测量和溶解气体分析,在变压器固体绝缘诊断方面。变压器油中糠醛含量和聚合度之间的直接关系已经发现在支持呋喃含量的有效性纤维素纸作为间接监测技术理想

实验中[2].评估电力变压器固体绝缘材料聚合度和糠醛之间的联系已被发现[3].糠醛的增加已经联系到拉伸强度的减少;然而,进一步的工作是需要正式这种关系[4]。

测量呋喃含量作为变压器状态评估和其生命周期的估计一种高效和实用工具已被调查。在一个巨大的矿物油浸式变压器群里中实施一项大规模调查,解释某些变压器油中呋喃含量浓度的临界值,表示变压器从正常到故障的工作状态[5]。余下的变压器寿命以变压器群体分布为基础使用统计方法来计算。另外,同意被提议的呋喃含量与纤维素纸水分含量有关[1].研究证明,在变压器油中总的呋喃浓度是对纸退化的一个更可靠的指示比每个特别的呋喃。尽管每个特别的呋喃化合物可以在溶解气体分析中说明不同类型的故障和严重程度[6]。一个全面的诊断方法是根据变压器内部气体和油的质量参数和糠醛,以及与关联糠醛与聚合程度之间的统计相关性[6]。趋势分析[7]利用DGA 的糠醛诊断变压器老化之间的相关性。

人工神经网络已经提出了糠醛作为突出的投入使用,以评估电力变压器老化。

电力变压器相对老化程度(RAD)计算使用纸和油的质量参数,如糠醛,一氧化碳(CO)浓度,界面张力和酸度作为输入[8].后来研究提出三个输入,它们是CO浓度,CO2浓度和糠醛,自它们是纸老化的产物【9】。然而,这些方法在利用中几乎不考虑成本效益,这是因为有呋喃含量作为输入模型相当的增加了模型成本,在本文中利用人工神经网络变压器油中呋喃含量的预测模型已经成熟,这个使用模型在

研究中利用油分解电压,含水量,酸度和CO,CO2的浓度作为输入模型。比较而言,在花费方面,获得这些参数不认为是一个大的负担;因此,在这研究中被提议的模型在实践中能有效的实施.

II材料和方法

A.变压器单元

在研究中使用的四十台变压器属于阿布扎比传输和迪斯派奇公司(特兰斯科)在模型中使用的培训和测试数据收集从变压器额定电压220/33千伏,132/11千伏,380/15千伏和33/11千伏及不同年龄的变压器的维修记录。在测试变压器所用的油是矿物环烷油。

B.油化学试验,溶解气体和呋喃含量

击穿电压是一个变压器油中杂质的测量,如氧化和水含量。根据IEC60156方法进行介电强度耐压试验。纤维素老化过程是在变压器油中的含水量增加的主要来源之一。在变压器油中,这介绍在油击穿电压和呋喃含量之间的关系。由于纸和油降解产生水。它减少了介电强度,绝缘材料加速老化过程中形成的高应力区域。因此,水,既促进又造成绝缘纸降解[1]化学实验室使用IEC60814方法测定含水量。变压器油中的酸性,有助于促进水解纤维素纸绝缘纸降解。这个过程最终产生葡萄糖变为变压器油呋喃的化合物。酸度是化学实验室根据ASTM D974衡量标准

CO和CO2浓度是通过进行溶解气体分析来测量的。超过一定阈值的一氧化碳和二氧化碳高浓度气体的存在是一个热降解纤维素纸的指示。因此,在实用工具中,CO2/CO比作为检测变压器纸绝缘故障的

变压器油中的呋喃含量利用人工神经网络预测通过呋喃含量与油参数的关联绝缘纸降解的作用。在本文中,三种不同方案研究依靠人工神经网络输入特征矢量。在第一个方案中输入产品是CO和CO2。油质量测试,第二种方案是以击穿电压,含水量和酸度为输入产品,第三种方案输入产品是第一二种的组合,因此第三种方案输入是CO,CO2,击穿电压,含水量和酸度。

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人工神经网络的发展及应用

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