金价重返1210 聚焦美联储耶伦讲话
美联储:耶伦讲话

Transcript of Chair Yellen’s FOMC Press Conference Opening Statement March 18, 2015 CHAIR YELLEN. Good afternoon. As you know, the Federal Open Market Committee this afternoon reaffirmed the current 0 to 1/4 percent target range for the federal funds rate. We also updated our forward guidance, indicating that an increase in the target range for the federal funds rate remains unlikely at our next meeting in April. With continued improvement in economic conditions, however, we do not want to rule out the possibility that an increase in the target range could be warranted at subsequent meetings. Let me emphasize, however, that the timing of the initial increase in the target range will depend on the Committee’s assessment of incoming information. Today’s mo dification of our guidance should not be interpreted to mean that we have decided on the timing of that increase. In other words, just because we removed the word “patient” from the statement doesn’t mean we are going to be impatient. Moreover, even after the initial increase in the target funds rate, our policy is likely to remain highly accommodative to support continued progress toward our objectives of maximum employment and 2 percent inflation. I will come back to today’s policy decisions in a few mome nts, but first I would like to review economic developments and the outlook, which formed the basis for our policy decisions.We have seen continued progress toward our objective of maximum employment. The pace of employment growth has remained strong, with job gains averaging nearly 290,000 per month over the past three months. The unemployment rate was 5.5 percent in February; that’s three-tenths lower than the latest reading available at the time of our December meeting. Broader measures of job market conditions—such as those counting individuals who want and are available to work but have not actively searched recently and people who are working part time but would rather work full time—have shown similar improvement. As we noted in our statement, slack in the labor market continues to diminish. Meanwhile, the labor force participation rate—the percentage of working-age Americans either working or seeking work—is lower than most estimates of its trend and wage growth remains sluggish, suggesting that some cyclical weakness persists. So considerable progress clearly has been achieved, but room for further improvement in the labor market continues.(以上海北负责)We continue to expect sufficient underlying strength in economic growth to support ongoing improvement in the labor market. After averaging about 2-1/2 percent over 2014, growth of real gross domestic product appears to have slowed in the first quarter of this year, in part reflecting a moderation in household spending. In addition, the recovery in the housing sector remains subdued and export growth looks to have weakened. Looking ahead, however, the Committee continues to expect a moderate pace of GDP growth, with robust job gains and lower energy prices supporting household spending.Inflation has declined further below our longer-run objective, largely reflecting the lower energy prices I just mentioned. Declining import prices have also restrained inflation and, in light of the recent appreciation of the dollar, will likely continue to do so in the months ahead. My colleagues and I continue to expect that as the effects of these transitory factors dissipate and as the labor market improves further, inflation will move gradually back toward our 2 percent objective over the medium term. In making this forecast, we are attentive to the low levels of market-based measures of inflation compensation. In contrast, survey-based measures of longer-term inflation expectations have remained stable. The Committee will continue to monitor inflation developments carefully.This assessment of the outlook is reflected in the individual economic projections submitted for this meeting by the FOMC participants. As always, each participant’s projections are conditioned on his or her own view of appropriate monetary policy. The unemployment rate projections over the next few years and in the longer run are generally a bit lower than the December projections. At the end of this year, the central tendency for the unemployment rate stands at 5.0 to 5.2 percent, in line with participants’ estimates of the longer-run normal unemployment rate. Committee participants generally see the unemployment rate declining a little further over the course of 2016 and 2017. For economic growth, participants generally reduced their projections since December, with many citing a weaker outlook for net exports. Nonetheless, the central tendency of the growth projections for this year and next, at 2.3 to 2.7 percent, remains somewhat above estimates of the longer-run normal growth rate. Finally, FOMC participants project inflation to be quite low this year, largely reflecting lower energy and import prices. The central tendency of the inflation projections for this year is now below 1 percent, down noticeably since December. As the transitory factors holding down inflation abate, the central tendency rebounds to 1.7 to 1.9 percent next year and rises to 1.9 to 2.0 percent in 2017.(以上海东负责)Returning to monetary policy, as I noted at the outset, the Committee reaffirmed its view that the current 0 to 1/4 percent target range for the federal funds rate remains appropriate. But with economic conditions improving, and with further improvement expected in the months ahead, we have again modified our forward guidance. In December and January, the Committee judged that it could be patient in beginning to normalize the stance of monetary policy. That meant that we considered it unlikely that economic conditions would warrant an increase in the target range for the federal funds rate for at least the next couple of FOMC meetings. While it is still the case that we consider it unlikely that economic conditions will warrant an increase in the target range at the April meeting, such an increase could be warranted at any later meeting, depending on how the economy evolves.回到货币政策,就像我说的一样,委员会重申自己的观点,认为目前0至0.25%的联邦基准利率仍然是合适的。
美联储耶伦讲话稿

For release on delivery10:00 a.m. EDTJuly 15, 2014Statement byJanet L. YellenChairBoard of Governors of the Federal Reserve Systembefore theCommittee on Banking, Housing, and Urban AffairsU.S. SenateJuly 15, 2014Chairman Johnson, Ranking Member Crapo, and members of the Committee, I am pleased to present the Federal Reserve’s semiannual Monetary Policy Report to the Congress. In my remarks today, I will discuss the current economic situation and outlook before turning to monetary policy. I will conclude with a few words about financial stability.Current Economic Situation and OutlookThe economy is continuing to make progress toward the Federal Reserve’s objectives of maximum employment and price stability.In the labor market, gains in total nonfarm payroll employment averaged about 230,000 per month over the first half of this year, a somewhat stronger pace than in 2013 and enough to bring the total increase in jobs during the economic recovery thus far to more than 9 million. The unemployment rate has fallen nearly 1-1/2 percentage points over the past year and stood at 6.1 percent in June, down about 4 percentage points from its peak. Broader measures of labor utilization have also registered notable improvements over the past year.Real gross domestic product (GDP) is estimated to have declined sharply in the first quarter. The decline appears to have resulted mostly from transitory factors, and a number of recent indicators of production and spending suggest that growth rebounded in the second quarter, but this bears close watching. The housing sector, however, has shown little recent progress. While this sector has recovered notably from its earlier trough, housing activity leveled off in the wake of last year’s increase in mortgage rates, and readings this year have, overall, continued to be disappointing.Although the economy continues to improve, the recovery is not yet complete. Even with the recent declines, the unemployment rate remains above Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) participants’ estimates of its longer-run normal level. Labor force participation appears weaker than one would expect based on the aging of the population and the level ofunemployment. These and other indications that significant slack remains in labor markets are corroborated by the continued slow pace of growth in most measures of hourly compensation.Inflation has moved up in recent months but remains below the FOMC’s 2 percent objective for inflation over the longer run. The personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index increased 1.8 percent over the 12 months through May. Pressures on food and energy prices account for some of the increase in PCE price inflation. Core inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, rose 1.5 percent. Most Committee participants project that both total and core inflation will be between 1-1/2 and 1-3/4 percent for this year as a whole.Although the decline in GDP in the first quarter led to some downgrading of our growth projections for this year, I and other FOMC participants continue to anticipate that economic activity will expand at a moderate pace over the next several years, supported by accommodative monetary policy, a waning drag from fiscal policy, the lagged effects of higher home prices and equity values, and strengthening foreign growth. The Committee sees the projected pace of economic growth as sufficient to support ongoing improvement in the labor market with further job gains, and the unemployment rate is anticipated to continue to decline toward its longer-run sustainable level. Consistent with the anticipated further recovery in the labor market, and given that longer-term inflation expectations appear to be well anchored, we expect inflation to move back toward our 2 percent objective over coming years.As always, considerable uncertainty surrounds our projections for economic growth, unemployment, and inflation. FOMC participants currently judge these risks to be nearly balanced but to warrant monitoring in the months ahead.Monetary PolicyI will now turn to monetary policy. The FOMC is committed to policies that promote maximum employment and price stability, consistent with our dual mandate from the Congress.Given the economic situation that I just described, we judge that a high degree of monetary policy accommodation remains appropriate. Consistent with that assessment, we have maintained the target range for the federal funds rate at 0 to 1/4 percent and have continued to rely on large-scale asset purchases and forward guidance about the future path of the federal funds rate to provide the appropriate level of support for the economy.In light of the cumulative progress toward maximum employment that has occurred since the inception of the Federal Reserve’s asset purchase program in September 2012 and the FOMC’s assessment that labor market conditions would continue to improve, the Committee has made measured reductions in the monthly pace of our asset purchases at each of our regular meetings this year. If incoming data continue to support our expectation of ongoing improvement in labor market conditions and inflation moving back toward 2 percent, the Committee likely will make further measured reductions in the pace of asset purchases at upcoming meetings, with purchases concluding after the October meeting. Even after the Committee ends these purchases, the Federal Reserve’s sizable holdings of longer-term securities will help maintain accommodative financial conditions, thus supporting further progress in returning employment and inflation to mandate-consistent levels.The Committee is also fostering accommodative financial conditions through forward guidance that provides greater clarity about our policy outlook and expectations for the future path of the federal funds rate. Since March, our postmeeting statements have included a description of the framework that is guiding our monetary policy decisions. Specifically, our decisions are and will be based on an assessment of the progress--both realized and expected--toward our objectives of maximum employment and 2 percent inflation. Our evaluation will not hinge on one or two factors, but rather will take into account a wide range of information,including measures of labor market conditions, indicators of inflation and long-term inflation expectations, and readings on financial developments.Based on its assessment of these factors, in June the Committee reiterated its expectation that the current target range for the federal funds rate likely will be appropriate for a considerable period after the asset purchase program ends, especially if projected inflation continues to run below the Committee’s 2 percent longer-run goal and provided that inflation expectations remain well anchored. In addition, we currently anticipate that even after employment and inflation are near mandate-consistent levels, economic conditions may, for some time, warrant keeping the federal funds rate below levels that the Committee views as normal in the longer run.Of course, the outlook for the economy and financial markets is never certain, and now is no exception. Therefore, the Committee’s decisions about the path of the federal funds rate remain dependent on our assessment of incoming information and the implications for the economic outlook. If the labor market continues to improve more quickly than anticipated by the Committee, resulting in faster convergence toward our dual objectives, then increases in the federal funds rate target likely would occur sooner and be more rapid than currently envisioned. Conversely, if economic performance is disappointing, then the future path of interest rates likely would be more accommodative than currently anticipated.The Committee remains confident that it has the tools it needs to raise short-term interest rates when the time is right and to achieve the desired level of short-term interest rates thereafter, even with the Federal Reserve’s elevated balance sheet. At our meetings this spring, we have been constructively working through the many issues associated with the eventual normalization of the stance and conduct of monetary policy. These ongoing discussions are a matter of prudent planning and do not imply any imminent change in the stance of monetary policy. TheCommittee will continue its discussions in upcoming meetings, and we expect to provide additional information later this year.Financial StabilityThe Committee recognizes that low interest rates may provide incentives for some investors to “reach for yield,” and those actions could increase vulnerabilities in the financial system to adverse events. While prices of real estate, equities, and corporate bonds have risen appreciably and valuation metrics have increased, they remain generally in line with historical norms. In some sectors, such as lower-rated corporate debt, valuations appear stretched and issuance has been brisk. Accordingly, we are closely monitoring developments in the leveraged loan market and are working to enhance the effectiveness of our supervisory guidance. More broadly, the financial sector has continued to become more resilient, as banks have continued to boost their capital and liquidity positions, and growth in wholesale short-term funding in financial markets has been modest.SummaryIn sum, since the February Monetary Policy Report, further important progress has been made in restoring the economy to health and in strengthening the financial system. Yet too many Americans remain unemployed, inflation remains below our longer-run objective, and not all of the necessary financial reform initiatives have been completed. The Federal Reserve remains committed to employing all of its resources and tools to achieve its macroeconomic objectives and to foster a stronger and more resilient financial system.Thank you. I would be pleased to take your questions.。
【现货黄金交易】现货黄金结束连跌,因耶伦讲话稿措辞仍偏宽松

【现货黄金交易】现货黄金结束连跌,因耶伦讲话稿措辞仍偏宽松
现货黄金价格周三(11月13日)收涨,受助于美元下跌和金价下跌至近一个月低位后吸引低吸买盘,金价因此结束四天连跌的颓势。
周三当天美国没有重大的经济数据公布,黄金投资者静待美联储决策者讲话。
在美联储候任主席耶伦(Janet Yellen)的讲稿提前得到透露,显示了她对未来政策前景仍偏向宽松的预期后,黄金在盘末加速走高。
此后,美联储主席伯南克(Ben S. Bernanke)将在美东时间晚上7时(北京时间周四上午8时)发表演说,并料将透露美联储刺激计划还将维持多久的相关线索。
之前其他几位美联储官员对缩减购债计划发表意见分歧的言论。
黄金此前在周二(11月12日)下跌1%,在过去四日累计下滑约4%。
周三,现货金涨1.1%,报每盎司1281.49美元。
美国12月期金表现逊于现货金,下跌2.80美元,报每盎司1268.30美元。
现货银跌1.1%,报每盎司20.48美元。
现货铂金下滑0.4%,报每盎司1424.20美元。
现货钯金回落1.3%,报每盎司727.97美元。
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张津镭:耶伦听证会使金银走向何方

张津镭:耶伦听证会使金银走向何方宏观分析:现货黄金日内延续昨日震荡上行走势,早间开盘1282美金/盎司,小幅下探下方1280美金/盎司后反弹上行,上方最高触及1288美金/盎司后回调,目前处于1284美金/盎司附近盘整。
笔者提示投资朋友,晚间可重点关注23时美国参议院金融委员会就提名耶伦担任美联储主席举行听证会。
今天是重要消息扎堆的一天。
从亚洲时段早盘的日本第三季度GDP数据、美联储主席伯南克讲话,再到欧美时段的法德及欧元区第三季度GDP数据、美国9月贸易帐,一系列的风险事件本已足够吸引眼球。
而最终,市场今晚最后的目光无疑将集中在北京时间23:00举行的耶伦国会听证会之上。
美联储副主席耶伦即将在11月14日出席国会参议院金融委员会的听证会,美国EdwardJones&Co投资策略师沃恩就此表示,所有人都希望耶伦就美联储何时开始缩减量化宽松(QE)政策给出暗示,但她可能会在美国经济和美联储政策的看法上表现得相当克制。
沃恩就此表示,无论耶伦在参议院听证会上做出何种表态,市场可能都会做出反应。
该策略师认为,所有人都希望耶伦就美联储何时开始缩减量化宽松(QE)政策给出暗示,但她可能会在美国经济和美联储政策的看法上表现得相当克制。
外媒11月13日公布的讲稿显示,美联储副主席耶伦并未在为参议院金融委员会听证会准备的讲稿中过多提及货币政策看法,仅将注意力放在经济增长和金融监管上,并称通胀率料将在一段时期内低于美联储2%的通胀目标。
现货黄金(伦敦金):技术面:现货黄金周线上呈盘整整理走势,波幅逐渐缩小,短周期均线密集纠缠于布林带中轨1328美金/盎司附近,附图MACD于0轴下方金叉上行,红柱缩减,动能较弱,中线依然看盘整。
日线上布林带平行缩口运行,金价于布林带上下轨1254-1361美金/盎司之间来回震荡,短周期均线指标目前于布林带中轨附近死叉下行,有向下发散迹象,中线周期均线指标于布林带中轨附近粘合,附图MACD于0轴附近死叉下行,绿柱持续放量,动能中性,短线有反弹迹象,不过空头持续。
【汉声金业】黄金突破1290大喜过望 今晚美联储这一态度很重要!

【汉声金业】黄金突破1290大喜过望今晚美联储这一态度很重要!国际现货黄金周三(11月2日)亚市盘初再度上探1290美元/盎司,在隔夜触及的一个月高位附近持稳。
周二(11月1日)尽管美国制造业数据表现强劲,但对美国大选结果的忧虑引发股市下挫,美元走低,投资者寻求在贵金属中避险。
金价周二纽约时段一度上扬逾1%,并刷新1291.93美元/盎司的近一个月高位,白银价格更是暴涨近3%,最高触及18.49美元/盎司。
周三市场将迎来美联储11月利率决议,投资者料密切关注其政策声明是否包含对12月加息的暗示,另外美国ADP就业数据也是可关注的重点。
美国方面周二公布的数据显示,美国供应管理协会(ISM)公布数据显示,10月制造业采购经理人指数(PMI)为51.9,预估为51.7,9月为51.5。
同时,美国10月Markit制造业采购经理人指数(PMI)升至2015年10月以来最高。
然而,尽管隔夜公布的经济数据靓丽,但美国联邦调查局(FBI)重启希拉里“邮件门”调查的消息,扶助反映投资者恐惧程度的市场波动率指数上升至七周高位,引发普遍的避险情绪。
美元指数周二兑一篮子货币重挫逾0.5%至97.70,美国国债收益率下滑,美股标普500指数自7月7日以来首次跌破2100点,跌幅1.24%,道琼斯指数则跌破18000点整数位心理关口。
不过,现货黄金当天则一度大涨逾1%,并触及1291.93美元/盎司的近一个月高位。
其他贵金属方面,周二现货白银暴涨近3%,触及18.49美元/盎司的近一个月高位;现货铂金升1.5%,盘中触及一个月高位1000美元;现货钯金上扬2.4%至633.50美元/盎司。
根据最新的民调显示,自上周初以来,希拉里对特朗普的领先优势小幅收窄。
ABC/WaPo民调显示,特朗普以46%的支持率领先希拉里的45%,该调查时在10月27日至10月30日进行的,覆盖了10月29日,FBI宣布重启希拉里“邮件门”调查这段时期。
【汉声金业】美国12月加息板上钉钉?黄金低位盘整静待耶伦开腔

【汉声金业】美国12月加息板上钉钉?黄金低位盘整静待耶伦开腔国际现货黄金周四(11月17日)亚市盘初微幅反弹,但仍处在1230美元/盎司水平下方。
周三(11月16日)由于美联储多位官员均发表鹰派言论,市场对12月预期也接近达到100%金价,美元指数在突破100大关口进一步上扬,并攀升至14年高位,金价当天则承压回落,但整体呈窄幅震荡格局。
周四除了要关注美国通胀数据之外,美联储主席耶伦的讲话自然是投资者关注的重点,他们希望能听到女王对12月加息和特朗普当选总统的看法。
美联储周三公布的数据显示,美国10月工厂产出连续第二个月攀升。
周二美国发布的一份报告显示,10月零售销售月率上升0.8%,升幅超过市场预期的0.6%;9月零售销售月率升幅向上修正为1%,创下2014年以来最大连续两月升幅。
受到良好经济数据的提振,目前投资者对于美联储12月份的加息预期激增为94%。
周三美元指数扩大升势,并刷新100.57的14年新高;现货黄金纽约时段小幅走低,盘中最低触及1221美元/盎司,但整体在1220-1230美元间窄幅震荡。
由于美债收益率急升和风险胃纳膨胀,金价从上周三美国大选后触及的高位已经回落了逾100美元。
(黄金30分钟来源:FX168财经网)VanEck International Investors Gold Fund资产组合经理和策略师Joe Foster称,“金价在1200美元之上进行盘整,虽然美元走高,但金价变化不大,对我来说这是筑底和盘整的表现。
”不过,未来金价预计还将从美国即将升息中感到压力,美联储预计将于下月进行近10年来的第二次升息。
美国圣路易斯联储主席布拉德周三称,美联储12月不加息的唯一原因就是发生重大冲击,比如全球市场的普遍动荡,或是美国就业数据糟糕;费城联储主席哈克(Patrick Harker)也表示,青睐12月加息25个基点。
另外,近期投资者对黄金投资依旧冷淡,全球最大黄金支持上市交易基金SPDR Gold Shares 周二持金量跌至四个半月低位。
大象贵金属解读美国通胀数据 金银回落如何应对

大象贵金属解读美国通胀数据金银回落如何应对?周三金银下跌,黄金结束连续8个交易日的上涨。
大象贵金属了解到,美国通胀数据同比涨幅超过2%,以及美联储主席耶伦表示美联储将在今年数次加息的言论导致美元指数触底反弹,金银回落。
金银短期头部或以成型,不过还需要跌破上升趋势线予以确认。
如果金银的走势与预判一样的话,金银应该将进入短下阶段,是否会形成中下,取决于美元指数的反弹高度。
当然在金银没有跌破上升趋势线之前还不能过度的看空。
美国经济数据方面,美国12月季调后消费者物价指数(CPI)同比增幅达到2014年6月以来最大,表明通胀压力依然没有见底,美联储可能会快于预期进行加息。
12月CPI年率上升2.1%,为2014年6月以来最大。
12月份核心CPI同比上升2.2%。
特别是美国CPI数据,应该是近几年首次达到2%的阈值。
美联储主席耶伦今日凌晨表示称,美联储接近达成双重目标;通胀目前低于2%但正朝着美联储的目标迈进,就业市场仍有改善的余地;大象贵金属预计这一年内将会有数次加息,这取决于经济走势,若退出加息过久将会拖累经济;但低迷的生产率也不支持大幅加息。
耶伦称,美联储12月加息反映出对美国经济将继续改善的信心,预计失业率在4.75%就相当于充分就业;逐步减少货币政策的支撑是合理的。
耶伦的表态偏鹰派。
美联储周三发布的褐皮书指出,制造业好转,劳动力紧俏,物价压力上升。
美国大部分地区的经济继续温和扩张。
褐皮书显示美国经济增长良好,这也符合美联储对于美国经济的看法,如果一切正常运转,美联储将在今年数次加息。
大象贵金属从技术面上看,金银将短期回落,金价需要有效跌破1200美元这一上升趋势线下轨支撑予以确认。
黄金4小时MACD指标再度出现顶背离,这也是我们昨日选择做空的重要理由。
黄金反弹阻力1208-1210美元,支撑1200美元,跌破1200美元下一重要支撑在1193美元。
白银短期阻力在17.15美元,支撑在17美元,有效跌破17美元下看16.85美元。
耶伦的经济政策观点

耶伦的经济政策观点——现代供给侧经济学用耶伦的话说,现代供给侧经济学旨在“通过增加劳动力供应、提高生产率、减少不平等和环境破坏来促进经济增长”。
这是美国财政部长珍妮特·耶伦(Janet L. Yellen)在斯坦福经济政策研究所2022年经济峰会上的讲话。
现代供给侧经济学旨在通过提高生产力的投资和促进劳动力供应的政策来扩大我们国家的经济潜力。
就总生产函数而言,这种方法通过更深层次的有形资本(包括公共资本和私人资本)提高劳动生产率;更高的人力资本;以及科学技术的进步。
此外,基于税收的激励措施和亲家庭的劳动政策旨在提高劳动力参与率。
相比之下,传统的供给侧经济学主要侧重于通过降低资本使用成本的政策来增加私人资本存量,主要是通过减税投资。
除了关注更广泛的生产要素外,现代供给侧经济学还关注跨部门、跨人员和跨地方的投资分配。
在传统方法下,降低资本使用成本的减税通常首先使资本所有者受益;如果这些削减导致更广泛的投资,那么这些好处就会更广泛地传播——这是一个有争议的假设。
尽管去年面临金融环境收紧和全球经济不确定性加剧,但美国金融体系仍然具有弹性。
美国银行体系整体健全,拥有强大的资本和流动性状况。
——更高的利率对国家有利这位前美联储主席表示,总统的计划每年将总额约为4000亿美元,她认为这一支出水平不足以造成通胀超支。
“如果我们最终的利率环境略高,这实际上对社会观点和美联储的观点来说都是一个加分项,”耶伦告诉彭博社。
“十年来,我们一直在与过低的通货膨胀和过低的利率作斗争,”她说。
她补充说,如果这些一揽子计划有助于“缓解问题,那么这不是一件坏事——这是一件好事。
——有弹性的消费者阻止了经济衰退出人意料的有弹性的美国消费者阻止了经济衰退——现在美联储可以在更长时间内保持较高的利率。
美国财政部长珍妮特·耶伦(Janet Yellen)表示,尽管有经济衰退预测,但美国经济“已被证明比预期更具弹性”,并表示希望该国能够在保持劳动力市场强劲的同时降低通胀。
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金价重返1210 聚焦美联储耶伦讲话
周四(5月21日)亚市盘初,金价徘徊在1210美元附近。
隔夜因美联储4月会议纪要基本排除了6月加息的可能性,美元缩减涨幅,提振金价一度攀升至1213.36美元/盎司日高。
目前市场已将焦点转向周四晚间公布的一连串美国经济数据,当然最受瞩目的还是周五美联储主席耶伦的讲话。
美联储纪要排除6月加息可能
美联储(Fed)周三(5月20日)发布的4月会议记录显示,多位联储官员在4月会议上认为,6月升息的时机可能不成熟,通胀上升被就业市场状况转弱,以及数据走疲所抵消。
纪要公布后,现货金价曾一度攀升0.5%,刷新1213.36美元/盎司日高,但涨幅受美元指数延续反弹走势而遭到抑制,最终小幅收高在1211.06美元/盎司。
会议记录显示,多位与会委员认为,6月获得的数据可能不足以证明升息的条件已经满足。
不过,多数与会委员预计,美国经济成长在首季大幅放缓后将加速,就业市场状况将改善。
但联储官员还对很多问题表示了担忧,其中包括油价下跌对消费者支出的提振不及他们希望的大。
联储官员还提到了对中国和希腊经济状况的忧虑。
会议记录与联储的4月政策声明基本一致,声明称经济表现疲弱,但称成长放缓部分是因一些临时性因素所致。
周五耶伦讲话备受瞩目
眼下投资者已将目光转移至周四晚间公布的一连串美国经济数据,包括上周初请失业金以及4月成屋销售等数据都将成为关注重点。
此外,周五(5月22日)美联储主席耶伦(Jannet Yellen)讲话也备受瞩目,投资者将关注她是否认为情势仍在轨道上,或者承认最新一系列美国经济数据疲弱。
美联储主席耶伦将于北京时间周六凌晨1点,在一场商业经济前景午宴上发表讲话,预计她不会回答提问,只是宣读演讲稿。
LPL Financia经济学家兼策略师John Canally表示,美联储今年加息是孤注一掷,我认为耶伦会就加息同经济数据相关一说“喋喋不休”。
自从美联储4月会议之后,市场对于美联储将在9月份加息的预期延后,更有可能是在明年1月份。
不过,在周二美国新屋开工和营建许可数据回暖之后,9月份加息的预期重燃。
Amherst Pierpont Securities首席经济学家Stephen Stanley表示:“我认为,一切的关键在于,每个人都在试图寻找美联储何时收紧货币政策的节奏。
”。