中俄能源合作现状研究及对策

Contents

摘要................................................................................................................. I Abstract .............................................................................................................V Chapter 1 Introduction . (1)

1.1 The research background, purpose and significance (1)

1.1.1 Research Background (1)

1.1.2 The research purpose and significance (4)

1.2 A review of research at home and abroad (5)

1.2.1 The foreign research situation (5)

1.2.2 The review of the literature (9)

1.3 Research methods and technical route (9)

1.3.1 The main research contents of the paper (9)

1.3.2 The main research method of this paper (10)

1.3.3 The main framework of this thesis (10)

1.4 The definition and related concepts of energy cooperation (11)

1.4.1 Energy meaning (11)

1.4.2 Energy classification (12)

1.5 Basic theories (12)

1.5.1 Comparative advantage trade theory (12)

1.5.2 Factor endowment theory (13)

1.5.3 The theory of regional integration (13)

1.5.4 The institutional cooperation theory (14)

1.6 Summary (15)

Chapter 2 Present situation of Sino-Russian energy cooperation (16)

2.1 China's energy situation (16)

2.1.1 Energy production and supply (16)

2.1.2 Energy consumption structure (20)

2.2 Russia’s energy situation (22)

2.2.1 Russia’s energy production and supply (22)

2.2.2 Russia's energy consumption structure (25)

2.2.3 Brief summary (27)

2.3 The status of petroleum energy cooperation (27)

2.3.1 Established facilities of oil energy cooperation (27)

2.3.2 The status of oil energy cooperation (28)

2.4 The present situation of natural gas cooperation (29)

2.5 The present situation of coal energy cooperation (31)

2.6 The present situation of nuclear energy cooperation (33)

2.7 Summary (36)

Chapter 3 Empirical analysis of influence of Sino- Russian energy cooperation on the economic growth of both countries (37)

3.1 Quantitative analysis (37)

3.1.1 Theoretical basis of VAR model (37)

3.2 Establishment of empirical model (38)

3.2.1 The indexes of energy cooperation (38)

3.2.2 Variable selection (41)

3.2.3 Establishment of the model (42)

3.2.4 The analysis of comparison results (42)

3.3 Summary (46)

Chapter 4 The problems of Sino Russian energy cooperation (47)

4.1 Domestic constraints in Russia (47)

4.1.1 The difficulty of implement the commitments by Russia in energy

cooperation (47)

4.1.2 Russian environment for foreign investment need to be improved (48)

4.2 Domestic constraints in China (50)

4.2.1 The low status of China in the international oil market (50)

4.2.2 The lack of effective coordination and management mechanism in

energy field (51)

4.2.3 The problems of nuclear energy cooperation between two countries . 54 4.3 The constraints in the world market (57)

4.3.1 Energy competition in Asian region is hinder Sino Russian cooperation

(57)

4.3.2 The large price divergence in energy cooperation (59)

4.3.3 Facing intense external competition (62)

4.4 Summary (62)

Chapter 5 The countermeasures and suggestions to strengthen Sino-Russian energy cooperation (64)

5.1 The countermeasures and suggestions for Russia (64)

5.1.1 To develop the domestic energy cooperation implementation

mechanism (64)

5.1.2 To improve the foreign investment environment by Russian

government (65)

5.2 The countermeasures and suggestions for China (65)

5.2.1 Intensify the development of shale gas energy (65)

5.2.2 To develop coordination mechanism of energy cooperation with Russia

(67)

5.2.3 The develop of coal energy cooperation (70)

5.3 The proposals of Sino-Russian energy cooperation (71)

5.3.1 To intensify the implementation of the construction of the

Sino-Russian energy channels (71)

5.3.2 To establish the mechanisms for price negotiations for energy

cooperation (72)

5.3.3 To develop the bilateral and multilateral energy diplomacy based on

the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (75)

5.3.4 Correctly handle the bilateral interests of Russia and China (77)

5.3.5 To deepen strategic cooperation in energy field (79)

5.4 Summary (81)

Conclusions (82)

References (84)

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Acknowledgments (89)

Chapter 1 Introduction

1.1 The research background, purpose and significance

1.1.1 Research Background

Today, China is one of the fastest growing countries in the world that impresses everyone with its rapid economic growth. China has played a tremendous role in the world economy. As for purchasing power, we can trace that goods produced in China that are in great demand. The economic system in this country is enormously big and complicated. Moreover, Chinese economic system continues to evolve its magnitude increases.

New Year's Eve, HSBC bank released a study. According to it in 2013, the leader of the global economic development became China. According to the bank forecasts that U.S. economic growth is less than 2%, the Eurozone negative growth is 0.2%. Russia showed GDP growth by only 2.5%, Brazil - 3%, India - 5.7% , but Chinese GDP growth was 8.6%. The time has proved that this is a fact, and there is no doubt that the close cooperation with China has undeniable benefits for Russia[1].

The partnership between Russia and China is an important issue in the political debate about the priorities and perspectives of Russian foreign policy and directions of economic development of the country. The special relevance of this issue has become, when in April 1996, the government o f Russia adopted the “Joint Declaration about the basic principles of relations between the People's Republic of China and the Russian Federation". This document was first officially announced equitable trust partnership focused on strategic interaction in the twenty-first century. According to the Chinese side, the distinguishing feature of the new relationship is strategic interaction, which is opposed to the Union. Interaction is seen as a more optimal form of relationship than the Union. This can be seen as a serious qualitative progress in relations China-Russia, especially on the Russian side (Alexandrov, 2011)[2].

Trade and economic relations of Russia with China have a long history and are characterized by a notable development in recent years. Volume of trade is growing,