A First Look at the Black-Scholes Equation
21世纪大学英语读写教程第一册第3课内容讲解

21世纪大学英语读写教程第一册第3课内容讲解21世纪大学英语读写教程第一册第3课内容讲解导语:史蒂夫莫里斯一出生就是盲目的,可是他并没有自我放弃,而是顽强生存得有声于色,下面是一篇讲述史蒂夫莫里斯的英语课文,欢迎阅读。
Stevie Wonder: Sunshine in the ShadowWhen Stevie Morris was born, on May 13, 1950, the doctors shook their heads and told the mother that her son was born blind and likely would always be that way. She broke into tears.Blind and black and poor — what kind of life could this new infant have? In her wildest dreams, Mrs. Morris could never have imagined that her new baby would become a famous musician called Stevie Wonder. At the time, all she could do was pray —and worry.Stevie himself didn't worry at all. Life was too full. He was brought up among church-going people whose faith helped them bear the poverty. He loved music and would pound spoons or forks on any surface that faintly resembled a drum.He even ran and played with sighted children. "I didn't realize I was blind until I was about four," he says. That might sound strange. To a small child just learning about the world, it wasn't strange at all. Stevie heard and smelled and touched. As far as he knew, that was all anyone could do. That was life.When Stevie's mother got tired of her tables being used for drums, she bought him a toy set. He played so hard that he had actually worn the toy out within a few weeks. Other toy sets followed; then an uncle added a toy harmonica, and Stevie learned to play it so quickly that everyone was amazed.Stevie taught himself to play the piano as quickly as he hadonce learned the harmonica. With friends, he began playing rock and roll music. They performed on the front porch of Stevie's apartment building, drawing crowds of neighbors to watch and listen and clap time to the beat."I loved that beat," Stevie says. He not only loved the beat, he was very good at making it.Ronnie White, of the Miracles singing group, heard Stevie and promptly took him down to his recording company, Motown Records."Give him an audition," Ronnie said. They did. All the top people at Motown got together to hear a little blind boy who wasn't even ten years old yet. At first, they were being nice. Poor kid. They didn't want to hurt his feelings.Then they heard Stevie sing and play, and nobody said "poor kid" anymore. They were too busy congratulating themselves on finding a youngster who could be the musical talent of the decade. "He's a wonder boy," somebody said as they watched little Stevie dart from one instrument to the next, playing each one with ease."Wonder," somebody else said, "Little Stevie Wonder."The new name stuck and Stevie Morris became Little Stevie Wonder. He had his first hit when he was twelve years old. It was called "Fingertips" and it was a smash.Over the following years, Little Stevie Wonder became one of the top recording artists at Motown, producing one hit after another. But as he grew into adulthood, Stevie began to get tired of the way the Motown company controlled all aspects of his career. He wanted to write and produce his own songs, but the Motown company thought it was unwise to change a winning formula.When he turned 21, Stevie finally got his freedom. Against Motown's wishes he started exploring: he made records that combined gospel, rock and roll, and jazz and which used African and Latin American rhythms. To the record company's surprise, Stevie's new albums such as "Music of My Mind" and "Innervisions" were even more popular than his early ones. Stevie Wonder had become a mature man and an independent musical artist.Just after this success, however, tragedy struck. In August of 1973, Stevie was involved in a serious car accident. For nearly a week he lay in a coma, unable to speak or walk. "We don't know when he'll be out of danger," the doctor said. Everyone waited and prayed. Suddenly, it didn't matter that Stevie was a musical genius or that he had conquered blindness and poverty. All he had left was his faith and strong will.That turned out to be enough. Stevie fought back from the shadow of death as he had once fought out from the shadow of blindness. He went on to give more performances, make more hit records.The car accident changed Stevie by making him reevaluate his goals in life. He still loved to make music, but he also started to pay more attention to the world outside. He worked to create a national holiday to honor the civil rights leader Dr.Martin Luther King, Jr.. He recorded songs urging racial harmony and raised money to end world hunger. Recently, Stevie was honored by South African president Nelson Mandela for his work against that country's system of racial apartheid.Stevie Wonder has faith and fame, wealth and love. He has not only conquered his own darkness, but through his music and his social activities he has been able to bring sunshine to theshadow of many other lives.New Wordssunshinen. the light and heat of the sun 阳光infantn. a very young child 婴儿musiciann. a person who performs on a musical instrument, or who writes music 乐师,作曲家prayvi. (for, to) speak to God in order to give thanks or to ask for help 祈祷,祈求spoonn. 匙,调羹faintlhad. slightly; mildly 轻微地;微弱地resemblevt. look or be like 像,类似drumn. 鼓tirev. (使)感到疲劳;(使)厌倦,(使)厌烦harmonican. 口琴amazevt. fill with great surprise; cause wonder in 使惊奇;使惊羡*porchn. (建筑物前有顶的)门廊,入口处apartmentn. 公寓大楼;一套公寓房间vi. applaud 拍手miraclen. 奇迹promptlyad. immediately and without any delay 迅速地,及时地auditionn. (对志愿艺人等的.)面试(指试读、试唱、试奏等)kidn. a child 小孩congratulatevt. speak to (a person) with praise and admiration for a happy event or sth. successfully done 祝贺youngstern. a young person, esp. a boy 年轻人;男孩talentn. 1. a special ability or skill 天才,天资;超常智能2. people of such ability 人才decaden. a period of 10 years 十年(期)*dartvi. move suddenly and quickly 猛冲,飞奔instrumentn. 乐器;仪器;器具;器械easen. 1. freedom from difficulty 容易2. freedom from discomfort, pain or worry 安适;悠闲;无痛苦;无忧虑fingertipn. the end of a finger 指尖n. 轰动的演出,巨大的成功v. (cause to) break into pieces violently 打碎,粉碎adulthoodn. 成年aspectn. a particular part or feature of sth. being considered 方面careern. a profession or occupation with opportunities for advancement or promotion 职业;生涯formulan. 公式,程式;准则,方案explorev. 探索;探测;勘探gospeln. (= gospel music) 福音音乐(美国黑人的一种宗教音乐,具有爵士音乐和美国黑人伤感歌曲色彩)jazzn. 爵士音乐rhythmn. 节奏;韵律*albumn. 1. a long-playing record with several items by the same performer (同一表演者的)集锦密纹唱片2. a book with blank pages for stamps, photographs, etc. 集邮册,相册maturea. fully grown or developed mentally or physically 充分发育的;(智力或体力)成熟的independenta. 独立的,自主的tragedyn. 1. a terrible event that causes great sadness 惨事,灾变2. a serious play with a sad ending 悲剧involvevt. 使陷入,使卷入;牵扯,连累coman. 昏迷musicala. of or for music 音乐的geniusn. 天才;创造能力;天才人物conquervt. gain control over (sth. unfriendly or difficult) 征服;克服(困难等)performancen. the acting of a play, the playing of a piece of music, the doing of a dance, etc., in front of an audience 演出,表演,演奏reevaluatevt. 重新评价goaln. 1. an end; objective 目的;目标2.(足球等的)球门;得分进球hungern. state of not having enough to eat; lack of food 饥饿urgevt. 力劝;恳求;敦促raciala. characteristic of race; due to or resulting from race 种族的;由种族引起的harmonyn. agreement (of feelings, interests, opinions, etc.) 和睦,融洽,一致apartheidn. (南非的)种族隔离famen. the condition of being known or talked about a lot 名声,名望activityn. 活动;行动Phrases and Exgressionsbreak intobegin suddenly (to cry, sing, laugh, etc.) 突然(哭、唱、笑)起来bring uptake care of during infancy and childhood; nurse and educate 抚养;养育as far asto the degree that 就…;尽…;至于get tired ofbe no longer interested in 厌倦,厌烦wear outmake useless by use 把…用坏;把…穿破with easewithout difficulty 容易地,无困难地grow intobecome gradually with the passage of time 成长的congratulate oneself on /that ...因…而暗自庆幸Proper NamesStevie Wonder史蒂威·旺达(人名)Morris莫里斯(姓氏)Ronnie White罗尼·怀特(人名)Motown Records莫顿唱片公司Innervisions《内心幻觉》(唱片名)Martin Luther King, Jr.小马丁·路德·金(1929 — 1968,美国民权运动领袖) Nelson Mandela纳尔逊·曼德拉(1918 —,南非共和国总统)。
黑布林英语阅读黑骏马

黑布林英语阅读黑骏马The Black Stallion's English ReadingThe sun had just begun to peek over the horizon, casting a warm glow across the vast expanse of the ranch. It was here, amidst the rolling hills and lush meadows, that a young boy named Alec Ramsey found solace in the company of a magnificent black stallion.Alec had always been fascinated by horses, their power and grace captivating his imagination from a young age. However, it was the arrival of the mysterious black stallion that truly ignited his passion. The horse had been rescued from a shipwreck, its wild spirit and untamed beauty captivating all who laid eyes upon it.As Alec approached the stallion's enclosure, he could feel the energy radiating from the majestic creature. The horse's ebony coat glistened in the morning light, its muscles rippling beneath the surface. Alec had spent countless hours observing the stallion, studying its every movement, and slowly gaining its trust.One day, as Alec stood by the fence, the stallion approached him, its dark eyes meeting his gaze. Alec held his breath, scarcely daring tomove, as the horse sniffed his outstretched hand. Slowly, the stallion lowered its head, allowing Alec to gently stroke its mane.From that moment on, a bond formed between the boy and the horse that would deepen with each passing day. Alec spent hours reading to the stallion, sharing stories of adventure and exploration. He would sit in the shade of a nearby tree, the book open in his lap, as the black stallion listened intently, its ears perked forward.As Alec's understanding of the stallion grew, he began to notice the horse's remarkable intelligence. The stallion seemed to grasp the meaning of the words, its eyes reflecting a depth of understanding that Alec had never seen in any other animal.One day, as Alec was reading a particularly captivating tale of a daring rescue, the stallion suddenly whinnied and pawed at the ground. Alec looked up, puzzled, and followed the horse's gaze to the far end of the pasture. There, he saw a young foal that had become trapped in a muddy ravine.Without hesitation, Alec raced to the foal's aid, the black stallion close at his heels. Together, they worked tirelessly to free the trapped animal, Alec using his strength and the stallion's power to pull the foal to safety.In the aftermath of the rescue, Alec marveled at the stallion's intuition and willingness to help. He realized that the horse's intelligence and empathy were far beyond what he had ever imagined. From that day on, Alec's respect and admiration for the black stallion only grew.As the weeks turned into months, Alec and the stallion became inseparable. They would explore the vast expanse of the ranch, the horse's powerful strides carrying them through the winding trails and over the rolling hills. Alec would read to the stallion, his voice weaving tales of adventure and wonder, and the horse would listen, its eyes reflecting a deep understanding.One day, as they were making their way back to the stables, Alec noticed a group of strangers gathered near the fence. They were speaking in hushed tones, their eyes fixed on the black stallion. Alec approached cautiously, his heart racing with concern.It was then that he learned the truth – the stallion was a rare and valuable breed, sought after by wealthy collectors and breeders. The strangers were offering a substantial sum of money for the horse, their eyes gleaming with greed.Alec felt a surge of protective instinct wash over him. This was no mere animal to be bought and sold – this was his friend, hiscompanion, a creature of unparalleled intelligence and beauty. Without hesitation, he refused the offer, his voice unwavering as he declared his unwavering loyalty to the black stallion.The strangers, sensing the boy's determination, reluctantly retreated, their dreams of acquiring the prized horse dashed. Alec turned to the stallion, his eyes filled with a mixture of relief and resolve. He knew that he would do whatever it took to protect his friend, to ensure that the horse's freedom and dignity remained intact.From that day on, Alec and the black stallion became inseparable, their bond growing stronger with each passing moment. They would race across the fields, the wind whipping through their hair, their laughter echoing across the vast expanse of the ranch.As Alec grew older, he continued to read to the stallion, sharing stories of courage, adventure, and the power of friendship. The horse would listen intently, its eyes reflecting a depth of understanding that never ceased to amaze the young boy.Together, they faced countless challenges, from fierce storms to the machinations of those who sought to possess the stallion. But through it all, their bond remained unbreakable, a testament to the power of trust, loyalty, and the unshakable belief in the inherent worth of a creature so magnificent and pure.In the end, Alec's love for the black stallion transcended the boundaries of mere ownership. It was a partnership, a friendship, a meeting of kindred spirits that would leave an indelible mark on both their lives. And as the sun set over the ranch, casting a warm glow across the rolling hills, Alec knew that he had found a true and lasting companion in the majestic black stallion.。
人教版高中英语必修第一册 Welcome Unit Section Ⅰ

【合作探究】 读一读·细观察 阅读下列句子,写出句中黑体词的词性及含义
(1)If someone or something annoys you,it makes you angry. 词性 __动__词___________ 含义 __使__恼__怒__;使__生__气___ (2)His behaviour is really annoying. 词性 __形__容__词__________ 含义 __令__人__恼__怒__的______
2.Why was Han Jing a little anxious in the morning? A√.Because she was not outgoing. B.Because no one talked to her. C.Because maths was difficult for her. D.Because the guy next to her tried to talk to her. 3.How was Han Jing feeling at the end of the day? A.Anxious. B√.Confident. C.Frightened. D.Awkward.
n.职位较低者;(体育运动中)青少年 21.___e_x_p_l_o_r_e___ /Ik̍splɔː(r)/vt.& vi.探索;勘探 22.__c_o_n_f_i_d_e_n_t__ /k̍ ɒnfIdənt/adj.自信的;有把握的 →___c_o_n_fi_d_e_n_c_e_ /̍kɒnfIdəns/n.信心;信任
阅读理解
一、阅读课文“FIRST IMPRESSIONS”,判断正(T)误(F) ( F )1.Han Jing found her chemistry class difficult. ( F )2.Han Jing was confident at the beginning of the day. ( T )3.Han Jing missed her friends from junior high school. ( F )4.No one talked to Han Jing on her first school day. ( F )5.Han Jing's chemistry teacher told Han Jing and her classmates a funny story.
Finance Interview Questions

Finance Interview QuestionsFigures to memorize: DJIA, S&P500, Nasdaq, gold, oil, USD/YEN, USD/EUR, 10-yr treasury yield, Fed Funds rate, LIBORFit•“Please identify a time that caused you to greatly improve your leadership skills.”•Describe a situation in which you have worked in a team and a problem you have faced.•What role do you typically play when working on a group project? Providea recent example.•“Sell me this pen. Go.”•What is your greatest strength and why?•What is your greatest weakness and why?•Tell me about yourself.•Walk me through your resume.•How did you get interested in ____?•What qualities do you think make someone successful in finance?•What courses have you liked most?•What does a Trader do? What does a Salesperson do?•Do you want to sell or trade equity or debt instruments? Why?•Tell me about the last time you gave someone negative feedback.•Tell me what you have done when there was an individual in a group setting not pulling their weight.•Give me an example in which you went beyond expectations in order to get something done.•Give me an example where you have been creative to get out of a tricky situation.•How would your teammate describe you?Current Events•Tell me about the politics in Japan.•What is going on in the markets today?•What would you invest in with 10 mil?•Where is the ____(dow, euro, gold, S&P 500, NASDAQ...) at?•What is QE2?•Explain the recent financial crisis. Who is to blame for the financial crisis?•Explain the flash crash.•How do you think the current oil price will affect trading conditions?•Tell me about a stock you like.•Is the European sovereign debt crisis over, or who do you think will require help next?•What will the US Equity market do over the next year?•Is China experiencing an asset bubble? Can they maintain their growth?Technical – Financial•I have a call option maturing in one year with 0.5 delta. what's the probability it will expire in the money?o0.5 : Δ = Φ (m + σ√(T)/2), which is close to actual probability Φ (m) of expiring ITM. The true probability, the dual delta, is the derivativew.r.t. strike price K.•How could you quickly decide when to exercise a Bermudan receiver swaption?o Consider for each exercise date the effective rate over the tenor of the swaption taking into account the prevailing rate up to theexercise date and the strike rate. Would it be advantageous to waitor exercise?•Walk me through a DCF.•What is the Capital Asset Pricing Model and how is it derived?•What are the inputs into the Black-Scholes option pricing model?•If interest rates rise, what happens to bond prices, and why?•What is duration/Macaulry duration/Modified duration?•If the yen/dollar exchange rate is 100yen/$ today and the one year forward rate is 105yen/$, what does this imply?•Would a price of a call option go up or down when the maturity of the option is longer?•Which is higher – the cost of debt or the cost of equity?•What’s leveraged finance?•What is a PE ratio? What does a relatively high PE ratio mean to the market, and how does that differ to what it means for a trader?Technical – Math•What is the limit of ((a^x + b^x)/2)^(1/x) as x goes to 0?o sqrt(a*b). Look at the log of the formula and use L'Hopital's rule.•If you had 5,623 participants in a tournament, how many games would need to be played to determine the winnero log(5623)/log(2)•There's a 60% chance it will rain on Saturday AND Sunday. What is the probability that there will be rain on the weekend?o84%•Imagine an analog clock set to 12 o'clock. Note that the hour and minute hands overlap. How many times each day do both the hour and minutehands overlap? How would you determine the exact times of the day thatthis occurs?o After 12 o'clock, the minute hand races ahead of the hour hand. By the time the minute hand has gone all the way round the clock andis back at 12, one hour later (i.e., at 1 o'clock), the hour hand hasmoved to indicate 1. Five minutes later, the minute hand reaches 1and is almost on top of the hour hand, but not quite, since by thenthe hour hand has moved ahead a tiny amount more. So the nexttime after 12 that the minute hand is directly over the hour hand is abit after 1:05. Similarly, the next time it happens is a bit after 2:10.Then a bit after 3:15, and so on. The eleventh time this happens, abit after 11:55, has to be 12 o'clock again, since we know what theclock looks like at that time. So the two hands are superimposedexactly 12 times in each 12 hour period.o To answer the second part of the puzzle, you have to figure out those little bits of timer you have to keep adding on. Well, after 12o'clock there are eleven occasions when the two hands match up,and since the clock hands move at constant speeds, those 11events are spread equally apart around the clock face, so they are1/11th of an hour apart. That's 5.454545 minutes apart, so the littlebit you keep adding is in fact 0.454545 minutes. The precise timesof the superpositions are, in hours, 1 + 1/11, 2 + 2/11, 3+ 3/11, allthe way up to 11 + 11/11, which is 12 o'clock again.•Given a fair coin, what is the expected number of tosses you need to get 2 consecutive heads?•“Out of 25 horses, pick the fastest 3 horses. In each race, only 5 horses can run at the same time. What is the minimum number of racesrequired?”•Given a bus stop, and two buses come at 10 mins and 20 mins interval.1. If you come to the bus stop and see a bus leaving, what is the expectedtime you need to wait for another bus?2. If you come and see no bus at all, what is the expected waiting time?3. If you have waited for 9 minutes and did not see any bus coming, whatis the expected waiting time•“Given the numbers 1 to 1000, what is the minimum numbers guesses needed to find a specific number if you are given the hint "higher" or"lower" for each guess you make.”Puzzles•You've got someone working for you for seven days and a gold bar to pay them. The gold bar is segmented into seven connected pieces. You must give them a piece of gold at the end of every day. If you are only allowed to make two breaks in the gold bar, how do you pay your worker?o4,2,1•Given a two-sided balance and 9 marbles, 1 of which whose weights is different from the rest (more or less), how can you identify the odd marble in the least number of weighings?o Weigh 3 v. 3. If equal, it’s in the third set of 3. If unequal, remove one from each side, swap one from each side onto the other side,and re-weigh. If equal, it’s one that you removed. If unequal and thebalance falls to the same side, it’s one that you left. Otherwise, it’sone that you swapped.•Imagine a disk spinning like a record player turntable. Half of the disk is black and the other is white. Assume you have an unlimited number ofcolor sensors. How many sensors would you have to place around thedisk to determine the direction the disk is spinning? Where would they be placed?o 2 right next to each other•Imagine a cube, made of 1000 of small cubes so it's 10 by 10 by 10. how many of these cubes are facing the outside?o488 : (10^3 – 8^3)•You and I are sitting at a round table, playing a game of coin. By turns we put down a coin on the table until the table is full. The first person whocannot put down another coin has lost. Do you want to put down the firstor the second coin?o First coin - it should be put in the middle. Then no matter where the other person will put his coin, you will put it exactly oppersite - thismeans, if the other person can put down a coin, you will be able todo so as well. Meaning that the first person not being able to putdown a coin will be person number two.•I have a 3 gallon drum and a 5 gallon drum and I want 4 gallons of water.How do I do that with only the 3 and 5 gallon drums?o Fill the 5 gallon jug , pour into the 3 gallon jug. Pour out the 3 gallon jug and pour the 2 gallons of water in the 5 gallon jug into the 3gallon jug. Fill up the 5 gallon jug. Pour 1 gallon from the 5 gallonjug into the 3 gallon jug with 2 gallons of water in it. You end with 4gallons of water in the 5 gallon jug and a full 3 gallon jug.•If given a rectangular cake with a rectangular piece removed (any size or orientation), how would you cut the remainder of the cake into two equalhalves with one straight cut of a knife?o Find the centers of both the original cake and the removed piece.Cut the cake along the line connecting these two centers. As thisline cuts the original cake and the removed piece in half, theremainder is two equal halves.o Cut the entire cake in half horizontally (i.e. parallel to the table).This will get you two even halves.•You have 18 coins, one of which weighs twice as the others. You have two-side balance scale which you can use only 3 times to identify it. Howdo u do it?• A software engineer has the capability of thinking 100 lines of code in five minutes and can type 100 lines of code in 10 minutes. He takes a breakfor five minutes after every ten minutes. How many lines of codes will hecomplete typing after an hour?•You are in a game of Russian Roulette with a revolver that has 3 bullets placed in three consecutive chambers. The cylinder of the gun will bespun once at the beginning of the game. Then, the gun will be passedbetween two players until it fires. Would you prefer to go first or second?o secondOther•"In your opinion, what is the most beautiful math equation ever derived?"•“An apple costs 20 cents, an orange costs 40 cents, and a grapefruit costs60 cents, how much is a pear?”•How many pennies can you fill in the room you're sitting in right now? You cant estimate, you have 30 seconds.•There 3 are hats with an apple under one and you meant to pick which one. Once you made you're selection, I remove one of the other two and ask you if you want to stick to your first choice or switch. What do you do and why?•Why are manhole covers round?•How many seats are there on the 1 train?•How many manholes are there in NYC?•How many people does the McDonalds in Times Square serve every year?。
2024年人教版英语六年级上册Recycle1第一课时-课件

pet hosoital
library
cinema
Go straight. Turn left at the park. It’s next to the shoe store.
We’re going to the park. Is it far from here ?
bookstore park
Role playing
bookstore park
shoe store
museum post office
school
A: Good morning, sir. Where is the post office, please? B: Go straight. Turn right at the hospital. It’s next to the cinema. A: Thank you. B: You are welcome.
Traffic rules. ➢Stop and wait at a red light. ➢Slow down and stop at a yellow light. ➢Go at a green light.
Yifan and Robin see a little boy crying on the street.
Wu Yifan is going to visit his grandma and grandpa. How does he get there? Listen to the tape and tick the right picture.
Look at the pictures and fill in the blanks.
First ______ ______. Then ______ ______. At the traffic lights______ ______.
uam19_8

Some members will have attended the IAAust Conventionpresentation on the subject of real options.The aim of that session was to introduce the concepts and general techniques of real option valuation (ROV) to the profession and hopefully provoke enough interest for further individual inquiry.The purpose of this two-part article (written by one of the co-presenters) is to consolidate and build upon the early interestshown by those who were at the session,and otherwise introduce the subject to all members.This first instalment will consider how our decision making rules might be affected by the existence of real options,and when ROV might be utilised .f you were considering committing $10million now into a long term project or the alternative of committing $1 million now for a trial with the ability to defer the final decision to full commitment to the project for one year at a cost of $12million, how would you decide?Assume the NPV of the future net cash flows to be generated from the project is $40 million at a 15% risk adjusted discount rate if implemented in a year (the time required to complete the project) or $45million (at the beginning of the second year)if implemented in two years. Assume norevenues are generated or other outflows incurred during the trial period.The NPV results, after taking account of the project costs (assuming immediate outlay of project costs) and the deferral of implementation, are:Invest now: $40m – $10m = 30mInvest later: ($45m – $12m) / 1.15 – $1m = $27.7mThe decision would seem to be to invest now. Let’s look at an alternative approach,one which may lead to a different decision.What are real options?All business decisions confer rights to take additional future initiatives. The term ‘real options’ is used to refer to all those ‘non-financial’ options which are embedded within a firm, particularly in the context of its projects and strategies 1. The table clarifies the distinguishing features compared with financial options. Points worth noting are:●Real options are typically embeddedwithin the firm and therefore a key part of real options analysis (ROA) is the identification of those options and how they relate to each other.●The decision to exercise a real option isusually irreversible. The investment costs associated with the initial decision should be considered ‘sunk costs’. ●Unlike someone trading in financialoptions – almost invariably a ‘price taker’ – the owner of a real option usually has an ability to control or influence the value of the option in some way and is therefore in aposition to proactively create value – a ‘price maker’.Clearly, the value of real options depends very much on managements’ ability to identify or create them, and thereafter properly leverage off them by exercising them at the optimum time (or else knowing when to abandon them).It could perhaps be said that, whereas traders in financial options are oftenlooking for the strategies in options, those who employ ROA are seeking the options within strategies.Real options may be classified in any number of ways, although there can be much overlap:●Waiting or learning options – timingentry or exit.●Expand and/or growth options – thestrategic value of options is considered.●Exit, abandon, or switch options –the flexibility of the assets in place is considered.Decision rules for investmentLet’s consider how one might go about evaluating whether to undertake a key project or whether to make a particular strategic action.The standard rule for making an investment decision is:Invest when NPV > Cost of investmentThis approach works well in many situations (see later comments) but let’s suppose that management may delay the investment decision until new information unfolds.Once we account for the real options, the standard decision rule must besupplemented by an additional decision rule:Invest in the option (to wait) when NPV + real option value > Cost of investment + option ‘premium’In other words, the threshold for investment has been lowered and investment is therefore more likely 2.Management may also have options to exit a project or strategy. In this case, the decision rule can be expressed as:Disinvest when NPV + real option value < Salvage value (if any)That is, the threshold for exit is raised so that existing investments are less likely to be discarded too early.More generally, if standard DCF analysis cannot make some attempt to properly capture the value of embedded options,then there is a risk of paralysis or stalling of16A c t u a r y A u s t r a l i a – J u l y 2001Real Option Values – A New Tool for Actuaries?I© The Institute of Actuaries of Australiathe decision making process or even discrediting of the NPV technique in future applications. For example, ‘strategic’importance is an oft-used excuse for the acceptance of a poor NPV. An analysis of the value of the embedded options may be used to lend support to such claims or else disprove them.Our example revisitedWe can now return to the illustrative example at the beginning of the article.A straight application of option theory requires additional assumptions to be made about the uncertainty or potential variability of the projected cash flows. For this illustration, I have assumed this is 80%, ie. cash flows could deviate from the expected with a standard deviation of 80% of the expected (suggesting a highly risky project)3.It is also assumed that a risk-free interest rate of 5% for the period of deferment is appropriate. The value of the investment is $45m in one year so its current value is $42.9 million (at 5%). The ‘strike price’ of the option is the fixed outlay in one year, namely $12 million.Using option value look-up tables or the Black-Scholes model directly, we can derive the (European) call option value as 76.5% of the investment value $42.9 million, or $32.8 million. This reduces to an NPV of $31.8 million after deduction the option‘premium’ of $1 million.The result of the calculation now shows that the flexibility that the option creates increases the NPV of the project by $4.1 million to $31.8 million, enough to suggest that it could be more attractive to run a trial first, ie. buy a call option. Clearly, the example is artificial and greatly simplified—some might say contrived. Nonetheless it serves to illustrate that with the ROV approach, the value of the option is fully recognised and may lead to a different decision by management. Uncertainty is good!In the standard DCF approach a higher level of uncertainty leads to a higher risk adjusted discount rate and a consequent reduction in discounted value.Perhaps somewhat counter intuitively, as a consequence of option theory, the ROV approach shows that increased uncertainty can lead to a higher value, although this is predicated on managers having the skillsto identify and take advantage of their options and to flexibly respond to unfolding events. Managers are thereforein a position to limit the downside risk.The reason this occurs is that managersretain the flexibility to limit expenditure oninvestment thereby limiting potential losseswhile keeping the potential upside value.Option formulae (based on financialeconomics) tell us that increased volatility ofexpected outcomes or returns increases thevalue of an option. This implies in the caseof real options that if managers can increaseuncertainty and wait till new informationcomes to hand, they can increase the valueof the real option. This is the so-called ‘timevalue’ in option parlance.When might ROV be used?Standard methods of evaluation (the firstdecision rule above) work well when thereis not a lot of uncertainty about the factorswhich will impact the outcome of thedecision or where the option is ‘deep-in-the-money’ (or ‘deep-out-of-the-money’)already, ie. where the excess NPV issubstantial (positive or negative).So standard DCF work best when:●No (material) options exist●There is a relatively high confidenceabout future outcomes●Management has little or no discretionor ability to respond to change●Few, if any, follow-on opportunities tocreate valueWhere the result of the standard DCFapproach (first decision rule) is not clear-cut or where there is substantialuncertainty about the future, it may betime to assess the options that areembedded in the decision. In other words,real options techniques work best when:●Contingent investment decisions areinvolved●Significant levels of uncertainty exist●Most value derives from futureopportunities rather than currentcash flow●When management can help influenceoption value.●When there will be project updates ormid-course strategy corrections‘Uncertainty’ in the above context refers touncertainty about exogenous factors overwhich the owner of the option has little orno control eg. general price inflation,regulations, etc.4In this case, it may besensible to wait for new information to avoidirreversible decisions. The option would beexercised when it is ‘deep-in-the-money’(although competitor activity may force earlyexercise at less-than optimum time).If the uncertainty is about factors whichcan only be resolved by undertaking theinvestment (‘private’ or ‘non-systematic’risk) eg. effectiveness of a new technology,then it may be optimal not to wait butexercise an initial option in order to collectthat informationStandard DCF methods do not recognisethat the flexibility that management has todefer decisions until uncertainty is reducedhas real and sometimes substantialeconomic value. In other words, standardDCF ignores (or at least has difficultyevaluating) the asymmetric payoffsinherent in the embedded options.The ROV technique is particularly powerfulfor sequential options (compound options,staircase, cascade options).The weakness of the standard DCF methodin such situations is that, even if theoptions are comprehensively identified, itforces one to assign probabilities to thelikelihood of the options being exercisedbased on the information existing now.Coming up …In the concluding part of the article to bepublished in the next issue of AA, I willconsider some of the practical aspects ofROV and the areas of work whereactuaries may want to explore its possibleapplication.A suggested reading list will be providedfor those wishing to undertake theirown research.Ian Robinsoncrusoeconsulting@1 A firm can be viewed as a set of projectsin place and opportunities and thus could,in theory, be decomposed into a set offundamental options.2 This has obviously been oversimplified inorder to assist with the explanation. Forexample, it is conceivable that the optionpremium is not ‘fair’ and at worst, greaterthan the real option value.3 A range of approaches are available tohelp derive a reasonable assumption forvolatility. A standard deviation of 80% mayseem high but is typical of the volatilitylevels seen in real options work. Oneshould of course undertake sensitivity teststo verify how critical this assumption is tothe final investment decision.4 Such market or ‘systematic’ uncertaintyalso applies to financial options. ▲17A c t u a r y A u s t r a l i a–J u l y2001。
期权复习题

期权复习题1. ExplanationDerivatives: A derivative is a financial instrument whose value depends on the values of other, more basic underlying variablesEuropeans style derivative(欧式衍生证券)to describe a derivative the holder has no decisions to make during its life.Arbitrage involves locking in a risk-less profit by entering simultaneously into transactions in two or more markets.short selling: The investor’s broker borrows the shares from another client’s account and sells them in the usual way. To close out the position the investor must purchase the shares. The broker then replaces them in the account of the client from whom they were borrowed. The party with the short position must remit to the broker dividends and other income paid on the shares. The broker transfers the funds to the account of the client from whom the shares were borrowed. Occasionally the broker runs out of places from which to borrow the shares. The investor is then short squeezed and has to close out the position immediately.A call option gives the holder the right to buy an asset by a certain date for a certain price.Put option: A put option gives the holder the right to sell an asset by a certain date for a certain price.Futures contract/forward contract : It is an agreement to buy or sell anasset for a certain price at a certain time in the future.Swaps:Swaps are private agreements between two companies to exchange cash flows in the future according to a prearranged formula. Position Limits : The maximum number of contracts that a speculator may hold.In-the-money option:it would lead to a positive cash flow to the holder if it were exercised immediately.Implied volatility: The implied volatility of an option is the volatility for which the Black-Scholes price equals the market price.risk-neutral valuation:Firstly, assume that the expected return from the stock price is the risk-free rate r, then calculate the expected payoff from the option, at last, discounting the expected payoff at the risk-free rate Lookback options: the payoffs from lookback options depend on the maximum or minimum stock price reached during the life of the option. Barrier options are options where the payoff depends on whether the underlying asset's price reaches a certain level before option maturity.‘Out’ options(敲出期权):Option dies if stock price hits barrier before option maturityForward start options:are options that are paid for now but will start at some time in the future. The strike price is usually equal to the price of the asset at the time the option starts,ie, the option is at the money. Asian options:the payoffs from asian options depend on the averageprice of the underlying asset during at least some part of the life of the option.Factors affecting stock option pricing:stock price, strike price, risk-free interest rate, volatility, time to maturity, and dividends. compound options:Compound options are options on options. There are four main types of compound options: a call on a call, a put on a call, a call on a put, and a put on a put.Butterfly spreads: A butterfly spread involves positions in options with three different strike prices: buying two call options with strike prices X1 and X3, and selling two call options with a strike price X2, X1<X2 <X3Bull spreads: A bull spread can be created using two call options with the same maturity and different strike prices. The investor buys the call option with the lower strike price and shorts the call option with the higher strike price. Bull spreads can also be created by buying a put with a low strike price and selling a put with a high strike price.Bear spreads:A bear spread: A bear spread can be created by selling a call with one lower strike price and buying a call with another higher strike price2.The price of gold is currently $500 per ounce. The forward price for delivery in one year is $700. An arbitrageur can borrow money at 10% per annum. What should the arbitrageur do? Assume that the cost ofstoring gold is zero.3.Give two reasons why the early exercise of American options on a non-dividend-paying stock is not optimal.4 Three call options on a stock have the same expiration date and strike prices of $45, $50, and $55. The market prices are $7, $5, and $2, respectively. Explain how a butterfly spread can be created. Construct a table showing the profit from the strategy.5.What is the price of a European put option on a non-dividend-paying stock when the stock price is $69, the strike price is $70, the risk-free interest rate is 5% per annum, the volatility is 35% per annum, and the time to maturity is six months? If this option is a European call option, what is the price?6.Consider one year American put option on a non-dividend-paying stock when the stock price is $300, the strike price is $300, the risk-free interest rate is 10% per annum, and the volatility is 40% per annum. Divide the year into three 4-month time intervals and use the tree approach to estimate the value of the option.7 Consider the price of a stock, S , which following the processt dW dt dS σμ+=where t W is a standard Brownian motion. For the first three years,5,211==σμ; for the next three years, 4,322==σμ. If the initial value ofstock price is $10, what is the expect value of the stock price at the end of year 6?8. Show put-call parity for an E. option on a stock providing a continuous dividend yield equal to q :)()(t T q t T r Se p Xe c ----+=+9 Explain carefully the meaning of the terms convenience yield and cost of carry. What is the relationship between the futuers price F, the spot price S, the convenience yield,y, and the cost of carry,c?The convenience yield,y ,(便利收益)for a commodity is a measure of the benefits realized from ownership (所有权)of the physical commodity (具体商品、实物商品) that are not realized by the holders of a futures contract.The cost of carry, c , is the storage cost plus the interest that is paid to finance the asset less the income earned on the asset.relationship between and the futuers price, the spot price, the convenience yield and the cost of carry is))((t T y c Se F --=10. A one-year-long forward contract on a non-dividend-paying stock is entered into when the stock price is $40 and the risk-free rate of interest is 10% per annum with continuous compounding.(a) What are the forward price and the initial value of the forward contract?(b)Six months later, the price of the stock is $45 and the risk-freeinterest rate is still 10%. What are the forward price and the valueof the forward contract?11 .Explain the differences between forward contract and futures contract?12. Ca lculate the value of a six-month at-the-money European call option on a stock index when the index is at500, the risk-free interest rate is 10% per annum, the volatility of the index is 20% per annum, and the dividend yield on the index is 3% per annum.13. Calculate the price of a six month European put option on a dividend-paying stock when there are ex-dividend dates(除权日)in two mouths and five months. The dividend on each ex-dividend date is expected to be $0.50. Suppose the current stock price is $40, the exercise price is $40, the stock price volatility is 30%, the risk-free rate of interest is 9%.14. Consider a four-month put option on a stock index.The current value of the index is 305, the strike price is 300, the dividend yield is 3% per annum, the risk-free interest rate is 8% per annum, the volatility of the index is 25% per annum.(1)Calculate the delta, gamma, vega, theta, and rho of the option. (2)Interpret each number.15 If a stock price, S, follows geometric Brownian motiont SdW Sdt dS σμ+=1) What is the process followed by the variable n S ? Show that n S also follows geometric Brownian motion.2)The expected value of ST is =)(T S E )(t T Se -μ. What is the expected value of n T S ?3) The varaince of ST is =)(T S D )1()()(222---t T t T e e S σμ.What is the variance of n T S ?16 Show that the probability that a European call option will be exercised in a risk-neutral world is, )(2d N . Using risk-neutral valuation to value the complicated digtial option whose payoff at maturity iselse 0X S X K f T T 1T ⎩⎨⎧<<=2: 17 Suppose that a portfolio is delta neutral and has a gamma of Γ =-6,000, The delta and gamma of a particular traded call option are ΔT = 0.8 and T Γ= 2, respectively. What position in the traded call option andin the underlying asset would make the portfolio both gamma neutral and delta neutral?=> The portfolio can be made gamma neutral by including a long position ofwT = -Γ / ΓT = 6000/ 2 =3,000 traded call options in the portfolio. However, the delta of the portfolio will then change from zero toΔ= 3,000 ΔT = 3,000 × 0.8 =2400=> A quantity, 1,240, of the underlying asset must be sold from theportfolio to keep it delta neutral.19.Consider a portfolio that is delta neutral, with a gamma of -5,000 and a vega of -8,000. Suppose that a traded option has a gamma of 0.5, a vega of 2.0, and a delta of 0.6.Another second traded option with a gamma of 0.8, a vega of 1.2, and a delta of 0.5. What position in the traded call option and in the underlying asset would make the portfolio gamma neutral ,vega neutral and delta neutral?Solution: If , w1and w2 are the amounts of the two traded options included in the portfolio, we require that-5,000 + 0.5w1 + 0.8 w2 = 0- 8,000 + 2.0w1 + 1.2w2 = 0w1 = 400, w2 = 6,000.The portfolio can be made gamma and vega neutral by including:(1)400 of the first traded option (2) 6,000 of the second traded option. The delta of the portfolio after the addition of the positions in the two traded options is400 ⨯ 0.6 + 6, 000 ⨯ 0.5 = 3,240.3,240 units of the asset would have to be sold to maintain delta neutrality.19. Companies A and B have been offered the following rates perannum on $15 million five-year loan:Company A wants to borrow floating-rate loan, Company B wants toborrow fixed-rate loan. Design a swap that will net bank, acting as intermediary, 0.01% per annump in total and appear to be equally attractive to both companiesFixed FloatingCorp A 9.00% 6-month LIBOR + 0.10%Corp B 10.00% 6-month LIBOR + 0.70%。
高级英语第一册Blackmail的赏析

BlackmailAbout the author.This novel is written by Arthur Hailey.He is a bestsellers novelist. Born in Luton, Bedfordshire, England, Hailey served in the Royal Air Force from the start of World War II during 1939 until 1947, when hewent to live in Canada. Hailey's last novel, Detective(1997), is a mystery told from the perspective of a Miami homicide detective. This detective also happens to be a former Catholic priest who has lost his religion; the work deals with themes of religion and questions the Catholic Church. Hailey told the Walden Book Report that his aim in writing this book was to share his own thoughts about religion without "mak[ing] it a lecture." He says that he lost his own faith whileserving in Cyprus during World War II, and that since ex-priests have many occupations he might as well give his protagonist an excitingone.After working at a number of jobs and writing part-time, he became a writer full-time during 1956.Following the success of Hotel during 1965, he moved to California; in 1969, he moved to the Bahamas to avoid Canadian and U.S. income taxes, which were claiming 90% of hisincome.His best sellers include:Hotel,Airport,Wheels,The Final Diagnosis and The Moneychangers.About the best sellers of authorEach of his novels has a different industrial or commercial setting and includes, in addition to dramatic human conflict, carefully researched information about the way that particular environment and system functions and how these affect society and its inhabitants.Critics often dismissed Hailey's success as the result of a formulaic "potboilera" style, in which he caused an ordinary character to become involved in a crisis, then increased the suspense by switching among multiple related plot lines. However, he was so popular with readers that his books were almost guaranteed to become best-sellers.He would spend about one year researching a subject, followed bysix months reviewing his notes and, finally, about 18 months writing the book. That aggressive research—tracking rebel guerrillas in the Peruvian jungle at age 67 for The Evening News(1990), or reading 27 books on the hotel industry for Hotel—gave his novels a realism that appealed to readers, even as some critics complained that he used it to disguise a lack of literary talent.Many of his books reached 1 on the New York Times bestseller list and more than 170 million copies have been sold worldwide in 40 languages. Many have been made into movies and Hotel was made into a long-running television series.Airport becamea successful film with dramatic visual effects.About the background.The story happened in a hotel named St. Gregory in New Orleans, Louisiana which is in the south of US.The text is only a part of the nove,Hotel.We can see three main characters in this text.O gilvie: chief house officer.the Duke of Croydon: newly appointed British ambassador to the United States.the Duchess of Croydon: wife of the Duke.This kind of novels are called thrillers. Generally defining, a thriller is a work of fiction or drama designed to hold the interest by the use of a high degree of intrigue, adventure or suspense. Others can be called cop-criminal novels, detective novels. The main purpose is for entertainment, amusement. Very often this kind of novels contain a lotof action, usu. suspension, not very much deep thought, without moral intention, not considered classic.The basic technique is to make the whole story of crime into sth. like a jigsaw puzzle. You can not see the outcome until the final partis put in.About the plot.Gregory was now at the brink of bankruptcy, but Peter McDermott is trying every means he could to save it.Several events happened duringthe week with the present text as part of it.The Duke ofCroydon was an internationally famous statesman and the newly appointed British ambassador to Washington. They occupied the best suite of the hotel. Monday evening, the Duke went to the gambling house. Later, his wife pursued and found him. On their way back, the car Jaguar knocked down a woman and her child. Both killed.Ogilvie found the crime and blackmailed the Duke and the Duchess.He managed to make the Duke and the Duchess believe that he would bring the crime to light if his demand was not satisfied.The Duchess came up with a good idea in order to avoid punishment.She would like Ogilvie drive the car away from the city.Inthe end,the couple paid Ogilvie money and the dirty deal was done.And then,At one o'clock Thursday morning, Ogilvie drove the car north. Buthe was seen leaving the hotel by McDermott. Later in the afternoon,McDermott witnessed the funeral of the two victims of the accident. He suddenly realized the relation between these two events and contacted police.Ogilvie was caught in Tennessee and sent back to New Orleans. The Duke decided to go to the police to confess his crime (to surrender himself / to give himself up). But he was hurled out the elevator due to the breakdown of it. He hit the cement ground and died instantly.Anyway, the novel had a pleasant ending.One of the guests, who looked old and sick, turned out to be a millionaire. Earlier he was seriously ill and was saved by McDermott and his girl friend. To show his gratitude and to repay the hotel staffs' kindness, he bought the hotel and appointed McDermott executive vice president of the hotel.About the structure.The novel is writed by the order of time.We can see the prelude,the process of unveiling the crime and the dirty deal. I think this novel can be devided into four parts. Parts 1,from the chief house officer to “In what way conceivable way”.Three main characters stepped into the stage and we can feel the tension of the atmosphere.Ogilvie acted in a vugal and uncouth way and showed contempt to the Duke and the Duchess. And the Duchess, although nervours,are still brash and thrusting.The part one provided characters and suspense for us.Why did Ogilvie act so rudely to the the Duke and the Duchess?Part 2, from As if the question from to p96 The Duke licked his lips.In this part, Ogilvie exposed the truth of car accident and the Duke admitted the crumbled was him .Andthe brash expression of Duke and the Duchess was faded away.They were feared and weak .Ogilvie became more proud and ruder.Part 3,from You might have something there to I reckon that’s so.In this part ,Ogilvie disclosed more hidenthing in the accident and revealed the evidence he knew and tried to confirm all the detailed. The Duchess tried to win back the upper hand.And then,The Croydons realized that they were convicted of the crime. The conviction was undeniable.Part 4,from Today was Tuesday to the end.The Duchess eliminated the possibility of having the car repaired in New Orleans and found no possibility.So she agreed to pay Ogilvie and let him drive the car away. The dirty deal reached.About the details.I found some interesting details in the text. The novel is colourful and impressive beacause these details.Details 1, the cigar of Ogilvie.The cigar is mentioned five times in this text and the number of the descriptions of the conflict about putting out the cigar between the Duchess and Ogilvie are three.The cigar is a imorpant prop of Ogilvie.Sometimes it was waved violently, indicting the anger and excitment of the master.At the beginning of the text,A wave of cigar smoke accompanied Ogilvie in. ThisAbout the conflict about putting out the cigar,we can see the converstionbelow.the Duchess looked pointedly at the half-burned cigar in the fat man’s mouth.“My husband and I find strong smoke offensive.Would you kindl y put that out.”Proper polite,but firm and proud.Although the Duchess was nervours,she still kept the nobleclass.She didn’t know what happened.However, when Ogilvie unveiled the crime , we can dramaly see: The house detective took histime,leisurely puffing a cloud of blue cigar smoke,his eyes sardonically on the Duchess as if challenging her objection.But beyond wrinkling her nose in distance, she made no comment.This is a contrast, which show the change of the attitude of the Duchess. She had the handle in hand of Ogilvie.So she chose silence and beared the impolite behaviour.And Ogilvie was smoking leisurely all the time after that.When the Duchess agreed to pay Ogilvie money ,the situation bagan to change.At length Ogivie spoke,This cigar botherin’you,Duchess?”As she nodded,he put it out.Ogilvie got the promise that he can get dollars,so his attitude towards the Duchess changed.He became the slave of money.Detail 2,the change of Ogilvie’s eye in the end of the text.Eyes bored into him. The house detetive’s eyes bulged. His beady eyes,as if unbelieving, were focused upon her own.The description go forward one by one,implying the greedy and surprising of the detetive.About the writing techniqueIn order to depict Ogilvie, the author added manyinformal,ugrammatical and slangy language into the conversitions of Ogilvie.For example,Th is cigar botherin’you ,Duchess?,gotta,shulda,etc.so we can infer that Ogilvie is uneducated .Besides ,the author use a lot of physical descriptions to Ogilvie an d he emphasize his eyes.The house detective’s eyes .the piggy eyes blinked.Compared to the Duch, the Duchess is more acttrctive and impressive.In the text ,the autor use two long paragraphs psychological description to depict the careful calculation and strict budgeting of the Duchess. It seems that she faced Ogilvie by her own.About the rhetoricMetaphor:...the nerves of both ... were excessively frayed...his wife shot him a swift, warning glance.The words spat forth with sudden savagery.Her tone ...withered......self-assurance...flickered...The Duchess kept firm tight rein on her racing mind.Her voice was a whiplash.eyes bored into himI’ll spell it out.Euphemism:...and you took a lady friend.Metonymy:won 100 at the tableslost it at the barthey'll throw the book,...Onomatopoeia: appreciative chuckle clucked his tongue。
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= ∆ t dS t + β t dct
Primbs, MS&E 345
10
Now we have 3 price processes:
nothing dB = rBdt dS = µSdt + σSdz dc = (ct + µScS + 1 σ 2 S 2 cSS )dt + σScS dz 2
Bond: Stock: Derivative:
Here comes the Black-Scholes argument:
Let’s form a portfolio using two of the assets, so that it looks exactly like the third. Then this portfolio must have the same price as the third. We can choose any two assets for our portfolio. Let’s choose the stock and derivative, and create a bond.
Our portfolio will consist of ∆ shares of the stock and β of the derivative.
Pt = ∆ t St + β t ct
The first thing we need to do is compute dP and choose ∆ and β to eliminate the dz term. To compute dP, we could use Ito’s lemma:
Primbs, MS&E 345
7
Now we have 3 price processes:
nothing dB = rBdt dS = µSdt + σSdz dc = (ct + µScS + 1 σ 2 S 2 cSS )dt + σScS dz 2
Bond: Stock: Derivative:
ct + rScS + 1 σ 2 S 2 cSS = rc 2
= rPdt
∆ = − βcS
The Black-Scholes Equation
Primbs, MS&E 345
13
Which derivative was this? If it was a European call option with strike K and maturity T:
dc = (ct + µScS + 1 σ 2 S 2 cSS )dt + σScS dz 2
c( St , t )
Primbs, MS&E 345
6
Now we have 3 price processes:
dB = rBdt dS = µSdt + σSdz dc = (ct + µScS + 1 σ 2 S 2 cSS )dt + σScS dz 2
dP = β (ct + 1 σ 2 S 2 cSS )dt 2
nothing must look like the bond substitute P = ∆S + βc substitute
= r (∆S + βc)dt = rβ (c − cS S )dt
β (ct + 1 σ 2 S 2 cSS ) = rβ (c − cS S ) 2
Primbs, MS&E 345
8
Now we have 3 price processes:
nothing dB = rBdt dS = µSdt + σSdz dc = (ct + µScS + 1 σ 2 S 2 cSS )dt + σScS dz 2
Bond: Stock: Derivative:
6 5 4 3
St = S0e
( µ − 1 σ 2 ) t +σzt 2
2 1 0
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Primbs, MS&E 345
5
The Set-up: Securities: Bond: Stock:
dB = rBdt
dS = µSdt + σSdz
Consider a derivative security whose price depends on St and t. We will call it: By Ito’s lemma:
Primbs, MS&E 345
3
The Set-up: Securities: Bond: Stock:
dB = rBdt
dS = µSdt + σSdz
14
12
Bond: -Deterministic -Exponential Growth -Continuous compounding
10
8
Bond: Stock: Derivative:
Our portfolio will consist of ∆ shares of the stock and β of the derivative. So, we have:
dP = ∆dS + βdc
P = ∆S + βc
The equation for dP is known as the self-financing constraint. As long as no money is added or taken from the portfolio, it will have the above dynamics.
Primbs, MS&E 345
11
Now we have 3 price processes: ∆ + β
nothing dB = rBdt dS = µSdt + σSdz dc = (ct + µScS + 1 σ S 2 cSS )dt + σScS dz 2
Bond: Stock: Derivative:
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Let’s think about how a portfolio works:
Now your portfolio is worth
You purchase ∆t shares of stock and βt of the derivative.
Pt + dt = ∆ t St + dt + β t ct + dt
Primbs, MS&E 345
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Assumptions (to be used throughout most of the course) •There are no transaction costs (i.e. markets are frictionless) •Trading may take place continuously •There is no prohibition on short selling •The risk free rate is the same for borrowing and lending •Assets are perfectly divisible. These are the “standard assumptions”. When I deviate from them, I will mention it specifically, otherwise assume that they are always in force.
If you want, you can rebalance your portfolio now. But if you don’t add or take out any money, then
Your portfolio is worth Pt = ∆ t St + β t ct
dt period
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Bt = B0 e rt
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Primbs, MS&E 345
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The Set-up: Securities: Bond: Stock:
dB = rBdt
dS = µSdt + σSdz
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Stock: -Geometric Brownian Motion -Log-Normal -Always positive
Our portfolio will consist of ∆ shares of the stock and β of the derivative.
Pt = ∆ t St + β t ct
To create a bond, we can dynamically choose ∆ and β so that the portfolio is riskless (i.e. dP has no dz term). Since this portfolio will be riskless, it must earn the same rate of return as the bond. Hence, we must have dP=rPdt. (Otherwise, we can arbitrage by shorting the one with the smaller return, and using that money to buy the one with the larger return). Let’s perform these calculations...