人民币汇率变化对我国国际贸易的影响 (1)

封皮

人民币汇率变化对我国国际贸易的影响

摘要

汇率作为一种国家货币和另一种国家的货币的交易比例，是为了衡量一个国家内部和外部的平衡的重要工具，同时也是调整国际经济竞争，最直接最有效的手段。1973年布雷顿森林体系崩溃后，浮动汇率体系下的汇率体系波动加剧，国际贸易增速显著放缓，汇率波动对国际贸易的影响成为经济研究热点之一。

本文分析了人民币汇率不断上升的背景下，以人民币汇率与中国进出口贸易的关系分析人民币汇率对中国进出口贸易的影响。本文分为4个部分，第一部分是引言部分。第二部分介绍了人民币汇率和进出口贸易的概念。第三部分定性分析了汇率变化对中国进出口的影响，然后运用计量经济学分析方法，分析汇率变化对中国进出口的影响，得出结论。第四部分，提出了相应的对策和建议。

关键词：人民币汇率；进出口贸易；影响

The Impact of RMB Exchange Rate Change on China 's

International Trade

Abstract

Exchange rate as a country currency and another country currency exchange rate, is to achieve a country's internal and external balance of an important tool, but also adjust the international economic competition, the most direct and effective means. After the collapse of the Bretton Woods system in 1973, the volatility of the exchange rate system under the floating exchange rate system increased, the growth rate of international trade slowed down significantly, and the influence of exchange rate fluctuation on international trade became one of the economic research hotspots.

This paper analyzes the influence of RMB exchange rate on China's import and export trade under the background of increasing exchange rate of RMB exchange rate and the relationship between RMB exchange rate and China's import and export trade. This paper is divided into five parts, the first part of the introduction. The second part introduces the concept of RMB exchange rate and import and export trade. The third part qualitatively analyzes the impact of exchange rate changes on China's import and export, and then uses the econometric analysis method to analyze the impact of exchange rate changes on China's import and export and draw conclusions. The fourth part of the appreciation of the RMB, put forward the corresponding countermeasures and suggestions.

Key words: RMB exchange rate; import and export trade; influence

目录

摘要............................................................................................................................. I Abstract .......................................................................................................................... I I 第1章引言 .. (1)

1.1 研究背景及意义 (1)

1.2国内外研究现状 (1)

1.2.1国外研究现状 (1)

1.2.2国内研究现状 (2)

1.3研究方法 (3)

第2章汇率变动与进出口贸易概述 (5)

2.1 汇率的相关含义 (5)

2.2 汇率变动的含义 (5)

2.3 影响因素 (5)

第3章人民币汇率变动对我国进出口贸易影响的分析 (7)

3.1 人民币汇率变动对我国进出口贸易的定性分析 (7)

3.1.1 人民币汇率变动对我国进出口贸易的影响 (7)

3.1.2 结论 (8)

3.2 人民币汇率变动对我国进出口贸易影响的实证分析 (8)

3.2.1 模型构建 (8)

3.2.2 指标确定 (8)

3.2.3 样本选取与数据采集 (9)

3.2.4 实证过程 (10)

3.2.5 实证结果分析 (11)

第4章应对人民币汇率变动对我国进出口贸易影响的对策 (14)

4.1宏观对策 (14)

4.1.1转变我国发展战略，由外向型向内需型转变 (14)

4.1.2实行财政政策、货币政策和汇率政策的结合 (14)

4.2微观对策 (15)