房地产金融小论文

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我国房地产金融风险论文

我国房地产金融风险论文

浅析我国房地产金融风险【摘要】房地产业是国民经济最的支柱性产业,是一个投资巨大、回收缓慢、回报丰厚、具有风险的极其复杂的系统工程,对整个金融业和国民经济的稳定与发展也至关重要。

文章分析了我国房地产业的现状,描述了当前我国房地产金融风险的集中表现,并在此基础上提出了必要的风险防范措施。

【关键词】房地产;金融风险;风险防范1 我国房地产风险现状房地产开发资金过多依赖于银行贷款,使得房地产投资的市场风险和融资信用风险集中于商业银行。

另一方面,我国目前的房地产资金链中,商业银行基本参与了房地产开发的全过程。

通过信房消费贷款、房地产开发贷款、建筑企业流动性贷款和土地储备贷款等各种形式的信贷资金集中,商业银行实际上直接间接承受了房地产市场运行中各个环节的市场风险和信用风险。

土地储备制度不完善,土地储备贷款存在隐必风险。

在目前我国土地储备制度下,土地被政府部门高度垄断。

在土地出让过程中,地方政府出于土地收益的考虑,往往希望获得较高的土地溢价。

由于各地城市开发和改造的盘子都非常大,而且土地资产价值往往很高,因此,土地购置的融资要求十分巨大,而土地收购和开发的主要资金来源于银行贷款,还款则主要依靠土地出让金。

这就增加了土地购置与开发贷款的隐含风险。

事实上,从目前情况看,在很多地方,巨额的银行信贷资金使土地储备动作机构的贷款利息负担十分沉重,地方政府为此承担了巨大的包袱。

个人住房消费信贷的发展可能存在违约风险。

商业银行普遍把个人购房贷款看成优良资产而不遗余力地大力发燕尾服。

依照国际惯例,个人房贷的风险显露期通常为3--8年。

我国个人征信系统尚未建立,商业银行也难以对贷款人的贷款行为和资信善进行充分严格的调查监控。

商业银行也难以对贷款人的贷款行为和资信善进行充分严格的调查监控。

而且,未来房价的波动和利率的变化也在一定程度上加大了拖欠还款的信用风险。

商业银行和其他金融机构存在经营行为本身不理性、不规范等问题。

由于商业银行普遍把房地产信贷作为一种“优良资金”大力发展”,在经营业务上容易产生急功近利的倾向。

房地产金融论文

房地产金融论文

房地产金融论文房地产,是一种稀缺的资源、重要的生产要素和生活必需品,是人们最重视、最珍惜的财产形式。

随着经济发展、社会进步、人口增加,对其需求日益增长。

在市场经济中,房地产还是一种商品,成为人们投资置业的良好对对象。

由房地产的投资开发、咨询、估价、经纪、物业管理等组成的房地产业,是国民经济中的一个重要产业。

金融,则是指货币资金的通融,包括与货币流通和信用有关的一切经济活动。

金融的基本职能是为经济的运行筹集资金与分配资金,它是通过金融市场或者金融中介直接或者间接地将资金从供给方转移到需求方。

房地产与金融的结合,便是房地产金融,它是金融的重要组成部分,其基本理论、运行原理、经营管理、产品设计、风险管理等方面均以一般金融理论为基础,并与其他金融具有许多共同之处;另一方面,由于房地产金融在金融市场上占有较大的份额,而且具有较强的特殊性,因此,房地产金融往往被作为一门独立的学科进行研究。

这一段时间,我们在老师的带领下学习了这门课程,老师主要向我们介绍了有关房地产投资的开发、估价、营销、物业管理、金融、会计等方面的知识。

并且结合课本,深入地讲解了房地产金融方面的基础知识、基本原理,以及房地产金融的基本业务种类、操作方法进行了系统地分析、论述,并结合国内外的典型做法进行了分析、比较。

使我们掌握了房地产金融概论、房地产金融基础知识、住房抵押货款原理、住房抵押贷款种类、住房公积金制度、房地产企业贷款、住房抵押贷款证券化原理和种类等方面的知识。

一、学习内容概括:第一章房地产金融概论:在这一章中,我们首先学习房地产金融的基本原理,了解了房地产金融的基本含义。

认识了金融市场结构、房地产金融市场结构以及房地产贷款的种类,并且掌握了房地产金融的特点有:(一)房地产金融是有担保的信用(二)房地产金融以抵押权为基础(三)房地产金融一般要实行证券化(四)房地产金融具有较强的政治性(五)房地产金融业务成本较高收益较好;作用有:(一)增加房地产资金投入,促进房地产业的发展(二)提高居民购房支付能力,支持居民住房消费(三)调整银行信贷资产结构,改善资产质量(四)执行国家房地产业政策,有效调节房地产业发展其次学习了房地产金融的运营模式,了解了房地产金融的立法体制,监管制度。

房地产经济学论文范文精选3篇(全文)

房地产经济学论文范文精选3篇(全文)

房地产经济学论文范文精选3篇经济金融政策对房地产行业的影响经济学论文[[近几年,随着房地产投资的急剧增和气房价的持续攀升,房地产成了炙手可热的话题。

无庸置疑,房地产业在我国国民经济中具有举足轻重的地位。

而据研究表明,我国房地产开发企业绝大部分资金来源于银行贷款。

这种对银行完全依赖的房地产业进展模式,一方面让房地产市场风险日益集中到商业银行,另一方面很容易通过银行信贷加以膨胀。

当房地产泡沫越吹越大时,一国经济面临的系统性风险也就越来越大。

在此形势之下,有必要用宏观经济调控来操纵房地产业的泡沫成分。

一、金融政策对房地产业影响分析1)对房地产企业的影响加息会增加房地产企业的融资成本,但对于不同的房地产企业来说,影响也不尽相同。

负债结构不同,融资渠道不同以及资金实力不同的房地产企业受加息的影响也不同。

对于那些负债率较高,融资渠道单一,经营业绩较差的房地产企业,加息后企业的经营要面临强大的压力。

2)对消费者的影响加息无疑会增加其还贷压力,促使某些消费者提前还贷或部分提前还贷。

据新浪财经的一项调查显示,有七成左右的被调查者认为央行未来还将继续加息,而央行的连续加息,利率所提高的累积幅度让消费者的还贷成本增加了许多。

3)对房价的影响房价在短期内受加息影响较小,但未来房价增长将趋于:XX://平缓。

宏观金融政策本身的性质决定了其真正凸现于经济进展的成效上需要相当长的一段时间。

加息对于购房者来说意味着购房支出的增加,这实际上是央行在削减对贷款购房者的支持力度,降低其购买力。

而购买力的降低必定会减少对房地产需求,这种对需求的抑制作用将最终决定供给,从而操纵过高的房价,产生积极的降温作用,使房价回归理性。

1、存款准备金率政策根据经济学原理,上调法定存款准备金率会对货币供应总量产生乘数效应:当提高存款准备金率时,货币乘数减小,商业银行可运用的资金减少,贷款能力下降,货币流通量相应以一定比率减少。

但是据商业银行的数据显示,个人住房贷款并未因房价上涨、加息等因素影响而大幅减少。

房地产金融论文--浅析抵押贷款证券化的优劣势

房地产金融论文--浅析抵押贷款证券化的优劣势

浅析抵押贷款证券化的优劣势摘要:抵押贷款指借款者以一定的抵押品作为物品保证向银行取得的贷款。

它是资本主义银行的一种放款形式、抵押品通常包括有价证券、国债券、各种股票、房地产、以及货物的提单、栈单或其他各种证明物品所有权的单据。

证券化是一把双刃剑。

一方面,以证券化为代表的二级市场推动了银行业的专业化与规模化发展,从根本上改变了传统银行的盈利模式,帮助新兴银行突破资本的瓶颈,分离存贷款业务,使其可以凭借较少的资本控制大量的盈利性资产,从而推动专业化贷款银行的诞生。

另一方面,证券化的方便融资功能以及直接连通投资人与贷款资产的功能,也确实为银行拓展风险边界提供了便利,从而可能引致风险的残留,而这些残留的风险在证券化推动的规模化过程中将以更快的速度积聚,埋下风险的隐患。

关键词:抵押贷款证券化优劣势1抵押贷款抵押贷款指借款者以一定的抵押品作为物品保证向银行取得的贷款。

它是资本主义银行的一种放款形式、抵押品通常包括有价证券、国债券、各种股票、房地产、以及货物的提单、栈单或其他各种证明物品所有权的单据。

贷款到期,借款者必须如数归还,否则银行有权处理器抵押品,作为一种补偿.2抵押贷款分类2.1银行抵押贷款2.1.1个人住房贷款1。

个人住房商业性贷款个人住房商业性贷款,是银行信贷资金所发放的自营贷款,指具有完全民事行为能力的自然人,购买本市城镇自住住房时,以其所购产权住房为抵押物,作为偿还贷款的保证而向银行申请的住房商业性贷款、2.个人住房公积金贷款个人住房公积金贷款,是政策性的住房公积金所发放的委托贷款,指缴存住房公积金的职工,在本市城镇购买,建造、翻建、大修自住住房时,以其所拥有的产权住房为抵押物,作为偿还贷款的保证而向银行申请的住房公积金贷款。

3.个人住房组合贷款凡符合个人住房商业性贷款条件的借款人同时缴存住房公积金,在办理个人住房商业性贷款的同时还可向银行申请个人住房公积金贷款,即借款人以所购本市城镇自住住房作为抵押物可同时向银行申请个人住房公积金贷款和个人住房商业性贷款(这种贷款方式简称个人住房组合贷款)。

英文论文关于金融危机对房地产的影响的论文英文版完美版

英文论文关于金融危机对房地产的影响的论文英文版完美版

ChapterⅠ Introduction1.1 Brief Introduction of the Financial CrisisThe sub-loan crisis is also called as the subprime mortgage crisis and translated as the subprime lending crisis. It refers to a financial storm that occurred in the United States due to the bankruptcy of the sub-mortgage agencies, the forced closing of the investment funds, and the severe turbulence of the stock market. It led to the crisis in lack of liquidity at the world's major financial markets. The U.S. "Sub-Loan Crisis" began to emerge from the spring of 2006. From August of 2007, it started to sweep through the United States, the European Union, Japan, and other major financial markets in the world.Sub-loan means "subprime mortgage loan". “Sub” means the poor side corresponding to “high” and “excellent”, while in the "sub-loan crisis" it refers to the low credit and low debt-repaying capacity.Subprime mortgage loan is a high-risk and high-yield industry, which refers to the loans offered by a number of lending institutions to the borrowers with poor credit and low income. Comparing to the traditional standard mortgage loans, the subprime mortgage loans demand low levels on the borrowers’ credit history and repaying ability, but its corresponding lending rate is much higher than the normal mortgage loans. Those who are refused on high-grade mortgage loans by the bank for their bad credit history or weak repaying ability may apply for the subprime mortgage loans to buy houses.When the house price is going up, the subprime mortgage loans business is booming. Even if the borrower’s cash flow can not repay the loan, they may obtain re-loans from the value-added real estate to fill the gap. However, when the house price maintains or goes down, there will be a funding gap and then the bad debts.The subprime mortgage loan is a kind of housing mortgages abroad, to supply loans to the people with less income or lower-level credit history. The reason for supplying loans to these people is that the lending institutions can receive a mortgage interesthigher than the good credit mortgage. When the house prices rise, the loans will have no problems as a result of adequate value in pledge; but when the house prices fall, value in pledge is no longer sufficient, while the mortgager has less income, thus the loan contract may be breached and the house may be returned to the bank. It will cause the increase in the bad debts of the mortgager, the collapsed cases of the mortgage providers and the risks in the financial markets.1.2 Importance of Real Estate Industry on Beijing's GDP(Proportion)The added value of real estate industry accounts for more than 5% of the gross domestic product (GDP) in our country. As a pillar industry, it has played an important role in the national economy.Yu Xiuqin, the spokeswoman of Beijing Municipal Bureau of Statistics said on October 14, 2004, that Beijing’s GDP in the first quarter increased 13% over the same period of the previous year. The released Real Estate Investment Report by the Fixed Assets Investment Division of Beijing Municipal Development and Reform Commission on October 15 indicated that the investment growth rate in the first three quarters reduced to 20.3% from 40.6% in the first quarter, "ranking in a more reasonable range." But the Report also pointed out that the great dropping in the real estate investment "leading indicators (land development, etc.)” undoubtedly affected the potential growth of investment in real estate. The delayed impact from macro-control measures shall be paid attentions to." This Report obviously reminded that the development and investment in real estate may maintain the downward trend due to the impact of macro-control, and it may further have a certain impact on Beijing’s economic growth.What impact can macro-control br ing on Beijing’s GDP? Ding Xiangyang, Director of Beijing Municipal Development and Reform Commission, said when he reported to Beijing People's Congress Standing Committee on the implementation of nationaleconomic and social development plan during the first half year, that a series of land policies in Beijing such as the moratorium on agricultural land requisition, the ceasing of agreed land transfer, and the clean-up of investment projects in development zones, as well as the macro-control, had probably effected an investment of about RMB 120 billion yuan, with about 2-3 percentage points on affecting the annual economic growth in the next few years. The Report of the Fixed Assets Investment Division finally showed that from the investment in recent years, the proportion of real estate investment had always been maintained at above 55%, which did not match the direction of industrial restructuring on developing high-tech industries and modern manufacturing sectors. In order to maintain the consecutive and stable economic growth of the city and optimize the industrial structure, it is necessary to intensify the investment structure adjustment and increase the proportion of industrial investment, especially under the circumstances that the potentials in the real estate industry are affected."We can see such a logic relationship: the real estate investment maintains a high proportion in recent years, while the macro-control reduces the real estate investment growth rate, which will annually decrease several p ercentage points of Beijing’s GDP in the next few years. Real estate has an extraordinary impact on Beijing's economy. The proportion of real estate investment is too large? According to the planning of National Development and Reform Commission, Beijing City has cleaned up the fixed assets projects in the city. From the information of Beijing Municipal Development and Reform Commission, there are more than 6000 projects being cleaned up, in which more than 600 projects involved in violations. Among them, there are 53 projects being stopped the construction or cancelled and 554 projects being suspended the construction for rectification, with a total investment amount of RMB 164 billion yuan, accounting for 1/5 of the total number in our country. From the project clean-up situation, there is still more than 50% of investment concentrated in the real estate field among all the city's investment projects being constructed or planned for construction. Figures show that the real estate investment in Beijingaccounts for 56.5% of the total investment in the entire society, far exceeding the national average level of 18%. The Report of the Fixed Assets Investment Division of Beijing Municipal Development and Reform Commission suggests that the proportion of real estate investment is too large, "and this does not match the direction of industrial restructuring on developing high-tech industries and modern manufacturing sectors."However, Ren Zhiqiang, President of Huayuan Group who researches much on the economic indexes said, "Beijing originally has a lot of lands for use, but the Capital has not implemented constructions for a long time, and now the construction develops after conquering great difficulties, a higher proportion of real estate investment is normal." Professor Y e Jianping, Head of the Land Management Division of Renmin University of China, considered that demands for housing and the supply in Beijing in recent years had promoted the proportion growth of investment, although this proportion of 56.5% was much higher than the international average level. However, it is very difficult to evaluate whether it is right or not at special stages in a specific period." Nevertheless, there must be problems if such proportion maintains in a long period." Someone in the Fixed Assets Investment Division of Beijing Municipal Development and Reform Commission said that a higher proportion in real estate investment has certain rationality at the present stage on accelerating urban transformation, urbanization and economic growth. And now all aspects of the real estate industry are still within the safety line in general. A large number of bubble phenomenon such as housing vacancy or price skyrocketing have not occurred. But he also pointed out at the same time that it was very easy to emerge bubbles as the real estate industry was greatly affected by the policy. Therefore Beijing, as a large-sized city, if the proportion of real estate investment is too large, the city’s whole economy will accordingly become more vulnerable.Who is the largest contributor to GDP? The official data from Beijing Municipal Development and Reform Commission show that the direct pulling role of real estate on Beijing’s GDP is between 5% and 10%. Experts believe that the direct contributionof the real estate industry to GDP completely results from the demand growth in the real estate market. It is reported that the volume of demolition in Beijing reduces at the annual rate of 20% for 5 consecutive years. There were about 100,000 removing households in Beijing 5 years ago, but in 2004 there were only 20,000. In the past a considerable portion of the demand in Beijing real estate market consists of urban renewal, infrastructure construction as well as a large number of demolitions invested by the government. Now although the government demolitions decline a lot, the consumption amount has not reduced, thus the real estate market remains a strong demand. "With this demand, the relatively high proportion of real estate in GDP is quite normal, because Beijing's real estate is not for Beijing City only, but for the whole country and even the world."In addition to the pulling role of the strong demands in real estate market on Beijing’s GDP, it is well known that the real estate industry drives its upstream and downstream industries. Someone in Beijing Municipal Development and Reform Commission disclosed: "According to the sales estimation, the proportion of real estate and the relevant industries such as its driven raw materials and service industry is about 1:1.2." "Real estate investment can drive a dozen of or a hundred of related industries." Ren Zhiqiang had his personal experience. He considered that from an investment view, the real estate industry could stimulate many affiliated industries, thus it had a great impact on the whole GDP. But he also said that the current method of calculating GDP was on the basis of the net investment amount, excluding the consumption, whereas the related consumption of real estate such as second-hand housing transaction was a very important part of the real estate industry. Therefore he thought that the statistical methods on GDP was not entirely correct, which could not calculate accurately the specific contribution value of the real estate industry. What he implicated was that: the present statistics were incomplete, and the polling function of the real estate industry on GDP had been underestimated.Macro-control on the balance beam: more than one expert warned that the long-term development of a city could not rely on continuous investment though real estateplayed an important role in driving the fixed assets investment and GDP. It should develop more industries. Only the driving industries can bring sustainable development, no matter what it is the first, second or third industry. Someone in the Investment Division of Beijing Municipal Development and Reform Commission introduced that for the adjustment of investment structure, the Municipal Development and Reform Commission at present had established a long-term guideline aiming at reducing the proportion of real estate in the fixed assets investment in Beijing: to change the structure with so large real estate investment at present by increasing the investment on other industries and fields, rather than limiting the current real estate projects, in order to increase the growth points of the city and avoid large effects on the whole economy resulted from the changing real estate industry. At the same time, we shall strengthen market monitoring and analysis, guide the restructuring of real estate products, focus on developing the mid-priced residential houses, and expand the size of second-hand housing market etc. "But the government has the responsibility to control the real estate for avoiding major fluctuations." The staff in the Investment Division of the Development and Reform Commission said that people in the real estate industry were more psychologically vulnerable to the effects of the outside world. Therefore the misconduct may result in insufficient investment in real estate, declining engineering volume, effecting the development of the relevant service and raw material industries, and finally directly or indirectly affecting the entire GDP growth." So the real estate investment, no matter it is up or down, should be a smooth process. It shall follow the principle of ensuring a smooth and stable development in real estate, to prevent the sharp ups and downs." The information on our country’s real estate and construction of 2007 shows that there are 63,000 real estate development enterprises in 2007, with a total employment of 1,720,000 people; the completed investment on real estate development is RMB 2.5289 trillion yuan, with an increase rate of 30. 2%.Statistics show that the asset-liability ratio of China's real estate development enterprise in 2007 was 74.4%; the real estate development enterprises realized a totalprofit of RMB 290 billion yuan, with an increase rate of 48.4%.The released information also shows that China's real estate industry in 2007 still has problems such as irrational housing supply structure, high housing prices and so on. Statistics show that in 2007 the affordable housing investment accounts for 4.6% in the commercial residential investment, reducing 0.5 percentage points; residential housing under 90 square meters only accounts for 23.3% in the commercial residential housing; the real estate sales areas reduced a lot at the end of the year.ChapterⅡ Financial CrisisThe real estate industry is the leading industry of China's national economy, which ranks a decisive position in the modern social and economic life. After more than ten years of development, China's real estate industry is in the transition period towards to a large-scaled, branding and standardized operation. The growth means of the real estate industry is changing the focus on from speed and scale to benefit and market segmentation, and the relied aspects from the government’s policy c ontrol to market regulation and corporate self-regulation. In the first half of 2006, the rigid housing demand in Beijing released a lot, and the supply in the commercial forward delivery housing market turned on a recovering trend. There were four features showed in Beijing’s real estate market in 2006: the investment growth in real estate recovered and the residential investment increased a lot; new construction area increased fast, but the completion area of residential buildings reduced; the sales in the housing market boomed, but the vacant space lessened; the residential price index continued to increase, but at a stable rate.Beijing’s investment in real estate increases rapidly. From January to June in 2006, the completed investment in real estate development in Beijing was RMB 64.01 billion yuan, increasing 20.8% over the same period in the previous year, with an increased rate of 12.7 percentage points. From January to June in 2006, the completedland development area of the real estate development enterprises in Beijing reached 1,964,000 square meters, increasing 130% over the same period in the previous year; the vacancy space decreased for the flourishing market demand and supply reduction. At the end of June in 2006, the vacancy space of commercial housing in Beijing covered an area of 9,652,000 square meters, with 4,090,000 square meters less than that at the beginning of the year, with a decreasing rate of 29.8%. From January to June in 2006, the fund in place of Beijing’s real estate developmen t enterprises was RMB 126.52 billion yuan, increasing 20.3% over the same period in the previous year, in which the financial loans was RMB 33.95 billion yuan, increasing 40.1% over the same period in the previous year. It accounted for 26.8% of the fund in place that year, raising 3.8 percentage points.Since 2006, the housing sales price index in Beijing City showed a slight upward trend. From January to June in 2006, the total price index of newly-built commercial houses accumulated at 107.7%, increasing 0.6 percentage points than that of the previous month, and increasing 1 percentage point than that at the same period of the previous year; of which the residential price index accumulated at 108.5%, increasing 0.5 percentage points than that of the previous month, and increasing 1.3 percentage points than that at the same period of the previous year; the second-hand residential price index accumulated at 109.5%, almost the same as that of the previous month, and increasing 3 percentage points than that at the same period of the previous year. The price increasing rate of ordinary residential housing exceeded that of the high-grade residential houses. From January to June in 2006, the average residential price index in Beijing’s newly-built residential houses accumulated at 110%, exceeding 4.2 percentage points than that of the high-grade residential houses.The competition in Beijing’s real estate industry has become increasingly fierce and white-hot. As for the developers, Sunco’s entry into Beijing, the establishment of Beijing Capital Development Holding Group, together with the macro-control policy of the past two years, the rising interest rates, 8.31 Land Revolution (The agreed land transfer was prohibited since August 31, 2004), the introductions of the State’s 8Articles and 6 Measures on controlling the real estate market, the entry of overseas real estate funds, all of these made the competition war even more interesting. Accompanied by the clank of horns, the developers are making every effort to win in the real estate market. The agency industry has also begun the price war. In the future the industries will be fully integrated, which is a general trend.ChapterⅢ Overall Conditions of Beijing Real Estate after theFinancial CrisisComparing with the previous two years, Beijing’s real estate market in 2008 had much more challenges. The Olympic opportunity existed with the financial crisis and the real estate market advanced slowly in the year. In the first half of the year, the theory of the turning point in real estate market was very popular, "the concept of the Olympic Games" deeply rooted in people’s hearts did not bring about the active transactions in the real estate market. "Wait-and-see" has become the pronoun of the real estate market. In the second half after the Olympic Games, the real estate transactions had not fully warmed up, and the global financial crisis came. Thus the second-hand housing prices began to fall, and the government decreased the deposit and lending rates to stimulate the market consumption. The redemption and reform policies in the second-hand housing transaction taxes and fees came out, but they had no obvious effects on the one-year sluggish real estate market. In a word, the Olympic Games opportunity and the financial crisis existed together in 2008, and Beijing’s second-hand housing market was on the fence.In 2009, the global economy may appear the first negative growth after the Second World War. In addition, the economic recession, low inflation, the release of potential risks in the economic and financial fields and so on, reveal that the world’s economic recession and risk are amplifying step by step. In order to stabilize the financialmarkets and stimulate the economic growth, each country has introduced measures. However, the economic recovering signs in major economic unions are still rare. From the latest data of 2009, the economic recession of major developed economies is deepening, and the financial crisis is sweeping rapidly from the developed countries to the developing countries with a growing impact on the global real economy. Confronted with the changing economic situation and the unprecedented challenges brought about by the international financial crisis, China has begun a new round of macro-controls with unprecedented efforts. The implementation of an active fiscal policy and an appropriately loose monetary policy conveys a clear signal: the macro-controlling measures on expanding domestic demand, maintaining the growth and adjusting the structure will help China's economy come out of the woods and enter into the new stage of development. On September 15, 2008 the central bank announced that the lending rate was firstly down after 6 years. In November of 2008, ten measures to expand domestic demand were made out. The Central Economic Work Conference reaffirmed the goal of guaranteeing the growth. The revitalization policies on ten industries policy were intensely approved. Facing the crisis, China is taking a decisive and strong action.ChapterⅣ The Real Estate Industry in Beijing the FinancialCrisis4.1 The Impact on House Prices and Sales V olume4.1.1 People’s Living StandardsBeijing residents have a proximate RMB20, 000 average total incomes for household, specially speaking, it is RMB19, 533.3, which goes up 14.1% than the previous year. The working salaries are the major one in household income, and it has a RMB13,666.3 working salaries per capita.4.1.2 Macro-ControlHere comes on the "inviting, auction, and nominating" policy from government, all the land should be through the inviting public bidding, auction and nominal quotation before joining the market in the "831 the end".1). 2004 in land policy, there are two forms of constructional land, one is allocation, and the other is making agreement to sell.From August 31st, 2004, all the operational land must be sold by public auction. In other words, before in August 31st, 2004, every provinces, regions and municipalities are banned to use the historical legacy issues to sell the usufruct of the national land in the agreement way, protocol selling the land is prevailing once, but it was prohibited by the government. The document also stipulates that after 31 August, 2004, developers are required to pay the land transfer payments in time, and if the lands are not developed within two years, the government will withdraw it. “8.31" is also treated by the public opinion in China as "the real estate sector of the agrarian revolution" and "Sunshine of Lands".2).Financial policy: the People's Bank put into practice the purposes of including raising deposit and loan rates, increasing the statutory reserve rate as well as other industry-specific credit policy and other means to tighten the flexibility of the market, and also reducing the monetary supply thereby curbing inflation so as to achieve the purpose of tightening monetary policy.3). Sales policy: the pre-sale system is practicableThe overall circumstances of macro-manipulation:<1>.The circumstance is squeezing at the two ends: the standards of land and thepurchase of houses are undergoing the compression, for example, less than 70 percent houses are constructed under 90 m2 according to the requirements.<2>. Middle-squeeze: For example, tightening monetary policy.4.1.3 Developers:The prices of commercial houses are formed by land, construction and raw materials. After 2007, it costs RMB10, 000 to buy 1m2 of lands, which give rise to4.2 The Effect of Financial Crisis to Consumers, Policies and Developers:4.2.1 Consumers:The restriction of people who purchase the economically affordable houses. The listed trades, however, have a limit of the autonomy of more than five years, in the past, the original real estate is treated as an investment, but now it can be only used as personal residences.4.2.2 The Current Policy (After the Financial Crisis)1).Land policy: reducing the land supply, majority of them are policy-based houses (both affordable housing and limited room)2).Financial policy: which is used to control the loan. Facing the outbreak of the serious financial crisis, the financial sectors should try their best to reduce the risk and preserve their original property.3). Sales policies: which is aimed at the developers, they are not allowed to sale inadvance. After 2008, if meeting the demand of the national pre-sale conditions, which is, obtaining the evidence of the land, land permits, planning permits and construction permits are qualify to apply for the pre-sale permit.Secondly, restrictions on second-hand housing market are indispensible, such as, people should own the affordable housing more than five years before they can conduct transactions, which controls of the market, the phenomenon of real estate speculation and building speculation, and thus prices will decline.4.2.3 Aiming for Developers:After the outbreak of the financial crisis, great changes have taken place in consumers’ mind, they unconsciously develop a minds et of waiting to buy with cash in hand, developers are also holding a breath and waiting for the rise of the prices by rare sale, because if the original land cannot be sold, it will certainly have the impact on the return of funds, thereby they are unable to develop new properties, which results in a vicious circle. That is, the originally land bought from the market with a price will not be able to develop, which caused cash flow difficulties. Since October, with the financial crisis becomes increasingly intense, the consumers have more seriously wait-and-see attitude to the real estate market, meanwhile, the government, however, lowers the loan interest rate twice, moreover, it simultaneously issued a policy about the reform of taxation expenses of second-hand houses, which, to some extents, stimulates the recovery of property market.ChapterⅤ Conclusion5.1 Consequences and T endencyThere are three years that Beijing housing sale market has been undergoing declining. Nevertheless, thanks to the consecutive reduction of the interest for five times last second half year and a series of provoking house-purchase policies from government, the growth of the first-quarter appears this year.In 2008, the Wall Street crisis in the United States was not only quickly spread to the global financial markets, but also extended from the virtual economy to the real economy. What is worse, the unprecedented financial crisis was most likely to expand into the American dollar crisis and the economic recession, the worst pa rt is that the risks, which the global economy may get caught into a severe recession, are skyrocketing day by day. With the huge effect of the American Financial Crisis, on the one hand, the global financial markets were fiercely shaken, one the other hand, the primary stocks were overwhelmed in a vast scale, fear and a crisis of confidence over the whole market. Although the United States carried out a large-scale rescue package, it might still failed to prevent the slump the global stock markets. Under the U.S. financial crisis, the world's major financial institutions have experienced several consecutive quarters of declining profits and growing for asset write-downs and credit losses. More seriously, the current major economies decline in extremely high speed, signing the obvious economic recession over the world.Because of the effects of the global financial crisis, Chinese economy was decelerating the growth rate. Besides, there are still some factors, such as increasing cost and decreasing profit etc., have already have impact on the investment willingness and ability of some enterprises, thus restrict the rising consuming. As far as now, some essential Chinese industries are running down, just like steel, electric power, vehicle industries. In order to resist the adverse effect of international。

房地产计量经济学论文

房地产计量经济学论文

房地产计量经济学论文房地产市场是经济活动中一个重要的领域,对于房地产价格的变动和影响因素进行研究具有重要的实践意义。

本文主要运用了计量经济学的方法,通过对房地产市场数据的实证分析,探讨了影响房地产价格的各种因素,并对其进行了分析和解释。

首先,本文对房地产价格的影响因素进行了理论分析。

在理论分析中,本文考虑了宏观经济因素、政策因素、房地产市场供需关系等因素对房地产价格的影响。

然后,本文采用了多元线性回归模型,对中国某城市的房地产价格数据进行了实证分析。

通过对模型的检验和变量的显著性分析,得出了一些重要的结论。

在结果分析中,本文发现了一些对房地产价格具有重要影响的因素。

首先,宏观经济因素对房地产价格具有显著影响,比如国民经济总量、金融政策等因素对房地产价格的影响。

其次,政策因素也对房地产价格有重要的影响,比如地方政府出台的各种政策对房地产价格的影响。

最后,供需关系也是影响房地产价格的重要因素,房屋的供求关系对房地产价格影响巨大。

通过对房地产价格的影响因素进行了实证分析和解释,本文得出了一些结论和政策建议。

首先,政府应该加强对房地产市场的监管,防范因素对房地产市场的影响。

其次,政府应该加大对房地产市场的调控力度,有效控制房地产价格的波动。

最后,政府应该调整经济政策,促进房地产市场的健康发展。

总之,本文通过对房地产价格的影响因素进行了理论分析和实证分析,得出了一些重要的结论和政策建议。

这对于理解房地产价格的变动和影响因素,促进房地产市场的健康发展具有一定的理论和实践意义。

房地产市场对经济的稳定与发展具有重要作用。

本文的研究成果可以为制定未来的政策和规划提供参考,有助于有效调控房地产市场,确保房地产市场稳定和健康发展。

另外,本文的研究也有一些不足之处。

首先,由于数据的局限性,本文只对中国某城市的房地产市场进行了分析,结果可能不具有普遍适用性。

未来研究可以扩大样本范围,对更多地区的房地产市场进行研究,使研究结果更具有普适性。

房地产经济论文

房地产经济论文

房地产经济论文房地产经济论文2篇房地产经济论文范文一:低碳经济对我国房地产经济的影响我国是世界上最大的碳排放国之一,越来越严重能源危机使我国开始加快对于低碳经济的发展。

而房地产行业一直是高污染行业,所有,为了适应现在社会的发展需求,促进低碳经济的发现愈发的重要。

为了促进经济发展,消除资产泡沫,增加就业几率,低碳房地产经济的发展,对于促进绿色生产具有十分重要的意义。

低碳经济在房地产方面的展开,离不开国家支持和房地产行业内部对其的关注,当然社会整体对于低碳消费观念的认可,也是实现低碳经济的必要因素。

一、我国房地产行业走低碳发展道路的重要性对于房地产行业来说,提高能源效率以及减少废气污染的排放是低碳发展道路的主要目标,所以,我们首先要确保,使用的原料必须是无污染,无毒。

而在生产建材企业也需要符合建筑行业的地毯发展需求,才能让他们的产品对社会接纳。

所以说,房地产行业的低碳发展,最为关键的是可以推动该行业的绿色生产,绿色消费,促进下游实施。

而低碳房地产行业的发展,以降低资源的减少浪费,以得到更高质量的生活,节能减排,也是抑制气候变暖的最要措施。

二、低碳经济对我国房地产经济产生的影响1.低碳经济对房地产经济的不利影响。

1.1致使房地产的开发成本增加。

低碳经济的核心内容需要利用新能源、新材料和新技术,在我国房地产行业发展低碳经济,需要花更多的钱去开发新技术、新设施,同时更昂贵、更高效地利用能源来代替传统的高污染、高能耗的能源,实际上是一种更为昂贵的行为。

因此,低碳经济将增加房地产行业发展的成本。

1.2低碳经济会在短期内制约我国房地产经济的发展。

目前,我国的房地产建设模式所采用的共同特点是高耗能,短期内很难改变这一特点。

例如,在能源和技术上,很难在短时间内实现适当的变化。

房地产行业的发展并没有脱离能源的支持,而能源价格低廉,使用方便,使我国房地产行业得到了快速发展。

在发展低碳经济的情况下,如果失去了低能量支撑,房地产行业的发展在短期内会受到一定程度的影响和制约。

房地产经济论文15篇(分析我国房地产经济泡沫预防策略)

房地产经济论文15篇(分析我国房地产经济泡沫预防策略)

房地产经济论文15篇分析我国房地产经济泡沫预防策略房地产经济论文摘要:我国房地产经济在运行和发展的过程中依然存在很多的矛盾和问题,譬如说政策管理的问题,包括没有形成有效的管理体制,而相关的房地产政策缺乏一定的目的性等。

鉴于房地产行业在整个经济运行过程中的重要作用,我们有必要通过一系列的措施来规范房地产经济的发展,建立和健全发展管理机制,强化对市场的监管作用,有效的发挥市场的功效,加强规划,从而持续推动房地产行业的发展。

关键词房地产经济房地产论文房地产房地产经济论文:分析我国房地产经济泡沫预防策略论文关键词:房地产;楼市;泡沫经济论文摘要:文章对房地产市场泡沫的产生与危害及其对策作简要分析。

2010年我国政府对房地产市场进行了一系列的经济改革和政策调整,旨在抑制过快增长的房地产泡沫经济,保障房地产市场稳定健康的发展,维护广大人民的住房权利。

一、房地产市场泡沫所谓泡沫经济,是指由于人们非理性的经济活动,导致某种交易物的价格剧烈增长,这个价格远远超过其本身的价值。

这种突然形成的高价,不能长期维持,按照经济规律,经过一定的时间它必然会下降到符合其价值的水平上,这种现象就像泡沫的破裂一样,所以称作泡沫经济。

当这种现象发生在房地产市场时,便形成了房地产市场泡沫经济。

房地产市场泡沫的大规模爆发最早产生于日本。

从1985年开始,日本政府为了刺激经济发展采取了非常宽松的金融政策,鼓励资金流入房地产市场,同时由于美元贬值,大量国际资本进入日本的房地产业,导致房价飞涨,使得国民纷纷投机房地产市场。

二、我国房地产泡沫的产生近年来,由于房地产业所带来的巨大经济效益,各地政府对待房地产项目几乎是一路绿灯,在政策与经济上都给予其相当大的扶持力度,这使得房地产业的发展势头过于强劲,一跃成为国民经济的支柱产业。

但这种非理性的发展,使得房地产业已经显露出超出国民经济承受范围的苗头,房价一路飙升,许多地区的房价已经远远超过了普通民众的购买能力,“地王”与“天价”楼盘不断地涌现,房地产业已经成为暴利行业的代名词,其产生的经济泡沫也在不断增长。

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南开大学现代远程教育学院考试卷2014-2015年度秋季学期期末(2015.3) 《房地产金融》主讲教师:徐保满学习中心:专业:姓名:学号:成绩:___________一、请同学们在下列题目中任选一题,写成期末论文。

1、关于拓展我国房地产融资渠道的研究2、关于我国住房公积金制度改革的研究3、我国住房公积金制度的缺陷及改革策略4、我国房地产信托业务发展中的问题分析5、我国房地产金融业的发展策略6、我国城市经济综合体建设的融资策略7、我国房地产抵押贷款证券化的实施策略8、我国商业房地产开发建设的融资策略9、关于我国发展REITS基金的研究10、我国房地产信贷风险防范策略研究二、论文写作要求论文写作要经过资料收集,编写提纲,撰写论文等几个步骤,同学们应结合课堂讲授内容,广泛收集与论文有关资料,占有一定案例,参考一定文献资料。

三、最终提交论文应包括以下内容:1、论文题目:论文题目应为授课教师指定题目,论文题目要求为宋体三号字,加粗居中。

2、正文:正文是论文主体,应占主要篇幅。

论文字数一般在2500-3000字。

论文要文字流畅,语言准确,层次清晰,论点清楚,论据准确,有独立见解。

要理论联系实际。

引用他人观点要注明出处,论文正文数字标题书写顺序依次为一、(一)、1、(1)①。

正文部分要求为宋体小四号字,标题加粗,行间距为1.5倍行距3、参考文献,论文后要标注清楚参考文献附录(不少于3个),参考文献要注明书名作者、(文章题目及报刊名称)版次、出版地、出版者、出版年、页码。

序号使用〔1〕〔2〕〔3〕……。

参考文献部分要求为宋体小四号字。

四、论文提交注意事项:1、论文一律以此文件为封面,写明学习中心、专业、姓名、学号等信息。

论文保存为word文件,以“课程名+学号+姓名”命名。

2、论文一律采用线上提交方式,在学院规定时间内上传到教学教务平台,逾期平台关闭,将不接受补交。

3、不接受纸质论文。

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拓展我国房地产企业融资渠道问题研究房地产产业作为反映国民经济的重要指标,更是国民经济的重要组成部分,在对于整个国民经济来说,房地产产业可以说是国民经济的重要基础,更是国内产业中重要的支柱性产业,根据我们现有的社会经济情况来看,房地产产业是社会生产以及生活的重要载体,房地产事业作为一个工业化、城市化发展的现代产业,在社会经济和生活中有着非常重要的意义和作用,近几年来,国内的房地产事业对于国内生产总值所做出的贡献,按照百分比进行比较,大概占据百分之三十左右,在19世纪80年房地产是属于国内产业发展中最为基础的产业,更是处于初期阶段,但是。

到了20世纪90年代,房地产事业已经到了成熟期,已经成为了经济增长和发展的关键因素和热点话题,支撑起了我国经济持续发展的重要任务,房地产产业有着十分强大的关联效应,对于推进国民经济的发展来说不容小视,通过相关数据统计分析,在每一个百分点的房地产产业中的产值得到了提高,就能够带动相关产业的百分点提高,与房地产产业相关的百分点大概就会提高到1.5到2个百分点,可见房地产产业在国民经济水平发展中起到的作用和意义是多么的重大,但是,随着世界经济的不断发展,房地产企业必然会得到发展,发展就要涉及到投资,对与房地产企业来说资金才是推进发展的重要基础,这样的情况必然会给房地产企业在融资渠道以及融资过程中增加压力,基于国内的情况,我们将在下文中对于我国房地产企业融资渠道存在的问题进行讨论。

一、我国房地产企业融资渠道的现状房地产企业的融资渠道,通常被分为两种融资起到,一种是内部融资另外一种就是外部融资,内部融资在房地产企业融资过程中,通常是具有五个重要的特点的,第一个,就是成本低,能够提高潜在的利润价值,第二、就是降低了房地产企业的存货,提高资金的周转速度,压缩了企业流动性的资本,第三、科学合理的运作了企业内部价值资本,第四、能够进行资产变卖融资,第五、是能够进行加速折旧融资,内部融资就是房地产企业自身不断将企业自身的储备化为投资的基本过程,内部融资广义上来说就是企业发展中的重要方式,更是不可缺少的重要组成部分,外部融资的特点就是在于其,密集性、大量性、灵活性、高效性等几大特点,它主要是就是指,企业通过吸入其他经济主体的资本进行转化的过程,外部融资通常最主要的方式,包括银行融资、商业性的融资、证券融资、财政融资和国际融资、企业的内部融资对于企业来说是非常重要的组成部分,但是,对于当代经济市场不断发展和加深的情况下,在进行融资过程中,必然会存在一定的难度,房地产产业作为一个密集型产业的代表,每一个房地产开发商在进行房地产项目开发中,都是需要大量的资金投入的,想要吸入大量的资金,那么房地产开发企业在进行融资过程中,所采取的融资方式就显得由于的重要和关键,在融资方式的选择上,会对融资成本以及融资收益带来的一定的影响,所以一定要谨慎的进行处理,房地产企业在融资渠道上的应用与其他的融资企业存在很大的差异性,因为其融资方式分为内部融资和外部融资,其它融资企业通常都是采用外部融资的方式。

在我国国内,随着房地产市场的不断发展,房地产的开放商的队伍也在不断的壮大,1985年我国房地产开发公司仅仅只有1900多家左右,到了2002年房地产开发公司的数量已经增加到了32600家左右,根据上面的数据比例,也就是说大概增长到了16倍左右,到2007年房地产开发公司的数量已经达到了60000多家,但是在这么多的房地产开发企业中,有大多数的企业都存在资金实力不足,缺乏一定的投资能力等情况,在2009年,国内已经有大概60多家房地产企业已经完成了大概4000亿元左右的融资,在这60多家房地产开发企业中,其中排名前15家的房地产融资企业融资总额达到了3000亿元,这其中,中国房地产中的百强企业得到了金融资本的青睐,排名前10名的房地产企业获得银行授信总额大概有2400亿元左右,由此可见融资总额中的大部分都被大型的房地产开发企业占去了,,而剩下的约40家中小型房地产企业仅仅只有1000亿元左右的融资款。

通过仔细算,大型企业的平均每家240亿融资和中小企业平均每家20亿的融资款一比较,高下立现。

这足以显示出我国大多数的房地产企业规模过小,普遍存在“小、散、差’’和住宅建设的规模化程度较低等问题。

这种状况一方面会引发恶性竞争,另一方面也不能保证房地产商品的质量。

二、我国目前房地产企业融资的主要渠道国内的房地产企业在融资过程中,主要的的融资渠道还是采用贷款的方式进行房地产企业的融资,房地产企业在进行贷款融资中,最主要采取的形式有以下三种,第一、房地产开发流动资金贷款,第二、房地产抵押形式的贷款,第三、就是房地产企业通过自身的开发项目进行项目抵押形式的贷款,虽然说采用贷款的方式进行企业的融资是最具备实效性的,但是房地产企业在进行贷款融资中,对于资金使用的时间都是非常短的,这对于房地产企业来说是无法满足房地产企业进行开发的漫长周期,央行为了能够控制银行贷款的回流,颁布了121号文件,此项规定的颁布让房地产企业在进行银行贷款时,门槛相对又提高了很多,因此,此项规定的实施和颁布,导致了很多房地产企业在短时期内不能够进行银行贷款的融资,基于这样的情况,房地产企业自身通过发行企业债券的形式来进行资金的融资,但是企业发行的债券,大多数都是新建的项目,在利息的问题上是要高过于银行利息的,而且期限相对还比较长,这样的形式也就成为了房地产企业进行融资的一项渠道。

三、我国房地产企业在融资过程中存在的问题(一)、我国房地产融资相关法制和监管不健全我国在对于房地产市场在法律、法规的建立上还是存在一定的不足的,应该予以完善,在我国现行的对于房地产企业融资的相关法律、法规与现阶段国内发展水平来说是不成正比的,对于市场的需求来说是相对落后的,市场经济总的来说就是法制经济,只要通过相关的法律、法规体系的建立才能够促使经济市场正常的运行,当前,国内在关于房地产相关法律、法规中,特别是在对于房地产抵押贷款方面来说,相关的法律、法规只有担保法,对于有关住宅贷款方面的规定非常的不透明,这样就妨碍了银行资金的安全性和流通性,在我国现行法律中对于房地产投资方面的法律、法规更是没有相关的完整的法律约束,因此这对于房地产基会发起和设立的相关融资是没有保障的,法律条文处于空白状态,房地产基金会无法可依,因此,一个完整科学的房地产金融市场的法律体系建立对于房地产企业融资来说起着关键性的作用。

(二)、房地产企业融资过程过于依靠银行房地产企业在进行融资过程中,把银行贷款的融资方式作为了重要的融资手段,比如说像以前银行在处理房地产信贷业务过程中,存在急功近利,降低贷款的情况,因为在国内房地产事业的起步相对国外来说是比较落后的,在国内经济发展的促使下,使房地产成为了新兴的产业,房地产在价格上的不断上涨,将其存在风险进行的掩盖,因此,银行对于新兴产业的市场前景是非常看好的,将房地产企业的信贷业务,作为银行良好的资产客源,不同的银行为了能够更多的抢占市场的比例,在利润的驱使之下,部分银行的下属机构就对房地产开放商实行贷款业务,降低其门槛,这样就给房地产开发商在潜意识中下了定义,觉得通过银行贷款的形式,是房地产企业融资的非常重要的手段和方式,这样一方面导致了房地产企业融资的单一性,另一方面还给房地产企业未来的发展带来了一定的风险。

(三)、多元化融资存在政策障碍会导致一定的风险国内的房地产企业之所在融资过程中,不能进行多元化的融资,其主观原因还是在于对于银行房地产信贷业务过于的依靠,客观原因在于国家没有对融资多元化提供一些机会和平台,主观和客观的原因导致了房地产企业开辟多元化融资渠道的脚步,打个比方来说,每一家房地产开发企业在融资和开发过程中,都会有相关的预算,在房地产企业的预算中,通常都是将银行贷款预算到了融资资金的数量中,这对于房地产融资来说有着非常大的影响,在1990年左右正是房地产的发展期,国家在这一时期就提出了相关的观点,对房地产企业上市是不鼓励的,对于要上市的房地产企业来说,如果企业自身的房地产收入高出了总收入的19%是不可以上市的,对于一些兼营房地产企业来说是不可以将房地产部分加以包装然后在上市的,对于股份制公司,要求必须要在申请执照下发三年以后可以申请上市,与此同时还有还需要要求公司内的管理层三年内不能发生重大的变动,这对于房地产企业来说,无疑是堵死了房地产企业进行上市融资的后路。

我国国内房地产现有的融资体系对于房地产企业以及机构来说有着非常不利的影响,为其发展留下了巨大的隐患和风险,下面我们就通过一下几点对其进行分析,首先,金融风险非常的突出,我国国内现有房地产行业中普遍存在的情况就是资产负债率比较高,房地产企业在进行房地产开发过程中,主要的融资对象就是银行,基于这样的问题,笔者认为相关的监管部门应该给予高度重视和关注,从长期发展上看,房地产企业在开发过程中对银行依赖程度过高,必然会给房地产企业的发展带来局限影响,从降低其金融风险的层次来看,在对房地产企业的负债率进行一定的控制是非常有必要的。

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