气象卫星资料同化研究进展
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资料同化研究进展:
1 Overview
2 Approaches to assimilation
Infrared radiances
(15.5–3.7 μm):
()cldLf云量,云顶高度
1、单一层假设
2、简化的云参数,来自观测的估计,而在实际大气中,它们是不均匀和非线性的。
3、按线性组合来解释云辐射
NWP centre Model Global Regional In the study
Infrared Microwave
ECMWF IFS HIRS/AIRS/IASI (4D-Var) SSMI(S)/AMSR-E/TMI (4D-Var)“all-sky system”AMSU-A ch 3、4
ground-based
radar
precipitation in
the global 4D-Var
system
JMA GSM MSM
AMSR-E/TMI (4D-Var in MSM) Ground-based radar precipitation in MSM (4D-Var (2002)
MF (France) ARPEGE AROME AIRS/IASI
Ground radar network (1D+3D-Var) (April 2010)
UKMO
UK NAE AIRS/IASI (1D-Var/4D-Var) AMSU-A ch 1 、2 (4D-Var) (‘Total’ RH) Radar rain rate(LHN) SEVIRI(1D+4D-Var) radar rain data in
NAE 4D-Var
NCEP GFS NAM WRF
TMI-retrieved surface rainrate/ AMSU-A radiance data affected by clouds over ocean in GDAS (Normalized RH and cloud water mixing ratio)
,+()cldcldcldocld
LLLp(1-N)N
N(1-)=N
几何因子N≠模式(物理)云量
N
≠物理发射率
cld
p
≠物理云顶
MMR
(the Multi-variate Minimum Residual)
MMR Cloud detection
:
3k
N
001ncldkk
kRNRNR
2k
N
ECMWF’s IFS
NCAR’s WRF
1kN NCEP’s GSI
Pixel
Cloud-top pressure(hPa) derived from Aqua MODIS
Cloud-top pressure(hPa)derived from AIRS using the NCAR MMR method
Mean temperature analysis impact (K) of cloud-affected infrared sounder radiance data assimilation
experiments :
700hpa 850hpa
ECMWF:(September–November 2009)
M´et´eo-France:(September 2010)
Environment Canada:(September 2010)
Relative change in RMS forecast errors for selected parameters between clear + cloud-affected and clear-sky
only infrared radiance data assimilation experiments:
Met Office(December 2008):
M´et´eo-France(December2008):
Microwave radiances:
Quality Control in WRF-Var :
•AIRS: Multivariate Minimum Residual (MMR) scheme for cloud detection
•AMSU, MHS, SSMIS: Scatter Index(SI)and Background CLWP for precipitation check
云检测:
对AMSU-A:散射因子、降水概率和小雨检测
对AMSU-B:通道2亮温模拟观测误差、Bennartz散射因子
UKMO:
AMSU-A channels 1 and 2
ECMWF:
“all-sky system”:AMSU-A ch 3、4,区域主要是中纬度洋面。
AMSU-A channels 5 and 6: 700hpa,400hpa,对流性云水汽凝结现象
Mean first-guess departure difference (K) of Metop AMSU-A channel 4 radiances in the radiative transfer
calculations(1–8 February 2010)
(a) cloud effects are ignored VS (b) cloud effects are included
UKMO and ECMWF 的优点:进行精确的辐射传输计算,而不是直接影响模式的物理湿度参数,只需初
猜场的云特性,与模式物理量之间的相互关系不活跃。控制矢量、背景场误差统计、线性化的物理量等不
受影响。
USA:
JCSDA and NCEP:
AMSU-A radiance data /TMI affected by clouds over ocean in GDAS
控制变量: T、Q、P、地表风 +Normalized RH and cloud water mixing ratio,total moisture(water vapour
+ cloud liquid + cloud ice + hydrometeors)
背景误差协方差矩阵:1、NMC
2、集合预报成员与集合平均之差作为预报误差近似