Application of Smart Power Strategy to Construct a More Effective Strategy to Denuclearize
找到停车的地方 英语作文
找到停车的地方英语作文Title: Finding a Parking Spot。
Finding a parking spot in a bustling city can often feel like searching for a needle in a haystack. The challenge lies not only in locating an available space but also in navigating through congested streets and competing with other drivers vying for the same limited spots. However, with a few strategic approaches and a bit of patience, securing parking can become a more manageable task.One effective strategy for finding parking is to plan ahead. Before embarking on a journey, it's helpful to research parking options in the destination area. Many cities offer online resources or mobile apps that provide real-time information about available parking spots, including their locations and pricing. By utilizing these tools, drivers can identify potential parking areas in advance and choose the most convenient option based ontheir preferences and budget.Another approach is to explore alternative parking solutions. In addition to traditional parking garages and lots, there may be hidden gems such as residential streets with unrestricted parking or off-the-beaten-path lots with lower rates. However, it's essential to be mindful of any parking regulations and restrictions to avoid fines or towing.Additionally, adopting flexible parking habits can increase the likelihood of finding a spot. For example, arriving at popular destinations during off-peak hours or on weekdays when demand is lower can significantly improve the chances of securing parking. Similarly, being open to parking further away from the desired destination and walking or using public transportation for the final leg of the journey can broaden the options available.In some cases, patience and persistence are key. When faced with limited parking options, circling the area or waiting for a spot to become available may be necessary.It's essential to remain vigilant and courteous to other drivers while waiting, avoiding blocking traffic or causing disruptions.Moreover, leveraging technology can streamline the parking process. Some cities offer smart parking systems that use sensors or cameras to monitor parking availability in real-time and guide drivers to open spots. By harnessing the power of technology, drivers can save time and frustration in their quest for parking.Furthermore, carpooling or ridesharing can alleviate the parking burden by reducing the number of vehicles searching for spots. By coordinating with friends, colleagues, or neighbors, individuals can share the cost and effort of parking while also reducing traffic congestion and environmental impact.In conclusion, while finding parking in a crowded city can be challenging, it's not an insurmountable task. By planning ahead, exploring alternative options, adopting flexible habits, exercising patience, and leveragingtechnology, drivers can increase their chances of finding a suitable parking spot. Additionally, embracing sustainable transportation solutions such as carpooling and ridesharing can contribute to a more efficient and harmonious urban environment. With a proactive and adaptable approach, the quest for parking can become a less daunting endeavor.。
探索性战略模式
Reviewed the module handbook and familiarised ourselves with the structure of the Study Direct website
Thought about strategy as the link between the firm and its environment
• PESTEL is also useful for identifying the ‘key drivers of change’, i.e. the environmental factors likely to have a high impact on the success or failure of strategy.
Are there any questions about what we covered last week?
Johnson, Whittington, Scholes, Angwin and Regnér, Exploring Strategy PowerPoints on the Web, 10th edition ©Pearson Education Limited 20142
Looked at strategic decisions and levels of strategy (corporate, business and functional)
Introduced a conceptual frame work for strategy ‘Exploring Strategy’ which talks about strategic position, strategic choice and strategy in action
科学英语：软体机器人
和谐地，调和地
参考例句：
The president and Stevenson had worked harmoniously over the last eighteen months.在过去一年半里，总统和史蒂文森一起工作是融洽的。
China and India cannot really deal with each other harmoniously.中国和印度这两只猛兽不可能真心实意地和谐相处。
7 structural
adj.构造的，组织的，建筑（用）的
参考例句：
The storm caused no structural damage.风暴没有造成建筑结构方面的破坏。
The North American continent is made up of three great structural entities.北美大陆是由三个构造单元组成的。
8 robust
adj.强壮的，强健的，粗野的，需要体力的，浓的
参考例句：
She is too tall and robust.她个子太高，身体太壮。
China wants to keep growth robust to reduce poverty and avoid job losses,AP commented.美联社评论道，中国希望保持经济强势增长，以减少贫困和失业状况。
5 requisite
adj.需要的，必不可少的；n.必需品
参考例句：
He hasn't got the requisite qualifications for the job.他不具备这工作所需的资格。
Food and air are requisite for life.食物和空气是生命的必需品。
NX软件系统用户界面的全局更改与CAM Express用户的关键好处说明书
User experience and productivity The system-wide changes to the NX ®software user interface offer key benefits for the CAM Express user.The redesigned menus and input dialogs clearly communicate required input and command steps and this is consistent with the other elements of the NX product line.The re-use of common elements to enhance operational consistency and discoverability is particularly important in CAM.For example,in noncutting moves the user interaction has been rationalized across all CAM functions.The enhanced use of role-specific user interfaces is also very important in the CAM area.This enables companies to present commands appropriate to the user’s function and level of expertise,enabling first-dayproductivity for novice users and flexibility to adapt to more functionality as their needs andproficiency grow.In CAM Express the system is delivered with the optional Express and Expert Rolesas out-of-the-box roles.The Express role sets the user interface into a level that is ideal for the newuser.It also activates a series of predefined templates that configure the system for one of a numberof key machining functions such as turning,mold and die machining or mill-turn machining.Acomplementary set of built-in tutorials linked to the Express role guide the new user though a pre-setlearning experience inside the live software.What’s new in CAM Express version 5BenefitsStreamlined operation cuts smoothly and leaves a beautiful finishEasier than ever to learn and useAvailable machine tool kits make for fast implementationFaster cutting with shorter tools in deep cavitiesMore realistic machine simulationAreas of enhancements•User experience –ease of use and user productivity•Free Flow Machining ™–a new technology for toolpath creation•Machine tool support kits –out-of-the-box content for advanced post processors and machine tool simulation sets SummaryCAM Express software is the full function,CAD-neutral numerical control (NC)programming application in the Velocity Series ™portfolio.Version 5contains the latest improvements that help manufacturers increase the value of their machine tools by tailoring the programming system to the needs of the shop,the machine tool and the NC programmer.fact sheetSiemens PLM Software /plm/camexpressVelocity Seriesflowing toolpaths with far increased tool life andbasis for the new Streamlineclean up the material that would be leftpatterns once this gets to within aa tool’sfor all identified machining features.Thistrack the progress of each feature.make it faster than ever to apply the best ContactSiemens PLM SoftwareAmericas8008072200Europe44(0)1202243455Asia-Pacific852********/plm©2008Siemens Product Lifecycle Management Software Inc.All rights reserved.Siemens and the Siemens logo are registered trademarks of Siemens AG.T eamcenter,NX,Solid Edge,T ecnomatix,Parasolid,Femap,I-deas,JT,Velocity Series and Geolus are trademarks or registered trademarks of Siemens Product Lifecycle Management Software Inc.or its subsidiaries in the United States and in other countries.All other logos,trademarks,registered trademarks or service marks used herein are the property of their respective holders.5/08。
2023届河南名校新高考高三核心模拟卷(中)英语试题(含答案解析)
A．The end of an era.
B．Her control over the country.
C．A tie with her parents.
D．The hardship in her childhood.
China announced a long-awaited plan to integrate(融合) the southern Pearl River Delta Area(PRDA) as an attempt to create a powerhouse to rival(相匹敌) the US Silicon Valley that is home to such well-known companies as Google, Facebook and Apple. The possibilities and challenges of the effort are both equally promising and challenging.
away more than a year ago, at the age of 13.
This is truly the end of an era, as Queen Elizabeth has owned more than 30 corgis
throughout her life. At one point, she had 13 at once.
excuses will become twice as useful as poet Liz Niven shows you how to turn your fantasies
into brilliant poetry!
Bookworm Club
电力线载波通信中继策略
～≯“弩锻慧总线劁赠赫－ｉ９。
小；点．以：躐稍黼鬻叠■－其本身的阻抗很小．并不是导致信号衰减的主要原因。
由于２２０Ｖ电力线并不是专用的通信线，电力线上有大量的用电负载和电力设备（如无功补偿电容等）。
这些器件的高频等效阻抗变化范围很大。
这对载波信号的衰落影响很大．且电力线上的负载是不断变化的，所以电力线信道表现出很强的时变性【引。
其次．电力线中的电磁噪声干扰影响数据信号的传输质量．主要包括电力线上传输电流发生的电磁场产生的背景噪声干扰和某些电磁波产生的脉冲噪声干扰。
另外。
在电力线中传输的正弦波在通过一定距离后会产生一定的相位偏移．也会对数据信号传输造成一定的影响［引。
２城市路灯智能监控系统城市路灯智能监控系统由３个控制层、２个通信层组成．系统的结构图如图１所示。
在该系统中，上位机服务器借助无线通信网，控制电力载波调制解调器（ＰＬＣ）。
实现城市路灯远程智能监控。
ＰＬＣ通过电力载波通信技术．将控制信号耦合到电力线上．路灯控制器（ＬＣＵ）接收电力线上的控制信号。
进行分析、处理。
做出相应的响应，实现对路灯的准确控制。
路灯控制器直接实现路灯开关控制以及路灯控制状况信息的反馈．并且在发送的控制信号不能到达目标路灯控制器时．控制信号通过路灯控制器作为中继器进行中继传递．以保证信号顺利传输到目标控制器。
每个路灯控制器都有自己的编号．从而实现了网络化的管理。
该系统的路灯分布是多分支的线型结构．每个支路上的路灯控制器的编号都是按从小到大的顺序排列．如图２所示。
图１路灯控制系统结构图Ｆｉｇ。
１Ｌａｍｐｃｏｎｔｒｏｌｓｙｓｔｅｍｓｔｒｕｃｔｕｒｅ自动化与仪表２０１１《１）图２拓扑结构Ｆｉｇ．２Ｔｏｐｏｌｏｇｉｃａｌｓｔｒｕｃｔｕｒｅ３城市路灯智能监控系统通信协议城市路灯智能监控系统有２个通信层。
针对不同的通信层的特点．设计相应的通信协议，保证通信的可靠性和准确性。
３．１上位机与ＰＬＣ的通信协议设计上位机与ＰＬＣ通信采用ＧＰＲＳ网络．是点对点的通信方式．本文定义了如图３所示的协议数据帧的格式。
高中英语作文长句积累
高中英语作文长句积累High School English Composition Sentence Structure AccumulationThe ability to construct well-structured and varied sentences is a crucial aspect of proficient English writing. As students progress through high school, they are often challenged to develop their sentence-building skills, moving beyond simple subject-verb-object constructions to more complex and nuanced expressions. This essay aims to explore the importance of sentence structure accumulation in high school English composition and provide strategies for students to enhance their writing abilities.One of the primary benefits of developing advanced sentence structures is the ability to convey ideas with greater precision and clarity. Longer, more intricate sentences allow writers to express complex thoughts, incorporate additional details, and establish logical relationships between different components of their arguments or narratives. By moving beyond the basic sentence format, students can demonstrate their command of the language and their capacity to communicate in a more sophisticated manner.Moreover, the use of varied sentence structures can significantlyenhance the overall flow and rhythm of a written piece. Alternating between short, concise sentences and longer, more elaborate ones can create a sense of cadence and musicality, making the text more engaging and enjoyable for the reader. This versatility in sentence construction also helps to avoid monotony and repetition, which can often plague writing that relies too heavily on simple subject-verb-object structures.In the context of high school English composition, the accumulation of sentence structure knowledge and skills serves several important purposes. Firstly, it aligns with the increasing academic demands placed on students as they progress through their secondary education. Many high school writing assignments, such as research papers, literary analyses, and persuasive essays, require the ability to construct complex sentences that can effectively support and develop the central thesis or argument.Secondly, the mastery of sentence structure is a crucial foundation for success in post-secondary education. University-level writing often demands a more sophisticated level of sentence construction, as students are expected to engage with complex ideas, synthesize information from multiple sources, and articulate their own original perspectives. By cultivating their sentence-building abilities in high school, students can better prepare themselves for the rigors of college-level writing.Furthermore, the development of advanced sentence structures can enhance a student's overall language proficiency and communication skills, which extend beyond the realm of academic writing. In the professional world, the ability to craft well-structured, nuanced sentences can be a valuable asset, whether in business correspondence, formal presentations, or even casual workplace discussions. Employers often value individuals who can express themselves clearly, concisely, and with a level of sophistication that reflects their intellectual capabilities.To help high school students effectively accumulate and apply their sentence structure knowledge, educators can implement various strategies and techniques in the classroom. One approach is to provide explicit instruction on different sentence structures, such as compound, complex, and compound-complex sentences, along with exercises that allow students to practice constructing and manipulating these forms. Additionally, teachers can encourage students to read a diverse range of literature, exposing them to a variety of sentence structures used by skilled writers, and then challenge them to emulate these models in their own compositions.Another effective strategy is to incorporate sentence-level revisions and editing exercises into the writing process. By having students analyze their own work and identify opportunities to enhance theirsentence structures, they can develop a deeper understanding of the nuances of language and cultivate a more discerning eye for effective writing. This process can also involve peer review, where students provide constructive feedback on each other's sentences, further reinforcing their knowledge and appreciation for well-crafted language.Furthermore, the integration of technology-based tools, such as sentence diagramming software or online grammar resources, can aid students in visualizing and comprehending the various components and relationships within complex sentences. These resources can serve as valuable learning aids, allowing students to deconstruct and analyze sentence structures, ultimately enhancing their ability to construct their own.In conclusion, the accumulation of sentence structure knowledge and skills is a crucial aspect of high school English composition. By developing the ability to craft well-structured, varied sentences, students can improve the clarity, flow, and sophistication of their written work, preparing them for the academic and professional challenges that lie ahead. Through targeted instruction, engaging exercises, and the integration of technological resources, educators can empower their students to expand their linguistic repertoire and become confident, effective communicators in the written word.。
小米财务分析英文
Financial analysis of Xiaomi1、Company profileFounded in April 2010 in Beijing, xiaomi is a company with an engineering-led culture. It always focuses on technological innovation, quality, design, user experience and efficiency of products and services, and is committed to making science and technology fun for the whole world at a cost-effective price. Millet founded in that year released a beautiful MIUI system, the first handset released the following year, successful have to use the Internet marketing methods and fans culture broke the pattern of domestic mobile phone market, became the mainland market in 2014 smartphone shipments ranked first, and become the world's third largest after apple, samsung smartphone makers. In addition to the continuous expansion in the field of smart phones, 2013In 2011, xiaomi began to focus on the layout of the Internet of things ecological chain system, and took the lead in launching the mi bracelet and air purifier products. It is expected to enter into hundreds of segments through hundreds of ecological chain enterprises invested in the next five years, so as to form a huge fleet of intelligent hardware led by xiaomi. In 2015, the monthly active users of MIUI system exceeded 100 million, and xiaomi gradually launched a series of extensive Internet application services through the MIUI platform. In the same year, xiaomi started the offline retail of xiaomi home to provide users with better user experience.In 2016, xiaomi experienced a low point in the smartphone market and encountered a bottleneck in its research and development. However, in 2017, xiaomi's ecological chain layout has achieved initial results and become the world's largest consumer IoT platform, which has also driven the common development of the smartphone field, making its business revenue over 100 billion yuan. On July 9, 2018, xiaomi group was officially listed on the main board of the Hong Kong stock exchange (hkex) as the first listed company with "different rights to the same shares". Xiaomi's market performance in 2018 is still impressive, with smartphone shipments exceeding 100 million ahead of schedule and smart IoT consumer goods continuing to gain momentum.2、Profitability analysisAccording to the financial information of xiaomi from 2016 to 2018, multiple indicators reflecting the profitability of xiaomi are analyzed. The specific results are as follows:Combined with the above growth rate indicators, it is found that the gross profit rate and net profit rate of xiaomi are in a state of constant fluctuation. As xiaomi's smartphone market cooled at the end of 2016 and its revenue growth was not obvious, its net interest rate was negative in2017. The market gross profit of millet has been growing steadily in the past three years, and the gross profit rate has been increasing steadily. To sum up, with the increase of the scale of xiaomi, the asset turnover rate has declined, but the overall profitability of xiaomi is constantly improving.3、Operational capacity analysisFrom the perspective of assets, xiaomi's current assets accounted for 63.75%, 60.35%, 68% and 67% from 2015 to 2018, and its cash reserves accounted for a large proportion. The ratio of accounts receivable to inventory is very low, among which accounts receivable remain around 5% all year round, while the proportion of inventory also dropped from 22% in 2015 to 15% in 2018. Secondly, from the perspective of production, xiaomi does not have its own proprietary factories, and the final products are all outsourced to ODM/OEM for OEM production. Therefore, the factory is the service supplier of xiaomi, and it checks the production process, raw material quality and logistics service of xiaomi products. However, it involves some core components and components with relatively high prices. Xiaomi usually purchases and distributes them to the OEM by itself, thus forming an efficient and unique supply chain through special operation forms.Table of xiaomi asset turnover from 2016 to 2018Xiaomi's average inventory turnover is 49.6 days, a turnover rate unmatched by most of its peers. It has surpassed fast-moving consumer goods brand H&M and is on a par with global department storesMar. Xiaomi's hunger marketing is closely tied to the zero inventory model. First of all, through the pre-sale mode, xiaomi can order production by sales and notify the inventory management department of the enterprise through Internet technology, so that the enterprise can obtain accurate order data, so as to scientifically arrange production tasks and adjust the production pace of the enterprise, so as to ensure the maximization of the overall efficiency of the supply chain system. Secondly, xiaomi enterprise opens up channel level inventory. For OEM manufacturers to produce qualified products, the enterprise can use the OEM warehouse for inventory turnover and deliver the pre-sold products. Through the information management means, xiaomi enterprise realizes theinternetization and transparency of enterprise management, ensures the accurate connection between enterprise inventory management and transportation management system, and ensures the internetization and dynamic of inventory management, which controls the turnover cost of the enterprise to a large extent and improves the overall operating efficiency of the enterprise.4、Solvency analysisSolvency refers to the ability of a company to repay its debts on time. The higher an enterprise's solvency is, the higher its market valuation will be and the less difficult it will be to raise operating funds. On the contrary, if an enterprise's debt paying ability is defective, it will affect investors' investment determination and investment intensity. It will not only seriously affect the market reputation of the enterprise and increase the difficulty of financing, but also lead to the poor financial indicators and pressure on the market value of the enterprise.From the analysis of short-term solvency, the enterprise's short-term solvency can be comprehensively measured and evaluated by the current ratio advancement and quick ratio, and the current ratio also rises to 1.71,which is relatively optimistic. However, although the quick ratio of xiaomi has been floating slightly in recent years, it has been floating around 1.0 and is in a relatively stable state, which means that the short-term solvency of xiaomi is relatively weak. From the analysis of long-term solvency, the asset-liability ratio of xiaomi was 241.55% in 2017 and 50.93% in 2018, which is reasonable compared with the data of other comparable companies. However, it still means that the long-term solvency of xiaomi is not particularly strong at the present stage. Therefore, from the perspective of solvency, solvency increases the financial risk of xiaomi company to some extent.5、Development capability analysisBy analyzing the operating income and gross profit of Xiaomi Technology from 2016 to 2018, it can be seen that its operating index has been growing rapidly in recent years, and the expansion strategy adopted by the enterprise has also been effective. In 2016, its operating revenue was only 68.434 billion yuan, and in 2018, it grew rapidly to 174.915 billion yuan, indicating its strong development and growth capacity.6、Conclusions and recommendationsBy analyzing the financial indicators of Xiaomi in recent years, we find that Xiaomi has a good development trend. But some improvements are needed.On the one hand, it is necessary to construct a more comprehensive and flexible mechanism for each link of financial risk control, so as to prevent and control financial risk management rationally. For example, the establishment of financial risk early warning system, through the development of a unified and complete risk early warning standard system, can search for financial risk-related management information, standardize the financial risk evaluation standard of Xiaomi, so as to reasonably regulate early warning financial risk.On the other hand, the assessment mechanism of financial risk management should be done well and the assessment system of financial risk management should be strictly implemented to ensure that the financial risk management can be carried out in a more standardized and orderly manner. On the other hand, a mutually unified financial risk control mechanism should be established to make a unified standard for the content of financial risk control of the parent company and subsidiaries. On the other hand, the responsibility scope of the financial risk management department should also be clarified, specific to individuals and every detail. At the same time, we should have the courage to explore and innovate financial risk control activities, strengthen capital investment in financial risk analysis and control, and cultivate andintroduce new financial risk management talents, so as to reduce the negative effects of operational strategies on financial risk analysis and control.。
基于AISAS消费行为模型的京东商城营销策略研究
基于AISAS消费行为模型的京东商城营销策略研究A Study on Marketing Strategy of JingDong Mall Basedon AISAS Consumption Behavior Model内容摘要互联网的发展快速，是电商平台的挑战，也是它们的机遇。
发展快速，才使得更多的消费者得以了解互联网的方便；但也是由于互联网的迅速发展，许多不同的电商平台不断崛起，因此京东这个电商平台想要得到更好的发展，需要从消费者这一方面进行更加深入地研究。
本文旨在通过构建京东商城营销影响因素理论模型，采用以消费者为研究对象并运用AISAS消费者行为理论研究和量化实证相结合的研究方法，对京东的营销策略提出相对应的且有效的建议。
以期达到为企业是想预期的营销目标提供一点点理论意见。
本文在分析消费者对京东的了解与体验的基础上，通过AISAS消费者行为模型的研究，提出了京东商城在营销方面应该在价格与质量方面做出改善，价格可以适当降低，但质量一定要保证不掉链子。
其次在营销方面，不要一味的只注重之前的营销方式，要根据消费者的群体变更做出相对应的改变，如不能只一味的认为男性是京东消费者的主体，而只专注于宣传男性喜欢的方面，而是要在宣传男性喜欢的方面的同时，不忽略女性消费者等。
关键词：AISAS 京东消费者行为电商平台消费者AbstractThe rapid development of the Internet is both a challenge and an opportunity for e-commerce platforms. With rapid development, more consumers can understand the convenience of the Internet. However, due to the rapid development of the Internet, many different e-commerce platforms keep rising. Therefore, in order to achieve better development, jingdong, an e-commerce platform, needs to conduct more in-depth research from the perspective of consumers. This paper aims to construct the theoretical model of influencing factors of jingdong mall's marketing, adopt the research method of combining AISAS consumer behavior theory and quantitative empirical study, and put forward corresponding and effective Suggestions for jingdong's marketing strategy. In order to achieve the expected marketing objectives for the enterprise is to provide a little theoretical advice.Based on the analysis of consumers' understanding and experience of jingdong, and through the research of AISAS consumer behavior model, it is proposed that jingdong mall should improve its price and quality in terms of marketing. The price can be reduced appropriately, but the quality must be guaranteed. Secondly in terms of marketing, don't blindly only pay attention to the marketing of before, according to the changes make corresponding changes in consumer groups, such as not blindly believe that male is the main part of the jingdong consumers, but focus on propaganda men love aspects, but at the same time, in propaganda of men like don't ignore female consumers, etc.Key words：AISAS；Jingdong；Consumer behavior；Electric business platform；Consumer目录1 绪论 (1)1.1研究背景 (1)1.2研究目的与意义 (1)1.2.1 研究目的 (1)1.2.2 研究意义 (1)1.3研究方法 (2)1.3.1文献研究 (2)1.3.2 问卷调查分析法 (2)1.4技术路线图 (3)2 文献综述 (4)2.1研究现状 (4)2.1.1 AISAS消费行为模型研究现状 (4)2.1.2 京东商城营销策略研究现状 (4)2.2AISAS消费行为模型对B2C电商平台营销的适用性 (5)2.2.1 B2C电商平台与AISAS消费行为模型发展概况 (5)2.2.2 AISAS消费行为模型存在的问题 (6)3 基于AISAS消费行为模型的京东商城案例分析 (7)3.1京东无界营销 (7)3.2京东AISAS消费者行为模型 (7)3.3售后服务及时处理 (11)4 基于AISAS消费行为模型的京东商城营销策略研究 (12)4.1研究步骤 (12)4.1.1 研究理论基础 (12)4.1.2 问卷设计 (12)4.1.3 问卷发放 (12)4.2研究假设的提出 (12)4.3数据分析与讨论 (12)4.3.1 描述性统计分析 (13)4.3.2 方差分析 (16)4.4本章小结 (21)5 研究结论与展望 (22)5.1研究结论 (22)5.2企业经营对策 (22)5.3研究展望 (22)参考文献 (23)附录：调查问卷 (24)致谢................................................................................... 错误!未定义书签。
安徽大学《交通运输专业英语》2023-2024学年第一学期期末试卷
站名： 年级专业： 姓名： 学号：凡年级专业、姓名、学号错写、漏写或字迹不清者，成绩按零分记。
…………………………密………………………………封………………………………线…………………………安徽大学《交通运输专业英语》2023-2024学年第一学期期末试卷1、If you can do what you’re weakest ______, you can handle any challenge. A ．for B ．at C ．with D ．to2、Our bedrooms are all on the sixth floor, with its own bathroom. A ．all B ．every C ．eitherD ．each3、I have often thought it would be a blessing if each human being _______ blind and deaf for a few days at some time in his life. A ．has been stricken B ．were strickenC ．had beenD ．would be4、________ and open to various interpretations, the terms of the new proposal need improving based on the interests of both sides. A ．Accessible B ．Apparent C ．Ambiguous D ．Aggressive5、It is reported that the ______ in Libya is hotting up. A ．strength B ．violence C ．power D ．activity6、—It’s so humid these days!—Don’t worry! The rain ________ to stop from tomorrow. A ．will expect B ．expects C ．will be expected D ．is expected7、Sarah ______ change her mind, even though she knew the plan was hard to carry out. A ．mustn’tB ．w ouldn’tC ．shouldn’tD ．needn’t8、Playing with their peers, children learn to and not do exactly what they want to do. A ．compromise B ．compete C ．contribute D ．construct9、Thanks to her determination and perseverance on the piano lesson, she has a ______ grasp of the subject. A ．comprehensiveB ．confidentialC ．conservativeD ．compulsory10、_____ working ability ，you are no worse than the others ，it is just you who don’t put your heart in your work ．A ．In favor ofB ．In honor ofC ．In terms ofD ．In case of第二部分 阅读理解（满分20分）阅读下列短文，从每题所给的A 、B 、C 、D 四个选项中，选出最佳选项。
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Ｉｎｔｅｒｎａｔｉｏｎａｌ Ｒｅｌａｔｉｏｎｓ ａｎｄ Ｄｉｐｌｏｍａｃｙ，Ｎｏｖｅｍｂｅｒ ２０１６，Ｖｏ１．４，Ｎｏ．１ １，６６７－６９３ ｄｏｉ：１Ｏ．１７２６５／２３２８－２ｌ３４／２０１６．１ １．００１
Ａｐｐｌｉｃａｔｉｏｎ ｏｆ Ｓｍａｒｔ Ｐｏｗｅｒ Ｓｔｒａｔｅｇｙ ｔｏ Ｃｏｎｓｔｒｕｃｔ ａ Ｍｏｒｅ Ｅｆｆｅｃｔｉｖｅ Ｓｔｒａｔｅｇｙ ｔｏ Ｄｅｎｕｃｌｅａｒｉｚｅ Ｎｏｒｔｈ Ｋｏｒｅａ
Ｄａｖｉｄ Ｗ．Ｓｈｉｎ Ｎａｔｉｏｎａｌ Ｉｎｔｅｌｌｉｇｅｎｃｅ Ｕｎｉｖｅｒｓｉｔｙ，Ｗａｓｈｉｎｇｔｏｎ，Ｄ．Ｃ．，ＵＳＡ
Ｔｈｅ ｕｓｅ ｏｆ ｓａｎｃｔｉｏｎｓ ｔｏ ｃｏｅｒｃｅ Ｐｙｏｎｇｙａｎｇ ｉｎｔｏ ａｂａｎｄｏｎｉｎｇ ｉｔｓ ｎｕｃｌｅａｒ ｗｅａｐｏｎｓ ａｎｄ ｒｅｌａｔｅｄ ｐｒｏｇｒａｍｓ ｉｓ ｎｏｔ ｗｏｒｋｉｎｇ． ＮｏｒｔｈＫｏｒｅａ ｃｏｎｔｉｎｕｅｓｔｏ ｓｕｒｖｉｒｅ ａｎｄ ｅｘｐａｎｄｓｉｔｓｎｕｃｌｅａｒ ａｎｄｍｉｓｓｉｌｅ ｃａｐａｂｉｌｉｔｉｅｓ．ＩｔｉｓｔｉｍｅｆｏｒｔｈｅＵＳｔｏ ｃｏｎｓｔｒｕｃｔ ａ ｍｏｒｅ ｓｕｃｃｅｓｓｆｕｌ Ｎｏｒｔｈ Ｋｏｒｅａ ｓｔｒａｔｅｇｙ ｂｙ ａｐｐｌｙｉｎｇ ａ ｓｍａｒｔ ｐｏｗｅｒ ｓｔｒａｔｅｇｙ ｂｅｆｏｒｅ ｔｈｅ Ｎｏｒｔｈ Ｋｏｒｅａｎｓ ｃａｎ ｏｐｅｒａｔｉｏｎａｌｉｚｅ ｔｈｅｉｒ ｎｕｃｌｅａｒ ＩＣＢＭｓ ｗｉｔｈｉｎ ｔｈｅ ｎｅｘｔ ｓｅｖｅｒａｌ ｙｅａｒｓ．Ｉｆ ａｎｄ ｗｈｅｎ ｔｈａｔ Ｏｃｃｕｒｓ．ｔｈｅ ＵＳ ｗｉｌｌ ｉｎｅｖｉｔａｂｌｙ ｃｏｎｓｉｄｅｒ ｔｈｅ ｕｓｅ ｏｆ ｆｏｒｃｅ ｔｏ ｒｅｓｏｌｖｅ ｔｈｅ Ｎｏｒｔｈ Ｋｏｒｅａｎ ｎｕｃｌｅａｒ ｉｓｓｕｅ．ｂｕｔ ｔｈａｔ ｗｉｌ１ ｂｅ ｔｏｏ ｃｏｓｔｌｙ ｆｏｒ ｔｈｅ ＵＳ ａｎｄ ｉｔｓ ａｌｌｉｅｓ．Ｗａｓｈｉｎｇｔｏｎ ｍｕｓｔ ｄｏ ａｎ ｉｔ ｃａｎ ｔｏ ａｖｏｉｄ ａｎｏｔｈｅｒ ｗａｒ ｏｎ ｔｈｅ Ａｓｉａｎ ｍａｉｎｌａｎｄ．Ｔｈｅ ｏｎｌｙ ｐｒａｃｔｉｃａｌ ＵＳｅＳ ｏｆ ｆｏｒｃｅ ａｒｅ ａｓ ｄｅｆｅｎｓｉｖｅ ａｎｄ ｅｎｈａｎｃｅｄ ｄｅｔｅｒｒｅｎｃｅ ｍｅａｓｕｒｅｓ ｔｏ ｐｒｏｔｅｃｔ ｔｈｅ ＵＳ ａｎｄ ｉｔｓ ａｌｌｉｅｓ ａｇａｉｎｓｔ Ｎｏｒｔｈ Ｋｏｒｅａｎ ｎｕｃｌｅａｒ ａｎｄ ｃｏｎｖｅｎｔｉｏｎａｌ ｐｒｏｖｏｃａｔｉｏｎｓ．Ｉｎｓｔｅａｄ．ｔｈｅ ＵＳ ｓｈｏｕｌｄ ｃａｌｌ ｆｏｒ ａｌｌ ｉｍｍｅｄｉａｔｅ ｆｒｅｅｚｅ ｏｆ Ｎｏｒｔｈ Ｋｏｒｅａ’ｓ ｎｕｃｌｅａｒ ａｎｄ ｍｉｓｓｉｌｅ ｐｒｏｇｒａｍｓ ａｎｄ ｄｅｍｏｎｓｔｒａｔｅ ｉｔｓ ｗｉｌｌｉｎｇｎｅｓｓ ｔｏ ｃｏ—ｅｘｉｓｔ ｗｉｔｈ Ｐｙｏｎｇｙａｎｇ．Ｏｎｌｙ ｂｙ ａｃｃｅｐｔｉｎｇ ｃｏ－ｅｘｉｓｔｅｎｃｅ ｗｉｔｈ Ｐｙｏｎｇｙａｎｇ，Ｗａｓｈｉｎｇｔｏｎ ｈａｓ ａｎ ｏｐｐｏｒｔｕｎｉｔｙ ｔｏ ｐｅｒｓｕａｄｅ Ｂｅｉｊｉｎｇ ａｎｄ Ｍｏｓｃｏｗ ｔｏ ｊｏｉｎ ｉｔｓ ｅｆｆｏｒｔｓ ｗｉｔｈ Ｓｅｏｕｌ ａｎｄ Ｔｏｋｙｏ ｔｏ ｄｅｎｕｃｌｅａｒｉｚｅ Ｎｏｒｔｈ Ｋｏｒｅａ．Ｉｔ ｉｓ ｔｉｍｅ ｔｏ ｅｎｇａｇｅ Ｎｏｒｔｈ Ｋｏｒｅａ ｂｙ ａｃｃｅｐｔｉｎｇ ｉｔ ａｓ ｉｔ ｉｓ ａｎｄ ｅｘｅｒｃｉｓｉｎｇ ｓｔｒａｔｅｇｉｃ ｐａｔｉｅｎｃｅ ｏｆ ａ ｄｉｆｅｒｅｎｔ ｋｉｎｄ ｔｏ ａｃｈｉｅｖｅ ＵＳ ａｉｍｓ．
Ｋｅｙｗｏｒｄｓ．＂Ｎｏｒｔｈ Ｋｏｒｅａ，Ｋｉｍ Ｊｏｎｇ－ｕｎ，Ｂｙｕｎｇｆｉｎ，ｓｍａｒｔ ｐｏｗｅｒ，ｎｅｇｏｔｉａｔｉｏｎ，ｍｉｓｓｉｌｅｓ，ａｎｄ ｎｕｃｌｅａｒ ｗｅａｐｏｎｓ
Ｉｎｔｒｏｄｕｃｔｉｏｎ Ｉｎ Ｊｕｎｅ １ ９９０，Ｎｉｃｈｏｌａｓ Ｅｂｅｒｓｔａｄｔ（２００６）ｐｕｂｌｉｓｈｅｄ ａｎ ｅｓｓａｙ ｔｉｔｌｅｄ，Ｔｈｅ Ｃｏｍｉｎｇ Ｃｏｌｌａｐｓｅ ｏｆＮｏｒｔｈ Ｋｏｒｅａ， ａｎｄ ｂｅｇａｎ ｔｏ ｆｏｃｕｓ ｈｉｓ ｗｏｒｋ ｏｎ ｔｈｅ ｓｕｓｔａｉｎａｂｉｌｉｔｙ ｏｆ Ｎｏｒｔｈ Ｋｏｒｅａ’ｓ ｐｏｌｉｔｉｃａｌ ａｎｄ ｅｃｏｎｏｍｉｃ ｓｙｓｔｅｍｓ．Ｇｅｎｅｒａｌ Ｇａｒｙ Ｌｕｃｋ，ｔｈｅｎ－Ｃｏｍｍａｎｄｅｒ ｏｆ ＵＳ Ｆｏｒｃｅｓ ｉｎ Ｋｏｒｅａ，ｆｏｒｅｃａｓｔｅｄ ｉｎ １ ９９７ ｔｈａｔ“Ｎｏｒｔｈ Ｋｏｒｅａ ｗｏｕｌｄ ‘ｄｉｓｉｎｔｅｇｒａｔｅ”’（Ｂｙｍａｎ＆Ｌｉｎｄ，２０１０，Ｐ．４４）．Ｔｈｅ Ｃｅｎｔｒａｌ Ｉｎｔｅｌｌｉｇｅｎｃｅ Ａｇｅｎｃｙ（ＣＩＡ）ｗａｓ ａｌｓｏ ｉｎｔｅｒｅｓｔｅｄ ｉｎ ｔｈｅ ｆｕｔｕｒｅ ｐｒｏｓｐｅｃｔｓ ｏｆ Ｎｏｒｔｈ Ｋｏｒｅａ．Ｔｈｅ Ａｇｅｎｃｙ ｓｐｏｎｓｏｒｅｄ ａ ｃｏｎｆｅｒｅｎｃｅ ｉｎ Ｊａｎｕａｒｙ １ ９９８ ｔｏ ｄｉｓｃｕｓｓ ａｌｔｅｒｎａｔｉｖｅ ｆｕｔｕｒｅｓ ｆｏｒ Ｎｏｒｔｈ Ｋｏｒｅａ．Ｗｈｉｌｅ ｔｈｅ ｐａｒｔｉｃｉｐａｎｔｓ ｏｆ ｔｈｅ ｃｏｎｆｅｒｅｎｃｅ ｒｅｃｏｇｎｉｚｅｄ ｔｈａｔ ｓｅｖｅｒａｌ ｆａｃｔｏｒｓ ｃｏｕｌｄ ｐｒｏｌｏｎｇ Ｎｏｒｔｈ Ｋｏｒｅａ’ｓ ｓｕｒｖｉｖａｌ，ｔｈｅｒｅ ｗａｓ ｃｏｎｓｅｎｓｕｓ ｔｈａｔ Ｋｉｍ Ｊｏｎｇ—ｉｌ’ｓ ｒｅｇｉｍｅ ｗｏｕｌｄ ｎｏｔ ｓｕｒｖｉｖｅ ｍｏｒｅ ｔｈａｎ ｆｉｖｅ ｙｅａｒｓ （ＣＩＡ Ｉｎｔｅｌｌｉｇｅｎｃｅ Ｒｅｐｏｒｔ，２００４，ＰＰ．１—４）．Ｆｉｎａｌｌｙ，ａｓ ａ ｖｉｓｉｔｉｎｇ ｓｃｈｏｌａｒ ａｔ ｔｈｅ Ａｍｅｒｉｃａｎ Ｅｎｔｅｒｐｒｉｓｅ Ｉｎｓｔｉｔｕｔｅ， Ｅｂｅｒｓｔａｄｔ（１９９９）ｂｏｌｄｌｙ ｐｒｅｄｉｃｔｅｄ ｔｈｅ ｅｎｄ ｏｆＮｏｒｔｈ Ｋｏｒｅａ ｉｎ １９９９ ｗｉｔｈ ｈｉｓ ａｐｔｌｙ ｔｉｔｌｅｄ ｂｏｏｋ，Ｔｈｅ Ｅｎｄ ｏｆＮｏｒｔｈ Ｋｏｒｅａ．Ｅｂｅｒｓｔａｄｔ（１９９９）ａｒｇｕｅｄ ｔｈａｔ Ｎｏｒｔｈ Ｋｏｒｅａ ｈａｄ ｌｏｓｔ ｉｔｓ ｒａｉｓｏｎ ｄ’仑仃ｅ ｓｉｎｃｅ ｉｔ ｗａｓ ｎｏ ｌｏｎｇｅｒ ｃａｐａｂｌｅ ｏｆ ｒｅｕｎｉｆｙｉｎｇ ｔｈｅ ｐｅｎｉｎｓｕｌａ ｏｒ ｐｒｏｖｉｄｅ ｆｏｒ ｉｔｓ ｐｅｏｐｌｅ（ｐ．４６）．Ｈｅ ｗａｓ ｗｒｏｎｇ ｂｕｔ ｐｒｅｄｉｃｔｉｏｎｓ ｏｆ Ｎｏｒｔｈ Ｋｏｒｅａ’ｓ ｐｅｎｄｉｎｇ ｄｅｍｉｓｅ ｃｏｎｔｉｎｕｅ ｔｏ ｐｅｒｓｉｓｔ．
Ｄａｖｉｄ Ｗ．Ｓｈｉｎ，Ｃｏｎｔｒａｃｔｅｄ Ｆａｃｕｌｔｙ Ｍｅｍｂｅｒ，Ｄｅｐａｒｔｍｅｎｔ ｏｆ Ｒｅｇｉｏｎａｌ Ｉｎｔｅｌｌｉｇｅｎｃｅ Ｓｔｕｄｉｅｓ，Ｎａｔｉｏｎａｌ Ｉｎｔｅｌｌｉｇｅｎｃｅ Ｕｎｉｖｅｒｓｉｔｙ．Ａｌｌ ｓｔａｔｅｍｅｎｔｓ ｏｆ ｆａｃｔ，ａｎａｌｙｓｉｓ，ｏｒ ｏｐｉｎｉｏｎ ｅｘｐｒｅｓｓｅｄ ｉｎ ｔｈｅ ｐａｐｅｒ ａｒｅ ｔｈｏｓｅ ｏｆ ｔｈｅ ａｕｔｈｏｒ ａｎｄ ｄｏ ｎｏｔ ｒｅｆｌｅｃｔ ｔｈｅ ｏｆｆｉｃｉａｌ ｐｏｌｉｃｙ ｏｒ ｐｏｓｉｔｉｏｎ ｏｆｔｈｅ ＵＳ Ｇｏｖｅｒｎｍｅｎｔ，ｔｈｅ Ｄｅｐａｒｔｍｅｎｔ ｏｆＤｅｆｅｎｓｅ，ｏｒ ａｎｙ ｏｆｉｔｓ ｃｏｍｐｏｎｅｎｔｓ． ６６８ ＡＰＰＬＩＣＡＴＩＯＮ ＯＦ ＳＭＡＲＴ ＰＯＷＥＲ ＳＴＲＡＴＥＧＹ ＴＯＷＡＲＤ ＮＯＲＴＨ ＫＯＲＥＡ Ｉｎ ２０１４，ａ Ｓｏｕｔｈ Ｋｏｒｅａｎ Ｕｎｉｖｅｒｓｉｔｙ ｃｏｎｄｕｃｔｅｄ ａ ｓｕｒｖｅｙ ｏｆ １ ３５ Ｎｏｒｔｈ Ｋｏｒｅａ ｅｘｐｅｒｔｓ ａｎｄ ｓｅｃｕｒｉｔｙ ｓｐｅｃｉａｌｉｓｔｓ ｆｒｏｍ ｔｈｅ ｆｉｖｅ ｎｏｎ－Ｎｏｒｔｈ Ｋｏｒｅａ Ｓｉｘ—Ｐａｒｔｙ Ｔａｌｋｓ（６ＰＴ）ｃｏｕｎｔｒｉｅｓ ａｎｄ Ｅｕｒｏｐｅ．Ａｃｃｏｒｄｉｎｇ ｔｏ ｔｈｅ ｓｕｒｖｅｙ， ａｂｏｕｔ ４８％ｏｆ ａｌｌ ｒｅｓｐｏｎｄｅｎｔｓ ｂｅｌｉｅｖｅｄ Ｋｉｍ Ｊｏｎｇ—ｕｎ ｗｏｕｌｄ ｂｅ ａｂｌｅ ｔｏ ｃｏｎｓｏｌｉｄａｔｅ ｈｉｓ ｐｏｗｅｒ ｉｎ ｔｈｅ ｎｅａｒ ｆｕｔｕｒｅ （３ ｔｏ ５ ｙｅａｒｓ），ｉｎｓｔｅａｄ ｏｆ ｅｘｐｅｒｉｅｎｃｉｎｇ ｉｎｓｔａｂｉｌｉｔｙ ｏｒ ｃｏｌｌａｐｓｅ．Ｗｈｅｎ ｌｏｏｋｉｎｇ ｏｕｔ ｆｉｖｅ ｔｏ １ ０ ｙｅａｒｓ（ｍｉｄ．ｔｅｒｍ）， ｓｌｉｇｈｔｌｙ ｏｖｅｒ ４０％ｏｆ ｔｈｅ ｒｅｓｐｏｎｄｅｎｔｓ ｆｒｏｍ Ｓｏｕｔｈ Ｋｏｒｅａ ｐｒｅｄｉｃｔｅｄ ｔｈａｔ ｔｈｅ Ｋｉｍ ｒｅｇｉｍｅ ｗｏｕｌｄ ｃｏｌｌａｐｓｅ，ａｎｄ ａｂｏｕｔ ３７％ｏｆ ａｌｌ ｏｔｈｅｒ ｒｅｓｐｏｎｄｅｎｔｓ ｆｒｏｍ ｏｕｔｓｉｄｅ Ｋｏｒｅａ ｃｏｎｃｕｒｒｅｄ ｗｉｍ ｔｌｌｉｓ ａｓｓｅｓｓｍｅｎｔ．Ａｓ ｔｈｅ ｓｕｒｖｅｙ １ｏｏｋｅｄ ｌｏｎｇ・ｔｅｒｍ（１ ０ ｔｏ ２０ ｙｅａｒｓ），ｏｎｌｙ ａｂｏｕｔ ａ ｔｈｉｒｄ ｏｆ ａｌｌ ｒｅｓｐｏｎｄｅｎｔｓ ｂｅｌｉｅｖｅｄ Ｋｉｍ ｃｏｕｌｄ ｓｕｒｖｉｖｅ ｔｈａｔ ｌｏｎｇ．Ｗｉｔｈ ｒｅｓｐｅｃｔ ｔｏ Ｎｏｒｔｈ Ｋｏｒｅａ’ｓ ｎｕｃｌｅａｒ ｐｒｏｇｒａｍ，ｎｅａｒｌｙ ａｌｌ ｏｆ ｔｈｅｍ（９５．６％１ ｗｅｒｅ ｃｏｎｖｉｎｃｅｄ ｔｈａｔ Ｐｙｏｎｇｙａｎｇ ｗｏｕｌｄ ｎｅｖｅｒ ａｂａｎｄｏｎ ｉｔ，ｂｕｔ ５６％ｏｆ ＵＳ ｐａｒｔｉｃｉｐａｎｔｓ ｉｎ ｔｈｅ ｓｕｒｖｅｙ ｂｅｌｉｅｖｅｄ ｐｒｅｓｓｕｒｅ ｆｒｏｍ Ｃｈｉｎａ ｉｓ ｔｈｅ ｋｅｙ ｔｏ ｒｅｓｏｌｖｉｎｇ ｔｈｅ ｎｕｃｌｅａｒ ｉｓｓｕｅ ｗｈｉｌｅ ａｂｏｕｔ ３７％ｏｆ ｎｏｎ－ＵＳ ｒｅｓｐｏｎｄｅｎｔｓ ｂｅｌｉｅｖｅｄ ｔｈａｔ ｗａｓ ｔｈｅ ｃａｓｅ．Ｓｕｒｐｒｉｓｉｎｇｌｙ，ｎｏ Ｃｈｉｎｅｓｅ ｒｅｓｐｏｎｄｅｎｔ ｂｅｌｉｅｖｅｄ ｐｒｅｓｓｕｒｅ ｆｒｏｍ Ｂｅｉｊｉｎｇ ｗａｓ ｔｈｅ ａｎｓｗｅｒ ｔｏ ｓｏｌｖｉｎｇ ｔｈｅ ｃｒｉｓｉｓ，ａｎｄ ４２％ｏｆ ｔｈｅ Ｃｈｉｎｅｓｅ ｃａｌｌｅｄ ｆｏｒ ｒｅｓｕｍｐｔｉｏｎ ｏｆ ６ＰＴ ａｎｄ ｐｒｏｍｏｔｅｄ ＵＳ—Ｎｏｒｔｈ Ｋｏｒｅａ ｔａｌｋｓ（Ｋｉｍ，２０ １４）．Ｔｈａｔ ｓａｉｄ，６ＰＴ ｎｅｇｏｔｉａｔｉｏｎｓ ｗｉｔｈ Ｎｏｒｔｈ Ｋｏｒｅａ ｈａｓ ｂｅｅｎ ｓｕｓｐｅｎｄｅｄ ｓｉｎｃｅ Ｎｏｖｅｍｂｅｒ ２００８（Ｈｉｌｌ，２０１４，Ｐ．２９０）ａｎｄ Ｎｏｒｔｈ Ｋｏｒｅａ ｈａｓ ａｃｃｅｌｅｒａｔｅｄ ｉｔｓ ｎｕｃｌｅａｒ ａｎｄ ｍｉｓｓｉｌｅ ｄｅｖｅｌｏｐｍｅｎｔｓ ｂａｓｅｄ ｏｎ ｒｅｃｅｎｔ ａｃｔｉｖｉｔｉｅｓ ｉｎ ２０ １ ６． Ｏｎ Ｓｅｐｔｅｍｂｅｒ ６，２０ １ ６，Ｋｉｍ Ｊｏｎｇ—ｕｎ ｒｅｐｏｒｔｅｄｌｙ“ｏｂｓｅｒｖｅｄ ａｎｄ ｐｒｏｖｉｄｅｄ ｆｉｅｌｄ ｇｕｉｄａｎｃｅ’’ｄｕｒｉｎｇ ｔｈｅ ｂａｌｌｉｓｔｉｃ ｍｉｓｓｉｌｅ ｌａｕｎｃｈｅｓ ｂｙ ｔｈｅ Ｈｗａｓｏｎｇ ａｒｔｉｌｌｅｒｙ ｕｎｉｔ ｏｆ ｔｈｅ Ｋｏｒｅａｎ Ｐｅｏｐｌｅ’ｓ Ａｒｍｙ（ＫＰＡ）．Ｔｈｅ Ｋｏｒｅａ Ｃｅｎｔｒａｌ Ｎｅｗｓ Ａｇｅｎｃｙ（ＫＣＮＡ）ｃｌａｉｍｅｄ ｔｈｅ Ｈｗａｓｏｎｇ ａｒｔｉｌｌｅｒｙ ｕｎｉｔ ｉｓ ｒｅｓｐｏｎｓｉｂｌｅ ｆｏｒ ｔａｒｇｅｔｉｎｇ ＵＳ ｂａｓｅｓ ｉｎ ｔｈｅ Ｐａｃｉｆｉｃ ｄｕｒｉｎｇ ｃｏｎｔｉｎｇｅｎｃｙ ｏｐｅｒａｔｉｏｎｓ．Ｔｈｅ ｐｕｒｐｏｓｅ ｏｆ ｔｈｅ ｍｉｓｓｉｌｅ ｌａｕｎｃｈｅｓ ｗｅｒｅ ｔｏ ｃｏｎｔｉｎｕｅ ｔｅｓｔｉｎｇ ｔｈｅ ｒｅｌｉａｂｉｌｉｔｙ ｏｆ ｔｈｅ ｍｉｓｓｉｌｅ ａｎｄ ｔｏ“ｉｎｓｐｅｃｔ ｔｈｅ ｃａｐａｂｉｌｉｔｉｅｓ ｏｆ ｔｈｅ ｕｎｉｔｓ ｆｏｒ ａｃｔｉｏｎ”．Ｔｈｅ ｌａｕｎｃｈｅｓ ｒｅｐｏｒｔｅｄｌｙ ｄｅｍｏｎｓｔｒａｔｅｄ ｔｈｅ ｕｎｉｔ’ｓ ｃａｐａｂｉｌｉｔｙ ｔｏ ｌａｕｎｃｈ ａ‘‘ｐｒｅｅｍｐｔｉｖｅ ａｔｔａｃｋ ｏｎ ｔｈｅ ｅｎｅｍｉｅｓ ａｎｙ ｔｉｍｅ ａｎｄ ｆｒｏｍ ａｎｙ ｐｌａｃｅ’’ （ＫＣＮＡ，Ｓｅｐｔｅｍｂｅｒ ６，２０１６）．Ｏｎ Ｓｅｐｔｅｍｂｅｒ ９，２０１６，Ｋｏｒｅａ Ｃｅｎｔｒａｌ Ｔｅｌｅｖｉｓｉｏｎ（ＫＣＴＶ）ａｎｎｏｕｎｃｅｄ Ｐｙｏｎｇｙａｎｇ ｈａｄ ｄｅｔｏｎａｔｅｄ“ａ‘ｓｔａｎｄａｒｄｉｚｅｄ’ｎｕｃｌｅａｒ ｗｅａｐｏｎ ｔｏ ｂｅ ｍｏｕｎｔｅｄ ｏｎ ｂａｌｌｉｓｔｉｃ ｒｏｃｋｅｔｓ”．Ｔｈｅ ｔｅｓｔ ｗａｓ ｉｎ ｄｅｆｉａｎｃｅ ｏｆ ｔｈｅ ｍｏｓｔ ｒｅｃｅｎｔ ＵＮ ｓａｎｃｔｉｏｎｓ ｉｍｐｏｓｅｄ ｏｎ ｔｈｅ ｒｅｇｉｍｅ ａｆｔｅｒ ｉｔｓ ｆｏｕｒｔｈ ｎｕｃｌｅａｒ ｔｅｓｔ ａｎｄ ａｎｏｔｈｅｒ“ｓｐａｃｅ ｌａｕｎｃｈ”ｉｎ ｅａｒｌｙ ２０ １ ６．Ｔｈｅ ｓｔａｎｄａｒｄｉｚａｔｉｏｎ ｏｆ ｔｈｅ ｎｕｃｌｅａｒ ｗａｒ ｈｅａｄ ｒｅｐｏｒｔｅｄｌｙ ａｌｌｏｗｓ Ｐｙｏｎｇｙａｎｇ ｔｏ ｐｒｏｄｕｃｅ ａ“ｖａｒｉｅｔｙ’’ｏｆ ｐｏｗｅｒｆｕｌ ｎｕｃｌｅａｒ ｗａｒｈｅａｄｓ．Ｍｏｓｔ ｉｍｐｏｒｔａｎｔｌｙ，ＫＣＴＶ ｃｌａｉｍｅｄ ｔｈｅ ｎｕｃｌｅａｒ ｔｅｓｔ ｃｏｎｆｉｒｍｅｄ ｔｈｅ ｎｕｃｌｅａｒ ｗａｒｈｅａｄ ｃｏｕｌｄ“ｂｅ ｍｏｕｎｔｅｄ ｏｎ ｓｔｒａｔｅｇｉｃ ｂａｌｌｉｓｔｉｃ ｒｏｃｋｅｔｓ”ｏｆ ｔｈｅ Ｈｗａｓｏｎｇ ａｒｔｉｌｌｅｒｙ ｕｎｉｔ ｏｆ ｔｈｅ ＫＰＡ（Ｂｙｒｎｅ，２０ １ ６）．Ｉｆ ｔｈｅｒｅ ｉｓ ａｎｙ ｄｏｕｂｔ ｒｅｇａｒｄｉｎｇ ｔｈｅ Ｎｏｒｔｈ’ｓ ｃｌａｉｍｓ，Ｓｏｕｔｈ Ｋｏｒｅａ’ｓ Ｎａｔｉｏｎａｌ Ｉｎｔｅｌｌｉｇｅｎｃｅ Ｓｅｒｖｉｃｅ（ＮＩＳ）ａｄｍｉｔｔｅｄ ｔｈａｔ Ｎｏｒｔｈ Ｋｏｒｅａ ａｐｐｅａｒｓ ｔｏ ｈａｖｅ ｍｉｎｉａｔｕｒｉｚｅｄ ｉｔｓ ｎｕｃｌｅａｒ ｗａｒｈｅａｄ“ｆａｓｔｅｒ ｔｈａｎ ｅｘｐｅｃｔｅｄ”（Ｊｉ，２０ １ ６）． Ｔｈｉｓ ｒｅａｌｉｚａｔｉｏｎ ｉｓ ｃｅｒｔａｉｎｌｙ ｎｏｔ ｗｈａｔ ｔｈｅ ＵＳ ａｎｄ ｔｈｅ ｉｎｔｅｒｎａｔｉｏｎａｌ ｃｏｍｍｕｎｉｔｙ ａｉｍｅｄ ｆｏｒ ｗｉｔｈ ｍｅｉｒ ｃｕｒｒｅｎｔ ｓｔｒａｔｅｇｙ ｏｆ ｓａｎｃｔｉｏｎｓ ａｎｄ ｐｒｅｓｓｕｒｅ ｔｏ ｆｏｒｃｅ Ｎｏｒｔｈ Ｋｏｒｅａｎ ｄｅｎｕｃｌｅａｒｉｚａｔｉｏｎ．Ｔｈｅ ｑｕｅｓｔｉｏｎ ｉｓ ｗｈｙ ｈａｖｅ ｐａｓｔ ａｎｄ ｃｕｒｒｅｎｔ ｐｏｌｉｃｙ ａｐｐｒｏａｃｈｅｓ ｆａｉｌｅｄ ｔｏ ｄｅｎｕｃｌｅａｒｉｚｅ Ｎｏｒｔｈ Ｋｏｒｅａ？Ｗｈａｔ ｄｏ ｔｈｅ ｌｅｓｓｏｎｓ ｆｒｏｍ ｐａｓｔ ａｎｄ ｐｒｅｓｅｎｔ ｔｅｌｌ ｕｓ ａｂｏｕｔ ｄｅａｌｉｎｇ ｗｉｔｈ ｔｈｅ Ｎｏｒｔｈ Ｋｏｒｅａｎ ｎｕｃｌｅａｒ ｔｈｒｅａｔ？Ｉｔ ｉｓ ｅｖｉｄｅｎｔ ｔｈｅｒｅ ｉｓ ｎｅａｒ ｃｏｎｓｅｎｓｕｓ ｔｈａｔ ｄｉｐｌｏｍａｃｙ ｗｉｔｈ Ｎｏｒｔｈ Ｋｏｒｅａ ｉｓ ｆｕｔｉｌｅ ａｎｄ ｔｈａｔ ｅｎｇａｇｉｎｇ ｗｉｔｈ Ｐｙｏｎｇｙａｎｇ ｕｌｔｉｍａｔｅｌｙ ｒｅｗａｒｄｓ ｂａｄ ｂｅｈａｖｉｏｕｒ（Ｃｈｅｎｅｙ，２０ １ １，Ｐ． ４７４）．Ｈｏｗｅｖｅｒ，ｔｈｉｓ ｖｉｅｗ ｏｖｅｒｌｏｏｋｓ ｔｈｅ ｆａｃｔ ｔｈａｔ ｎｅｇｏｔｉａｔｉｎｇ ｗｉｔｈ Ｎｏｒｔｈ Ｋｏｒｅａ ｈａｓ ｒｅｓｕｌｔｅｄ ｉｎ ｓｏｍｅ ｓｕｃｃｅｓｓｅｓ ｔｏｗａｒｄ ｄｅｎｕｃｌｅａｒｉｚａｔｉｏｎ．Ｍｏｒｅ ｉｍｐｏｒｔａｎｔｌｙ，ｔｈｅｒｅ ｗｅｒｅ ｐｏｔｅｎｔｉａｌ ｏｐｐｏｒｔｕｎｉｔｉｅｓ ｆｏｒ ｄｅｎｕｃｌｅａｒｉｚａｔｉｏｎ ｉｆ Ｗａｓｈｉｎｇｔｏｎ ａｎｄ ｏｔｈｅｒｓ ｈａｄ ａｄｏｐｔｅｄ ｔｈｅ ｌｏｎｇ ｖｉｅｗ ｔｏ ｉｍｐｌｅｍｅｎｔ ｔｈｅ ｎｕｃｌｅａｒ ａｇｒｅｅｍｅｎｔｓ ｂａｓｅｄ ｏｎ ｔｈｅ ｐｏｌｉｃｙ ｏｆ ｃｏ－ｅｘｉｓｔｅｎｃｅ，ａｃｃｅｐｔｉｎｇ Ｐｙｏｎｇｙａｎｇ“ａｓ ｉｔ ｉｓ，ｎｏｔ ａｓ ｗｅ ｍｉｇｈｔ ｗｉｓｈ ｉｔ ｔｏ ｂｅ”（Ｐｅｒｒｙ，２０１５，ＰＰ．１６０－１６５）． Ｅｖｉｄｅｎｃｅ ｉｎｄｉｃａｔｅｓ ｔｈａｔ，ｅｖｅｎ ｗｈｅｎ ｐｒｅｓｓｕｒｅ ｗａｓ ｎｅｃｅｓｓａｒｙ，ｔｈｅ ＵＳ ａｐｐｌｉｅｄ ｉｔ ｔｏ ｐｕｎｉｓｈ ｏｒ ｔｈｒｅａｔｅｎ Ｐｙｏｎｇｙａｎｇ ａｎｄ ｎｏｔ ａｓ ａ ｐａｒｔ ｏｆ ａｎ ｅｆｆｅｃｔｉｖｅ ｓｔｒａｔｅｇｙ ｔｏ ｄｅｎｕｃｌｅａｒｉｚｅ ｔｈｅ Ｎｏｒｔｈ．Ｉｆ ｌａｃｋ ｏｆ ａｎ ｅｆｆｅｃｔｉｖｅ ｓｔｒａｔｅｇｙ ｉｓ ｐａｒｔ ｏｆ ｔｈｅ ｐｒｏｂｌｅｍ，ｃａｎ ｓｍａｒｔ ｐｏｗｅｒ ｔｈｅｏｒｙ ｏｆｆｅｒ ａｎ ａｌｔｅｒｎａｔｉｖｅ ｓｏｌｕｔｉｏｎ？Ｉｆ ｓｏ，ｈｏｗ ｃａｒｌ ｔｈｅ ｌｅｓｓｏｎｓ ｌｅａｒｎｅｄ ｂｅ ａｐｐｌｉｅｄ ｔｏ ｓｍａｒｔ ｐｏｗｅｒ ｔｈｅｏｒｙ ｔｏ ｃｏｎｓｔｒｕｃｔ ａ ｍｏｒｅ ｅｆｆｅｃｔｉｖｅ ｓｔｒａｔｅｇｙ ｔｏ ｄｅｎｕｃｌｅａｒｉｚｅ Ｎｏｒｔｈ Ｋｏｒｅａ？Ｈｅｎｃｅ，ａ ｂｒｉｅｆ ｏｖｅｒｖｉｅｗ