A Framework for Statistical Modeling of Superscalar Processor Performance
possion模型的用法

possion模型的用法English Answer:What is a Poisson Regression Model?A Poisson regression model is a statistical model usedto predict the number of events that occur within a fixed interval of time or space. It is a type of generalizedlinear model (GLM) that assumes that the response variable follows a Poisson distribution.The Poisson distribution is a discrete probability distribution that describes the probability of observing a specific number of events within a given interval. The Poisson distribution is characterized by a single parameter, lambda (λ), which represents the average number of events that occur within the interval.The Poisson regression model relates the expected number of events (μ) to a set of independent variables (x1,x2, ..., xn) through a linear function:μ = exp(β0 + β1x1 + β2x2+ ... + βnxn)。
Advanced Mathematical Modeling Techniques

Advanced Mathematical ModelingTechniquesIn the realm of scientific inquiry and problem-solving, the application of advanced mathematical modeling techniques stands as a beacon of innovation and precision. From predicting the behavior of complex systems to optimizing processes in various fields, these techniques serve as invaluable tools for researchers, engineers, and decision-makers alike. In this discourse, we delve into the intricacies of advanced mathematical modeling techniques, exploring their principles, applications, and significance in modern society.At the core of advanced mathematical modeling lies the fusion of mathematical theory with computational algorithms, enabling the representation and analysis of intricate real-world phenomena. One of the fundamental techniques embraced in this domain is differential equations, serving as the mathematical language for describing change and dynamical systems. Whether in physics, engineering, biology, or economics, differential equations offer a powerful framework for understanding the evolution of variables over time. From classical ordinary differential equations (ODEs) to their more complex counterparts, such as partial differential equations (PDEs), researchers leverage these tools to unravel the dynamics of phenomena ranging from population growth to fluid flow.Beyond differential equations, advanced mathematical modeling encompasses a plethora of techniques tailored to specific applications. Among these, optimization theory emerges as a cornerstone, providing methodologies to identify optimal solutions amidst a multitude of possible choices. Whether in logistics, finance, or engineering design, optimization techniques enable the efficient allocation of resources, the maximization of profits, or the minimization of costs. From linear programming to nonlinear optimization and evolutionary algorithms, these methods empower decision-makers to navigate complex decision landscapes and achieve desired outcomes.Furthermore, stochastic processes constitute another vital aspect of advanced mathematical modeling, accounting for randomness and uncertainty in real-world systems. From Markov chains to stochastic differential equations, these techniques capture the probabilistic nature of phenomena, offering insights into risk assessment, financial modeling, and dynamic systems subjected to random fluctuations. By integrating probabilistic elements into mathematical models, researchers gain a deeper understanding of uncertainty's impact on outcomes, facilitating informed decision-making and risk management strategies.The advent of computational power has revolutionized the landscape of advanced mathematical modeling, enabling the simulation and analysis of increasingly complex systems. Numerical methods play a pivotal role in this paradigm, providing algorithms for approximating solutions to mathematical problems that defy analytical treatment. Finite element methods, finite difference methods, and Monte Carlo simulations are but a few examples of numerical techniques employed to tackle problems spanning from structural analysis to option pricing. Through iterative computation and algorithmic refinement, these methods empower researchers to explore phenomena with unprecedented depth and accuracy.Moreover, the interdisciplinary nature of advanced mathematical modeling fosters synergies across diverse fields, catalyzing innovation and breakthroughs. Machine learning and data-driven modeling, for instance, have emerged as formidable allies in deciphering complex patterns and extracting insights from vast datasets. Whether in predictive modeling, pattern recognition, or decision support systems, machine learning algorithms leverage statistical techniques to uncover hidden structures and relationships, driving advancements in fields as diverse as healthcare, finance, and autonomous systems.The application domains of advanced mathematical modeling techniques are as diverse as they are far-reaching. In the realm of healthcare, mathematical models underpin epidemiological studies, aiding in the understanding and mitigation of infectious diseases. From compartmental models like the SIR model to agent-based simulations, these tools inform public health policies and intervention strategies, guiding efforts to combat pandemics and safeguard populations.In the domain of climate science, mathematical models serve as indispensable tools for understanding Earth's complex climate system and projecting future trends. Coupling atmospheric, oceanic, and cryospheric models, researchers simulate the dynamics of climate variables, offering insights into phenomena such as global warming, sea-level rise, and extreme weather events. By integrating observational data and physical principles, these models enhance our understanding of climate dynamics, informing mitigation and adaptation strategies to address the challenges of climate change.Furthermore, in the realm of finance, mathematical modeling techniques underpin the pricing of financial instruments, the management of investment portfolios, and the assessment of risk. From option pricing models rooted in stochastic calculus to portfolio optimization techniques grounded in optimization theory, these tools empower financial institutions to make informed decisions in a volatile and uncertain market environment. By quantifying risk and return profiles, mathematical models facilitate the allocation of capital, the hedging of riskexposures, and the management of investment strategies, thereby contributing to financial stability and resilience.In conclusion, advanced mathematical modeling techniques represent a cornerstone of modern science and engineering, providing powerful tools for understanding, predicting, and optimizing complex systems. From differential equations to optimization theory, from stochastic processes to machine learning, these techniques enable researchers and practitioners to tackle a myriad of challenges across diverse domains. As computational capabilities continue to advance and interdisciplinary collaborations flourish, the potential for innovation and discovery in the realm of mathematical modeling knows no bounds. By harnessing the power of mathematics, computation, and data, we embark on a journey of exploration and insight, unraveling the mysteries of the universe and shaping the world of tomorrow.。
Spatio-Temporal Questions

S PACE-T IME C HARACTERIZATION OF L AND C OVER C HANGEDaniel G. BrownEnvironmental Spatial Analysis LabSchool of Natural Resources and EnvironmentThe University of MichiganPosition Paper for Workshop on Spatio-temporal Data Models for Biogeophysical Fields March 22, 2002Spatio-Temporal QuestionsMy work has been focusing on describing, understanding, and modeling the processes by which landscape patterns are generated. Land cover change is driven by both biophysical and socioeconomic processes. Land cover changes have important local hydrological and ecological impacts, but some also have cumulative and important global impacts on biogeochemical cycles and climate. Understanding, and in some cases forecasting, these changes can help in developing land cover scenarios that can serve in environmental and impact assessment activities. The core goals involve identifying the processes that can explain the amounts, locations, and patterns of observed land cover changes. To do this requires, at least, relating observed patterns in space and time to patterns of driving variables. This work needs to also consider the spatial and temporal autocorrelatoin in these processes that might arise from spatial interactions between places and temporal lags.The DataThe primary source of land cover observations is multi-temporal aerial and satellite-based imagery. The representations are affected by issues of spatial, temporal, spectral and thematic detail and quality. The record is largely limited to the latter half of the 20th century and beyond. Typical representations are raster-based snapshots, some of whichare multi-spectral images from which land cover and land cover changes have yet to be identified, and some of which are classified to particular land cover types or to changes.InstantTime Period LocationObject identification from the imagery is animportant step in identifying land cover change. The objects can refer to an instant in time or a time period and can refer to places or the relationships between places (Figure 1). The distinction betweenSpatialRelationFigure 1: Typology of land cover object types defined in time and space.image-based change detection and post-classification change detection (e.g., Jensen, 1995) refers to when the temporal relationships are examined relative when the objects are identified. Both of these common approaches to land cover change focus on identifying objects of Type b (Figure 1), but differ in whether or not they first produce objects of Type a. The remote sensing literature does not address well the identification of boundary or gradient changes, which probably first requires identification of multi-temporal boundaries development of a movement model of some sort.Spatial-Temporal Data ModelsBy far the most common data model used in land cover change work is the snapshot, i.e., multiple spatial representations created for different points in time. A good rationale for this model is that the data are collected in essentially this way, i.e., complete spatial images taken at instances that are separated by time intervals. This suggests a case where good (often complete) spatial coverage exists for a fairly limited number of times (though this is getting better). This model is good for representing objects of Types a and c in Figure 1, but not for Types b and d. Once we have identified locations and types of change, we don't have a good working data model within which to structure those changes to include time (i.e., when they occurred and the intervals they represent). This is particularly problematic because the time intervals are often not constant, and this needs to be represented somehow.Interface to Spatial-Temporal Process ModelsIn order to relate observed changes to processes, which much of this work is ultimately aimed towards, we are inevitably faced with comparing or interfacing the representations of change (i.e., the data models) with the representations of process (i.e., process models). We are working with two broad types of land cover change process models. The first, which I will describe in more detail here, are what I'm calling top-down models. We are using geostatistical methods to characterize the space-time patterns inherent in observations of land cover change. These patterns can be related to space-time patterns in variables that represent various driving forces. The second type of model we are working on is bottom-up models, so-called because they develop a detailed agent-based description of how people make decisions about land cover change, and simulate the space-time patterns of land cover that emerge through the collective effects of those individual decisions. Ultimately, we seek strengthen our understanding of land cover change processes through the comparative contributions of both top-down and bottom-up models.To accomplish the top-down modeling we employ geostatistics, which provide a probabilistic framework for data analysis that builds on the joint spatial and temporal dependence between observations (Brown et al., In Review). The model of change thatwe employ is calibrated to land cover changes observed in a pair of images and involves (1) an initial map of land cover, (2) description of the change probabilities at locations, and (3) description of the spatial pattern of observed changes. The distribution of change probabilities is described using a statistical model that associates where changes occur with the characteristics of places on a number of suspected driving variables. The spatial patterns of change are described through indicator variograms describing each type of change and indicator cross-variograms describing the spatial interactions between changes. Reducing the observed changes to several parameters, which are part of the statistical model of change locations and the geostatistical description of change patterns, facilitates evaluations of spatial and temporal stationarity in the change process, comparisons based on hypothesized driving variables, and simulation of change for spatial-temporal interpolation or forecasting purposes. Because the framework facilitates simulation, it can also be used in the evaluation of how uncertainty propogates through the change processes observed, for example following approaches described by Goovaerts (1997) and Huevelink (1998).Final ThoughtsReasoning about space-time processes requires that we work with representations of both phenomena (entities and events) and processes (cause-effect linkages, feedbacks, etc.). One of the more fundamental questions we face is how we reconcile our observations of empirical reality, which rarely offer the reasoning power of controlled experiments, with our models of process, which are necessarily simplified representations of complex processes. We need to decide what are the characteristics of the observations that we think need to be well reproduced by our models. For this purpose, data mining to create reduced descriptions of space-time patterns is critical. Further, summarization of model output and the search of space-time data that match these summaries will facilitate the process of model validation. For these reasons, I see the development of intuitive and robust interfaces between models of data and models of process as an important research agenda item in the context of this workshop. ReferencesGoovaerts, P. 1997. Geostatistics for Natural Resources Evaluation. New York: Oxford.Heuvelink, G.B.M. 1998. Error Propagation in Environmental Modeling with GIS. New York: Taylor and Francis.Jensen, J.R. 1995. Introductory Digital Image Processing: A Remote Sensing Perspective. Upper Saddle River, NJ: Prentice Hall.Brown, D.G., Goovaerts, P., Burnicki, A.C., and Li, M.-Y. n.d. Stochastic simulation of land-cover change using geostatistics and generalized additive models. In Review.。
结构方程模型 英语

结构方程模型英语Structural Equation ModelingStructural equation modeling (SEM) is a powerful and versatile type of statistical modeling used to examine relationships among observed and latent variables. It is a multivariate method of analysis that is particularly useful when examining complex systems. Structural equation modeling examines the relationships between variables to determine the causal effect of one variable on another, or the degree of correlation between two variables. The model is often used to make predictions about relationships and can be used to evaluate the accuracy of a hypothesis or to explore the validity of a theory.Structural equation modeling consists of a set of equations that represent a system of relationships between observed and latent variables. The equations are derived from a model, which is a graphical representation of the relationships between variables. Each equation is a mathematical representation of the relationships between a set of observed and latent variables. The equations are usually derived from a path analysis of the relationships between variables. The equations are used to estimate the parameters of the model, which are thenused to make predictions about relationships and to evaluate the accuracy of the model.Structural equation modelling is a powerful tool that can be used to understand the relationships between variables in various ways. It can be used to evaluate the validity of a hypothesis, to explore the structure of a data set, and to make predictions about relationships between variables. It is also a useful tool for studying the causal effect of one variable on another, or the degree of correlation between variables. SEM has become increasingly popular in recent years, in part due to its ability to analyze data from a variety of sources, including self-report surveys, observational studies, and databases. Structural equation modeling has become a valuable tool for researchers and scholars in a variety of fields, including psychology, sociology, economics, and public health.。
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ACM,2003: 119−126.[14] Lavrenko V, Manmatha R, Jeon J. A Model for Learning the Semantics of Pictures[C]//NIPS. 2003: 11-18.[15]Feng S L, Manmatha R, Lavrenko V. Multiple bernoulli relevance models for image and video annotation[C]//Proceedings of the IEEE Computer Society conference onComputer Vision and Pattern Recognition.IEEE, 2005: 51-58.[16]Tian D, Zhao X, Shi Z. An Efficient Refining Image Annotation Technique by Combining Probabilistic Latent Semantic Analysis and Random Walk Model[J]. Intelligent Automation & Soft Computing, 2014 (ahead-of-print): 1-11.。
人工智能深度学习技术练习(习题卷9)

人工智能深度学习技术练习(习题卷9)第1部分:单项选择题,共50题,每题只有一个正确答案,多选或少选均不得分。
1.[单选题]以下的序列数据中,属于一对多(一个输入,多个输出)的关系是哪个?A)音乐生成B)情感分类C)机器翻译D)DNA序列分析答案:A解析:2.[单选题]在构建一个神经网络时,batch size通常会选择2的次方,比如256和512。
这是为什么呢?A)当内存使用最优时这可以方便神经网络并行化B)当用偶数是梯度下降优化效果最好C)这些原因都不对D)当不用偶数时,损失值会很奇怪答案:A解析:3.[单选题]函数x*ln(x)的导数是A)ln(x)+1B)xC)lnxD)1/x答案:A解析:4.[单选题]为什么会有10个输出神经元?A)纯粹随意B)有10个不同的标签C)使训练速度提高10倍D)使分类速度提高10倍答案:B解析:5.[单选题]在梯度下降的课程中,PPT图片中的小人下山的路径是什么颜色的()。
A)红色B)蓝色C)绿色D)橙色答案:C解析:难易程度:易题型:6.[单选题]曼哈顿距离的的运算方法是D)线性运算答案:A解析:7.[单选题]使用二维滤波器滑动到被卷积的二维图像上所有位置,并在每个位置上与该像素点及其领域像素点做内积,这就是( )A)一维卷积B)二维卷积C)三维卷积D)四维卷积答案:B解析:8.[单选题]深度学习中的“深度”是指A)计算机理解深度B)中间神经元网络的层次很多C)计算机的求解更加精确D)计算机对问题的处理更加灵活答案:B解析:9.[单选题]启动图/会话的第一步是创建一个Session对象,如:A)sess = tf.Session()B)sess.close()C)tf.addD)tf.eqeal答案:A解析:10.[单选题]在构建一一个神经网络时,batch size通常会选择2的次方,比如256和512。
这是为什么.呢?( )A)当内存使用最优时这可以方便神经网络并行化B)当用偶数是梯度下降优化效果最好C)这些原因都不对.D)当不用偶数时,损失值会很奇怪。
统计关系学习研究进展

万方数据 万方数据 万方数据 万方数据 万方数据 万方数据 万方数据 万方数据 万方数据刘大有等:统计关系学习研究进展2119[61]PerlichC,ProvostF,Aggregationandconceptcomplexityinrelationallearning[el//ProcofUcM一03WorkshopLearningStatisticalModdsfromRelationalData(IJCAI一03).SanFranciscolMorganKaufmann,2003l107—108[62]GetoorL,GrantJ.PRL:Aprobabilisticrelationallanguage[J].MachineLearning,2006,62(2)l7-31[63]JensenD。
NevilleJ.Linkageandautocorrelationfeatureselectionbiasinrelationallearning[c]//Procofthe19thIntConfMachineLearning.SanFranciscolMorganKaufmann.2002259-266[64]JensenD,NevilleJ,HayM.Avoidingbiaswhenaggregatingrelationaldatawithdegreedisparity[c]//Procofthe20thIntJointConfMachineLearning(ICML2003).MenloPark,CAAAAIPress,2003:274-281[65]DomingosP.Prospectsandchallengesformulti—relationaldatamining[J].ACMSIGKDDExplorationsNewsletter,2003,5(1):80-83LiuDayou,bornin1942.ProfessorandPh.D.supervisor.Hismainresearchinterestsincludeknowledgeengineering,expertsystemanduncertaintyreasoning,spatio-temporalreasoning,distributedartificialintelligence,muhi-agentsystemsandmobileagentsystems.dataminingandmulti.relationaldatamining,datastructuresandcomputeralgorithms.刘大有,1942年生,教授、博士生导师,主要研究方向为知识工程、专家系统与不确定性推理、时空推理、分布式人工智能、多Agent和移动Agent系统、数据挖掘与多关系数据挖掘、数据结构与计算机算法等.YuPeng。
大数据专业词汇英语

大数据专业词汇英语Key Terminology in Big Data Analytics.In the realm of big data analytics, a comprehensive understanding of key terminology is paramount toeffectively navigate and harness the vast sea of data.Here's a glossary of essential terms that will empower youto engage confidently in big data discussions and endeavors:Data Analytics: The systematic examination and interpretation of data to extract meaningful insights and patterns.Hadoop: An open-source software framework thatfacilitates distributed data processing, enabling the efficient handling of vast datasets across clusters of computers.Cloud Computing: A model for delivering computing services, including servers, storage, databases, networking,software, analytics, and intelligence, over the internet ("the cloud") to offer flexible and scalable access to computing resources.Data Lake: A centralized repository for storing vast volumes of raw, unstructured data in its native format, enabling flexible exploration and analysis.Data Warehouse: A structured repository of data, typically consisting of historical data, organized and optimized for querying and reporting purposes.Data Mining: The process of extracting hidden patterns and insights from large datasets through automated or semi-automated techniques.Machine Learning: A subset of artificial intelligence that enables computers to learn from data without explicit programming by identifying patterns and making predictions.Artificial Intelligence (AI): The simulation of human intelligence processes by machines, encompassing learning,reasoning, and problem-solving capabilities.NoSQL: A non-relational database management system designed to handle large volumes of unstructured or semi-structured data, offering flexibility and scalability.Hadoop Distributed File System (HDFS): A distributed file system that enables the storage of large data files across multiple commodity servers, providing fault tolerance and high availability.MapReduce: A programming model for processing and generating large datasets that is used in conjunction with Hadoop, where data is processed in parallel and aggregated to produce the final result.Business Intelligence (BI): A set of techniques and technologies used to transform raw data into meaningful and actionable information for business decision-making.Apache Spark: A fast and versatile open-source distributed computing engine that supports a wide range ofbig data processing tasks, including real-time stream processing.Extract, Transform, Load (ETL): The process of extracting data from disparate sources, transforming itinto a consistent format, and loading it into a target system for analysis.Data Governance: The policies, processes, and practices that ensure the reliability, integrity, and security of data throughout its lifecycle.Data Visualization: The graphical representation of data to facilitate the identification of patterns, trends, and insights.Data Scientist: A professional who possesses expertise in data analysis, machine learning, and statistical modeling, responsible for extracting insights and building predictive models from large datasets.Big Data: A term used to describe extremely large andcomplex datasets that traditional data processing softwareis inadequate to handle.Data Quality: The degree to which data conforms to predefined standards of completeness, accuracy, consistency, timeliness, and validity.Data Security: The measures and practices implementedto protect data from unauthorized access, use, disclosure, disruption, modification, or destruction.Open Data: Data that is made freely available to the public without any copyright, patent, or other restrictions, promoting transparency and innovation.Data Privacy: The regulations and ethicalconsiderations governing the collection, storage, use, and disclosure of personal data to protect individuals' privacy rights.Data Curation: The selection, acquisition, preservation, and documentation of data to ensure its availability,usability, and authenticity over time.Data Lakehouse: A unified data management platform that combines the scalability and flexibility of a data lakewith the structure and governance of a data warehouse, enabling both operational and analytical workloads.Modern Data Stack: A collection of cloud-based toolsand technologies that facilitate the collection, storage, transformation, and analysis of big data in a scalable and cost-effective manner.Data Fabric: An architectural approach that enables the integration and interoperability of data across diverse systems and environments to provide a unified andconsistent data experience.By understanding these key terms, you'll be well-equipped to navigate the ever-evolving world of big data analytics and leverage its transformative potential todrive informed decisions and achieve organizational success.。
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Copyright 1997 IEEE. Published in the Proceedings of the Third International Symposium on High Performance Computer Architecture,February 1-5, 1997 in San Antonio, Texas, USA. Personal use of this material is permitted. However, permission to reprint/republish this material for advertising or promotional purposes or for creating new collective works for resale or redistribution to servers or lists, or to reuse any copyrighted component of this work in other works, must be obtained from the IEEE. Contact: Manager, Copyrights andPermissions / IEEE Service Center / 445 Hoes Lane / P.O. Box 1331 / Piscataway, NJ 08855-1331, USA. Telephone: + Intl. 908-562-3966.A Framework for Statistical Modeling of Superscalar Processor PerformanceDerek B.NoonburgJohn Paul ShenDepartment of Electrical and Computer EngineeringCarnegie Mellon University Pittsburgh,PA 15213derekn,shen @AbstractThis paper presents a statistical approach to modeling su-perscalar processor performance.Standard trace-driven techniques are very accurate,but require extremely long simulation times,especially as traces reach lengths in the billions of instructions.A framework for statistical models is described which facilitates fast,accurate performance evaluation.A machine model is built up from components:buffers,pipelines,etc.Each program trace is scanned once,generating a set of program parallelism parameters which can be used across an entire family of machine models.The machine model and program parallelism parameters are combined to form a Markov chain.The Markov chain is partitioned in order to reduce the size of the state space,and the resulting linked models are solved using an itera-tive technique.The use of this framework is demonstrated with two simple processor microarchitectures.The IPC estimates are very close to the IPCs generated by trace-driven simulation of the same microarchitectures.Resource utilization and other performance data can also be ob-tained from the statistical model.1IntroductionThis paper presents a statistical approach to modeling su-perscalar processor performance.Current performance evaluation techniques generally involve some sort of trace-driven ing a very detailed model of the pro-cessor microarchitecture,these techniques can produce ac-curate performance figures [BHLS96].However,these re-sults come at the cost of very long simulation times.Cur-rent trace-driven or timing simulators have an overhead of two to four orders of magnitude,i.e.,it takes 100–10,000cycles on a host machine to simulate a single target pro-cessor cycle (trace generation takes only 5–100of those cycles)[BHLS96,CK94].This is an especially impor-tant consideration now that program traces can run into billions of instructions.The statistical approach presentedhere achieves a significant decrease in execution time while maintaining good accuracy.Our statistical model uses processor states similar to those used in a trace-driven simulator.However,instead of computing a time-based list of states (“state x in cycle t ,state y in cycle t 1,...”),we compute a probability for each state (“state x with probability p x ,state y with probability p y ,...”).The probability of being in a particular state is equivalent to the fraction of cycles in which the processor is in that state.Generating such a model involves two basic steps.The first is designing the processor model.This model is based on the processor’s microarchitecture,and is at the same level of detail used in a timing simulator.In fact,designing this model is similar to designing a traditional trace-driven timing simulator.The primary result of this step is the sta-tistical model’s state space.The second step involves the transitions between states.Where a timing simulator com-putes the next state from the current state plus information about subsequent instructions in the trace,we instead com-pute probabilities of transitions from each state to every possible successor state,using information extracted from the trace.This is where the statistical component of the model comes in.It is important to observe that the processor and pro-gram are analyzed separately.This is an extension of the concept of machine and program parallelism [Jou89]with performance being the resultant interaction between the two.After a program trace is analyzed,the parameters which are extracted from the trace can be used to estimate the performance of that program on different processors.The trace need be analyzed only once in order to model performance on a family of fairly similar processors.This analysis can even be done on the fly,while generating the trace,to avoid having to store large trace files.The model —a state space plus transition probabilities —forms a Markov chain.This Markov chain is partitioned into a set of smaller models in order to get state spaces of reasonable size.Each partition is made up of one or more processor components:an issue buffer,an executionpipeline,etc.Thisup from interchangeableSPICE circuit model isThe work presentedeffort to explore thesuperscalar performanceconsidered a frameworkple examples arewill be possible usingSection2describesto this paper.Section3 model processorthe statistical techniquesmodels which illustrateSection8summarizesture directions.2Previous Jouppi describes a which uses the concepts mark(i.e.,program) lelism is defined as the superpipelining and the fectively the maximum (in the execution stages) lelism is defined as the is executed on an compared to executionIf the machineparallelism,overallparallelism.If,on theis high,the performancelelism.Mostwith cases where thecomparable.In theseon complex interactions Dubey,Adams,and formance modelin order to extract twopδProbpωProb twocycleLike Jouppi,wesult of the interaction ofparallelism.Trace-drivemodel,but does not interaction between approach makes use ofpipe 2Figure2:The same components shown in Fig-ure1,withfive instructions.The dotted arc indi-cates that instruction#5is data dependent on#3. The push into each pipe is1,since there is one in-struction of each type in the issue buffer.The pull into pipe1is1,since there is no data dependence, and therefore theflow is also1.The pull into pipe 2is0because of the data dependence,and there-fore theflow is0.(Both connection bandwidths are1.)See Figure2.This definition offlow is equivalent to what is used in simulators.Flow is split into push and pull here so that the contributions from the input and output components of a connection can be independently computed.This becomes important for partitioned models(see Section7).The following sections describe several specific com-ponents.However,the framework itself is general,and can be extended by adding new component types.The ultimate goal is to provide a wide variety of components which can be“wired”together to generate the machine model,some-thing like circuit elements in the SPICE model of a circuit. 4Statistical Modeling4.1States and probabilitiesThe structure of the processor microarchitecture(compo-nents and connections)defines the model’s state space.A state represents the current state of the processor.It is a vector,consisting of information about the instructions in each component in the machine(the“inflight”instruc-tions).This information must be sufficient to allow compu-tation of the next state given the current state plus infor-mation about subsequent instructions.Thus the state must include instruction type and dependence information for each instruction currently inflight.As used here,the in-struction type is an identifier for the pipeline which will execute the instruction,and also marks the instruction as a branch or non-branch.The dependence information indi-cates the preceding instructions on which the instruction is data-dependent.A trace-driven simulator uses a similar notion of state. In each cycle,it uses the current state to compute a new state for the next cycle.At the lowest level,the output of a trace-driven simulator is a list of states,one for each cycle. This output is,of course,not used directly.Certain inter-esting values—IPC,resource usage,etc.—are extracted from it as it is generated.The statistical model presented here uses states some-what differently.Instead of a list of states,the low-level output is the probability of the processor being in each state in any particular cycle,i.e.,the fraction of cycles spent in each state.For example,a trace-driven simu-lator which had only three states might produce the out-put0,1,2,2,2,1,0,2,2,0.The statistical model would instead produce a probability distribution:[0.30.20.5].This indi-cates that30%of cycles were spent in state0,20%in state 1,and50%in state2.In general,the same performance figures which are extracted from a simulation run can also be extracted from this state distribution.The most important thing to note about this difference —a time-series of states vs.state probabilities—is that the simulation output size and run-time are proportional to the number of cycles simulated,while the statistical model output size and run-time are proportional to the number of states.This is where the statistical model gains its execu-tion time advantage.While the statistical model still de-pends on an analysis of each trace,this need only be done once per program and is significantly faster than simula-tion.4.2Markov chainsIn order to compute the state probability distribution,the statistical model requires information from both the pro-cessor microarchitecture and from the program trace.As described above,the microarchitecture determines the state space.The program,on the other hand,determines the probabilities of transitions between states.The state distribution is computed by forming a Markov chain,using the processor’s state space.In or-der to form this Markov chain,we need the probabilities of transitions between every pair of states.These transition probabilities form an n n matrix P,where n is the number of states,and P xy is the probability of a transition from state x to state y,i.e.,the probability of going to state y in cycle t1,given that the processor is in state x in cycle t.The state distribution that we want is then the stationary distri-bution of the Markov chain,which can be computed from the transition matrix using standard techniques[Res92].Awith its statetor for theto log2n bits.Tohowever,tually veryis significantlylarge.)Thisvery carefully.to produce mation,but Markov chain5The next threedemonstrate theof the modelstraces generateddriven veloped using VMW[DSP93],informance5.1The Thefirst cessor(see fetch buffer,an The fetch and fetch bufferfect branch branchthe branch isin this model—cause a stall.Itble after everyfetch buffer. latency of two ate stalls,and is path from the dependent on the the issue bufferInstructions respect to thisa branch or atypes since theretion has afined as thethe source of itsstruction has noType informationinstructions,since wecurrently in the fetch andformation for more than(slightly)the model’s computing transitionIt is not necessary to tion for instructions in the not influence the machine when it is readypipe and leaves theA dependencerepresenting an actualing a distance greater thanA distance of zero means on the immediatelyan instruction with ai.e.,independent of theissue immediately.Thusthe s values are also used below),which is made value of s max(s max5is three-pipe modelsThere are2222This is easily smalllithic Markov model. 5.3ExampleConsider the loop shown linked list,extracting anit to one variable(a0)if if odd.The linked list is nates between these twoA section of the trace the instruction type and each dynamic instruction. that the processor executes ing else.Figure6shows the The upper half of the cycle pipeline diagram, through the processor. Figures5and4.)The state vector for each cycle.In cycles2,7,11,and state:x F0,x I1,x P 2,the next two4.Instruction1is a branch (y10).Instruction1is immediately previous most recent dependence second previouscycle x Fx I y 0,y 1s 0,s 1x Pinstructions inprocessorMarkov chain stateFigure 6:A cycle-by-cycle half shows the instructions (labeled by instruction number)in each buffer and pipe stage.The lower half shows the corresponding Markov chain state vector.the pull into the issue buffer is 1,since it will be empty after the flow into the pipe;the push out of the fetch buffer is 0,since it is empty;the flow from fetch to issue is 0,since the push is 0;the pull into the fetch buffer is 1,since there will be no branch remaining in fetch or issue;the flow into the issue buffer is 1,since the pull is 1(and the push is always 1).Given this information,we can compute most of the next state vector:x F 1,x I 0,and x P 10.We also know that the y and s values “shift over”by one instruction,i.e.,y 0y 10and s 0s 11,since one instruction was issued.However,some statistics from the trace are needed to determine y 1and s 1.The information extracted from the trace for this model is:parSeq y 0s 0y 1s 1y 1s 1Prob next instr is type y 1,distance s 1previous instr’s are y 0s 0and y 1s 1In this case,we need parSeq 1001y 1s 1for each possible y 1s 1pair.Looking at the trace (Figure 5),there are four places where this y 0s 0y 1s 1sequence occurs:1.instructions 1and 4,followed by instruction 5,in which case y 10and s 14;2.instructions 6and 0(first occurrence),followed by in-struction 1,in which case y 11and s 10;3.instructions 1and 2,followed by instruction 3,in which case y 11and s 15;4.instructions 6and 0(second occurrence,remember-ing that the trace “wraps around”,repeating the pat-tern shown in Figure 5),followed by instruction 1,in which case y 11and s 10.From this,we see that:y 10s 14with probability 0.25;y 11s 10with probability 0.5;y 11s 15with probability 0.25.Going back to the state described above —x F 0,x I 1,x P 01,y 10,s 01—there are three possible transitions:1.x F 1,x I 0,and x P10,y 00,s14withprobability 0.25;2.x F1,x I 0,and x P 10,y01,s10withprobability 0.5;3.x F1,x I0,and x P10,y01,s15withprobability0.25.These probabilities match the four successors of this state in Figure6:cycles3,8,12,and19.The transition probabilities for every other state are computed similarly,using the complete parSeq table which is extracted from the trace.With the resulting transition matrix,we can compute the state probabilities.In this sim-ple example,the computed probabilities exactly match the states shown in Figure6.We now have the probability of the processor being in each state,as well as the transition probabilities between every pair of states.A state transition implies a specific number of instructionsflowing from each component to the next.Given this information,we can compute theflow probability distribution for each connection.For example, the probability that one instructionflows from fetch to issue is:∑x Prob state x∑yProb x y transitionwhere the outer sum is over all states x,and the inner sum is over all transitions x y which cause aflow of one instruc-tion from fetch to issue.The IPC is then just the weighted average of theflow probability distribution.(This weighted average will be the same at the fetch-issue and issue-pipe connections.)5.4ResultsTable1shows the performance estimates generated by this model,compared to the simulated performance,for a few small benchmarks.Thefirst benchmark(linked list)is the linked list traversal described above.The second(floating point)is another simple loop,which traverses two vectors, doing afloating point multiplication and addition in each it-eration.The third(compress)is from the SPECint92suite. The fourth(Livermore loops)is a standardfloating point press and Livermore loops are run with small data sets(around a half million cycles).For this processor microarchitecture,the statistical model produces results within1%of the simulator.Both the statistical model and simulator produce more detailed information in addition to the IPC value,e.g.,resource usage.For example,Table2shows the fraction of cy-cles in which each component contains0,1,or2instruc-tions,as well as the average number of instructions in the component,for the compress benchmark on the no-branch-prediction processor.The data generated by the statistical model is again very close to the simulated data.benchmark model sim. linked list0.73630.55420.95130.9162 compress0.77840.72910.88750.8371sim.sim.0instructions0.10520.07370.89600.9257avg.#instr’s0.89480.9263pipemodel0.00001instruction0.54180.4410avg.#instr’s 1.4582Table2:Modeled vs.simulated component oc-cupancies for the compress benchmark,on the single-pipe processor model.The numbers are the fraction of cycles in which there are a partic-ular number of instructions in the specified com-ponent.6The Monolithic Three-Pipe Model This section presents a more complex microarchitecture and introduces some new concepts which are necessary to model it.This processor has three pipelines:thefirst executes integer instructions with a latency of one cycle,the second executesfloating point instructions with a latency offive cycles,and the third executes memory instructions with a latency of two cycles.All branches are executed by the integer pipe.The fetch and issue buffers are similar to their counterparts in the one-pipe model,but they can each hold two instructions.As before,there are two zversions of the fetch buffer:one with perfect branch prediction and one with no branch prediction(branches are resolved on issue and cause a one-cycle bubble).Up to two instructions can be issued per cycle,and all instructions are issued in order. See Figure7.There are four instruction types:integer,floating point, memory,and branch.Each instruction has three dependent instruction distances,one for each pipe.Consider this smallfp pipeFigure7:A three-pipe processor microarchitec-ture.piece of an assembly code trace:0:addt f1,f2-->f31:ldt0(i1)-->f42:addt f6,f7-->f83:addt f3,f4-->f5;s s max10The addt s arefloating point instructions,and the ldt is a memory instruction.The dependent instruction dis-tances are shown for the last addt(instruction#3).It is not dependent on any integer instruction,so the integer dis-tance is s max.It is dependent on the second previousfloat-ing point instruction(instruction#0,which writes to reg-ister f3),so thefloating point distance is1.Finally,it is dependent on the previous memory instruction(#1),so the memory distance is0.The state vector for this processor model is an exten-sion of the one-pipe processor’s state:x F=#instructions in the fetch buffer(0x F2)x I=#instructions in the issue buffer(0x I2)x int i=#instructions in integer pipe stage i(0x int i1 for i0)x fp i=#instructions infloating point pipe stage i(0x int i1for0i4)x mem i =#instructions in memory pipe stage i(0x int i1for0i1)y i=the type of the i th next instruction:0=integer,1=floating point,2=memory,3=branch(y i03for0i3)s i j=the dependent instruction distance of the i th next instruction(0s i j s max for0i30j2)The instruction types range from0to3(three pipes plus branches).There are three distances for each instruc-tion,i.e.,the i th next instruction is dependent on the s th i j pre-vious instruction in pipe j.Since there can be up to four instructions in fetch and issue,type information must be kept for at least four in-structions,in order to correctly deal with branches.Thefloating point pipe is deepest and thus determines the value of s max.(A single s max value is used for simplic-ity,but we could actually use a different one for each pipe.) Consider the second instruction in the issue buffer.If the instruction ahead of it in issue is afloating point instruc-tion,and thefloating point pipe is full,then a dependence on any of thefive previousfloating point instructions will cause a stall(one in issue plus four in the pipe;not counting the last one in the pipe because its result can be forwarded). So we need s values from0to4,plus one more to indicate a longer or no dependence.This implies s max 5.This state vector definition results in a state space size of33212522446431281015This is far too large to solve successfully.One optimization is to remove the s values from the state vector.For each state,the probability of each pos-sible s value can be computed using information extracted from the trace(the conditional probabilities of s,depending on the current y sequence).To do this accurately requires adding the types of the four most recently issued instruc-tions to the state vector:y prev i=the types of the two previously issued instruc-tions(y previ03for0i3)This results in a state space with:332125224444151108states which is still too large.The next section shows how the Markov chain can be partitioned into smaller,more manageable pieces.7The Partitioned Three-Pipe Model 7.1Partitioning the state spaceThe processor model used in this section is the same three-pipe model used previously(see Figure7).The difference is in the design of the state space.Instead of modeling the processor with one large Markov chain,we partition it, modeling each partition with its own Markov chain.As with the one-pipe model,control dependences are modeled by the pull into the fetch buffer.This pull de-pends on instructions in both the fetch and issue buffer.If there is a branch(assuming the no-prediction model)in ei-ther buffer,the pull is zero,i.e.,fetching is stalled until the branch is issued.Because of this tight coupling betweenthe two buffers,they are lumped together in one Markov chain.The pipes are relatively independent of the issue buffer and of each other.Each pipe is represented by a separate Markov chain.This partitioning leads to a fetch/issue state vector:x F:#instructions in fetchx I:#instructions in issuey i:types of the next four instructions to be issuedy prev i:types of the four previously issued instructions and three pipe state vectors of the form:x P i:instructions in pipeThe state vector elements are the same ones used in the monolithic model.7.2Push and pull probabilitiesThere are now four Markov chains,which form a set of si-multaneous equations.For the pipe-i(0=integer,1=floating point,or2=memory)model,the unknown is the push out of the issue buffer:p issueithe number of instructions ready toflowfrom issue to pipe-iFor the fetch/issue model,the unknowns are the pulls into the pipes:q pipe jithe number of pipe-i instructions which areindependent of all instructions in pipe-j There is a pull by each pipe into each pipe.This is because an instruction can,in general,be dependent on an instruc-tion in any pipe.For an instruction toflow from issue into pipe-i,it must be independent of the instructions in all ofthe pipes(q pipe0i q pipe1iq pipe2i1).The push value depends on the current state of the fetch/issue model.The pull values depend on the current states of the pipe models.Since the fetch/issue model does not know the current state of the pipe models,and vice versa,we instead use push and pull probability distribu-tions:˜p issueikProb there are k instr’s ready toflowfrom issue to pipe-i˜q pipe jikProb there are k pipe-i instr’s independentof all instructions in pipe-jGiven the pull distributions,the fetch/issue Markov chain can be solved for its state distribution.From this, the push distribution can be directly computed.Similarly, given the push distributions from the fetch/issue buffer,the pipe Markov chains can be solved,producing the pull dis-tributions.An iterative relaxation technique can be used to generate a simultaneous solution for all four Markov chains.The above technique relies on an implicit assumption. The fetch/issue and pipe states must be statistically inde-pendent.More specifically,the push probabilities(from issue)must be independent of the pipe states,and the pull probabilities(from the pipes)must be independent of the fetch/issue state.This turns out to be an inaccurate as-sumption.For example,consider the following sequence of instructions:0:addt f1,f2-->f31:addt f4,f5-->f62:stt f33:stt f64:subt f7,f8-->f9In this example,the compiler has separated thefloating point instructions from the stores which depend on them. Thefirst add-store pair(#0and#2)are separated by an-otherfloating point add.The second pair(#1and#3)are separated by a store.This means that thefirst store is de-pendent on the second previousfloating point instruction, so the dependence distance is1,while the second store is dependent on thefirst previousfloating point instruction, so its dependence distance is0.Considering both memory instructions,the probability of dependence distance0is0.5 and the probability of dependence distance1is0.5.How-ever,these distances are correlated with the current state of the issue buffer:when there are two stores in issue,the de-pendence distance will be1,and when there are one store and onefloating point subtract,the dependence distance will be0.Thus the pull by thefloating point pipe is de-pendent on the issue state,which violates the independence assumption.7.3Correlated Markov chainsThe solution to this problem is to drop the assumption that the fetch/issue and pipe models are entirely independent. The model must allow for some correlation between them. To do this,the pipe state vectors are augmented:x P i(same as before)y i:types of next two instructions to be issuedy prev i:types of the four previously issued instructionsinstr. numbertype (y) dep. instr. dist’s (s int)01456012356... 23023230323... 55555555555... 55555555555... 00010000510...(s fp)(s mem)Figure8:A section of the trace for the code shown in Figure4,with types and dependence distances for the three-pipe model.The y and y prev values in the pipe states correlate with the other pipes and with thefirst two y values and the four y prev values in the fetch/issue state.That is,if the fetch/issue Markov chain is in a particular state,each pipe must be in a state with matching y values,and vice versa. The push and pull probabilities can then be made condi-tional on y01and y prev03to allow for the correlation.(Thepipe states contain only the next two instruction types,as opposed to four like the fetch/issue state.This is done to reduce the sizes of the pipe model state spaces.)The resulting state space sizes are:fetch/issue:334444589824statesinteger pipe:2142448192statesfloating point pipe:254244131072statesmemory pipe:22424416384states7.4ExampleThis example uses the same program as is used with the single-pipe example(Figure4).The trace is the same,but there are now four possible instruction types and three dif-ferent dependent instruction distances for each instruction (see Figure8).Figure9shows the processor states at each cycle.Re-member that there are now four separate states:one for fetch/issue and one for each of the three pipes.(Thefloat-ing point pipe is omitted from thefigure.)In cycles2and3,the fetch and issue buffers are in the state:x F0,x I1,y prev3232,y3023.In both of these cycles,the four previously issued instructions are3,5,6,and0(types3,2,3,and2),and the next four instructions to be issued are1,4,5,and6(types3,0,2, and3).Since the instruction in issue is an integer instruction (all branches are executed by the integer pipe),we need the pull by each pipe into the integer pipe.In this example, the integer pull is always1(since the integer dependence distances are all5)and thefloating point pull is always1 (since there are nofloating point instructions).The pull by the memory pipe can be either0or1,with the following probabilities:Prob pull by mem into int pipe=0y prev3232y3005 Prob pull by mem into int pipe=105 These probabilities are generated at the same time the memory pipe transition is computed(see below).The instruction sequencing information extracted from the trace for this model is:instrSeq y06Prob next instr is type y6previous instr’s are types y05 In the case when the pull is1,we need instrSeq323023y3for all possible values of y3.An examination of the trace(Figure8)shows that y32with probability1.Given these probabilities,there are two possible tran-sitions:1.if pull=0:x F0,x I1,y prev3232,y3023(no change in state),with probability0.5(this corre-sponds to the cycle2cycle3transition)2.if pull=1:x F2,x I0,y prev2323,y0232(the branch has left issue and two new instructions have been fetched),with probability0.5(this corre-sponds to the cycle3cycle4transition)While building the fetch/issue transition matrix,we also have to compute the conditional push out of issue (which will be used to compute the transition probabilities for the pipe models).In this particular state,we have:Prob push into int pipe=0y prev3232y300Prob push into int pipe=11Prob push into fp pipe=01Prob push into fp pipe=10Prob push into mem pipe=01Prob push into mem pipe=10 (Normally,we would have to consider all states with these y prev and y values;in this example,it just happens that this is the only state with these values.)In cycle2,the memory pipe is in the state:x P10, y prev3232,y30.First,we compute the pull by the memory pipe into each pipe.For this purpose,we ex-tract dependence distance probability information from the trace:。