2010美国数学建模B题论文

合集下载

数学建模美赛翻译-关于2010年数学建模美国赛b题的翻译

数学建模美赛翻译-关于2010年数学建模美国赛b题的翻译

2010年美国数学建模邀请赛试题2010-02-19 09:09PROBLEM A: The Sweet SpotExplain the “sweet spot” on a baseball bat.Every hitter knows that there is a spot on the fat part of a baseball bat where maximum power is transferred to the ball when hit. Why isn’t this spot at the end of the bat? A simple explanation based on torque might seem to identify the end of the bat as the sweet spot, but this is known to be empirically incorrect. Develop a model that helps explain this empirical finding.Some players believe th at “corking” a bat (hollowing out a cylinder in the head of the bat and filling it with cork or rubber, then replacing a wood cap) enhances the “sweet spot” effect. Augment your model to confirm or deny this effect. Does this explain why Major League Baseball prohibits “corking”?Does the material out of which the bat is constructed matter? That is, does this model predict different behavior for wood (usually ash) or metal (usually aluminum) bats? Is this why Major League Baseball prohibits metal bats?PROBLEM B: CriminologyIn 1981 Peter Sutcliffe was convicted of thirteen murders and subjecting a number of other people to vicious attacks. One of the methods used to narrow the search for Mr. Sutcliffe was to find a “center of mass” of the locations of the attacks. In the end, the suspect happened to live in the same town predicted by this technique. Since that time, a number of more sophisticated techniques have been developed to determine the “geographical profile” of a suspected serial criminal ba sed on the locations of the crimes.Your team has been asked by a local police agency to develop a method to aid in their investigations of serial criminals. The approach that you develop should make use of at least two different schemes to generate a geographical profile. You should develop a technique to combine the results of the different schemes and generate a useful prediction for lawenforcement officers. The prediction should provide some kind of estimate or guidance about possible locations of the next crime based on the time and locations of the past crime scenes. If you make use of any other evidence in your estimate, you must provide specific details about how you incorporate the extra information. Your method should also provide some kind of estimate about how reliable the estimate will be in a given situation, including appropriate warnings.In addition to the required one-page summary, your report should include an additional two-page executive summary. The executive summary should provide a broad overview of the potential issues. It should provide an overview of your approach and describe situations when it is an appropriate tool and situations in which it is not an appropriate tool. The executive summary will be read by a chief of police and should include technical details appropriate to the intended audience.。

2010年数学建模B题—上海世博会影响力的定量评估

2010年数学建模B题—上海世博会影响力的定量评估

2010年上海世博会影响力的定量评估摘要上海世博会的举办对中国乃至世界的快速发展都产生了深远的影响。

本文着眼于上海世博会促进旅游业这一侧面,提出并解决三个重要的问题。

一:上海世博会对上海入境人数的贡献旅游业发展具有趋势性、周期性、随机性,根据这一规律建立入境人数本底趋势模型,使用内插法处理过的2007年7月至2010年3月数据拟合出本底趋势线,进而求出2010年4、5、6、7月的本底值,与实际人数相比得到世博会对入境人数平均贡献率为22.41%。

二:未来几个月上海入境人数走势利用第一问模型得出08-11月世博会给上海带来544815人的额外入境人数。

三:世博会给上海带来的直接利益通过对已知的世博会入园人数进行分析,建立每天入园人数的时间序列分析模型,由于人员的变动性,故采用时间序列分解法求解。

运用趋势外推法加权拟合出长期趋势直线,综合考虑影响参观人数的随机因素,预测出上海世博会最终入园人数为7010.82万人。

门票总收入达103.88亿元。

关键字:本底趋势线内插法定量评估时间序列分析模型趋势外推法一、问题重述题目背景:2010年上海世博会是首次在中国举办的世界博览会。

从1851年伦敦的“万国工业博览会”开始,世博会正日益成为各国人民交流历史文化、展示科技成果、体现合作精神、展望未来发展等的重要舞台。

请你们选择感兴趣的某个侧面,建立数学模型,利用互联网数据,定量评估2010年上海世博会的影响力。

问题提出:上海世博会促进旅游业这一侧面,提出了三个重要的问题。

问题一:上海世博会期间,上海的入境人数有什么变化,给出相应的数学模型,并计算世博会对入境人数的平均贡献率。

问题二:未来几个月上海入境人数走势。

问题三:从互联网获取每天入园参观人数,建立每天的参观人数的预测模型,并预测最终入园人数并估算世博会的门票总收入。

二、符号约定三、模型假设1、忽略国家政策、军事、节假日等方面对上海入境人数的影响。

2、将世博会期间的天气情况影响限制在一定波动范围内。

2010 美赛 MCM 优秀论文

2010 美赛 MCM 优秀论文
For the second problem, using Rayleigh distribution function, we obtain a preliminary probability distribution of the crime site based on the residence determined in the first problem . Taking geographical character and the offender’s geographical preference into account, we utilize cluster analysis to divide all the crime sites into 4 zones. In these 4 zones, we construct 4 two-dimensional normal distributions around the 4 circle centers with the standard deviations being the radii of the circles. In view of the influence of the crime time, we add a time factor to the preliminary distribution. As a result, the preliminary distribution is modulated by geographical and temporal factors, producing an ultimate prediction, which is rather satisfactory after validation.
3 Center of Minimum Distance Model.................................. 5

2010年数学建模赛区B题一等奖论文4

2010年数学建模赛区B题一等奖论文4

上海世博会影响力的定量评估上海世博会影响力的定量评估摘 要2010上海世博会备受世界瞩目,也影响我国各个区域,尤其对上海。

本文首先根据上海市1978年至上海申报世博会成功前期的GDP 数据,运用时间序列预测模型,预测出后期GDP 数据,并与实际GDP 作对比,接着分析与经济增长具有密切关系的九项指标数据,讨论各项经济指标的关联度,最后利用主成分分析法找出这九项指标中的主要影响经济增长的因子,即可反映上海世博对经济增长的影响力。

对于模型一,由于经济数据具有较强的自相关性,先采用ADF 检验时间序列的平衡性,接着通过对时间序列取对数、二次差分进行平衡化,然后运用SPSS 得到了拟合函数2(10.231)(1)ln (10.981)0.02t t B B x B ε−−=++,并通过拟合统计值检验了时间序列模型的可靠性,从而对后期数据作出较准确预测,最后通过比较预测值与实际时,得到了世博对上海的经济起到了明显的作用。

对于模型二,为了分析世博对经济增长产生的影响,是如何通过影响经济增长的各项指标来实现,找出引起经济增长的具有代表性受世博影响的九项指标。

利用SPSS 软件九项指标的数据做回归分析,并结合MATLAB 软件拟合得到单个指标随时间变化的函数。

再综合对九项指标数据进行分析,利用灰色系统理论对这九项指标进行关联度分析,并MATLAB 编程得到九项指标的关联系数如下图:1r2r3r4r5r6r7r8r9r0.8822 0.7667 0.8981 0.7124 0.6897 0.7417 0.6482 0.6663 0.6436 对于模型三,采用主成分分析法,通过SPSS 处理,到得影响经济的三个主成分,其方差贡献率之和达到95.517%,主成分与各因子的关系如下234567891010.9890.9850.9930.9440.9870.9930.1860.5330.647F x x x x x x x x x =+++++−−−234567891020.0120.0180.0120.0610.0510.0140.9160.7420.286F x x x x x x x x x =−−+−+−−−−234567891030.0970.0200.0700.2380.0470.0630.0780.1540.698F x x x x x x x x x =+++++−−− 从其表达式分析可以得到,世博导致了外来总投资,社会固定资产投资总额,消费受额,外贸总额,交通,旅游总收入等有较大幅度的增加。

2010数学建模竞赛B题分析

2010数学建模竞赛B题分析

选取近3次综合世博会作为上海世博会纵向影响力的参考,它们分 别是1992年西班牙塞维利亚世博会,2000德国汉诺威世博会以及2005 年日本爱知世博会,将从上述城市竞争力的各个方面进行讨论,表现上 海世博会对城市竞争力影响的大小。其数据如下表:
年份
主办方
世博投资 (亿元)
世博收益 (亿元)
举办市第三产 业产值增长率
C
I f In If
100%
If
In
正常举行世博会上海净投资额 假设不举办世博会上海净投资额
通过查找相关资料我们得出本次上海市由亍世博会而进行的基础配 套设施投资(丌包括园区投资)总额预测值为3200亿元左右[1]。而丌丼 办世博会的投资额预测值为2346.8亿元(见表2)。利用上述公式计算得 到世博会的相关净投资率约为0.363。 带动投资在上海丌丼办世博会情况下和丼办世博会情况下的比较值 为 0.637:1。
灰色系统(Grey System)理论是我国著名学者邓聚龙教授2O世纪8O年代初 创立的一种兼备软硬科学特性的新理论.该理论将信息完全明确的系统定义为 白色系统,将信息完全丌明确的系统定义为黑色系统,将信息部分明确、部分 丌明确的系统定义为灰色系统.由亍客观世界中,诸如工程技术、社会、经济 、农业、环境、军事等许多领域,大量存在着信息丌完全的情况.要么系统因 素戒参数丌完全明确,因素关系丌完全清楚;要么系统结构丌完全知道,系统 的作用原理丌完全明了等,从而使得客观实际问题需要用灰色系统理论来解决 。
现在来比较世博会的海外影响力,首先注意到在世博会开幕乊前, 关键字Shanghai expo的点击指数较为稳定,保持在7左右。为了比 较世博会前后点击率的差别,我们对世博会期间点击率的积分结果取 平均数,得到世博会当年,关键字Shanghai expo的平均点击指数 24.5657。 上述结果表明:上海世博对上海的知名度影响力贡献比达 1:3=0.3333:1。

数学建模美赛B题论文

数学建模美赛B题论文

2013建模美赛B题思路数学建模美赛B题论文摘要水资源是极为重要生活资料,同时与政治经济文化的发展密切相关,北京市是世界上水资源严重缺乏的大都市之一。

本文以北京为例,针对影响水资源短缺的因素,通过查找权威数据建立数学模型揭示相关因素与水资源短缺的关系,评价水资源短缺风险并运用模型对水资源短缺问题进行有效调控。

首先,分析水资源量的组成得出影响因素。

主要从水资源总量(供水量)和总用水量(需水量)两方面进行讨论。

影响水资源总量的因素从地表水量,地下水量和污水处理量入手。

影响总用水量的因素从农业用水,工业用水,第三产业及生活用水量入手进行具体分析。

其次,利用查得得北京市2001-2008年水量数据,采用多元线性回归,建立水资源总量与地表水量,地下水量和污水处理量的线性回归方程yˆ=-4.732+2.138x1+0.498x2+0.274x3根据各个因数前的系数的大小,得到风险因子的显著性为rx1>rx2>rx3(x1, x2,x3分别为地表水、地下水、污水处理量)。

再次,利用灰色关联确定农业用水、工业用水、第三产业及生活用水量与总用水量的关联程度ra =0.369852,rb= 0.369167,rc=0.260981。

从而确定其风险显著性为r a>r b>r c。

再再次,由数据利用曲线拟合得到农业、工业及第三产业及生活用水量与年份之间的函数关系,a=0.0019(t-1994)3-0.0383(t-1994)2-0.4332(t-1994)+20.2598;b=0.014(t-1994)2-0.8261t+14.1337;c=0.0383(t-1994)2-0.097(t-1994)+11.2116;D=a+b+c;预测出2009-2012年用水总量。

最后,通过定义缺水程度S=(D-y)/D=1-y/D,计算出1994-2008的缺水程度,绘制出柱状图,划分风险等级。

我们取多年数据进行比较,推测未来四年地表水量和地下水量维持在前八年的平均水平,污水处理量为近三年的平均水平,得出2009-2012年的预测值,并利用回归方程yˆ=-4.732+2.138x1+0.4982x2+0.274x3计算出对应的水资源总量。

2010年全国大学生数学建模B题优秀论文-推荐下载

2010年全国大学生数学建模B题优秀论文-推荐下载

1 1论文来源:无忧数模网2010年上海世博会影响力的定量评估摘 要2010年上海世博会是首次在中国举办的世界博览会,也是第一次在第三世界国家举办。

本文研究有关上海世博会影响力的问题。

从不同的出发点,分别建立了如下两个模型。

模型一采用投入——产出模型模型的核心思想,以年份与的对数值的二次相GDP 关关系和上海市社会固定资产总投入与的对数值的线性关系,利用上海统计年鉴GDP 发布的数据,分别建立无世博影响的表达式,与有世博ii i x x x eQ 21210001.00862.00032.02314.81-++=影响的表达式,两式的预测误差均在3%以内。

与2008年ii ix x x e Q 21210003.00291.00019.01911.82+-+=真实值比较,用表达式预测2008年的的值可以得出世博会对2008年上海市经1Q GDP 济贡献率达到24%。

并且在得知申办世博会后第i 年上海市固定投入总额的前提下由可求出世博会对上海地区经济的持续性积极影响。

如假设2011年市%100212⨯-=Q Q Q η固定资产总投资为5600亿元,则世博会对上海经济有16%的积极影响。

模型二将经济效益与社会效益综合考虑。

运用层次分析,主成分分析以及插值拟合,加权赋值等方法,模拟出世博会影响力与经济效益、社会效益的综合影响关系。

得到上海世博会的经济效益影响力系数0.3480,社会效益影响力系数0.2521。

与大阪世博会经济效益影响力系数0.2179,社会效益影响力系数0.3229对比,得出各种效益倾向下的结论,例如:经济效益:社会效益为0.7:0.3时,上海和大阪的综合影响力系数分别为0.3192、0.2094,得出上海世博会综合影响力优于大阪。

然后对模型二里的影响力的加权表达因子1p 进行灵敏度分析,从而证实该模型的可靠性。

将2000年汉诺威世博会数据代入,证实了该模型很好的稳定性。

最后,在模型推广中分析了世博会可能造成的负面影响。

2010年数学建模B题

2010年数学建模B题

2010年上海世博会影响力的定量评估摘要世博会是一项享誉全球的大型活动,素有“经济奥林匹克盛会”之称,其规模之大、参赛人数之多、影响力之大对东道国和举办城市的旅游业的影响是一般单项活动所不能匹敌的,这些通过历史数据和资料可以得到印证。

世博会所具有的国际影响力,为上海成为现代化国际旅游城市提供了很好的契机,其蕴含的意义和影响是极其深远的。

针对该题我们选择从上海旅游业的发展来评估上海世博会的影响力。

首先为评价上海至申办世博成功前后,世博效应对上海旅游产业的拉动作用,建立评价指标体系,取2000年到2009各年数据为样本,建立评价模型(模型一),采用投影寻踪方法,运用DPS 8.01数据处理软件。

结论如下:变量投影方向分别为x1= 0.1793,x2=0.1482,x3=0.1581,x4=0.2557,x5=0.403,x6=0.4347,x7=0.3138,x8=0.0996,x9=0.3166,x10=0.2909,x11=0.4053,x12=0.216;样本投影值为(-3.8312,-3.2739,-2.5318,-2.5318,-0.7344,0.5714,1.6351,2.9655, 3.8656,3.8656)。

从中可以看出:从2002年上海市申请世博会成功后,随着大量资金的投入,其对上海市旅游业的拉动作用越来越显著。

然后通过预测数据,对历届世博会对举办城市旅游业的影响,世博园的游客量,上海举办世博与否对上海旅游业的影响,世博会的负面影响分析等方面进行研究。

可以将上述过程分为三个阶段。

第一阶段:从已知的2010年5月到8月进世博园参观人数(图形1)分析,建立GM(1,1)模型,预测出上海世博园的游客总量约为7208.196万人次。

又查得相关数据,分析历届世博会对举办城市旅游业的影响(表1),运用文献分析法研究世博会对举办城市旅游业产生的影响。

第二阶段:结合已知的4月、5月、6月、7月上海旅游人数的数据资料,建立GM(1,1)模型,预测出2010年上海市8月、9月、10月的游客总量分别为775773人、794463人、813603人,又查出2006年到2009年各月来沪旅游总人数,建立表2:2006-2010年上海市旅游人数,使其与2010年同期作比较做出折线图(图形2),并对图形分析得:随着年份的增长,上海市的游客数量也在不停增长,且世博会期间的游客量增长较大。

  1. 1、下载文档前请自行甄别文档内容的完整性,平台不提供额外的编辑、内容补充、找答案等附加服务。
  2. 2、"仅部分预览"的文档,不可在线预览部分如存在完整性等问题,可反馈申请退款(可完整预览的文档不适用该条件!)。
  3. 3、如文档侵犯您的权益,请联系客服反馈,我们会尽快为您处理(人工客服工作时间:9:00-18:30)。

Team#8254page1of16 Play your best hit:The mystery in baseball batMCM Contest Question ATeam#8254February22,2010Contents1Introduction (2)1.1Problem Restatement (2)1.2What is the sweet spot on earth? (2)1.3How to cork a bat? (2)1.4The material of baseball bat matters? (2)2Assumption (3)3A Simplified Model (3)3.1Model Description (3)3.2Finding the”sweet spot” (5)4An Augmented Model (6)4.1Model Description (6)4.2Why no corked bats and metal bats? (8)4.2.1Qualitative Analysis (8)4.2.2Quantitative Analysis (9)5Sensitivity (12)6Conclusion (13)6.1Strength (13)6.2Weakness (13)6.3Recommendation (13)7References (13)8Appendix (14)Team#8254page2of16 1Introduction1.1Problem RestatementEvery experienced hitter knows that there is a spot on the baseball bat that when hitting with this spot,the hand of the hitter feels no pain and the ball can be hit farther.This is the”sweet spot”.According to the theory of torque,this spot should be at the end of the bat,but the experience of the hitters proves it wrong.The location of”sweet spot”on a given baseball bat is approximately 6-1/2”from the end of the bat[1].Our purpose is to establish a model to give a scientific explanation.In addition,some players believe that drilling a cylinder in the end of the bat andfilling it with cork or rubber,namely,to cork the bat [2],enhances the”sweet spot”effect.We would like to found our model and use it to interpret it.What’s more,the question that whether the material of bats matters is also a part discussed in this paper.1.2What is the sweet spot on earth?There are many definitions of”sweet spot”[3].Here in this paper,we define it as the location where maximum energy is transferred to the ball.1.3How to cork a bat?”Corking”is to drill a1inch diameter hole6inches longitudinally into the bat’s barrel end.The structure of the real bat and the corked bat can be showed in Fig1.In our augmented model,we will analyze the effect of corking.1.4The material of baseball bat matters?Compared to the wood bats,aluminum bats is not easily be broke,and as the aluminum bats are hollow,the thickness of the shell can be manipulated so that the center of mass may be more closer to the handle,and consequently reducing the perceived weight while swinging.In this way,it increases the mobility of(a)Normal baseball bat(b)Corked baseball batFig1:Normal baseball bat and corked batTeam#8254page3of16 the hitter.What’s more,using aluminum bat can largely improve the energy of the ejecting ball,which may be too hard to catch or even dangerous for players. All those features lead to the prohibition of the using of aluminum bat[4].We will explain it in details later in this paper.Fig2:Cross section of aluminum bat2AssumptionAs the hitting process is too complex,we make the following assumptions in order to simplify the problems and establish our models:1.The better hitting effect means a larger exit speed of the ball and a shorteracceleration time of the bat.2.When the hitter swings,hitter-bat system rotates around a vertical axis that”penetrates”the hitter.3.The collision of the ball and the bat is one-dimensional.4.The hitter always hits the ball at the”sweet spot”.3A Simplified Model3.1Model DescriptionIn our simplified model,we omit the situations that the player might modify the baseball bat and concentrate on explaining why the”sweet spot”is not at the end of the bat but a few distances from the end.When you hit a ball,the bat vibrates in response.These vibrations travel in waves up and down the length of the bat.At one point,called”the node”, the waves always cancel each other out.If you hit the ball on the bat’s node, the vibrations from the impact will cancel out,and you won’t feel any stinging or shaking in your hand.Since little of the bat’s energy is lost to vibrations when this spot is hit,more can go to the ball[5].We will found a model based onTeam#8254page4of16 the characteristics showed as italics.In our model,we ignore the swing of the hitter’s arms when hit.We denote the spot where the hitter holds the bat as pivot, assuming that the pivot isfixed,and the bat is mounted on the pivot so that it can swing around the pivot freely.The parameters we use are given in the tabular Notation,and the force and motion diagram is showed in Fig3.NotationSymbols MeaningF ball the applied force in the collisionF px,F py the vertical and horizontal component forces of the force in the pivotcm the center of mass of the batp the impact pointpivot the spot where the hitter holds the batI pivot the moment of inertia of the bat with respect to pivotL x−y the distances between x and yαthe rotation angular acceleration of the batm bat the mass of the batL sum the whole length of the batFig3:The force and motion diagram of the batNext,we will analyze the model above with the knowledge of kinetics in order tofind the”sweet spot”.Team #8254page 5of 163.2Finding the ”sweet spot”According to the theorem of moment of momentum we have:F ball ·L pivot =I pivot ·α(1)and based on the theorem of motion of center of mass:∑F =ma c we have:F ball +F px =m bat ·L pivot −cm ·α(2)Therefore,with equation (1)and (2)we have:F hand =F ball m bat ·L pivot −cm ·L pivot −p I pivot−1 Thus we know that the horizontal component force is 0whenL pivot −p =I pivotm bat L pivot −cmIn other words,when the distance between the pivot and the p is I pivot m bat ·L pivot −cm ,the p is the sweet spot.In order to find the specific location of the ”sweet spot”on a certain bat,we quote the data from [6]and choose a C243wooden bat,thus we get the parame-ters L pivot −cm =0.42m ,I pivot =0.208kg ·m 2,L knob −pivot =0.15m ,m bat =0.905kg ,L sum =0.86m .Then we calculate L pivot −p =0.55m ,so that L knob −p =0.70m .From the re-sult we can obviously see that the ”sweet spot”is about 0.16m far from the end of the fat part of the bat.The forces on different location of the bat can be showed in Fig4.Fig 4:The rotation system in a hitting processIn this way,we have successfully demonstrated that the experience of the hitters is right.Team#8254page6of16 4An Augmented Model4.1Model DescriptionThe previous model fails to take the situation that some hitter may modify the bat into account.What’s more,in real baseball game it is impossible that the arms of the hitter are stationary when hit.So we augmented ourfirst model. In this augmented model,we assume that the hitter and the bat form a rotation system in which the hitter stays vertical and the bat stays horizontal.The hitting process can thus be modeled as:the system gets a torque T generated by the hitter and rotates around the axis which vertically”penetrates”the hitter and then hits a ball.After hitting process,the ball ejects out with a velocity of v f. The distance between the impact spot and the axis is r.The process is described in Fig5.Fig5:The rotation system in a hitting processWe notice that the ball gets maximum velocity after hitting means the effect of hitting is optimal,so we should focus on the exit speed of the ball.Two processes are displayed as follows:Process1:The hitter swings the bat and accelerates the bat to an angular velocity ofω.Process2:After the imperfect inelastic collision of bat and ball,the ball ejects out with a velocity of v f.In process1,the moment of inertia of bat and the air resistance will hamper the rotation of the system of hitter-bat.It is easy to calculate the liner velocity of any spot on the bat by the kinematics formula v=ωr,and according to the formulas given by Keith Koenig in reference[7],we know that the angular ve-Team#8254page7of16 locity and the linear velocity of the impact spot on the bat before the collision in process1are:ω=TK Dtanhcosh−1expK DI hitter+I batθv bat=rω(3) where•r is the rotation radius,equals the length from the impact spot to the axis.•T is the torque applied to the hitter-bat system which is generated by the hitter.•K D is an aerodynamic parameter,which is given byK D=12ρC D DL44(for more please read reference[7])•tanh is hyperbolic tangent function.•cosh−1is anti-hyperbolic cosine function.•exp is exponential function.•θis the angle that the bat rotates.•I hitter is the hitter’s moment of inertia with respect to the axis.•I bat is the bat’s moment of inertia with respect to the axis.In our case,we treat T,K D,I hitter,θas constant parameters while r and I bat are the only variables.In process2,we assume that the bat and ball have an one-dimensional col-lision and they both have some extent of deformation.The deformation trans-forms a small part of the kinetic energy(about25%,reference[8])into potential energy stored in bat and ball,while most part(about75%)of it dismisses due to the friction and the oscillation of the bat.And referring to reference[7]we havev f=COR−r M1+r Mv ball+COR+11+r Mv bat(4)where•COR is the coefficient of restitution,it will be discussed in the next part.•v ball is the velocity of the ball right before the collision with the bat.Team #8254page 8of 16•v bat is the velocity of the bat right before the collision with the bat.by equation (3)and (4),we getv f =COR −r M 1+r M v ball +COR +11+r M r T K D tanh cosh −1 exp K D I hitter +I batθ (5)The parameters:COR ,I bat ,r M are explained in Appendix .4.2Why no corked bats and metal bats?In order to reveal the influence of each parameter on the velocity of the ball thus to figure out the effect of the corking behavior and predict different be-havior for wood and metal bats,we make some analysis about the application procedure of our augmented model.4.2.1Qualitative AnalysisWe assume that the velocity of the ball is constant before the collision with the bat,and the impact spots are on the same position of the bat,namely,r is a constant.The corking has two aspects of influences:one is the decrease of mass,the other is the deviation of the center of mass.1.Corked bat•The influence on v fDue to the lower density of material corked in the barrel,the whole mass of bat inclines and the center of mass moves to the rotation axis a little.On one hand,it will cause the decrease of I bat as I bat = r 2dm ,and according to the expression of v f :v f =COR −r M 1+r M v ball +COR +11+r M r T K D tanh cosh −1 exp K D I hitter +I batθ we know that the value of r T K D tanh cosh −1 exp K D I hitter +I batθ will increase.On the other hand,as we haver M =m ball (z −z p )2I cm +m bat L 2pivot −cmTeam#8254page9of16 we know that if m bat decreases and the center of mass deviates toknob,I cm and L pivot−cm will both decline,and that will make r M in-crease and lead to the decline of both COR−r M1+r M v ball and COR+11+r M.How-ever,it is impossible for us to ensure whether the value of v f willincrease or decrease without specific data.We will explain it later inthe Quantitative Analysis section.•The influence onflexibilityWe regard the procedure that the hitter-bat system is accelerated fromstationary situation to rotating with an angular velocity ofωas auniformly accelerated motion procedure.By kinematic formulas weknow that the acceleration time is t=2θω,and from the expression ofωmentioned in page6,section4.1,we know that as the I bat decreasesdue to corking,the value ofωwill increase,so that the accelerationtime will be shorten and in this way theflexibility develops.2.Metal bats vs.wood batsUsing our augmented model we are able to analyze the behavior of bats that have different composition material.•The influence on v fMetal bats(usually aluminum bats)have trampoline effect due togood elasticity,so that it has larger COR than wood bats(usually ashbats).In addition,as the aluminum bats have less mass,the influenceof material is just like that in discussing corked bats.It is obvious thatin order tofind which kind of bat’s v f is larger we need the supportof data.•The influence onflexibilityThe aluminum bats are lighter than wood bats so that the influenceonflexibility is the same as corked bats.4.2.2Quantitative Analysis1.Data usingAs the qualitative analysis cannot show the exact differences between wood bats,corked wood bats(corked bats)and aluminum bats,we quote the data from reference[7][12][13][14]to verify our augmented model.Table1:Value of ConstantsTeam#8254page10of16Constants Valuem ball/(g)134.2v ball/(m/s)25(assumption)T316N·mK D/(N·m·s2)0.00544θ 2.36radr/(m)0.762R hitter−pivot/(m)0.305I hitter/(kg·m2)0.444Table2:Value of VariablesValues Wood bat Corked bat Aluminum batCOR0.500.500.58mass/(g)876834827I p/(kg·m2)0.2110.1950.17L cm−pivot/(cm)424039.5I bat/(kg·m2)0.5160.4760.446z−z p/(m)0.470.460.45r M0.14030.14540.1596 Using the data above we can calculate the three relative values of v f that are47.1m/s,47.6m/s and51.3m/s.The I bat is calculated based on parallel axis theorem.For a better compare of the hitting effects of the three bats,we use com-puter to make a hitting experiment simulation about theflying trajectories of the ball after hitting:Assuming that the ball dose a slanting parabolic motion and the launch angle of the ball after hitting with the bat isθ=30◦.Fig6shows the trajec-tories of balls that are hit by the three kinds of bats.2.The influence of three kinds of bats onflexibilityCombine the formula t=2θωwith the expression ofω,we have the expres-sion of the acceleration time t:t=2θTK Dtanhcosh−1expK DI hitter+I batθAfter using the values given in the table1and table2,we get:Kinds of bats t/(s)Wood Bats0.121Corked Bats0.118Aluminum Bats0.116Team#8254page11of16Fig6:The trajectories of the balls hit by the three kinds of bats It is easy to see that the acceleration time of corked bat is0.003s shorter than that of wood bat.During this time,the incoming ball moves0.075m farther,that is to say,theflying distance of the incoming ball from the ser-vice point to the collision point when using a corked bat is0.075m farther than that of wood bat,so that the hitter would feel more easy to deal with the incoming ball as he or she has more time to react and accelerate the bat when using a corked bat.In the same way we know that when usinga aluminum bat rather than a wood bat,the hitter has0.005s longer and0.125m farther to handle the bat.3.Summary of our analysisAt this point,we are able to answer the second and third questions about the corking behavior and the matters of different materials.•Why does Major League Baseball prohibit”corking”?From the analysis above we know that for a baseball bat used in ourmodel,if it is corked,the swinging velocity of bat right before hittingthe ball will increase0.5m/s and theflexibility of swinging can alsobe developed,as the mass of the bat decreases and the center of massof it deviates.•Why does Major League Baseball prohibit metal bats?According to our model,the hitting effect is closely linked with thematerials.We know from our qualitative verification that the hittingvelocity of using a aluminum bat is4.2m/s more than that of woodbat,and the deviation of the center of mass further gains0.005s reac-tion time for the hitter.As the ball hit by aluminum bat has a muchbigger velocity,it makes the catching of the ball difficult and evendangerous.Team#8254page12of16 5SensitivityAfter analyzing the application of our augmented model,wefind it neces-sary to analyze the sensitivity of our model,aiming at implementing it more effectively.We choose to research the exit speed of normal wood bat with differ-ent parameters.1.The influence of massThe change of mass will influence both r M and I bat,but as the value of them are too hard to obtain by direct calculating,we make some simplificationsbelow:r M=m ball (z−z p)2I p=m ball(z−z p)2I cm+m bat L2pivot−cmIn this expression,as I cm is very small(about0.04kg·m2),we treat it as a constant one.It is the same to z−z p(about0.47m)and L pivot−cm(about 0.42m).Hence,the value of r M only correlates to m bat,and we haver M=0.1340.4720.04+m bat×0.422then in I bat=I cm+m bat·L2hitter−cm,we also treat L hitter−cm(about0.725m) as a constant,so we haveI bat=0.04+m bat×0.7252Relating to equation(5),we denote COR=0.5and get:m bat(kg)0.830.850.870.89v f(m/s)46.846.7646.7146.672.The influence of materialThe major influence of different materials is they have different COR s.When the mass is constant,we have I bat=0.516kg·m2,and r M=0.1403, andfinally we get:COR0.40.450.50.550.6v f/(m/s)42.344.747.149.551.9From the results above,we can see that COR seems a more prominent influence.Team#8254page13of16 6Conclusion6.1StrengthFirst of all,this paper solves the problem of”sweet spot”,and we give an easy formula to calculate the position of”sweet spot”.Secondly,we analyze the hitting process and divide it into two stages,and discuss the factors that affect the exit speed in details while giving a formula that can describe this stage.Then we answer the questions through qualitative analysis and quantitative calculation.Finally,we make a analysis about the sensitivity and prove the rationality by comparing the results.6.2WeaknessFirst of all,as the real hitting process is too complex to analyze,we make several simplifications in order to facilitate the founding of model.In model 1,we just regard the bat as a pendulum rod with one endfixed,which is a little different from the real situation.And in model2,we simplify the complex process of hitting into two stages.Secondly,the data wefind are not precise,especially for the value of COR which we regard as constant.Additionally,the calculations in this paper are also simplified,thus the accu-racy of our results declines.6.3RecommendationThe biggest disadvantage of our model is lacking experiments,and if we have time and facilities to do some experiments,the result must be more reliable.For example,the equation(6)in Appendix can be used to measure COR,and in order to measure the value of I pivot,we could refer to[15]and use the method to obtain data.With this data we can verify our model in a better way.7References[1]/wiki/Sweet spot[2]/drussell/bats-new/corkedbat.html[3]/drussell/bats-new/sweetspot.html[4]/wiki/Aluminum Bats vs.Wood Bats[5]/baseball/sweetspot.htmlTeam#8254page14of16[6]/sysengr/slides/baseballBat.ppt[7]Keith Koenig,Nan Davis Mitchell,Thomas E.Hannigan,J.Keith Clutter.The influence of moment of inertia on baseball/softball bat swing speed.SportsEngineedng(2004)7,105-117.[8]Alan M.Nathana.Characterizing the performance of baseball bats.Am.J.Phys.,Vol.71,No.2,February2003134-143[9]/wiki/Coefficient of restitution[10]Lv ZhongjieHuang Fenglei.Coefficient of Restitution of a Circular PlateDuring Inelastic Collision.Transactions of Beijing Institute of Technology.Vol.28No.4.[11]P.J.Drane and J.A.Sherwood.Characterization of the effect of temperatureon baseball COR performance.[12]/sysengr/slides/baseballBat.ppt[13]/docs/621958/How-Does-a-Baseball-Bat-Work[14]/wiki/moment of inertia[15]/drussell/bats-new/bat-moi.html8AppendixParameters ExplanationIn expression(5),page8,section4.1,there are several parameters that will influence thefinal velocity of the ball:1.COR•What is COR?The coefficient of restitution(COR),or bounciness of an object is afractional value representing the ratio of velocities after and before animpact[9].Fig7:The one-dimensional collision processTeam #8254page 15of 16The coefficient of restitution is given byCOR =v 1f −v 2f v 1−v 2(6)where–v 1is the velocity of object 1before the collision.–v 2is the velocity of object 2before the collision.–v 1f is the velocity of object 1after the collision.–v 2f is the velocity of object 2after the collision.All the parameters above are scalars.In the ideal situations,we may have a so-called plastic collision when COR =0,namely the deformation of the material cannot re-store.And when COR =1,called perfectly elastic collision,is a situa-tion that the deformation can restore entirely.In general,the value of COR varies from (0,1).•What factors affect COR ?MaterialCOR represents the deformation recovery ability of the material.Gen-erally speaking,the more elastic the material is,the higher the value of COR will be.Impact velocityCOR decreases when the impact velocity increases.[10]The Temperature and Relative Humility of The EnvironmentCompared to the factors above,another two factors,the tempera-ture and relative humility have a relatively smaller influence.COR decreases when the temperature decreases and it decreases when the relative humility increases.[11]2.I bat•MOI (moment of inertia)[14]Moment of inertia is a measure of an object’s resistance to changes in its rotation rate.It is the rotational analog of mass,the inertia of a rigid rotating body with respect to its rotation.The moment of iner-tia plays much the same role in rotational dynamics as mass does in linear dynamics,determining the relationship between angular mo-mentum and angular velocity,torque and angular acceleration,and several other quantities.It is denoted asI = r 2dmwhere m is mass and r is the perpendicular distance to the axis of rotation.Team#8254page16of16•Parallel Axis TheoremI z=I cm+mL2where I cm is the moment of inertia of the rotor with respect to thecenter of mass,and the L is the distance from the center of mass toaxis z.•The factors affect MOIFigure:It influences the location of the center of mass,thereby affectsthe distance from the center of mass to rotation axis.Mass:Its increase is proportional to the increase of MOI.3.r MIn reference[8],Alan M.Nathan develops a formula relating v f to the initial speed of the ball v ball and the initial speed of the bat at the impact pointv bat as:r M=m ball (z−z p)2I pwhere•m ball and m bat are the ball and the bat’s mass respectively.•Z is the location of the impact point.•Z p is the location of the pivot point.•I p is the moment of inertia of the bat with respect to the pivot point. From the expression above we can see that reducing the mass of the bat m bat while keeping the other parameters constant will lead to a augment of r m.。

相关文档
最新文档