计量经济学导论:现代观点第四版习题答案

计量经济学导论:现代观点第四版习题答案
计量经济学导论:现代观点第四版习题答案

DATA SET HANDBOOK

Introductory Econometrics: A Modern Approach, 4e

Jeffrey M. Wooldridge

This document contains a listing of all data sets that are provided with the fourth edition of Introductory Econometrics: A Modern Approach. For each data set, I list its source (wherever possible), where it is used or mentioned in the text (if it is), and, in some cases, notes on how an instructor might use the data set to generate new homework exercises, exam problems, or term projects. In some cases, I suggest ways to improve the data sets.

Special thanks to Edmund Wooldridge, who provided valuable assistance in updating the page numbers for the fourth edition.

401K.RAW

Source:L.E. Papke (1995), “Participation in and Contributions to 401(k) Pension Plans: Evidence from Plan Data,”Journal of Human Resources 30, 311-325.

Professor Papke kindly provided these data. She gathered them from the Internal Revenue Service’s Form 5500 tapes.

Used in Text: pages 64, 80, 135-136, 173, 217, 685-686

Notes: This data set is used in a variety of ways in the text. One additional possibility is to investigate whether the coefficients from the regression of prate on mrate, log(totemp) differ by whether the plan is a sole plan. The Chow test (see Section 7.4), and the less restrictive version that allows different intercepts, can be used.

401KSUBS.RAW

Source: A. Abadie (2003), “Semiparametric Instrumental Variable Estimation of Treatment Response Models,”Journal of Econometrics 113, 231-263.

Professor Abadie kindly provided these data. He obtained them from the 1991 Survey of Income and Program Participation (SIPP).

Used in Text: pages 165, 182, 222, 261, 279-280, 288, 298-299, 336, 542

Notes: This data set can also be used to illustrate the binary response models, probit and logit, in Chapter 17, where, say, pira (an indicator for having an individual retirement account) is the dependent variable, and e401k [the 401(k) eligibility indicator] is the key explanatory variable.

ADMNREV.RAW

Source:Data from the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration: “A Digest of State Alcohol-Highway Safety Related Legislation,” U.S. Department of Transportation, NHTSA. I used the third (1985), eighth (1990), and 13th (1995) editions.

Used in Text: not used

Notes: This is not so much a data set as a summary of so-called “administrative per se” laws at the state level, for three different years. It could be supplemented with drunk-driving fatalities for a nice econometric analysis. In addition, the data for 2000 or later years can be added, forming the basis for a term project. Many other explanatory variables could be included. Unemployment rates, state-level tax rates on alcohol, and membership in MADD are just a few possibilities.

AFFAIRS.RAW

Source: R.C. Fair (1978), “A Theory of Extramarital Affairs,”Journal of Political Economy 86, 45-61, 1978.

I collected the data from P rofessor Fair’s web cite at the Yale University Department of Economics. He originally obtained the data from a survey by Psychology Today.

Used in Text: not used

Notes: This is an interesting data set for problem sets, starting in Chapter 7. Even though naffairs (number of extramarital affairs a woman reports) is a count variable, a linear model can be used as decent approximation. Or, you could ask the students to estimate a linear probability model for the binary indicator affair, equal to one of the woman reports having any extramarital affairs. One possibility is to test whether putting the single marriage rating variable, ratemarr,is enough, against the alternative that a full set of dummy variables is needed; see pages 237-238 for a similar example. This is also a good data set to illustrate Poisson regression (using naffairs) in Section 17.3 or probit and logit (using affair) in Section 17.1.

AIRFARE.RAW

Source: Jiyoung Kwon, a doctoral candidate in economics at MSU, kindly provided these data, which she obtained from the Domestic Airline Fares Consumer Report by the U.S. Department

of Transportation.

Used in Text: pages 501-502, 573

Notes: This data set nicely illustrates the different estimates obtained when applying pooled OLS, random effects, and fixed effects.

APPLE.RAW

Source: These data were used in the doctoral dissertation of Jeffrey Blend, Department of Agricultural Economics, Michigan State University, 1998. The thesis was supervised by Professor Eileen van Ravensway. Drs. Blend and van Ravensway kindly provided the data, which were obtained from a telephone survey conducted by the Institute for Public Policy and Social Research at MSU.

Used in Text: pages 199, 222, 263, 618

Notes: This data set is close to a true experimental data set because the price pairs facing a family were randomly determined. In other words, the family head was presented with prices for the eco-labeled and regular apples, and then asked how much of each kind of apple they would buy at the given prices. As predicted by basic economics, the own price effect is strongly negative and the cross price effect is strongly positive. While the main dependent variable, ecolbs, piles up at zero, estimating a linear model is still worthwhile. Interestingly, because the survey design induces a strong positive correlation between the prices of eco-labeled and regular apples, there is an omitted variable problem if either of the price variables is dropped from the demand equation. A good exam question is to show a simple regression of ecolbs on ecoprc and then a multiple regression on both prices, and ask students to decide whether the price variables must be positively or negatively correlated.

ATHLET1.RAW

Sources: Peterson's Guide to Four Year Colleges, 1994 and 1995 (24th and 25th editions). Princeton University Press. Princeton, NJ.

The Official 1995 College Basketball Records Book, 1994, NCAA.

1995 Information Please Sports Almanac (6th edition). Houghton Mifflin. New York, NY. Used in Text: page 690

Notes: These data were collected by Patrick Tulloch, an MSU economics major, for a term project. The “athletic success” var iables are for the year prior to the enrollment and academic data. Updating these data to get a longer stretch of years, and including appearances in the “Sweet 16” NCAA basketball tournaments, would make for a more convincing analysis. With the growing popularity of women’s sports, especially basketball, an analysis that includes success in w omen’s athletics would be interesting.

ATHLET2.RAW

Sources: Peterson's Guide to Four Year Colleges, 1995 (25th edition). Princeton University Press.

1995 Information Please Sports Almanac (6th edition). Houghton Mifflin. New York, NY Used in Text: page 690

Notes: These data were collected by Paul Anderson, an MSU economics major, for a term project. The score from football outcomes for natural rivals (Michigan-Michigan State, California-Stanford, Florida-Florida State, to name a few) is matched with application and academic data. The application and tuition data are for Fall 1994. Football records and scores are from 1993 football season. Extended these data to obtain a long stretch of panel data and other “natural” rivals could be very interesting.

ATTEND.RAW

Source: These data were collected by Professors Ronald Fisher and Carl Liedholm during a term in which they both taught principles of microeconomics at Michigan State University. Professors Fisher and Liedholm kindly gave me permission to use a random subset of their data, and their research assistant at the time, Jeffrey Guilfoyle, who completed his Ph.D. in economics at MSU, provided helpful hints.

Used in Text: pages 111, 151, 198-199, 220-221

Notes: The attendance figures were obtained by requiring students to slide their ID cards through a magnetic card reader, under the supervision of a teaching assistant. You might have the students use final, rather than the standardized variable, so that they can see the statistical significance of each variable remains exactly the same. The standardized variable is used only so that the coefficients measure effects in terms of standard deviations from the average score.

AUDIT.RAW

Source: These data come from a 1988 Urban Institute audit study in the Washington, D.C. area.

I obtained them from the article “The Urban Institute Audit Studies: Their Methods and Findings,” by James J. Heckman and Peter Siegelman. In Fix, M. and Struyk, R., eds., Clear and Convincing Evidence: Measurement of Discrimination in America. Washington, D.C.: Urban Institute Press, 1993, 187-258.

Used in Text: pages 768-769, 776, 779

BARIUM.RAW

Source: C.M. Krupp and P.S. Pollard (1999), "Market Responses to Antidumpting Laws: Some Evidence from the U.S. Chemical Industry," Canadian Journal of Economics 29, 199-227. Dr. Krupp kindly provided the data. They are monthly data covering February 1978 through December 1988.

Used in Text: pages 357-358, 369, 373, 418, 422-423, 440, 655, 657, 665

Note: Rather than just having intercept shifts for the different regimes, one could conduct a full Chow test across the different regimes.

BEAUTY.RAW

Source: Hamermesh, D.S. and J.E. Biddle (1994), “Beauty and the Labor Market,” American Economic Review 84, 1174-1194.

Professor Hamermesh kindly provided me with the data. For manageability, I have included only a subset of the variables, which results in somewhat larger sample sizes than reported for the regressions in the Hamermesh and Biddle paper.

Used in Text: pages 236-237, 262-263

BWGHT.RAW

Source: J. Mullahy (1997), “Instrumental-Variable Estimation of Count Data Models: Applications to Models of Cigarette Smoking Beh avior,” Review of Economics and Statistics 79, 596-593.

Professor Mullahy kindly provided the data. He obtained them from the 1988 National Health Interview Survey.

Used in Text: pages 18, 62, 110, 150-151, 164, 176, 182, 184-187, 255-256, 515-516 BWGHT2.RAW

Source: Dr. Zhehui Luo, a recent MSU Ph.D. in economics and Visiting Research Associate in the Department of Epidemiology at MSU, kindly provided these data. She obtained them from state files linking birth and infant death certificates, and from the National Center for Health Statistics natality and mortality data.

Used in Text: pages 165, 211-222

Notes: There are many possibilities with this data set. In addition to number of prenatal visits, smoking and alcohol consumption (during pregnancy) are included as explanatory variables. These can be added to equations of the kind found in Exercise C6.10. In addition, the one- and five-minute APGAR scores are included. These are measures of the well being of infants just after birth. An interesting feature of the score is that it is bounded between zero and 10, making a linear model less than ideal. Still, a linear model would be informative, and you might ask students about predicted values less than zero or greater than 10.

CAMPUS.RAW

Source: These data were collected by Daniel Martin, a former MSU undergraduate, for a final project. They come from the FBI Uniform Crime Reports and are for the year 1992.

Used in Text: pages 130-131

Notes: Colleges and universities are now required to provide much better, more detailed crime data. A very rich data set can now be obtained, even a panel data set for colleges across different years. Statistics on male/female ratios, fraction of men/women in fraternities or sororities, policy variables – s uch as a “safe house” for women on campus, as was started at MSU in 1994 – could be added as explanatory variables. The crime rate in the host town would be a good control. CARD.RAW

Source: D. Card (1995), "Using Geographic Variation in College Proximity to Estimate the Return to Schooling," in Aspects of Labour Market Behavior: Essays in Honour of John Vanderkamp. Ed. L.N. Christophides, E.K. Grant, and R. Swidinsky, 201-222. Toronto: University of Toronto Press.

Professor Card kindly provided these data.

Used in Text: pages 519-520, 540

Notes: Computer Exercise C15.3 is important for analyzing these data. There, it is shown that the instrumental variable, nearc4, is actually correlated with IQ, at least for the subset of men for which an IQ score is reported. However, the correlation between nearc4 and IQ, once the other explanatory variables are netted out, is arguably zero. (At least, it is not statistically different from zero.) In other words, nearc4 fails the exogeneity requirement in a simple regression model but it passes – at least using the crude test described above – if controls are added to the wage equation.

For a more advanced course, a nice extension of Card’s analysis is to allow the return to education to differ by race. A relatively simple extension is to include black?educ as an additional explanatory variable; its natural instrument is black?nearc4.

CEMENT.RAW:

Source: J. Shea (1993), “The Input-Output Approach to Instrument Selection,”Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 11, 145-156.

Professor Shea kindly provided these data.

Used in Text: pages 571-572

Notes: Compared with Shea’s analysis, the producer price index (PPI) for fuels and power has been replaced with the PPI for petroleum. The data are monthly and have not been seasonally adjusted.

CEOSAL1.RAW

Source: I took a random sample of data reported in the May 6, 1991 issue of Businessweek.

Used in Text: pages 33-34, 36-37, 40, 159, 216, 256-257, 260, 685, 691

Notes: This kind of data collection is relatively easy for students just learning data analysis, and the findings can be interesting. A good term project is to have students collect a similar data set using a more recent issue of Businessweek, and to find additional variables that might explain differences in CEO compensation. My impression is that the public is still interested in CEO compensation.

An interesting question is whether the list of explanatory variables included in this data set now explain less of the variation in log(salary) than they used to.

CEOSAL2.RAW

Source: See CEOSAL1.RAW

Used in Text: pages 65, 111, 163, 212-213, 332, 691

Notes: Compared with CEOSAL1.RAW, in this CEO data set more information about the CEO, rather than about the company, is included.

CHARITY.RAW

Source: P.H. Franses and R. Paap (2001), Quantitative Models in Marketing Research. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

Professor Franses kindly provided the data.

Used in Text: pages 66, 112-113, 263, 619-620

Notes: This data set can be used to illustrate probit and Tobit models, and to study the linear approximations to them.

CONSUMP.RAW

Source: I collected these data from the 1997 Economic Report of the President. Specifically, the data come from Tables B-71, B-15, B-29, and B-32.

Used in Text: pages 374, 406, 439, 563, 571, 665-666 Notes: For a student interested in time series methods, updating this data set and using it in a manner similar to that in the text could be acceptable as a final project.

CORN.RAW

Source: G.E. Battese, R.M. Harter, and W.A. Fuller (1988), “An Error-Components Model for Prediction of County Crop Areas Using Survey and Satellite Data,” Journal of the American Statistical Association 83, 28-36.

This small data set is reported in the article.

Used in Text: pages 783-784

Notes: You could use these data to illustrate simple regression when the population intercept should be zero: no corn pixels should predict no corn planted. The same can be done with the soybean measures in the data set.

CPS78_85.RAW

Source: Professor Henry Farber, now at Princeton University, compiled these data from the 1978 and 1985 Current Population Surveys. Professor Farber kindly provided these data when we were colleagues at MIT.

Used in Text: pages 447-448, 473-474

Notes: Obtaining more recent data from the CPS allows one to track, over a long period of time, the changes in the return to education, the gender gap, black-white wage differentials, and the union wage premium.

CPS91.RAW

Source: Professor Daniel Hamermesh, at the University of Texas, compiled these data from the May 1991 Current Population Survey. Professor Hamermesh kindly provided these data.

Used in Text: page 619

Notes: This is much bigger than the other CPS data sets, and it is much bigger than

MROZ.RAW, too. In addition to the usual productivity factors for the women in the sample, we have information on the husband. Therefore, we can estimate a labor supply function as in Chapter 16, although the validity of potential experience as an IV for log(wage) is questionable. (MROZ.RAW contains an actual experience variable.) Perhaps more convincing is to add hours to the wage offer equation, and instrument hours with indicators for young and old children. This data set also contains a union indicator.

The web site for the National Bureau of Economic Research makes it very easy now to download data CPS data files in a variety of formats. Go to https://www.360docs.net/doc/3613726749.html,/data/cps_basic.html. CRIME1.RAW

Source: J. Grogger (1991), “Certainty vs. Severity of Punishment,” Economic Inquiry 29, 297-309.

Professor Grogger kindly provided a subset of the data he used in his article.

Used in Text: pages 82-83, 172-173, 178, 250-251, 270-271, 296, 301-303, 598-600, 616

CRIME2.RAW

Source: These data were collected by David Dicicco, a former MSU undergraduate, for a final project. They came from various issues of the County and City Data Book, and are for the years 1982 and 1985. Unfortunately, I do not have the list of cities.

Used in Text: pages 311-312, 455-459

Notes: Very rich crime data sets, at the county, or even city, level, can be collected using the FBI’s Uniform Crime Reports. These data can be matched up with demographic and economic data, at least for census years. The County and City Data Book contains a variety of statistics,

but the years do not always match up. These data sets can be used investigate issues such as the effects of casinos on city or county crime rates.

CRIME3.RAW:

Source: E. Eide (1994), Economics of Crime: Deterrence of the Rational Offender. Amsterdam: North Holland. The data come from Tables A3 and A6.

Used in Text: pages 461, 475

Notes: These data are for the years 1972 and 1978 for 53 police districts in Norway. Much larger data sets for more years can be obtained for the United States, although a measure of the “clear-up” rate is needed.

CRIME4.RAW

Source: From C. Cornwell an d W. Trumball (1994), “Estimating the Economic Model of Crime with Panel Data,” Review of Economics and Statistics 76, 360-366.

Professor Cornwell kindly provided the data.

Used in Text: pages 468-469, 476, 498-499, 572

Notes: Computer Exercise C16.7 shows that variables that might seem to be good instrumental variable candidates are not always so good, especially after applying a transformation such as differencing across time. You could have the students do an IV analysis for just, say, 1987.

DISCRIM.RAW

Source: K. Graddy (1997), "Do Fast-Food Chains Price Discriminate on the Race and Income Characteristics of an Area?" Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 15, 391-401. Professor Graddy kindly provided the data set.

Used in Text: pages 112, 165, 692

Notes: If you want to assign a common final project, this would be a good data set. There are many possible dependent variables, namely, prices of various fast-food items. The key variable is the fraction of the population that is black, along with controls for poverty, income, housing values, and so on. These data were also used in a famous study by David Card and Alan Krueger on estimation of minimum wage effects on employment. See the book by Card and Krueger, Myth and Measurement, 1997, Princeton University Press, for a detailed analysis.

EARNS.RAW

Source: Economic Report of the President, 1989, Table B 47. The data are for the non-farm business sector.

Used in Text: pages 360, 395-396, 404

Notes: These data could be usefully updated, but changes in reporting conventions in more recent ERP s may make that difficult.

ELEM94_95.RAW

Source: Culled from a panel data set used by Leslie Papke in her paper “The Effects of Spending on Test Pass Rates: Evidence from Michigan” (2005), Journal of Public Economics 89, 821-839. Used in Text: pages 166, 337

Notes: Starting in 1995, the Michigan Department of Education stopped reporting average teacher benefits along with average salary. This data set includes both variables, at the school level, and can be used to study the salary-benefits tradeoff, as in Chapter 4. There are a few suspicious benefits/salary ratios, and so this data set makes a good illustration of the impact of outliers in Chapter 9.

ENGIN.RAW

Source: Thada Chaisawangwong, a graduate student at MSU, obtained these data for a term project in applied econometrics. They come from the Material Requirement Planning Survey carried out in Thailand during 1998.

Used in Text: not used

Notes: This is a nice change of pace from wage data sets for the United States. These data are for engineers in Thailand, and represents a more homogeneous group than data sets that consist of people across a variety of occupations. Plus, the starting salary is also provided in the data set, so factors affecting wage growth – and not just wage levels at a given point in time – can be studied. This is a good data set for a common term project that tests basic understanding of multiple regression and the interpretation of models with a logarithm for a dependent variable. EZANDERS.RAW

Source: L.E. Papke (1994), “Tax Policy and Urban Development: Evidence from the Indiana Enterprise Zone Program,” Journal of Public Economics 54, 37-49.

Professor Papke kindly provided these data.

Used in Text: page 374

Notes: These are actually monthly unemployment claims for the Anderson enterprise zone. Papke used annualized data, across many zones and non-zones, in her analysis.

EZUNEM.RAW

Source: See EZANDERS.RAW

Used in Text: pages 467-468, 499

Notes: A very good project is to have students analyze enterprise, empowerment, or renaissance zone policies in their home states. Many states now have such programs. A few years of panel data straddling periods of zone designation, at the city or zip code level, could make a nice study.

FAIR.RAW

Source: R.C. Fair (1996), “Econometrics and Presidential Elections,” Journal of Economic Perspectives 10, 89-102.

The data set is provided in the article.

Used in Text: pages 358-360, 438, 439

Notes: An updated version of this data set, through the 2004 election, is available at Professor Fair’s web site at Yale University: https://www.360docs.net/doc/3613726749.html,/rayfair/pdf/2001b.htm. Students might want to try their own hands at predicting the most recent election outcome, but they should be restricted to no more than a handful of explanatory variables because of the small sample size.

FERTIL1.RAW

Source: W. Sander, “The Effect of Women’s Schooling on Fertility,” Economics Letters 40, 229-233.

Professor Sander kindly provided the data, which are a subset of what he used in his article. He compiled the data from various years of the National Opinion Resource Center’s General Social Survey.

Used in Text: pages 445-447, 473, 534, 617, 673

Notes: (1) Much more recent data can be obtained from the National Opinion Research Center website, https://www.360docs.net/doc/3613726749.html,/GSS+Website/Download/. Very rich pooled cross sections can be constructed to study a variety of issues – not just changes in fertility over time.

It would be interesting to analyze a similar data set for a developing country, especially where efforts have been made to emphasize birth control. Some measure of access to birth control could be useful if it varied by region. Sometimes, one can find policy changes in the advertisement or availability of contraceptives.

FERTIL2.RAW

Source: These data were obtained by James Heakins, a former MSU undergraduate, for a term project. They come from Botswana’s 1988 Demographic and Health Survey.

Used in Text: page 540

Notes: Currently, this data set is used only in one computer exercise. Since the dependent variable of interest – number of living children or number of children every born – is a count variable, the Poisson regression model discussed in Chapter 17 can be used. However, some care is required to combine Poisson regression with an endogenous explanatory variable (educ).

I refer you to Chapter 19 of my book Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data. Even in the context of linear models, much can be done beyond Computer Exercise C15.2. At a minimum, the binary indicators for various religions can be added as controls. One might also interact the schooling variable, educ, with some of the exogenous explanatory variables.

FERTIL3.RAW

Source: L.A. Whittington, J. Alm, and H.E. Peters (1990), “Fertility and the Personal Exemption: Implicit Pronatalist Pol icy in the United States,” American Economic Review 80, 545-556.

The data are given in the article.

Used in Text: pages 354-355, 364, 373, 374, 394-395, 398, 405, 438, 641, 658-659, 664, 665

FISH.RAW

Source: K Graddy (1995), “Testing for Imperfect Competition at the Fulton Fish Market,” RAND Journal of Economics 26, 75-92.

Professor Graddy's collaborator on a later paper, Professor Joshua Angrist at MIT, kindly provided me with these data.

Used in Text: pages 440, 572

Notes: This is a nice example of how to go about finding exogenous variables to use as instrumental variables. Often, weather conditions can be assumed to affect supply while having a negligible effect on demand. If so, the weather variables are valid instrumental variables for price in the demand equation. It is a simple matter to test whether prices vary with weather conditions by estimating the reduced form for price.

FRINGE.RAW

Source: F. Vella (1993), “A Simple Estimator for Simultaneous Models with Censored Endogenous Regre ssors,” International Economic Review 34, 441-457.

Professor Vella kindly provided the data.

Used in Text: page 616

Notes: Currently, this data set is used in only one Computer Exercise – to illustrate the Tobit model. It can be used much earlier. First, one could just ignore the pileup at zero and use a linear model where any of the hourly benefit measures is the dependent variable. Another possibility is to use this data set for a problem set in Chapter 4, after students have read Example 4.10. That example, which uses teacher salary/benefit data at the school level, finds the expected tradeoff, although it appears to less than one-to-one. By contrast, if you do a similar analysis with FRINGE.RAW, you will not find a tradeoff. A positive coefficient on the benefit/salary ratio is not too surprising because we probably cannot control for enough factors, especially when looking across different occupations. The Michigan school-level data is more aggregated than one would like, but it does restrict attention to a more homogeneous group: high school teachers in Michigan.

GPA1.RAW

Source: Christopher Lemmon, a former MSU undergraduate, collected these data from a survey he took of MSU students in Fall 1994.

Used in Text: pages 75-76, 78, 81-82, 128-130, 160, 230, 258-259, 292-293, 297-298, 813-814 Notes: This is a nice example of how students can obtain an original data set by focusing locally and carefully composing a survey.

GPA2.RAW

Source: For confidentiality reasons, I cannot provide the source of these data. I can say that they come from a midsize research university that also supports men’s and women’s athletics at the Division I level.

Used in Text: pages 105-106, 182, 207, 209, 219, 256, 259-260

GPA3.RAW

Source: See GPA2.RAW

Used in Text: pages 244-246, 269, 294-295, 475

HPRICE1.RAW

Source: Collected from the real estate pages of the Boston Globe during 1990. These are homes that sold in the Boston, MA area.

Used in Text: pages 110, 153-154, 160-161, 164, 210, 219-220, 221, 232, 273-274, 276, 296, 304

Notes: Typically, it is very easy to obtain data on selling prices and characteristics of homes, using publicly available data bases. It is interesting to match the information on houses with other information – such as local crime rates, quality of the local schools, pollution levels, and so on – and estimate the effects of such variables on housing prices.

HPRICE2.RAW

Source: D. Harrison and D.L. Rubinfeld (1978), “Hedonic Housing Prices and the Demand for Clean Air,” by Harrison, D. and D.L.Rubinfeld, Journal of Environmental Economics and Management 5, 81-102.

Diego Garcia, a former Ph.D. student in economics at MIT, kindly provided these data, which he obtained from the book Regression Diagnostics: Identifying Influential Data and Sources of Collinearity, by D.A. Belsey, E. Kuh, and R. Welsch, 1990. New York: Wiley.

Used in Text: pages 108, 132, 189, 194-196.

Notes: The census contains rich information on variables such as median housing prices, median income levels, average family size, and so on, for fairly small geographical areas. If such data can be merged with pollution data, one can update the Harrison and Rubinfeld study. Presumably, this has been done in academic journals.

HSEINV.RAW

Source: D. McF adden (1994), “Demographics, the Housing Market, and the Welfare of the Elderly,” in D.A. Wise (ed.), Studies in the Economics of Aging. Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 225-285.

The data are contained in the article.

Used in Text: pages 363-364, 367, 404, 629-630, 822

HTV.RAW

Source: J.J. Heckman, J.L. Tobias, and E. Vytlacil (2003), “Simple Estimators for Treatment Parameters in a Latent-Variable Framework,”Review of Economics and Statistics85, 748-755.

Professor Tobias kindly provided the data, which were obtained from the 1991 National Longitudinal Survey of Youth. All people in the sample are males age 26 to 34. For confidentiality reasons, I have included only a subset of the variables used by the authors.

Used in Text: pages 543, 620

Notes: Because an ability measure is included in this data set, it can be used as another illustration of including proxy variables in regression models. See Chapter 9. Also, one can try the IV procedure with the ability measure included as an exogenous explanatory variable.

INFMRT.RAW

Source: Statistical Abstract of the United States, 1990 and 1994. (For example, the infant mortality rates come from Table 113 in 1990 and Table 123 in 1994.)

Used in Text: pages 329, 335

Notes: An interesting exercise is to add the percentage of the population on AFDC (afdcper) to the infant mortality equation. Pooled OLS and first differencing can give very different estimates. Adding the years 1998 and 2002 and applying fixed effects seems natural. Intervening years can be added, too, although variation in the key variables from year to year might be minimal.

INJURY.RAW

Source: B.D. Meyer, W.K. Viscusi, and D.L. Durbin (1995), “Workers’ Compensation and Injury Duration: Evidence from a Natural Experime nt,” American Economic Review 85, 322-340. Professor Meyer kindly provided the data.

Used in Text: pages 454-455, 472-473

Notes: This data set also can be used to illustrate the Chow test in Chapter 7. In particular, students can test whether the regression functions differ between Kentucky and Michigan. Or, allowing for different intercepts for the two states, do the slopes differ? A good lesson from this example is that a small R-squared is compatible with the ability to estimate the effects of a policy. Of course, for the Michigan data, which has a smaller sample size, the estimated effect is much less precise (but of virtually identical magnitude).

INTDEF.RAW

Source: Economic Report of the President, 2004, Tables B-64, B-73, and B-79.

Used in Text: pages 355, 377, 378, 431, 546

INTQRT.RAW

Source: From Salomon Brothers, Analytical Record of Yields and Yield Spreads, 1990. The folks at Salomon Brothers kindly provided the Record at no charge when I was an assistant professor at MIT.

Used in Text: pages 402-403, 632, 638, 642, 644, 664, 666

Notes: A nice feature of the Salomon Brothers data is that the interest rates are not averaged over a month or quarter – they are end-of-month or end-of-quarter rates. Asset pricing theories apply to such “point-sampled” data, and not to averages over a period. Most other sources report monthly or quarterly averages. This is a good data set to update and test whether current data are more or less supportive of basic asset pricing theories.

INVEN.RAW

Source: Economic Report of the President, 1997, Tables B-4, B-20, B-61, and B-71.

Used in Text: pages 405-406, 441, 635, 822

JTRAIN.RAW

Source: H. Holzer, R. Block, M. Cheatham, and J. Knott (1993), “Are Training Subsidies Effective? The Michigan E xperience,” Industrial and Labor Relations Review 46, 625-636.

The authors kindly provided the data.

Used in Text: pages 136-137, 161, 231, 252, 334-335, 462-463, 476, 483-484, 489, 499, 534-535, 766-767, 778-779, 780, 819.

JTRAIN2.RAW

Source: R.J. Lalonde (1986), “Evaluating the Econometric Evaluations of Training Programs with Experimental Data,”American Economic Review 76, 604-620.

Professor Jeff Biddle, at MSU, kindly passed the data set along to me. He obtained it from Professor Lalonde.

Used in Text: pages 19, 336-337, 617-618

Notes: Professor Lalonde obtained the data from the National Supported Work Demonstration job-training program conducted by the Manpower Demonstration Research Corporation in the mid 1970s. Training status was randomly assigned, so this is essentially experimental data. Computer Exercise C17.8 looks only at the effects of training on subsequent unemployment probabilities. For illustrating the more advanced methods in Chapter 17, a good exercise would be to have the students estimate a Tobit of re78 on train, and obtain estimates of the expected values for those with and without training. These can be compared with the sample averages. JTRAIN3.RAW

Source: R.H. Dehejia and S. Wahba (1999),“Causal Effects in Nonexper imental Studies: Reevaluating the Evaluation of Training Programs,” Journal of the American Statistical Association 94, 1053-1062.

Professor Sergio Firpo, at the University of British Columbia, has used this data set in his recent work, and he kindly provided it to me. This data set is a subset of that originally used by Lalonde in the study cited for JTRAIN2.RAW.

Used in Text: pages 336-337, 478

KIELMC.RAW

Source: K.A. Kiel and K.T. McClain (1995), “House Prices During Siting Decision Stages: The Cas e of an Incinerator from Rumor Through Operation,” Journal of Environmental Economics and Management 28, 241-255.

Professor McClain kindly provided the data, of which I used only a subset.

Used in Text: pages 218, 450-453, 472, 474

LAWSCH85.RAW

Source: Collected by Kelly Barnett, an MSU economics student, for use in a term project. The data come from two sources: The Official Guide to U.S. Law Schools, 1986, Law School Admission Services, and The Gourman Report: A Ranking of Graduate and Professional Programs in American and International Universities, 1995, Washington, D.C.

Used in Text: pages 107, 164, 237-238

Notes: More recent versions of both cited documents are available. One could try a similar analysis for, say, MBA programs or Ph.D. programs in economics. Quality of placements may be a good dependent variable, and measures of business school or graduate program quality could be included among the explanatory variables. Of course, one would want to control for factors describing the incoming class so as to isolate the effect of the program itself.

LOANAPP.RAW

Source: W.C. Hunter and M.B. Walker (1996), “The Cultural Affinity Hypothesis and Mortgage Lending Decisions,” Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics 13, 57-70. Professor Walker kindly provided the data.

Used in Text: pages 260-261, 297, 335, 616

Notes: These data were originally used in a famous study by researchers at the Boston Federal Reserve Bank. See A. Munnell, G.M.B. Tootell, L.E. Browne, and J. McEneaney (1996), “Mortgage Lending in Boston: Interpreting HMDA Data,” American Economic Review 86, 25-53.

LOWBRTH.RAW

Source: Source: Statistical Abstract of the United States, 1990, 1993, and 1994.

Used in Text: not used

Notes: This data set can be used very much like INFMRT.RAW. It contains two years of state-level panel data. In fact, it is a superset of INFMRT.RAW. The key is that it contains information on low birth weights, as well as infant mortality. It also contains state identifies, so that several years of more recent data could be added for a term project. Putting in the variable afcdprc and its square leads to some interesting findings for pooled OLS and fixed effects (first differencing). After differencing, you can even try using the change in the AFDC payments variable as an instrumental variable for the change in afdcprc.

MATHPNL.RAW

Source: Leslie Papke, an economics professor at MSU, collected these data from Michigan Department of Education web site, https://www.360docs.net/doc/3613726749.html,/mde. These are district-level data, which Professor Papke kindly provided. She has used building-level data in “The Effects of Spending on Test Pass Rates: Evidence from Michigan” (2005), Journal of Public Economics 89, 821-839.

Used in Text: pages 476-477, 500-501

MEAP00_01.RAW

Source: Michigan Department of Education, https://www.360docs.net/doc/3613726749.html,/mde

Used in Text: pages 223, 299

MEAP01.RAW

Source: Michigan Department of Education, https://www.360docs.net/doc/3613726749.html,/mde

Used in Text: page 19

Notes: This is another good data set to compare simple and multiple regression estimates. The expenditure variable (in logs, say) and the poverty measure (lunch) are negatively correlated in this data set. A simple regression of math4 on lexppp gives a negative coefficient. Controlling for lunch makes the spending coefficient positive and significant.

MEAP93.RAW

Source: I collected these data from the old Michigan Department of Education web site. See MATHPNL.RAW for the current web site. I used data on most high schools in the state of Michigan for 1993. I dropped some high schools that had suspicious-looking data.

Used in Text: pages 52, 65-66, 111-112, 126-128, 155-156, 217, 333, 335, 689

Notes: Many states have data, at either the district or building level, on student performance and spending. A good exercise in data collection and cleaning is to have students find such data for a particular state, and to put it into a form that can be used for econometric analysis.

MINWAGE.RAW

Source: P. Wolfson and D. Belman (2004), “The Minimum Wage: Consequences for Prices and Quantities in Low-Wage Labor Markets,” Journal of Business & Economic Statistics 22, 296-311.

Professor Belman kindly provided the data.

Used in Text: pages 376, 407, 441-442, 667

Notes: The sectors corresponding to the different numbers in the data file are provided in the Wolfson and Bellman and article.

MLB1.RAW

Source: Collected by G. Mark Holmes, a former MSU undergraduate, for a term project. The salary data were obtained from the New York Times, April 11, 1993. The baseball statistics are from The Baseball Encyclopedia, 9th edition, and the city population figures are from the Statistical Abstract of the United States.

Used in Text: pages 143-148, 164, 242-243, 259

Notes: The baseball statistics are career statistics through the 1992 season. Players whose race or ethnicity could not be easily determined were not included. It should not be too difficult to obtain the city population and racial composition numbers for Montreal and Toronto for 1993. Of course, the data can be pretty easily obtained for more recent players.

MROZ.RAW

Source: T.A. Mroz (1987), “The Sensitivity of an Empirical Model of Married Women’s Hours of Work to Economic and Statistical Assumptions,” Econometrica 55, 765-799.

Professor Ernst R. Berndt, of MIT, kindly provided the data, which he obtained from Professor Mroz.

Used in Text: pages 247-249, 257, 291, 512, 523, 528, 529, 557-558, 570-571, 584-586, 592-595, 611, 617

MURDER.RAW

Source: From the Statistical Abstract of the United States, 1995 (Tables 310 and 357), 1992 (Table 289). The execution data originally come from the U.S. Bureau of Justice Statistics, Capital Punishment Annual.

Used in Text: pages 477, 500, 541

Notes: Prosecutors in different counties might pursue the death penalty with different intensities, so it makes sense to collect murder and execution data at the county level. This could be combined with better demographic information at the county level, along with better economic data (say, on wages for various kinds of employment).

NBASAL.RAW

Source: Collected by Christopher Torrente, a former MSU undergraduate, for a term project. He obtained the salary data and the career statistics from The Complete Handbook of Pro Basketball, 1995, edited by Zander Hollander. New York: Signet. The demographic information (marital status, number of children, and so on) was obtained f rom the teams’ 1994-1995 media guides.

Used in Text: pages 221, 261

Notes: A panel version of this data set could be useful for further isolating productivity effects

of marital status. One would need to obtain information on enough different players in at least two years, where some players who were not married in the initial year are married in later years. Fixed effects (or first differencing, for two years) is the natural estimation method.

NYSE.RAW

Source: These are Wednesday closing prices of value-weighted NYSE average, available in many publications. I do not recall the particular source I used when I collected these data at MIT. Probably the easiest way to get similar data is to go to the NYSE web site, https://www.360docs.net/doc/3613726749.html,.

Used in Text: pages 385-386, 405, 433, 435, 438, 439, 656

OKUN.RAW

Source: Economic Report of the President, 2007, Tables B-4 and B-42.

Used in Text: 407, 441

OPENNESS.RAW

Source: D. Romer (1993), “Openness and Inflation: Theory and Evidence,” Quarterly Journal of Economics 108, 869-903.

The data are included in the article.

Used in Text: pages 558, 571

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Variable Coefficient Std. Error X 0.202298 0.023273 C 2.172664 0.720217 R-squared 0.904259 S.D. dependent var 2.233582 Adjusted R-squared 0.892292 F-statistic 75.55898 Durbin-Watson stat 2.077648 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000024 (1)说明回归直线的代表性及解释能力。 (2)在95%的置信度下检验参数的显著性。(0.025(10) 2.2281t =,0.05(10) 1.8125t =,0.025(8) 2.3060t =,0.05(8) 1.8595t =) (3)在95%的置信度下,预测当X =45(百元)时,消费(Y )的置信区间。(其中29.3x =,2()992.1x x -=∑) 答:(1)回归模型的R 2=0.9042,表明在消费Y 的总变差中,由回归直线解释的部分占到90%以上,回归直线的代表性及解释能力较好。 (2)对于斜率项,11 ? 0.20238.6824?0.0233 ()b t s b ===>0.05(8) 1.8595t =,即表明斜率项 显著不为0,家庭收入对消费有显著影响。对于截距项, 00? 2.1727 3.0167?0.7202 ()b t s b ===>0.05(8) 1.8595t =, 即表明截距项也显著不为0,通过了显著性检验。 (3)Y f =2.17+0.2023×45=11.2735 0.025(8) 1.8595 2.2336 4.823t ?=?= 95%置信区间为(11.2735-4.823,11.2735+4.823),即(6.4505,16.0965)。

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