Stephen D. Williamson's Macroeconomics, Third Edition ch2_slides_trans
曼昆的宏观经济学课件(英文版)
2000
CHAPTER 1 The Science of Macroeconomics
slide 9
Interest rates and mortgage payments
For a $150,000 30-year mortgage:
date
actual rate on 30-year mortgage
U.S. Gross Domestic Product
in billions of chained 1996 dollars
10,000 9,000
longest economic expansion on record
8,000
7,000
6,00R0 ecessions
5,000
4,000
3,000 1970
slide 2
Important issues in macroeconomics
▪ What is the government budget deficit?
How does it affect the economy?
▪ Why does the U.S. have such a huge trade
Unemployment and social problems
CHAPTER 1 The Science of Macroeconomics
slide 6
Unemployment and social problems
Each one-point increase in the unemployment rate is associated with:
slide 8
%
Unemployment and earnings growth
曼昆微观经济学经济学十大原理 英文版
how firms decide how much to produce, how many workers to hire（企业决策：生产（数量）、雇佣工人数量）
how society decides how to divide its resources between national defense, consumer goods, protecting the environment, and other needs（国家决策：国防、消费品、环 4 TEN PRINCIPLES OF ECONOMICS 保等）
Tradeoff的原因本质是：资源的稀缺性
TEN PRINCIPLES OF ECONOMICS
6
HOW PEOPLE MAKE DECISIONS Principle #1: 人们面临权衡取舍 People Face Tradeoffs
Exampense requires resources that could
机会成本也来源于资源稀缺性，由于机会成本的存在从而需要取
舍。
机会成本是人们选择，而放弃其他全部选择中收益最大的部分。
9
HOW PEOPLE MAKE DECISIONS
Principle #2: 某种东西的成本是为了得到它而放弃的东西
The Cost of Something Is What You Give Up to Get It
TEN PRINCIPLES OF ECONOMICS
12
HOW PEOPLE MAKE DECISIONS
Principle #3: 理性人考虑边际量
Rational People Think at the Margin Rational people
宏观经济学 斯蒂芬威廉森chap05
Macroeconomics, 3e (Williamson)Chapter 5 A Closed-Economy One-Period Macroeconomic Model1) A n economy that has no interaction with the rest of the world is calledA) a n isolated economy.B) a closed economy.C) a parochial economy.D) a rogue nation.Answer: BQuestion Status: P revious Edition2) A n economy that engages in international trade is calledA) a cooperative economy.B) a modern economy.C) a n engaged economy.D) a n open economy.Answer: DQuestion Status: P revious Edition3) G oods and services provided by the government are calledA) g overnment goods.B) p ublic goods.C) f ree goods.D) s ocial goods.Answer: BQuestion Status: P revious Edition4) I n an economic model, an exogenous variable isA) a stand-in for more complicated variables.B) d etermined by the model itself.C) d etermined outside the model.D) a variable that has no effect on the workings of the model.Answer: CQuestion Status: P revious Edition5) I n an economic model, an endogenous variable isA) a stand-in for more complicated variables.B) d etermined by the model itself.C) d etermined outside the model.D) a variable that has no effect on the workings of the model.Answer: BQuestion Status: P revious Edition6) I n a one-period model, government is likely to runA) a deficit but not a surplus.B) a surplus but not a deficit.C) e ither a surplus or a deficit.D) n either a surplus nor a deficit.Answer: DQuestion Status: P revious Edition7) I n a one-period economic model, the government budget constraint requires thatgovernment spendingA) = taxes + transfers.B) = taxes + borrowing.C) > 0.D) = taxes.Answer: DQuestion Status: P revious Edition8) W hich of the following relationships does not hold in the one-period model?A) G=TB) Y=C+GC) Y=zF(K,N)D) π=Y-wN-CAnswer: DQuestion Status: N ew9) F iscal policy refers to a government's choices over itsA) e xpenditures, taxes, transfers, and borrowing.B) e xpenditures, taxes, issuance of money, and borrowing.C) e xpenditures, foreign affairs, issuance of money, and borrowing.D) i ssuance of money, taxes, environmental regulations, and foreign affairs.Answer: AQuestion Status: P revious Edition10) M aking use of an economic model is a process ofA) s olving hundreds of simultaneous equations.B) r unning experiments to determine how changes in the endogenous variables willchange the exogenous variables.C) r unning experiments to determine how changes in the exogenous variables willchange the endogenous variables.D) r esolving inconsistencies in the actions of economic agents.Answer: CQuestion Status: P revious Edition11) A competitive equilibrium is a state of affairs in whichA) m arkets clear, and output is maximized.B) o utput is maximized, and all agents are equally well-off.C) a ll agents are equally well-off and agents are price-takers.D) a gents are price-takers, and markets clear.Answer: DQuestion Status: P revious Edition12) I n a general equilibrium modelA) a ll markets but one clear.B) t here are no fluctuations.C) a ll prices are exogenous.D) a ll prices are endogenous.Answer: DQuestion Status: N ew13) I n a competitive equilibrium all these relationships hold but one. Which one?A) N d= N sB) Y=G+CC) G=TD) w=zAnswer: DQuestion Status: N ew14) I n the one-period competitive model we have been studyingA) b oth consumption and total factor productivity are exogenous.B) c onsumption is exogenous and total factor productivity is endogenous.C) c onsumption is endogenous and total factor productivity is exogenous.D) b oth consumption and total factor productivity are endogenous.Answer: CQuestion Status: P revious Edition15) A relationship that shows the technological possibilities for an economy as a whole is calledaA) p roduction function.B) u tility possibilities frontier.C) p roduction possibilities frontier.D) b udget constraint.Answer: CQuestion Status: P revious Edition16) T he production possibilities frontier in the one-period model is aA) b ehavioral relationship between consumption and leisure.B) b ehavioral relationship between consumption and government spending.C) t echnological relationship between consumption and leisure.D) t echnological relationship between consumption and government spending.Answer: CQuestion Status: P revious Edition17) T he production possibilities frontier representsA) a ll combinations of consumption and leisure for fixed output.B) a ll equally affordable combinations of consumption and leisure for a given wage.C) a ll feasible combinations of consumption and leisure.D) a ll equally liked combinations of consumption and leisure.Answer: CQuestion Status: N ew18) W hich of the following is not a reason for solving the model with a PPF?A) I t merges the household and firm problems into one graph.B) I t is simpler to solve the social planner problem.C) I t highlights the fact that the marginal rate of substitution should equal the marginalrate of transformation.D) I t highlights the fact that firms make no profit in equilibrium.Answer: DQuestion Status: N ew19) T he PPF representsA) a ll possible outcomes for a given wage.B) t he set of feasible outcomes.C) g iven leisure, how much consumption a household wants.D) t he share of consumption in output.Answer: BQuestion Status: N ew20) T he rate at which one good can be converted technologically into another is calledA) t he marginal rate of transformation.B) t he marginal rate of substitution.C) t he marginal product of labor.D) t he rate of conversion.Answer: AQuestion Status: P revious Edition21) P oints on the production possibilities frontier have the property that theyA) a re inherently unattainable.B) s how the maximum amount of leisure that can be consumed for given amounts ofgoods consumed.C) s how the maximum amount of goods that can be consumed for given amounts ofgovernment spending.D) s how the maximum amount of leisure that can be consumed for given amounts ofhours worked.Answer: BQuestion Status: P revious Edition22) A competitive equilibrium has all of the following properties exceptA) M P N= slope of PPF.B) M RS l,C=MRT l,C.C) M RT l,C=MP N.D) M P N=w.Answer: AQuestion Status: P revious Edition23) A competitive equilibrium is Pareto optimal if there is no way to rearrange or to reallocategoods so thatA) a nyone can be made better off.B) n o one can be made worse off.C) s omeone can be made better off without making someone else worse off.D) s omeone can be made better off without making everyone else worse off.Answer: CQuestion Status: P revious Edition24) W hich of the following is not equal to the others in equilibrium?A) t he real wageB) t he marginal rate of substitution between leisure and consumptionC) t he marginal product of laborD) t he price of consumptionAnswer: DQuestion Status: N ew25) A Pareto optimum is a point thatA) a malevolent dictator would choose.B) a cooperative coalition of some altruistic consumers would choose.C) a cooperative coalition of some socially responsible firms would choose.D) a social planner would choose.Answer: DQuestion Status: P revious Edition26) A Pareto optimum requires all of the following exceptA) M P N=-slope of PPF.B) M RS l,C=MRT l,C.C) M RT l,C=MP N.D) M P N=w.Answer: DQuestion Status: P revious Edition27) M uch of the writings of Adam Smith are in close agreement withA) t he necessity of trade restrictions.B) t he first fundamental theorem of welfare economics.C) t he second theorem of welfare economics.D) b oth B and C above.Answer: BQuestion Status: P revious Edition28) T he first fundamental theorem of welfare economics states thatA) u nder certain conditions, a competitive equilibrium is Pareto optimal.B) a competitive equilibrium is always Pareto optimal.C) u nder certain conditions, a Pareto optimum is a competitive equilibrium.D) a Pareto optimum is always a competitive equilibrium.Answer: AQuestion Status: P revious Edition29) T he second fundamental theorem of welfare economics states thatA) u nder certain conditions, a competitive equilibrium is Pareto optimal.B) a competitive equilibrium is always Pareto optimal.C) u nder certain conditions, a Pareto optimum is a competitive equilibrium.D) a Pareto optimum is always a competitive equilibrium.Answer: CQuestion Status: P revious Edition30) T he concept of Pareto optimality is aA) u topian concept.B) u seful concept because it guarantees economic equality.C) u seful concept because it guarantees economic efficiency.D) u seful concept that carefully balances a society's desires for equality and efficiency.Answer: CQuestion Status: P revious Edition31) A competitive equilibrium may fail to be Pareto optimal due to all of the following exceptA) i nequality.B) e xternalities.C) d istorting taxes.D) n on-price-taking firms.Answer: AQuestion Status: P revious Edition32) A n externality is any activity for which an individual firm or consumer does not take intoaccount allA) o f the ramifications of its actions on others.B) a ssociated costs.C) a ssociated benefits.D) a ssociated costs and benefits.Answer: DQuestion Status: P revious Edition33) T he presence of a distorting tax on wage income can result inA) M P N<MRT l,C.B) M RT l,C<MRS l,C.C) M P N<w.D) M RS l,C<MP N.Answer: DQuestion Status: P revious Edition34) R elative to the social optimum, monopoly power directly leads toA) u nderproduction.B) o verproduction.C) t oo much leisure.D) t oo little leisure.Answer: AQuestion Status: P revious Edition35) A n increase in government spending shifts the PPFA) u pward, but does not change its slope.B) u pward, and also changes its slope.C) d ownward, but does not change its slope.D) d ownward, and also changes its slope.Answer: CQuestion Status: P revious Edition36) T he experience of the U.S. economy during World War II confirms the prediction that adramatic increase in government spending is likely toA) i ncrease both real GDP and consumption.B) i ncrease real GDP and decrease consumption.C) d ecrease real GDP and increase consumption.D) d ecrease both real GDP and consumption.Answer: BQuestion Status: P revious Edition37) A n increase in government spendingA) i ncreases consumption, increases hours worked, and increases the real wage.B) r educes consumption, increases hours worked, and increases the real wage.C) r educes consumption, increases hours worked, and reduces the real wage.D) r educes consumption, reduces hours worked, and reduces the real wage.Answer: CQuestion Status: P revious Edition38) A n increase in government spendingA) i ncreases consumption and output.B) i ncreases consumption, decreases output.C) d ecreases consumption, increases output.D) d ecreases consumption and output.Answer: CQuestion Status: N ew39) C hanges in government spending are not likely causes of business cycles becausegovernment spending induced business cycles would counterfactually predictA) c ountercyclical real wages.B) p rocyclical real wages.C) c ountercyclical employment.D) p rocyclical employment.Answer: AQuestion Status: P revious Edition40) C hanges in government spending are not likely causes of business cycles becausegovernment spending induced business cycles would counterfactually predictA) c ountercyclical consumption.B) p rocyclical consumption.C) c ountercyclical employment.D) p rocyclical employment.Answer: AQuestion Status: P revious Edition41) W hich feature of the business cycle does the one-period model replicate with shocks togovernment expenditures?A) p rocyclical employmentB) p rocyclical consumptionC) p rocyclical real wagesD) c ountercyclical pricesAnswer: AQuestion Status: N ew42) A n increase in total factor productivity shifts the PPFA) u pward, but does not change its slope.B) u pward, and also changes its slope.C) d ownward, but does not change its slope.D) d ownward, and also changes its slope.Answer: BQuestion Status: P revious Edition43) A n increase in total factor productivityA) i ncreases consumption, increases output, and increases the real wage.B) r educes consumption, increases output, and increases the real wage.C) r educes consumption, increases output and reduces the real wage.D) r educes consumption, reduces output, and reduces the real wage.Answer: AQuestion Status: P revious Edition44) W hich of the following is wrong with respect to an increase in total factor productivity?A) H ouseholds are better off.B) C onsumption is up.C) T he real wage is down.D) O utput is up.Answer: CQuestion Status: N ew45) I n response to an increase in total factor productivityA) b oth the substitution effect and the income effect suggest that hours worked shouldincrease.B) t he substitution effect suggests that hours worked should increase, while the incomeeffect suggests that hours worked should decrease.C) t he substitution effect suggests that hours worked should decrease, while the incomeeffect suggests that hours worked should increase.D) b oth the substitution effect and the income effect suggest that hours worked shoulddecrease.Answer: BQuestion Status: P revious Edition46) C hanges in total factor productivity are plausible causes of business cycles becauseproductivity-induced business cycles correctly predictA) r eal wages and total hours must be procyclical.B) r eal wages and consumption must be procyclical.C) t otal hours worked and consumption must be procyclical.D) c onsumption and government spending must be procyclical.Answer: BQuestion Status: P revious Edition47) C hanges in total factor productivity are plausible causes of business cycles becauseA) o f the welfare theorems.B) t he U.S. government is following supply-side economic policy.C) t he model matches many stylized facts.D) p rices are countercyclical.Answer: CQuestion Status: N ew48) R eal business cycle theory argues that the primary cause of business cycles is fluctuations inA) p references.B) g overnment spending.C) t he importance of externalities.D) t otal factor productivity.Answer: DQuestion Status: P revious Edition49) J ust prior to the four most recent U.S. recessions, there has been aA) s ignificant contraction of the money supply.B) l arge decrease in government spending.C) l arge increase in the relative price of food.D) s ignificant increase in the relative price of energy.Answer: DQuestion Status: P revious Edition50) I f the government replaces a lump sum tax with a proportional labor income tax, thenA) e mployment and output increase.B) e mployment increases and output decreases.C) e mployment decreases and output increases.D) e mployment and output decrease.Answer: DQuestion Status: N ew51) P roportional income taxation is distorting becauseA) p eople do all they can to avoid paying taxes.B) t he competitive equilibrium is not Pareto optimal.C) f irms do all they can to avoid paying taxes.D) t he government budget constraint does not hold.Answer: BQuestion Status: N ew52) W ith a linear production function in labor only, which of the following must be true?A) T he representative household works as much as possible.B) T he representative firm makes large profits.C) T he real wage equals total factor productivity.D) T he marginal product of labor exceeds the real wage.Answer: CQuestion Status: N ew53) H ow does an increase in the proportional labor income tax modify the budget constraint?A) a parallel move upB) a parallel move downC) a tilting upD) a tilting downAnswer: DQuestion Status: N ew54) A t the competitive equilibrium with a positive proportional labor income taxA) t he real wage after tax exceeds the marginal product of labor.B) t he real wage after tax equals the marginal product of labor.C) t he real wage after tax is lower than the marginal product of labor.D) W e cannot say.Answer: CQuestion Status: N ew55) A t the competitive equilibrium with a positive proportional labor income taxA) t he real wage before tax exceeds the marginal product of labor.B) t he real wage before tax equals the marginal product of labor.C) t he real wage before tax is lower than the marginal product of labor.D) W e cannot say.Answer: BQuestion Status: N ew56) T he tax base isA) t he average tax rate.B) t he tax rate for the base year.C) t he object being taxed.D) t he lowest tax rate.Answer: CQuestion Status: N ew57) W hen the tax rate increases, the tax revenueA) a lways increases.B) d oes not change.C) a lways decreases.D) m ay increase or decrease.Answer: DQuestion Status: N ew58) T he Laffer curve is a curve showingA) o utput as a function of the tax rate.B) t ax revenue as a function of the tax rate.C) g overnment expenses as a function of how liberal the government is.D) t he tax rate as a function of government expenses.Answer: BQuestion Status: N ew59) S upply-side economists argue thatA) o ne should get rid of all taxes.B) t ax rates should not be progressive.C) i ncreasing tax rates always hurts tax revenue.D) o ne can increase tax revenue by decreasing the tax rate.Answer: DQuestion Status: N ew60) I n a competitive equilibrium with a Laffer curve, there are two equilibria that differ in theirA) t ax revenue.B) t otal factor productivity.C) o utput.D) m arginal tax rate.Answer: CQuestion Status: N ew。
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宏观经济学-课后思考题答案_史蒂芬威廉森006
Chapter 6Economic Growth: Malthus and SolowTeaching GoalsStudents easily take for granted the much more abundant standard of living of today as opposed to 20, 50, or 100 years ago. Sometimes it is easier to remind students of what their ancestors had to do without, rather than simply referring to per capita income levels over time. Recessions come and go, and yet economic growth swamps the lost output we endure during hard times.The typical student begins study of economic growth against the backdrop of the recent growth experience of the United States. The current standard of living in the United States vastly surpasses the current standard of living in most countries and would have been unimaginable anywhere in the world before the advent of the industrial revolution. Until about 1800, the world economy produced little more than a subsistence level of income for any but the richest individuals. Growth in per capita income was nonexistent. The Malthusian model of growth explains the tendency of increases in population to dilute any gains in productivity.The industrial revolution introduced the possibility of sustained growth in per capita income through the accumulation of physical capital. However, growth experience has varied widely around the world. The richer countries have a sustained record of growth. Per capita income in the United States has proceeded at an average rate of about 2% per year. While 2% growth may seem small, it is important for students to realize that such growth transforms into a more than doubling of per capita GDP per generation. Unfortunately, the poorer countries have remained poor. Furthermore, their growth rates have not generally matched growth rates in the richer countries, so that the poor countries fall farther and farther behind. Such differences in standards of living and growth prospects present puzzles that the study of economic growth hopes to solve.Classroom Discussion TopicsGetting students to relate to differences in standards of living can sometimes be difficult. It is easy to take one’s own standard of living for granted. An interesting discussion topic is whether students would be willing to travel back in time to 100 or 200 years ago, if they could be one of the richest people of those earlier times. Would the tradeoff be worthwhile? While students typically stress factors like antiquated view about freedom of choice, and racial and gender issues, try to encourage students to divide their concerns into those that are more economic as opposed to social. Also point out that higher standards of living allow societies to be more concerned about issues of equality when mere survival is no longer precarious.Chapter 6 Economic Growth: Malthus and Solow 53Students often view population growth as the result of cultural factors and personal preferences. Against the abundance of daily living, it is easy to forget economic factors. Ask the students for examples ofeconomic factors that might impact on fertility decisions. The Malthusian model suggests that growth may only be achieved through population control. In the modern economy, the costs of raising children can be formidable, and so there is tendency for such costs to be a disincentive to fertility. Such costs may attribute to the tendency for low fertility rates in advanced economies. In more primitive societies, having a large family can be a private form of Social Security. The more children a family has, the more family members there will be to provide for the parents in old age. Poor public health conditions may actually enhance fertility. If each child has a small chance for survival to adulthood, more births are required to produce a given-sized family.OutlineI. Economic Growth FactsA. Pre-1800: Constant Per Capita Income across Time and SpaceB. Post-1800: Sustained Growth in the Rich CountriesC. High I nvestment ↔ High Standard of LivingD. High Population Growth ↔ Low Standard of LivingE. Divergence of Per Capita Incomes: 1800–1950F. No Conditional Convergence amongst All CountriesG. Conditional Convergence amongst the Rich CountriesII. The Malthusian ModelA. Production Determined by Labor and Fixed Land SupplyB. Population Growth and Per Capita ConsumptionC. Steady-state Consumption and Population1. Effects of Technological Change2. Effects of Population ControlD. Malthus: Theory and EvidenceIII. Solow’s Model of Exogenous GrowthA. The Representative ConsumerB. The Representative FirmC. Competitive EquilibriumD. Steady-State Growth1. The Steady-State Path2. Adjustment toward EquilibriumE. Savings and Growth1. Equilibrium Effects2. The Golden Rule: K MP n d =+F. Labor Force Growth and Output Per CapitaG. Total Factor Productivity and Output Per CapitaH. Solow: Theory and Evidence54 Williamson • Macroeconomics, Third EditionIV. Growth AccountingA. Solow ResidualsB. The Productivity Slowdown1. Measurement of Services2. The Relative Price of Energy3. Costs of Adopting New TechnologyC. Cyclical Properties of Solow ResidualsTextbook Question SolutionsQuestions for Review1. In exogenous growth models, growth is caused in the model by forces not explained by the modelitself. Endogenous growth models examine the economic factors that cause growth.2. Pre-1800: Constant Per Capita Income across Time and SpacePost-1800: Sustained Growth in the Rich CountriesHigh Investment ↔ High Standard of LivingHigh Population Growth ↔ Low Standard of LivingDivergence of Per Capita Incomes: 1800–1950No Conditional Convergence amongst All CountriesConditional Convergence amongst the Rich Countries3. An increase in total factor productivity increases the size of the population, but has no effect on theequilibrium level of consumption per capita.4. Only a downward shift in the population growth function can increase the standard of living.5. Malthu’s model is quite successful in explaining economic growth prior to the industrial revolution.Malthu’s model has little relevance for more recent growth experience.6. In the steady state, all variables stay constant: per capita capital, output, consumption, savings. Also,this steady state is stable: whatever the initial capital (except zero), the economy will converge to this steady state.7. With an increase in the saving rate, it becomes possible to sustain a higher level of per capita capital,and thus higher output and consumption. With an increase in the population rate, the contraryhappens, as one needs to provide more newborns with the going per capita capital. A higher total factor productivity improves all per capita variables in the steady state.8. To maximize steady-state per capita consumption, the saving rate must be such that the marginalproduct of capital (the slope of the per capita production function) equals the population growth rate plus the depreciation rate.9. The Malthusian model gave no way out of misery, except for measures that reduce the population.Even technological advances would not raise the standard of living. The Solow model shows that it is possible to obtain a stable standard of living with growing population. And if total factor productivity increases, one can even obtain improvements in the standard of living despite population growth.Chapter 6 Economic Growth: Malthus and Solow 55 10. The Cobb-Douglas production function permits a simple decomposition of economic growth into itscomponent sources.11. In a competitive equilibrium, the parameter a is equal to the share of capital income in total income.12. The Solow residual measures increases in real GDP that are not accounted for by increases in capitaland labor. The Solow residual is highly procyclical as it explains the great majority of the cyclical component in GDP.13. The productivity slowdown could be explained by underestimates of output in the growing servicessector, increases in the relative price of energy, and the costs of adopting new technologies.14. American workers then knew how to incorporate the new technologies, in particular informationtechnology. These efficiency gains may have been realized by 2000, which explains the newslowdown, along with higher energy prices.15. Growth in capital, employment, and total factor productivity account for growth in GDP.16. During this period, growth in these countries was much larger than average. Growth rates for thesecountries were about three times as fast as growth in the United States. However, most of this growth can be attributed to increases in the capital stocks in these countries, and such rapid rates of growth of capital cannot be sustained for long periods of time.Problems1. The amount of land increases, and, at first, the size of the population is unchanged. Therefore,consumption per capita increases. However, the increase in consumption per capita increases the population growth rate, see the figure below. In the steady state, neither *c nor *l are affected by the initial increase in land. This fact can be discerned by noting that there will be no changes in either of the panels of Figure 6.8 in the textbook.56 Williamson • Macroeconomics, Third Edition2. A reduction in the death rate increases the number of survivors from the current period who will stillbe living in the future. Therefore, such a technological change in public health shifts the function ()g cupward. In problem #1 there were no effects on the levels of land per capita and consumption per capita. In this case, the ()g c function in the bottom figure below shifts upward. Equilibriumconsumption per capita decreases. From the top figure below, we also see that the decrease inconsumption per capita requires a reduction in the equilibrium level of land per capita. The size of the population has increased, but the amount of available land is unchanged.Chapter 6 Economic Growth: Malthus and Solow 57 3. For the marginal product of capital to increase at every level of capital, the shift in the productionfunction is equivalent to an increase in total factor productivity.(a) The original and new production functions are depicted in the figures below.(b) Equilibrium in the Solow model is at the intersection of ()n d k+szf k with the line segment ().The old and new equilibria are depicted in the bottom panel of the figure above. The newequilibrium is at a higher level of capital per capita and a higher level of output per capita.(c) For a given savings rate, more effective capital implies more savings, and in the steady state thereis more capital and more output. However, if the increase in the marginal product of capital were local, in the neighborhood of the original equilibrium, there would be no equilibrium effects. A twisting of the production function around its initial point does not alter the intersection point.4. An increase in the depreciation rate acts in much the same way as an increase in the populationgrowth rate. More of current savings is required just to keep the amount of capital per capita constant.In equilibrium output per capita and capital per capita decrease.58 Williamson • Macroeconomics, Third Edition5. A destruction of capital.(a) The long-run equilibrium is not changed by an alteration of the initial conditions. If the economystarted in a steady state, the economy will return to the same steady state. If the economy wereinitially below the steady state, the approach to the steady state will be delayed by the loss ofcapital.(b) Initially, the growth rate of the capital stock will exceed the growth rate of the labor force. Thefaster growth rate in capital continues until the steady state is reached.(c) The rapid growth rates are consistent with the Solow model’s predictions about the likelyadjustment to a loss of capital.6. A reduction in total factor productivity reduces the marginal product of capital. The golden rule levelof capital per capita equates the marginal product of capital with .n d + Therefore, for given ,n d + the golden rule amount of capital per capita must decrease as in the figure below. Therefore the golden rule savings rate must decrease.7. Government spending in the Solow model.(a) By assumption, we know that T = G, and so we may write:()(1)(1)K's Y G d K sY gN d K =−+−=−+−Now divide by N and rearrange as:(1)()(1)k'n szf k sg d k +=−+−Divide by (1 + n ) to obtain:()(1)(1)(1)(1)szf k sg d k k'n n n −=−++++Chapter 6 Economic Growth: Malthus and Solow 59Setting k = k ′, we find that:**()().szf k sg n d k =++This equilibrium condition is depicted in the figure below.(b) The two steady states are also depicted in the figure above.(c) The effects of an increase in g are depicted in the bottom panel of the figure above. Capital percapita declines in the steady state. Steady-state growth rates of aggregate output, aggregate consumption, and investment are all unchanged. The reduction in capital per capita isaccomplished through a temporary reduction in the growth rate of capital.8. The golden rule quantity of capital per capita, *,k is such that *().K MP zf k n d ′==+ A decrease in the population growth rate, n , requires a decrease in the marginal product of capital. Therefore, thegolden rule quantity of capital per capita must increase. The golden rule savings rate may either increase or decrease.60 Williamson • Macroeconomics, Third Edition9. (a) First, we need to determine how bN evolves over time:(bN )′ = (1 + f )(1 + n ) bNThen we just need to redo the analysis of the competitive equilibrium and the steady state as inthe book, replacing every N by bN , every (1 + n ) by (1 + f )(1 + n ), and every n by f + n . The new steady-state per efficiency unit capital is then******()(1)(1)(1)(1)(1)szf k d k k f n f n −=+++++ All aggregate variables then grow at the rate of f + n , while per capita aggregates grow at therate f .(b) An increase in f increases the growth rate of per capita income by the same amount, as f is itsgrowth rate. This happens because the exogenous growth in b raises instant capital and income for everyone without a need to invest in capital.10. Production linear in capital:()()Y K z zf k f k k N N==⇒= (a) Recall Equation (20) from the text, and replace ()f k with k to obtain:+−=+((1))(1)sz d k'k n Also recall that 11 and .Y Y Y'zk k k'N z N z N'=⇒== Therefore: ((1))(1)Y'sz d Y N'n N+−=+ As long as((1))1,(1)sz d n +−>+ per capita income grows indefinitely. (b) The growth rate of income per capita is therefore: ((1))1(1)()(1)Y'Y sz d N'N g Y n Nsz n d n −+−==−+−+=+ Obviously, g is increasing in s .(c) This model allows for the possibility of an ever-increasing amount of capital per capita. In theSolow model, the fact that the marginal product of capital is declining in capital is the key impediment to continual increases in the amount of capital per capita.Chapter 6 Economic Growth: Malthus and Solow 6111. Solow residual calculations.(a) To calculate the Solow residuals, we apply the formula, 0.360.64ˆˆˆˆ/,zY K N = to the values in the provided table. Adding a new column for these values, we obtain:Year ˆY ˆK ˆN ˆz 1995 8031.7 25487.3 124.9 9.4781996 8328.9 26222.3 126.7 9.6401997 8703.5 27018.1 129.6 9.8231998 9066.9 27915.9 131.5 10.0191999 9470.3 28899.9 133.5 10.2362000 9817.0 29917.1 136.9 10.3122001 9890.7 30793.4 136.9 10.2822002 10048.8 31599.6 136.5 10.3692003 10301.0 32426.2 137.7 10.4722004 10703.5 33304.9 139.2 10.7032005 11048.6 34191.7 141.7 10.820(b) Next, we compute the percentage changes in each of the table entries. These values arepresented in the table below.Year ˆˆY Y Δ/ (%) ˆˆK K Δ/ (%) ˆˆN N Δ/ (%) ˆˆzz Δ/ (%) 1996 3.70 2.88 1.44 1.71 1997 4.50 3.03 2.29 1.901998 4.18 3.32 1.47 2.001999 4.45 3.52 1.52 2.172000 3.66 3.52 2.55 0.742001 0.75 2.93 0.00 −0.292002 1.60 2.62 −0.29 0.852003 2.51 2.62 0.88 0.992004 3.91 2.71 1.09 2.212005 3.22 2.66 1.80 1.0962 Williamson • Macroeconomics, Third EditionTo compare the contributions to growth, we need to compare the magnitudes,ˆˆˆˆ0.36(/),0.64(/),KKNN ΔΔ and ˆˆ/.z z Δ These values are presented in the table below.Year ˆˆ0.36(Δ/K K) (%) ˆˆ0.64(Δ/N N)(%) ˆˆz z Δ/ (%)1996 1.04 0.92 1.711997 1.09 1.46 1.901998 1.20 0.94 2.001999 1.27 0.97 2.172000 1.27 1.63 0.742001 1.05 0.00 −0.292002 0.94 −0.19 0.852003 0.94 0.56 0.992004 0.98 0.70 2.212005 0.96 1.15 1.09Most often, when output is growing, the biggest contribution to growth comes from increases intotal factor productivity. In 1991 and in 2001, both bad years for growth, total factor productivity decreased. In the other years, growth in total factor productivity is usually the largest contributor to growth, while increases in capital and labor equally share the role of the leading cause of growth in the other years. In the later years, capital growth has come to be relatively more important than in the early years.。
斯蒂芬·威廉森-宏观经济学第五版答案chapter5
Chapter 5A Closed-Economy One-PeriodMacroeconomic Model⏹Teaching GoalsThere are three key points to be learned from this chapter. The first point is that when we allow the consumers and firms that we studied in Chapter 4 to interact with each other and with the government, the economy is able to achieve equilibrium through price adjustment. In this particular case, the “price” is the relative price of leisure, the real wage. The second important point is that the equilibrium that markets settle upon is a favorable one, in the sense of Pareto optimality. This point is in keeping with Adam Smith’s notion that the “invisible hand” of self-interested individuals, meeting in a competitive market, can work for the common good. The third point is that we can directly discover the equilibrium position of a market economy by solving an economic planner problem. Although students may find this point to be somewhat arcane, stress the point that it will be much simpler to solve problems (e.g., exam problems) by working with a planner problem as opposed to directly solving general equilibrium problems. The students, however, need to be aware when this solution method is not applicable. The section about the Laffer curve is a good way to show when social and private optima do not coincide.Once students have mastered the mechanics of the model, the two problems for which this model is best suited are the analyses of changes in government spending and total factor productivity. In working these problems, stress the applicability of these results to historical applications and as a guide to understanding current events.A key tactic of the textbook’s approach is the critical assessment of the usefulness and credibility of competing models. Therefore, it is important to stress the extent to which models fit the facts. Does this model fit the facts of long-run growth? Does this model fit the facts of the typical business cycle? These kinds of questions come up again and again in the course of macroeconomic study. Stress again and again that scientific study needs to relate to observations, in our case the stylized facts of Chapter 2.⏹Classroom Discussion TopicsAn alternative approach to this material is to start with the example of Robinson Crusoe (or Castaway, Gilligan’s Island, etc.). Does an isolated individual have any economic choices? What would guide these choices? Would you rather be on an island with a more plentiful food supply? A pure income effect can then be presented in the form of extra food (or a volleyball) washing up on shore, or in the form of “pirates” (government?) demanding tribute. An increase in total factor productivity can be in the form of obtaining a fishing net or a ladder to climb coconut trees. A change in capital can be the consequence of a hurricane, etc. The next step would be to ask the students about the likely consequences of additional individuals on the island. If they are all identical, and there are no economies to team production, will there be any reason for markets to exist? Could a market improve things? How and why? Typically, markets improve things onlyChapter 5 A Closed-Economy One-Period Macroeconomic Model 39 to the extent that people are different. However, these types of differences are what we are willing toignore when we adopt the fiction of a representative consumer.OutlineI. Competitive EquilibriumA. A One-Period Model1. No Borrowing or Lending2. G = TB. Equilibrium Modeling1. Endogenous Variables2. Exogenous Variables3. Hypothetical ExperimentsC. Properties of a Competitive Equilibrium1. Representative Consumer Maximizes Utility Subject to Budget Constraint2. Representative Firm Maximizes Profits3. Markets Clear4. Government Budget Constraint Satisfied5. ,,l C l CN w MRS MRT MP === II. OptimalityA. Pareto OptimalityB. Welfare Theorems1. 1st Theorem: A Competitive Equilibrium Can Be Pareto Optimal2. 2nd Theorem: A Pareto Optimum Can Be a Competitive EquilibriumC. Inefficiencies1. Externalities2. Distorting Taxes3. Monopoly PowerD. Using the Second Theorem1. Pareto Optima Are Easier to Identify2. Effects of Disturbances on Pareto OptimaIII. Effects of an Increase in Government SpendingA. Impact Effect1. Parallel Downward Shift in PPF2. Pure Income EffectB. Equilibrium Effects1. Reduced Consumption2. Reduced Leisure and Increased Hours of Work3. Increased Output4. Lower Real WageC. Crowding-OutD. Government Spending a Source of Business Cycles?40 Williamson • Macroeconomics, Fifth Edition1. Government Spending Shocks Wrongly Predict Countercyclical Consumption2. Government Spending Shocks Wrongly Predict Countercyclical Real WagesIV. Effects of an Increase in Total Factor ProductivityA. Impact Effect1. Upward Shift in PPF2. Steeper PPF3. Income and Substitution EffectsB. Equilibrium Effects1. Increased Consumption2. Leisure and Hours Worked May Rise or Fall3. Increased Output4. Higher Real WageC. Productivity and Long-Run Growth1. Consumption Grows over Time2. Hours Worked Remain about Constant3. Output Increases over Time4. Real Wages Rise over TimeD. Productivity as Source of Business Cycles?1. Consumption Is Procyclical2. Cyclical Properties of Hours Workeda. Procyclical Hours Worked Is a Business Cycle Factb. Need Strong Substitution Effect to Predict Procyclical Hoursc. Intertemporal Substitution of Leisure3. Increased Output Defines the Cycle4. Procyclical Real Wage RateV. Income Tax Revenue and the Laffer CurveA. Tax Revenue1. The Tax Base Depends on the Proportional Tax Rate2. The Laffer Curve Measures Tax Revenue as a Function of the Tax Rate3. Unless the Tax Rate Is Optimal, Two Tax Rates Yield the Same Tax Revenue4. Supply-Side Economists Claim the U.S. Economy Is at the Bad Tax Rate5. Empirical Evidence Tends to Prove Supply-Side Economists WrongVI. A Model of Public Goods: How Large Should the Government Be?A. Effects of higher GDP on optimal government spending.B. Better government technology: what happens to optimal government spending and private spending?Chapter 5 A Closed-Economy One-Period Macroeconomic Model 41 Solutions to End-of-Chapter Problems1. Although we often think about the negative externalities of congestion and pollution in cities, theremay also be some positive externalities. A concentrated population is better able to support the arts and professional sports; cities typically have a greater variety of good restaurants, etc. Perhaps a more basic issue is that there may be some increasing returns to scale at low output levels that makeindustrial production more costly in small towns. There may also be externalities in production in being located close to other producers. One example would be the financial industry in financialcenters like New York, London, Tokyo, etc. Another example would be large city medical centers that enhance coordination between primary physicians and specialists.One market test of whether productivity is higher in cities would be to look at the wages in cities versus the wages in smaller towns and rural areas. Wages are often higher in cities for individuals of comparable skills. Market efficiency suggests that the higher wages be reflective of a higher marginal product of labor, and that the higher wages compensate those choosing to live in cities for thenegative externalities that they face.2. In a one period model, taxes must be exactly equal to government spending. A reduction in taxes istherefore equivalent to a reduction in government spending. The result is exactly opposite of the case of an increase in government spending that is presented in the text. A reduction in governmentspending induces a pure income effect that induces the consumer to consume more and work less. At lower employment, the equilibrium real wage is higher because the marginal product of labor rises when employment falls. Output falls, consumption rises, employment falls and the real wage rises. 3. The only impact effect of this disturbance is to lower the capital stock. Therefore, the productionpossibility frontier shifts down and the marginal product of labor falls (PPF is flatter).(a) The reduction in the capital stock is depicted in the figure below. The economy starts at point Aon PPF1. The reduction in the capital stock shifts the production possibilities frontier to PPF2.Because PPF2 is flatter, there is a substitution effect that moves the consumer to point D. Theconsumer consumes less of the consumption good and consumes more leisure. Less leisure alsomeans that the consumer works more. Because the production possibilities frontier shifts down,there is also an income effect. The income effect implies less consumption and less leisure (more work). On net, consumption must fall, but leisure could decrease, remain the same, or increase,depending on the relative strengths of the income and substitution effect. The real wage must also fall. To see this, we must remember that, in equilibrium, the real wage must equal the marginalrate of substitution. The substitution effect implies a lower marginal rate of substitution. Theincome effect is a parallel shift in the production possibilities frontier. As the income effectincreases the amount of employment, marginal product of labor must fall from point D topoint B. This reinforces the reduction in the marginal rate of substitution from point A to point D.42 Williamson • Macroeconomics, Fifth Edition(b) Changes in the capital stock are not likely candidates for the source of the typical businesscycle. While it is easy to construct examples of precipitous declines in capital, it is more difficult to imagine sudden increases in the capital stock. The capital stock usually trends upward, and this upward trend is important for economic growth. However, the amount of new capital generatedby a higher level of investment over the course of a few quarters, of a few years, is very small in comparison to the existing stock of capital. On the other hand, a natural disaster that decreasesthe stock of capital implies lower output and consumption, and also implies lower real wages,which are all features of the typical business cycle contraction.4. Government Productivity. First consider the benchmark case in which 1,z = and there is no effect ofchanges in z on government activities. Now suppose that z increases. This case of an increase in z is depicted in the figure below. The original production possibilities frontier is labeled PPF 1 and the competitive equilibrium is at point A. If the increase in z only affects the economy through thechange in (,),zF K N then the new production possibilities frontier is PPF 2. The diagram shows a case in which the income and substitution effects on leisure exactly cancel out, and the economy moves to point B. The equation for the production possibilities frontier is (,).C zF K h l T =−− In the benchmark case, T G = and so we have (,).C zF K h l G =−− For this problem, /,T G z = and so the production possibilities frontier is given by (,)/.C zF K h l G z =−− When 1,z = the two PPFscoincide. When z increases, the vertical intercept of the PPF increases by /.G z ∆ Therefore, the new PPF is PPF 3 in the figure below. The competitive equilibrium is at point C . There is an additional income effect that provides an additional increase in equilibrium consumption, and a reinforcedincome effect that tend to make leisure increase. Therefore, relative to the benchmark case, there is a larger increase in consumption, and either a smaller decrease in leisure or a larger increase in leisure.Chapter 5 A Closed-Economy One-Period Macroeconomic Model 435. Change in preferences.(a) At the margin, the consumer decides that leisure is more preferred to consumption. That is, theconsumer now requires a bigger increase in consumption to willingly work more (consume less leisure). In more intuitive language, the consumer is lazier.(b) To work out the effects of this change in tastes, we refer to the figure below. The productionpossibility frontier in this example is unchanged. The consumer now picks a new point at which one of the flatter indifference curves is tangent to the production possibilities frontier. That is,equilibrium will shift from point A to point B. Consumption falls and leisure rises. Therefore, the consumer works less and produces less. Because employment has fallen, it also must be the case that the real wage increases.44 Williamson • Macroeconomics, Fifth Edition(c) This disturbance, which some might characterize as a contagious outbreak of laziness, wouldhave the appearance of a recession, as output and employment both fall. The consequentreduction in consumption is also consistent with a typical recession. However, in this case thereal wage would rise, which is inconsistent with the business cycle facts. Therefore, this type of preference change is not a cause of recessions.6. Production-enhancing aspects of government spending.(a) The increase in government spending in this example has two separate effects on the productionpossibilities frontier. First, the increase in government spending from G1 to G2 implies a parallel downward shift in the production possibilities frontier. Second, the productive nature ofgovernment spending is equivalent to an increase in total factor productivity that shifts theproduction possibilities frontier upward and increases its slope. The figure below draws theoriginal production possibilities frontier as PPF1 and the new production possibilities frontier as PPF2. If the production-enhancing aspects of the increase in government spending are largeenough, representative consumer utility could rise, as in this figure.Chapter 5 A Closed-Economy One-Period Macroeconomic Model 45(b) There are three effects at work in this example. First, there is a negative income effect from theincrease in taxes needed to pay for the increased government spending. This effect tends to lower both consumption and leisure. Second, there is a substitution effect due to the productive effect of the increase in G, which is drawn as the movement from point A to point D. This effect tends to increase both consumption and leisure. Third, there is a positive income effect from the increase in G on productivity. This effect tends to increase both consumption and leisure. In the figure above, the movement from point D to point B is the net effect of the two income effects. Ingeneral, consumption may rise or fall, and leisure may rise or fall. The overall effect on output is the same as in any increase in total factor productivity. Output surely rises.46 Williamson • Macroeconomics, Fifth Edition7. (a) If households dedicate a hours to education today, it reduces the hours available for leisure andwork to h−a. The PPF has to start form point (−G, h−a). Graphically, this corresponds to thefigure in the answer of question 6(b). The consequence is thus a reduction in consumption,leisure, employment, aggregate output, but an increase in the real wage.(b) In the future, workers will be more efficient, which corresponds to an increase in total factorproductivity. Thus we have the case described in Figure 5.9 of the textbook. There is an increase in future consumption, aggregate output and the real wage. Changes in employment and leisureare ambiguous.(c) An increase in education leads to an immediate loss in welfare, as both leisure and consumptionare reduced. But this is compensated by an increase in future consumption, and possibly ofleisure, too. Whether this is worth doing depends on the preferences of households over currentand future utility.8. We need to analyze each case separately. Start with the good equilibrium. As government expensesincrease, more tax revenue needs to be raised, and thus the tax rate needs to be increased. As shown in the figure below, this tilts down the linear PPF. The new equilibrium leads to a lower indifferencecurve. This leads to a negative income effect and a lower wage (remember, it is z(1 − t)), thus asubstitution effect. The income effect lowers consumption and leisure, the substitution effectdecreases consumption and increases leisure. All in all, consumption is lower and leisure is higher, as we know that the substitution effect dominates the income effect. This means that the labor supply is reduced, and thus equilibrium labor and output.The story is different in the bad equilibrium. To increase tax revenue, one needs to reduce the tax rate. Then all the changes discussed above are exactly in the opposite direction.9. We know from previous analysis that an improvement in total factor productivity pushes up the PPF,and thus leads to an increase in consumption, a decrease in leisure, and thus an increase in thequantity of labor supplied. This increases the tax base, and thus allows a reduced tax rate to achieve the same tax revenue, or in other words, it pushes the left portion of the Laffer curve to the left. The reduction in the tax rate has then a further impact on the variables of interest: as we saw in question 7, first part with a reversal of all signs: consumption increases even more and leisure decrease yet more, leading to an even higher quantity of labor. All in all, as both labor and total factor productivityincrease, output increases.Chapter 5 A Closed-Economy One-Period Macroeconomic Model 47 10. a) With perfect substitutes preferences, indifference curves are straight lines with slope –b, where b is the marginal rate of substitution. If b > 1/q, so that the indifference curves are steeper than the PPF, then the optimal choice for the government is G=qY, so that C = 0. Thus if b is relatively large (the consumer cares relatively more about public goods relative to private goods) and q is relatively large (the government is relatively efficient), then all production should be carried on by the government. Alternatively if b < 1/q, then G = 0 and C = Y, so that government is inactive. Thus, if b increases or q increases, this makes it more likely that b > 1/q and we have the first case, where all production comes from the government.b) With perfect complements, indifference curves are as depicted in Figure 10.1, and the initial equilibrium is at point A. If a increases, then the equilibrium shifts from A to B in Figure 10.2. An increase in a represents a greater preference for private goods relative to public goods, and in Figure 10.2, this results in less public goods and more private consumption in equilibrium. If q increases, this shifts the PPF out as in Figure 10.3, and the equilibrium shifts from A to B. Both C and G increase, driven by income effects.Figure 10.1Figure 10.248 Williamson • Macroeconomics, Fifth Edition ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc.Figure 10.311. (a) If public goods and private goods are perfect substitutes, then the consumer always chooses C and l so that C = dl , and so given the production possibilities frontier, we must haveC C h G d =−− and so()1d h G C d −=+ and 1h G l d −=+ Therefore, consumption and leisure both decrease when government spending increases – a pure incomeeffect.(b) However, suppose that public goods and private goods are perfect complements. As in part (a), it is always optimal for the consumer to choose C and l so that C = dl. But the consumer faces a tax T = G , and the wage is w=1. So, if the consumer chooses the C = dl and the budget constraint is satisfied, then ()1d h G C d −=+ and1h G l d −=+,just as in part (a). This is the only optimum if,C aG ≤orChapter 5 A Closed-Economy One-Period Macroeconomic Model 49 ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc.(1)dh G a d d ≥++ But, if (1)dh G a d d≤++ Then, it is optimal for the consumer to chooseC aG = and aG l d=. In this case, the consumption bundle of the consumer actually lies inside the production possibilitiesfrontier, and government spending has a Keynesian effect. More government spending implies greater consumption.。
宏观经济学 斯蒂芬威廉森chap06
Macroeconomics, 3e (Williamson)Chapter 6 E conomic Growth: Malthus and Solow1) I f changes in economic policy could cause the growth rate of real GDP to increase by 1% peryear for 100 years, then GDP would be ________ % higher after 100 years than it would havebeen otherwise.A) 1.3B) 2.0C) 2.7D) 3.8Answer: CQuestion Status: P revious Edition2) I n an exogenous growth model, growth is caused byA) c apital accumulation.B) g overnment policies.C) h uman capital accumulation.D) f orces that are not explained by the model itself.Answer: DQuestion Status: P revious Edition3) T he idea that an improvement in technology causes an increase in population but causes noincrease in the average standard of living is attributed toA) A dam Smith.B) T homas Malthus.C) R obert Solow.D) M ilton Friedman.Answer: BQuestion Status: P revious Edition4) T he Malthusian model performs poorly in explaining economic growth after theA) F rench Revolution.B) A merican Revolution.C) I ndustrial Revolution.D) B io-technology Revolution.Answer: CQuestion Status: P revious Edition5) T he Solow model emphasizes the role of which of the following factors of production?A) l andB) l aborC) c apitalD) n atural resourcesAnswer: CQuestion Status: P revious Edition6) B efore the Industrial Revolution, standards of living differedA) g reatly over time and across countries.B) l ittle over time, but differed greatly across countries.C) g reatly over time, but differed little across countries.D) l ittle over time and across countries.Answer: DQuestion Status: P revious Edition7) R ecent evidence suggests that output per worker isA) p ositively related to both the rate of investment and to the rate of population growth.B) p ositively related to the rate of investment and negatively related to the rate ofpopulation growth.C) n egatively related to the rate of investment and positively related to the rate ofpopulation growth.D) n egatively related to both the rate of investment and to the rate of population growth.Answer: BQuestion Status: P revious Edition8) T here is evidence that income per worker is converging inA) t he richest countries and the poorest countries.B) t he richest countries, but not the poorest countries.C) t he poorest countries, but not the richest countries.D) n either the richest nor the poorest countries.Answer: BQuestion Status: P revious Edition9) C onditional convergence means thatA) t he distance between poor and rich countries increases.B) t he distance between poor and rich countries stays the same.C) t he distance between poor and rich countries decreases.D) t here is no systematic pattern in how poor and rich countries grow.Answer: CQuestion Status: N ew10) F or conditional convergence to hold, it is required thatA) p oor countries grow.B) p oor countries grow faster and faster.C) p oor countries grow faster than rich countries.D) p oor countries become richer than currently rich countries.Answer: CQuestion Status: N ew11) C onditional convergence means thatA) p oorer countries have higher growth rates.B) p oorer countries have lower growth rates.C) p oorer countries have very diverse growth rates.D) p oorer countries have uniform growth rates.Answer: AQuestion Status: N ew12) I n the Malthusian model, the population growth rate isA) e xogenous.B) p ositively related to consumption per worker.C) n egatively related to consumption per worker.D) a ssumed to be constant.Answer: BQuestion Status: P revious Edition13) T he Malthusian model emphasizes fixity in which of the following factors of production?A) l aborB) l andC) e nergyD) n one of the aboveAnswer: BQuestion Status: P revious Edition14) I n the Malthusian model, an improvement in the technology of growing food is likely toA) i ncrease the equilibrium size of the population and increase the equilibrium level ofconsumption per worker.B) i ncrease the equilibrium size of the population and decrease the equilibrium level ofconsumption per worker.C) i ncrease the equilibrium size of the population and have no effect on the equilibriumlevel of consumption per worker.D) h ave no effect on the equilibrium size of the population and increase the equilibriumlevel of consumption per worker.Answer: CQuestion Status: P revious Edition15) T he Malthusian model predicts thatA) p opulation will keep increasing.B) t he standard of living will keep increasing.C) h ealth improvements increase the standard of living.D) p opulation control improves the standard of living.Answer: DQuestion Status: N ew16) I n a Malthusian world, why is misery recurrent?A) T he marginal returns of capital are decreasing.B) F ertility is endogenous.C) O utput is increasing in labor.D) M ortality depends on the standard of living.Answer: DQuestion Status: N ew17) I n a Malthusian world, what would improve the standard of living permanently?A) a warB) a new medical drugC) b irth controlD) d emocracyAnswer: CQuestion Status: N ew18) I n a Malthusian world, what would improve the standard of living temporarily?A) a warB) a new virusC) b irth controlD) d emocracyAnswer: AQuestion Status: N ew19) I n the Malthusian model, state-mandated population control policies are likely toA) d ecrease the equilibrium size of the population and increase the equilibrium level ofconsumption per worker.B) d ecrease the equilibrium size of the population and have no effect on the equilibriumlevel of consumption per worker.C) h ave no effect on the equilibrium size of the population and increase the equilibriumlevel of consumption per worker.D) h ave no effect on either the equilibrium size of the population or the equilibrium levelof consumption per worker.Answer: AQuestion Status: P revious Edition20) I n the Malthusian model, improvements in health care lead toA) h igher population and higher per-capita production.B) h igher population and lower per-capita production.C) l ower population and higher per-capita production.D) l ower population and lower per-capita production.Answer: BQuestion Status: N ew21) I f an epidemic hits a Malthusian economy, the immediate consequence isA) a n increase in the standard of living.B) a reduction in the standard of living.C) n o change in the standard of living.D) d ependent on the population growth rate.Answer: AQuestion Status: N ew22) I f an epidemic hits a Malthusian economy, the long-term consequence isA) a n increase in the standard of living.B) a reduction in the standard of living.C) n o change in the standard of living.D) d ependent on the population growth rate.Answer: CQuestion Status: N ew23) I n a Malthusian world, what events would improve temporarily the standard of living, asmeasured by output per capita?A) a peace keeping missionB) a n increase in violent crimeC) a new mutation of germsD) a new sewer systemAnswer: BQuestion Status: N ew24) I n a Malthusian world, what events would improve permanently the standard of living, asmeasured by output per capita?A) a peace keeping missionB) a n increase in violent crimeC) a new mutation of germsD) a new sewer systemAnswer: CQuestion Status: N ew25) I n more modern times as opposed to the times of Malthus, higher standards of living appeartoA) d ecrease death rates and increase birth rates.B) d ecrease death rates and also decrease birth rates.C) d ecrease death rates and have no effect on birth rates.D) h ave had effects on neither death rates nor birth rates.Answer: BQuestion Status: P revious Edition26) M althus was too pessimistic because he did not foresee the effects ofA) e ver increasing amounts of land for cultivation.B) i ncreases in the capital stock and the effects of such increases on production.C) i mproved nutrition and health care.D) i mproved family planning practices.Answer: BQuestion Status: P revious Edition27) T he Solow residual attempts to measure the amount of output not explained byA) t echnological progress.B) t he direct contribution of labor and capital.C) e conomic projections.D) t he amount of a nation's human capital.Answer: BQuestion Status: P revious Edition28) G rowth accounting, popularized by Robert Solow, attempts to attribute a change inaggregate outputA) t o its most important single cause.B) s eparately between changes in government policy and changes in total factorproductivity.C) s eparately between changes in total factor productivity and changes in the supplies offactors of production.D) s eparately between changes in the supplies of factors of production and changes ingovernment policy.Answer: CQuestion Status: P revious Edition29) For the production function, Y = zK 0.36N 0.64, if measured output is, ˆYmeasured capital input is ˆK, and measured labor input is ˆN , then the Solow residual would be equal to A) 0.360.64ˆˆˆK N Y. B) 0.360.64ˆˆK N× ˆY . C) 0.640.36ˆˆN K× ˆY . D) 0.360.64ˆˆˆY K N. Answer: DQuestion Status: P revious Edition30) A ll of the following increase total factor productivity exceptA) n ew inventions.B) m ore capital.C) n ew management techniques.D) f avorable changes in government regulations.Answer: BQuestion Status: P revious Edition31) W hich of the following increases total factor productivity?A) i nvestment in machineryB) a harsh winterC) b etter access to creditD) n ew production proceduresAnswer: DQuestion Status: N ew32) G rowth in the Solow residual was slowest in theA) 1950s.B) 1960s.C) 1970s.D) 1980s.Answer: CQuestion Status: P revious Edition33) G rowth in the Solow residual was fastest in theA) 1950s.B) 1960s.C) 1970s.D) 1980s.Answer: BQuestion Status: P revious Edition34) O ne plausible explanation of the U.S. productivity slowdown starting in 1973 is that it is anartifact of mismeasurement. This explanation would require that production ofA) g oods is underestimated.B) g oods is overestimated.C) s ervices is underestimated.D) s ervices is overestimated.Answer: CQuestion Status: P revious Edition35) O ne plausible explanation of the U.S. productivity slowdown starting in 1973 is that it was aresult of the increase in the relative price of energy. This explanation would require that, in light of higher energy costs, theA) c apital stock is overestimated.B) c apital stock is underestimated.C) l abor force is overestimated.D) l abor force is underestimated.Answer: AQuestion Status: P revious Edition36) O ne plausible explanation of the U.S. productivity slowdown starting in 1973 is that it wasthe result of the time needed to adapt to new technology. This explanation would require thatA) w orkers withdraw from the labor force to learn about the new technology.B) a large number of new entrants be attracted to the labor force.C) m anagers be reluctant to adopt changes.D) w orkers time at their jobs be diverted from production to learning the technology.Answer: DQuestion Status: P revious Edition37) P ercentage deviations from trend in the Solow residual areA) u nrelated to the business cycle.B) p rocyclical and smaller than percentage deviations from trend in GDP.C) p rocyclical and have about equal magnitude as percentage deviations from trend inGDP.D) p rocyclical and larger than percentage deviations from trend in GDP.Answer: CQuestion Status: P revious Edition38) T he biggest contribution to real U.S. GDP growth in the 1970s was due to growth inA) t otal factor productivity.B) t he capital stock.C) t he labor force.D) b oth the capital stock and the labor force.Answer: DQuestion Status: P revious Edition39) T he biggest contribution to real GDP growth in the "East Asian Tigers" during the period1966-1991 was due to growth inA) t otal factor productivity.B) t he capital stock.C) t he labor force.D) i nternational trade.Answer: BQuestion Status: P revious Edition40) T he per -worker production function relates output per workerA) t o capital per worker.B) t o the participation rate.C) t o production per worker.D) i n different countries.Answer: AQuestion Status: P revious Edition41) W e can express the per-worker production function as a function of only per-worker capitalthanks toA) t he decreasing marginal return of capital.B) t he decreasing marginal return of labor.C) t he constant returns to scale.D) t he impatience of households.Answer: CQuestion Status: N ew42) T he slope of the output per worker function is equal to theA) m arginal product of capital.B) m arginal product of labor.C) s avings rate.D) g rowth rate of the population.Answer: AQuestion Status: P revious Edition43) I n Solow's model of economic growth, suppose that s represents the savings rate, zrepresents total factor productivity, k represents the level of capital per worker, and f(k) represents the per-worker production function. Also suppose that n represents thepopulation growth rate and d represents the depreciation rate of capital. The equilibrium level of capital per worker, k *, will satisfy the equationA) s zf(k*) = (n + d)k*. B) = (n + d )f (k*).C) nf(k *) = *()sk s d +. D) f (k*) =()s n d +k *. Answer: AQuestion Status: P revious Edition44) T he saving rate has the following characteristic in Solow's exogenous growth modelA) i t increases with output.B) i t first decreases, then increases with output.C) i t first increases, then decreases with output.D) i t is constant.Answer: DQuestion Status: N ew45) I n Solow's exogenous growth model, the principal obstacle to continuous growth in outputper capita is due toA) t he declining marginal product of labor.B) t he declining marginal product of capital.C) l imits in the ability of government policymakers.D) t oo little savings.Answer: BQuestion Status: P revious Edition46) I n Solow's exogenous growth model, the economy reaches a stable steady state becauseA) t he marginal return of capital is decreasing.B) c apital is growing at a constant rate.C) t he substitution effect is stronger than the income effect.D) c onditional convergence holds.Answer: AQuestion Status: N ew47) I n the steady state of Solow's exogenous growth model, an increase in the savings rateA) i ncreases output per worker and increases capital per worker.B) i ncreases output per worker and decreases capital per worker.C) d ecreases output per worker and increases capital per worker.D) d ecreases output per worker and decreases capital per worker.Answer: AQuestion Status: P revious Edition48) W hich of the following is not a feature of the steady state in Solow's exogenous growthmodel?A) T he capital/output ratio is steady.B) C apital grows continuously.C) C onsumption per worker is steady.D) T otal saving is steady.Answer: DQuestion Status: N ew49) I f the population growth rate increases by the same percentage points as the depreciationrate, what happens to the steady-state, per-worker output in Solow's exogenous growth model?A) I t increases.B) I t decreases.C) I t does not change.D) I t cannot exist anymore.Answer: BQuestion Status: N ew50) I f the population growth rate increases by the same percentage points as the depreciationrate decreases, what happens to the steady-state, per-worker consumption in Solow'sexogenous growth model?A) I t increases.B) I t decreases.C) I t does not change.D) I t cannot exist anymore.Answer: CQuestion Status: N ew51) I n Solow's exogenous growth model, the steady-state growth rate of capital can be increasedbyA) h igher population growth.B) h igher depreciation rate.C) h igher saving rate.D) h igher interest rate.Answer: AQuestion Status: N ew52) T he Golden Rule of capital accumulation maximizes the steady-state level ofA) o utput per worker.B) c apital per worker.C) c onsumption per worker.D) i nvestment per worker.Answer: CQuestion Status: P revious Edition53) I n the Golden Rule steady state, the marginal product of capital is equal to theA) s avings rate plus the population growth rate.B) p opulation growth rate plus the depreciation rate.C) d epreciation rate plus the savings rate.D) s avings rate divided by the marginal product of labor.Answer: BQuestion Status: P revious Edition54) W ith the Golden Rule,A) s avings maximize output.B) s avings maximize consumption.C) s avings minimize costs.D) s avings optimize the population level.Answer: BQuestion Status: N ew55) T he Golden Rule says thatA) o ne should save as much as possible.B) o ne should save as little as possible.C) o ne should save something between A and B.D) s avings are irrelevant.Answer: CQuestion Status: N ew56) I n the steady state of Solow's exogenous growth model, an increase in the growth rate oflabor forceA) i ncreases output per worker and increases capital per worker.B) i ncreases output per worker and decreases capital per worker.C) d ecreases output per worker and increases capital per worker.D) d ecreases output per worker and decreases capital per worker.Answer: DQuestion Status: P revious Edition57) I n the steady state of Solow's exogenous growth model, an increase in total factorproductivityA) i ncreases output per worker and increases capital per worker.B) i ncreases output per worker and decreases capital per worker.C) d ecreases output per worker and increases capital per worker.D) d ecreases output per worker and decreases capital per worker.Answer: AQuestion Status: P revious Edition。
2006-2007学年秋季学期
投资与预期利润
就整个宏观经济而言，投资与未来收益的预期现 值正向变动。 e
I t I (V ( t )) ( )
总结：投资与未来利润的预期现值正向变动(每一 单位资本)。当前或者预期利润越高，预期现值就 越高，从而投资水平越高；当前或者预期实际利 率越高，预期现值就越低，从而投资水平越低。 公司对投资现值的计算与为股票基础价值进行的 现值计算非常类似。这个关系最初是出耶鲁大学 的（J.Tobins）发展起来的，他认为投资与股票 市场价值之间确实应该有非常紧密的关系。
当期利润与预期利润
投资不仅与预期利润相关也与当期 t )
e
( , +)
获利能力与现金流：要点解析。（找出现金流量与 获利能力变动不一致时的时间和事件，然后看看投 资发生了什么变化。）
2006-2007学年秋季学期 宏观经济学 Macroeconomics, 2/e, O.Blanchard For Everyone who choose Colin.yuzy
Ct C(total wealtht ,YLT Tt )
YLt
T t
第t年的实际劳动收入
第t年的实际税收
人力财富或者第t年的税后劳动收 入的预期现值
YLT Tt
2006-2007学年秋季学期 宏观经济学 Macroeconomics, 2/e, O.Blanchard For Everyone who choose Colin.yuzy
2006-2007学年秋季学期 宏观经济学 Macroeconomics, 2/e, O.Blanchard For Everyone who choose Colin.yuzy
投资与股票市场
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After-Tax Profits = Total revenue - Wages - Interest - Cost of intermediate inputs - Taxes Before-Tax Profits = 24 + 4.5 = £28.5 million
Chapter 2 9/47 Topics in Macroeconomics
Sum of value added to goods and services in production across all productive units in the economy
Expenditure approach
Adds all spending on goods and services in the economy
Chapter 2 11/47 Topics in Macroeconomics
Measuring GDP Measuring Real GDP Other Measurement Issues
Introduction An Example
GDP Using the Product or Value Added Approach
Chapter 2 12/47 Topics in Macroeconomics
Measuring GDP Measuring Real GDP Other Measurement Issues
Introduction An Example
GDP Using the Expenditure Approach
GDP Using the Product Approach Value added—corn Value added—pigs Value added—government GDP £20 million £18 million £5.5 million £43.5 million
GDP is the sum of value added to goods and services in production across all productive units in the economy We need to subtract intermediate goods to avoid double counting Value added for the government is problematic: usually set to the cost of the inputs since we don’t have market prices for most goods produced by the government
Produces 10 million bushels of corn which are sold for £2 per bushel From these 6 million bushels are sold to the pig producer and 4 million to consumers Pays wages of £5 million to workers (who are the consumers) Pays £0.5 million in interest on a loan (to some consumers) Pays £1.5 million in taxes to the government
Income approach
Adds up all incomes received by economic agents contributing to production
NOTE: All three measures must add up to the same value (up to measurement error of course)
GDP Using the Expenditure Approach Consumption (C) Investment (I) Government expenditures (G) Net exports (NX ) GDP £38 million £0 £5.5 million £0 £43.5 million
Measurement
Chapter 2
Topics in Macroeconomics 2
Economics Division University of Southampton
February 2011
Chapter 2
1/47
Topics in Macroeconomics
Measuring GDP Measuring Real GDP Other Measurement Issues
Buys 6 million bushels of corn from the corn producer at £2 per bushel—These are intermediate goods Pays wages of £4 million to workers Pays £3 million in taxes to the government Sells all its production to consumers (20 million kg at £1.50 per kilo)
Chapter 2 7/47 Topics in Macroeconomics
Measuring GDP Measuring Real GDP Other Measurement Issues
Introduction An Example
Producer 2
Pig Producer Total revenue Cost of feed corn Wages Taxes £30 million £12 million £4 million £3 million
GDP = Total Expenditures = C + I + G + NX Consumers spend all their income (£8 million on corn and £30 million on pigs) The government spends all its income There is no investment nor international trade in this example
Chapter 2
4/47
Topics in Macroeconomics
Measuring GDP Measuring Real GDP Other Mesurement Issues
Introduction An Example
A Simple Economy
Consider an economy composed of the following agents: A corn producer
Topics in Macroeconomics
Measuring GDP Measuring Real GDP Other Measurement Issues
Introduction An Example
Consumers / Workers
Consumers Wage income Interest income Taxes Profits distributed by producers £14.5 million £0.5 million £1 million £24 million
Chapter 2
6/47
Topics in Macroeconomics
Measuring GDP Measuring Real GDP Other Measurement Issues
Introduction An Example
Producer 1
Corn Producer Total revenue Wages interest on loans Taxes £20 million £5 million £0.5 million £1.5 million
The Government collects taxes from consumers and producers Uses the tax revenue to pay government workers (some consumers) to build a bridge
Chapter 2
10/47
Introduction An Example
Gross Domestic Product
Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
Dollar value of final output produced during a given period of time within the borders of a country
Measuring GDP Measuring Real GDP Other Measurement Issues
Introduction An Example
The Government
Government Tax revenue From producers From consumers Wages £4.5 million £1 million £5.5 million
Consumers work for the producers and government, earning a total of £14.5 million in wages Receive £0.5 million in interest from the corn producer Pay £1 million in taxes to the government Receive after-tax profits of £24 million from producers (consumers own the production units)