英国名校布里斯托大学财务分析和证券估值课程3

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英国布里斯托大学财务分析课程

英国布里斯托大学财务分析课程
• For the y/e 2000 Dell had reported earnings of $1.7 billion on sales of $25.3 billion. The MV of Dell’s shares at the time was $146.4 billion – 3 * the MV of GMC and Ford Motor Company combined (P/E 8.5 / 5.0 respectively)
• Financial analysis – Analysis of financial performance and financial position using ratio and cash flow analysis
英国布里斯托大学财务分析课程
Process of fundamental analysis
• Business analysis – Economic factors – Industry structure – Competitive strategy – Corporate strategy
• Accounting analysis – Evaluation of the extent to which a firm’s accounting captures the underlying business reality – Understanding accounting distortions
They are doing: • Fundamental analysis: contextual analysis of all publicly available
information in order to value the company.

财务分析-英国布里斯托大学财务分析课程 精品

财务分析-英国布里斯托大学财务分析课程 精品

The Capital Market: Trading value
The Investors: The claimants on value
Debtholders
Cash from Secondary sale of debt Debtholders
Operating activities Investing activities Financing activities
• long-term perspective as opposed to short-term gain
Dot-com bubble: Dell illustration
• Late 1990’s: unlimited faith in prospect of new technology and internet firms; bubble burst in 2001
• For the y/e 2000 Dell had reported earnings of $1.7 billion on sales of $25.3 billion. The MV of Dell’s shares at the time was $146.4 billion – 3 * the MV of GMC and Ford Motor Company combined (P/E 8.5 / 5.0 respectively)
What are we doing?
Part of fundamental analysis: • Financial statement analysis and valuation of shares so as to give
well informed investment advice to an equity investor.

财务报表分析与证券估值英文课件 (13)

财务报表分析与证券估值英文课件 (13)
Watch banks and insurance companies in particular
Watch Deferred Revenue
Firms may defer revenue into a “cookie jar” and then dip into the cookie jar later
Microsoft, 2008-2010 (millions):
2010 Unearned revenue $29,374
A Growth Company? General Electric Corp.: 1993-2000
A Growth Company? General Electric Again.: 2001-2010
Is Nike a Growth Firm?
The Base for Growth: Sustainable Earnings
Operating Income = Core OI + Unusual items
2. Distinguish core income from sales from other core operating income:
Operating Income = Core OI from Sales + Core Other OI + Unusual items
Remember the Caveat: Beware of Paying Too Much for Growth
(Chapters 5, 6, and 7)
Firms can grow earnings, but not create value
üEarnings growth generated by investment

《财务分析与公司估值》课程简介英文版

《财务分析与公司估值》课程简介英文版

Course Introduction《Financial Analysis & Valuation》Course Name:Financial Analysis & Valuation Course Code:Prerequisites:Accounting, intermediate financial accounting, financial management, etc.Follow-up Courses:NoBilingual Teaching or Not:NoCredits:3.0 Total Credit Hours:48Lecture Hours:48 Experiment Hours:0Programming Hours:0 Practice Hours:0School:School of businessTarget Major:AccountingCourse DescriptionAs an economic applied subject of financial analysis and company valuation, which is generally accepted by the theoretical and practical circles, it plays an important role in the business operation. This course is an economic application subject that studies how to use a series of special analysis techniques and methods to analyze and evaluate based on accounting, report materials and other relevant materials. It is a course for students majoring in accounting to learn how to carry out different analysis from different relevant analysis subjects, and also to cultivate students' ability to solve practical financial problems with comprehensive accounting knowledge Key courses. Through the teaching and learning of this course, students can master the basic theories and methods of financial analysis, make clear how to read and analyze financial statements as financial analysts or analysts, and learn to use different methods of company value evaluation to achieve the basic requirements of accounting professionals.Course ResourcesTextbooks:Zhang Xianzhi, Chen Youbang. Financial analysis [M]. Dalian: Northeast University of Finance and Economics Press, 2019.Bibliography:1. Lin Xiuxiang. Financial report analysis: application perspective [M]. Dalian: NortheastUniversity of Finance and Economics Press, 2017.2. Wang Huacheng. Analysis of financial statements (Second Edition) [M]. Beijing: PekingUniversity Press, 2014.3. Wang Shuping, Wang Rong. Financial report analysis (4th Edition) [M]. Beijing: TsinghuaUniversity Press, 2016.4. Yu Jiuhong, Guo Baolin, song Lei, Xing hailing, Li He. Financial analysis theory, practice andcase [M]. Beijing: Tsinghua University Press, 2016.5. Song Chang. Financial analysis (4th Edition) [M]. Beijing: Renmin University of China Press,2018.Reading Materials:1. Relevant case data;2. Relevant financial network information, such as Sina Finance, Dongfang fortune, etc.。

财务报表分析与证券估值英文课件 (3)

财务报表分析与证券估值英文课件 (3)

The Big Picture for This Chapter
Understand the Difference Between:
ü Simple Valuation Schemes ü Stock Screening, and ü Fully Fledged Fundamental Analysis
CHAPTER THREE
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
Copyright © 2013 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
Prepared by: Stephen H. Penman – Columbia University
Unlevered (or Enterprise) Multiples (that are Unaffected by the Financing of Operations)
Unlevered Price/Sales Ratio Market Value of Equity Net Debt Sales
Understand how the financial statements are used in each of these types of analysis Understand how formal fundamental analysis is done Understand what generates value in a business:
Unlevered Price/ebit
Market Value of Equity Net Debt ebit Market Value of Equity Net Debt ebitda

英国名校布里斯托大学财务分析和证券估值课程6

英国名校布里斯托大学财务分析和证券估值课程6
Advantages Easy concept: Dividends are what shareholders get Disadvantages Relevance: Distribution, which typically happens later than the actual creation of value. Therefore, future dividends do not explain the creation of value When it works best/makes sense When payout is permanently tied to the value generation in the firm. For example, when a firm has a fixed payout ratio (dividends/earnings).
V0 B0
E

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t
t 1
2. If we assume that abnormal profits in terminal period can be earned only on existing projects at that time, and that any new projects will earn ROE =cost of equity, then:
Forecasting base models
• Direct – Cash-flow based: Dividend discount model (DDM) – Residual earnings model – Abnormal earnings growth model • Indirect – Cash-flow based: Discounted cash flow model (DCF) – Residual operating income model – Abnormal operating income growth model

财务报表分析与证券估值英文课件 (20)

财务报表分析与证券估值英文课件 (20)

Ratio Analysis: Short-Term Liquidity Ratios
• Liquidity Stock Measures Current Ratio= Current Assets Current Liabilities
Quick or Acid Test Ratio= Cash+Short-term Investments+Receivables
defaults • How pro forma analysis aids in assessing default risk • How value-at-risk analysis is used to assess default risk • How financial strategy works
Defensive Interval= Cash+Short-term Investments +Receivables ×365 Capital Expenditures
UnleveredCash Flow from Operations
Cash Flow to Capital Expenditures= Capital Expenditures
Debt to Equity= Total Debt Total Equity
Long-term Debt Ratio=
Long-term Debt
Long-term Debt + Equtiy
Ratio Analysis: Long-term Solvency Ratios
• Solvency Flow Measures Interest Coverage= Operating Income Net Interest Expense

英国名校布里斯托大学财务分析和证券估值课程5

英国名校布里斯托大学财务分析和证券估值课程5

• Alternatively, in step 3 use: Share price calculated using direct method x number of shares
Cost of capital
Important ! • Circularity problem: current share price is used to calculate WACC for the purpose of the valuation of these same shares. If you use current/observed share price to calculate WACC, then direct and indirect valuation methods will give different share price estimates because of the inconsistency in which fair value of the firm is calculated. There isn’t much you can do about it.
Cost of capital
• The cost of capital for equity is really derived from the cost of capital for operations (not vice versa) Rearranging WACC formula, it can be obtained:
Cost of capital
• Operations have their own risk, referred to as operational risk calculated as weighted average cost of capital
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Financing versus operating
• Operating assets and liabilities generate operating income • Financing assets and liabilities are those that produce financial income or incur financial expenses.
Week 14 Accounting Analysis
Process of fundamental analysis
Business analysis
Understanding the Past
Accounting analysis
Financial analysis
Forecasting
Valuation
– E.g. banks: hold mainly financial assets and financial liabilities in the form of customer deposits, bonds and loans. But they make money from the spread between the interest they pay on their liabilities and the interest they earn on their financial assets. These apparent financial assets and liabilities are actually operating assets and liabilities.
• Reformulated statements ready for subsequent financial analysis and valuation because give the detail to discover the sources of: – Profitability (ROE) – Growth
OI sometimes referred to as NOPAT (Net operating profit after tax
Reformulated Statement of Comprehensive Income
• Separate operating and financing items – Follow the classification in SoFP – Problems: foreign currency gains and losses • Separate tax effect on operating and financing items – Interest recognised as an expense, therefore not taxed – Therefore, it attracts tax benefit tax shield = NFE x Tax rate – We want to know what is the operating result irrespective of capital structure: Tax on OI = Tax expense as reported + Tax benefit of debt – Use statutory tax rate
Shareholders
Operating and investing activities
Financing activities
Financing versus operating
– Financing assets and liabilities are those that are involved in raising cash for operations and disbursing excess cash from operations – Operating assets and liabilities are those involved in the business as a result of cash investment, in selling goods and services. – For the purposes of the income statement we need to keep in mind a parallel classification system
PPE + Inventories+ Trade receivablesTrade payables
Borrowings and interest
Debtholders
Cash and borrowings
Suppliers
Expenses
Cash investments
Net share issuance and dividends
Representation ofial statements
Product and Input Markets The Firm Capital Markets
Cash from operations
Customers
Revenues
Net asset used in operating activities
Reformulated Statement of Comprehensive Income - Illustration
IFRS Income Statement
Reformulated Statement of Financial Position
• The standard SoFP splits between assets and liabilities – Assets based on liquidity (current and long-term) – Liabilities based on maturity (current and long-term) • Useful for credit analysis, but not for valuation • To understand a firm‟s ability to generate profits the SoFP is reformulated into operating and financing assets and liabilities – When reformulating into operating and financing assets/liabilities keep in mind the question: • what business is the firm in?
Reformulated Statement of Financial Position
Operating assets (OA) Operating liabilities (OL) Net operating assets (NOA) Financial assets (FA) Financial liabilities (FL) Net financial obligations (NFO) Ordinary shareholders equity (OSE = NOA – NFO)
Reformulated Statement of Comprehensive Income
Operating revenues Operating expenses Core operating income (before tax) Reported tax Tax benefit of debt Tax on operating income Core operating income (after tax) Other (unusual) operating income Operating income after tax (OI) Net interest expense before tax Tax benefit of debt Net financial expense (NFE) Comprehensive income (CI = OI – NFE) XXX (XXX) XXX (XXX) (XXX) (XXX) XXX XXX XXX (XXX) XXX (XXX) XXX
Trading on the valuation
Reformulation
• Operating activities create value (MM proposition)
• Therefore, separate operating from financing items in: – Statement of financial position – Statement of comprehensive income – Statement of cash flows
Reformulated Statement of Financial Position
Liabilities and OSE
• Financial liabilities – Short-term borrowings – Current maturities of long-term debt – Short-term notes payable – Long-term borrowing (bank loans, bonds, loan stock) – Lease obligations – Preference shares • Operating assets – Everything else • Ordinary shares • Derivatives: Look at their function
Reformulated Statement of Comprehensive Income
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