公司理财 期末复习提纲
公司理财期末考试复习

公司理财期末考试复习金融10-1 乐云 201005001608第1章公司理财导论1、 公司治理(笔记)1) 并购交易2) 职业经理人市场3) 投资者法律保护4) 政治与金融;政治的质量5) 文化与金融6) 金融分析师7) 发达的中介机构8) 新闻媒体第4章 折现现金流量估价1、复利:FV=0C (1+mr )mT 2、永续年金:PV=rC 永续增长年金:PV=g r C - 年金:PV=r C [1-T r )1(1+] FV=rC [(1+r)T -1] 增长年金:PV=g r C -[1-(r++1g 1)T ] 第5章 净现值和投资评价的其他方法1)净现值法则:接受净现值大于0的项目,拒绝净现值为负的项目2)回收期法(适用于小型企业)优点:决策过程简单缺点:回收期决策标准确定的主观臆断、无视回收期后的现金流量、忽略了货币时间价值。
3)内部收益法(适用条件:未来现金流是正值)例:NPV=-100+R+1110 (NPV 取0时,R=?) 若内部收益率大于折现率,项目可以接受;若内部收益率小于折现率,项目不可以接受。
缺点:内部收养法忽略了“规模问题”4)盈利指数法盈利指数(PI )=初始投资所带来的的后续现金流量的现值/初始投资若PI>1, 则可行。
5)平均会计回收法AAR=平均净收益/平均投资的账目价值优点:会计信息通常是可得到的容易测算缺点:忽略了时间价值,依赖账面价值。
第6章投资决策 (老师没有讲)1、实际利率=1+名义利率/1+通货膨胀 -1第7章 风险分析、实物期权和资本预算1、敏感性分析1)计算NPV ,需知条件:期初成本、未来现金流、贴现率2)敏感分析法提供了在不同假设下的NPV ,从而有利于经理更好地察觉项目的风险。
3)敏感分析法只在同一时间修正一个变量,而在现实中,许多变量很有可能是联合变动的。
2、场景分析法1)在不同场景下项目的表现。
2)操作性不强3、盈亏平衡法1)计算出项目盈亏平衡时所应实现的销售量2)帮助经理了解项目在亏损前做出错误的预测的危害性3)适用于工业4、实物期权1)拓展期权2)放弃期权3)择机期权5、决策树是对项目中的隐含期权和实物期权进行评估的方法。
公司理财考试大纲

第1章初识理财一.复习考试内容1.企业组织形式有三种:个体企业、合伙企业和公司。
2.公司有两种基本类型:有限责任公司和股份有限公司。
3.有限责任公司与股份有限公司各自的特征。
4.有限公司的利弊。
5.公司理财就是要会聚财、用财、生财。
6.从公司理财的筹资理财阶段、内部控制理财阶段、投资理财阶段和国际理财阶段来认识公司理财。
7.公司理财目标:股东财富最大化。
8.对利润最大化和股东财富最大化这两种公司理财目标不同说法的比较。
9.公司理财的内容就是针对筹资、投资、分配等财务活动作出筹资决策、投资决策和股利分配决策二. 课程的重点内容、知识要点和能力要求股份有限公司(教材5页),公司理财目标(教材12页),公司理财的内容(教材18页)。
第2章财务报表分析一. 复习考试内容1.资产负债表的基本结构和原理。
2.会计要素:资产、负债、所有者权益、收入、费用和利润。
3.阅读和分析资产负债表。
4.利润表的结构。
5.阅读和分析利润表。
6.现金流量表的基本结构。
7.阅读和分析现金流量表。
二. 课程的重点内容、知识要点和能力要求会计要素种类(教材28页),利润表分析(教材51页),资产负债率(教材69页),流动比率(教材70页),速动比率(教材71页),现金比率(教材72页),应收账款周转率(教材73页),资产利润率(教材74页),销售利润率(教材75页),成本费用利润率(教材76页)。
第3章金融市场与货币时间价值一.复习考试内容1.金融资产及其三个属性:流动性、风险性和收益性。
2.金融机构的参加者:金融机构、非金融企业、政府和个人。
3.金融市场从不同角度考察,可以分为不同类型。
4.对公司理财来讲,金融市场具有重要的作用。
5.货币时间价值的含义。
6.终值、现值、年金的终值和现值的计算。
二. 课程的重点内容、知识要点和能力要求金融资产(教材80页),货币时间价值定义(教材87页),复利(教材89页),终值(教材90页),现值(教材93页),年金终值(教材95页),年金现值(教材97页),未知利率插值法(教材102页)。
公司理财复习提纲

1.企业组织形态中的单一业主制和合伙制有哪四个主要的缺点?这两种企业组织形态相对公司形态而言,有哪些优点?2.公司组织形态有哪些主要优点?举出至少两条公司组织的优点。
3.在公司组织形态中存在代理关系的主要原因是什么?在这种背景下,可能产生什么问题?4.股票价值最大化的目标会与诸如避免不道德或违法行为等其他目标发生冲突吗?特别是,你是否认为像客户和职工的安全、环境和良好的社会等主题符合这一框架,或者它们本来就被忽视了?试着用一些具体情况来说明你的答案。
5.流动性衡量的是什么?解释一家企业面临高流动性和低流动性时的取舍。
6.假设一个公司在特定时期来自资产的现金流量为负值,它是不是一定就是一种好的迹象或者坏的迹象?7.假设一个公司在多年经营中经营现金流量为负值,它是不是一定就是一种好的迹象或者坏的迹象?8.企鹅冰球(Penguin Pucks)公司的流动资产为5 000美元,固定资产净值为23 000美元,流动负债为4 300美元,长期债务为13 000美元。
该企业股东权益的价值是多少?净营运资本是多少?9.请解释一个企业的流动比率等于0.50意味着什么。
如果这家企业的流动比率为1.50,是不是更好一些?如果是15.0呢?解释你的答案。
10.请全面解释下列财务比率能够提供企业的哪些方面的信息:a. 速动比率;b. 现金比率;c. 总资产周转率;d. 权益乘数;11.计算流动性比率SDJ公司的净营运资本为1 320美元,流动负债为4 460美元,存货为1 875美元。
它的流动比率是多少?速动比率是多少?12.杜邦恒等式假如Roten Rooters公司的权益乘数为1.75,总资产周转率为1.30,利润率为8.5%,它的ROE是多少?13. 杜邦恒等式Forester防火公司的利润率为9.20%,总资产周转率为1.63,ROE为18.67%。
该企业的债务权益率是多少?14.你认为为什么大多数长期财务计划的制定都从销售收入预测开始?换句话说,为什么未来的销售收入是关键的输入因素?15.Thorpe Mfg.公司目前只利用了85%的固定资产生产能力。
公司理财复习提纲

10、获利指数(PI)(含义、算法)P138
11、计算一个项目的无杠杆净收益,要考虑该项目的资本性支出与折旧、税费、机会成本、项目的外部性(侵蚀费用);而不用考虑利息费用、沉没成本(比如固定间接费用、过去的研发支出)。P151
12、沉没成本P153
13、影响债券价格的因素P179
14、估值原则:价值=投资产品未来能获得的现金流的现值之和
②息票债券:随着时间的推移,距到期日越近,债券价格收敛于面值的这个结论也适用于息票债券,但是息票债券价格随时间变化的模式复杂一点,因为随着时间的推移,大部分现金流变得更接近了,但是一些现金流随着票息的支付而消失了。举个例子,假如你购买30年期,票息利率为10%(每年支付一次),到期收益率为5%的面值为100美元的债券,其初始价格为P=10*1/0.05(1-1/1.0530)+100/1.0530=176.86美元;而其1年后在第一次付息前一刻,有一笔10美元的现金流,此时债券还有29年到期,所以此时债券的价格为P(首次付息前一刻)=10+10*1/0.05(1-1/1.0529)+100/1.0529=185.71美元,债券价格上升了8.85美元;第一次付息后的那一刻的价格为P(首次付息后的即刻)=10*1/0.05(1-1/1.0529)+100/1.0529=175.71美元,债券价格下降了10美元,这个也就是票息。在这个过程中,债券价格下降的幅度大于其上升的幅度,也就是此时的债券价格低于初始价格,这是因为剩余的票息支付变少了,投资者愿意为债券支付的溢价也下降了。
公司理财期末考试重点

经营性现金流量( OCF) =EBIT+折旧—当期 税
【EBIT=收入—成本—折旧;所得税=EBT*税率=(EBIT-利息费用)*税率】
( 2)净营运资本变动 =(期末流动资产—期末流动负债)—(期初流动资产—期初流动负债)
(3)净资本性支 出 =期末净固定资产—期初净固定资产+折旧 or=期末总固定资产—期初总固定资产 or=固定资产购买—固定资产出售
(12)所得税(34%)
-10.20 -14.69 -29.00 -23.00 -10.39
(13)净利润
19.80 28.51 56.30 44.64 20.16
(14)OCF
39.80 60.51 75.50 56.14 31.66
项目总现金流量[(1)+(4)+(6)+(14)] -260.00
资
产
需
求
与
留
存 EFN<0
收 益
(冗余)
EFN>0(短缺)
预计留存 收益 增加额
预计销售增长率
3.5 融资政策与增长 1 内部增长率,在没有任何外部融资情况下公司可能实现的最大增长率
内部增长率=
b 为留存比率
2 可持续增长率,公司在没有外部股权融资且保持负债权益比不变的情况下可能实 现的最高增长率
可持续增长率=
净 现 值 0 10 20 30 40
50 折现率(%)
试错法求内部收益率 IRR 互 斥 项目 : 1.比较净现值 ;2. 计算增 量现金 流量; 3.比 较增量 现金流 量与折 现率 5.5 盈利指数法
盈 利 指 数( PI) =初始投资所带来初的始后投续资现金流量的现值
对于独立项目,若 PI>1,可以接受;若 PI<1,必须放弃。
公司理财复习提纲

考虑了时间价值、风险因 素,容易量化,能够在一定 程度上克服企业的短期行 为。
2.长期资金和短期资金的含义
长期资金:是指企业可以长期使用的资金,包括权益资金和长期借款。 短期资金:一般是指一年内要归还的短期借款。
3.货币时间价值的含义
货币时间价值又称无风险报酬,是货币在周转使用中,由于时间因素而形成的差额价值(增值) 。其价值 大小取决于社会平均利润率,利率是货币时间价值的表现形式。
4.单利和复利方式下现值和终值的计算和应用
(1)单利方式下的终值、现值的计算: 终值:FV=PV×(1+ ni) 现值:PV=FV/(1+ ni) (2)复利方式下的终值、现值计算: 终值:FV=PV×(1+i)n 现值:PV=FV/(1+i)n
5.普通年金、预付年金、永续年金的含义、计算、应用
年金种类 含义 计算
12.市场风险的衡量方法(β系数)及其大小的含义,整个股票市场β系数为 1。
市场风险衡量(β系数)反应个别证券的报酬率相对于平均风险证券报酬率变化程度的指标。 整个股票市场所有股票平均市场风险定义为 1,即:整个股票市场β系数为 1。 β系数根据个别股票的收益率增量和市场平均的收益率增量关系计算。 β=ΔRi/ΔRm [ΔRi:某项证券报酬率的增量;ΔRm:市场所有证券平均报酬率的增量]
n
6. 插值法计算年金贴现率
例:现向银行存入 500 万元,问年利率 i 为多少时,才能保证企业以后 10 年中每年年末从银行取出 100 万? 100 万×年金现值系数(n=10,i=?)=500 万 年金现值系数(n=10,i=?)=5
7.名义利率和实际利率(真实利率)的含义,实际利率的计算
实际利率:是指在物价不变从而货币购买力不变的情况下得利率,或是指在物价有变化时,扣除通货膨胀 补偿以后的利息率。 名义利率:包含对通货膨胀补偿的利率。一般名义利率>实际利率。 m 实际利率:i=(1+名义利率/m) - 1
公司理财复习大纲

《公司理财》复习重点201 3【题型介绍】·填空题(10题10分,非死题)·单选题(10题20分)·多选题(5题10分)·简答题(2题25分,课件第一、四、五章)·计算题(2题35分,课件第五、六章)·课后习题有原题【简答题汇总】第一章总论:财务管理的内容;财务管理的目标复习思考题:1、财务管理包括哪些主要内容?2、企业的主要财务关系有哪些?企业应该如何处理与各方的财务关系?3、阐述财务管理目标的观点有哪些?各有何优点和不足。
4、财务管理的基本环节有哪些?5、什么是财务管理原则?具体有哪些?第一节财务管理的概述财务管理是企业组织资金筹集、投资、使用和分配等财务活动,处理相关财务关系的一项综合性管理工作一、财务管理的内容(一)筹资活动:指企业为了满足投资和用资的需要,筹措和集中所需资金的过程。
·分类:1、按产权关系:权益资金;负债资金。
2、按使用期限:长期资金;短期资金。
(二)投资活动:指企业资金的运用,是为了获得收益或避免风险而进行的资金投放活动。
·分类1、按其方式:直接投资(投资生产经营性资产);间接投资(证券投资)。
2、按其影响期限长短:长期投资;短期投资。
3、按其活动范围:对内投资;对外投资。
(三)资金运营活动:主要是对企业流动资产的管理,包括对现金、应收账款、交易性金融资产和存货的管理。
企业必须对其流动资产周转速度和使用效率进行管理。
(四)收益分配活动:分配是指对投资收入和利润进行分割和分派的过程。
二、企业财务关系财务关系:指企业组织财务活动所发生的企业与各方面的经济利益关系1、与投资者和受资者之间(投资-受资)2、与债权人、债务人之间(债权-债务)3、与政府之间(纳税-征税)4、内部各单位之间(往来结算)5、与职工之间(费用-薪酬)三、财务管理的特征【书本无】财务管理是一种综合性的价值管理财务管理与企业各方面具有广泛联系财务管理能迅速反映生产经营状况的财务信息四、财务管理的环节财务预测——财务决策——财务预算——财务控制——财务分析——业绩评价第二节财务管理目标财务管理的目标是企业财务活动所要达到的根本目的,它决定企业财务管理的基本方向。
公司理财复习提纲

1、债券筹资优缺点:优点:资本成本较股票的成本低;可以发挥财务杠杆的正效应;可以保障原有股东的控制权;融资较长期借款有一定的灵活性;便于调整资本结构。
缺点:增加财务风险;可能产生负杠杆作用;限制条件多;筹资规模受制约2、商业信用融资的优缺点,特点:优点:自然形成;限制条件少;筹资成本低;筹资便利。
缺点:融资期限短;受企业规模的限制;有时表现出高资本成本3、股票股利的意义对于股东:获得股价相对上升的利益;获得纳税上的好处(现金股利需纳税10%)。
对于公司:留存了大量现金;股票流通数量增加,每股市价的下降,活跃交易;预示公司将高速发展4、股票回购的意义对股东的意义:随着股票数量减少,股价上升。
对公司的意义:减少股东数量;提高每股盈余;增强内部人的控制地位等。
5、信用标准的定性分析(5C评估系统)5C评估法或称5C评估系统。
5C是指信用分析人员在考虑是否给予信用时经常考虑的5个方面:品质、能力、资本、抵押、条件6、存货控制的ABC法存货控制的ABC法是指根据存货的重要程度将其分为三类:A类、B类和C类。
最重要的存货划归A类,而最不重要的存货则划归C类。
例如,某一类存货只占存货总量的10%,却占存货总价值的80%,那么这类存货就属于A类;B类存货在数量上占存货总量的30%,但价值只占15%;C类存货在数量上占60%,而价值只占5%。
A类存货最重要,因此必须对其进行重点规划和控制;B类存货得到次重点管理,C类存货只进行一般管理。
7、公司股利分配顺序按《公司法》规定,公司利润分配应按下列顺序进行:(1)弥补以前年度亏损(2)提取法定盈余公积(3)提取公益金(4)支付优先股股利(5)提取任意盈余公积(6)支付普通股股利8、应收账款保理与应收账款抵押的联系和区别1.应收账款抵押借款人将应收账款作为取得贷款的抵押品,贷款人拥有应收账款的受偿权和对借款人的追索权。
追索权是在商品买方无力支付货款时由贷款人向借款人要求还款的权力。
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The Review Sheets of Corporate FinanceKey Concepts and Questions1. What Is Corporate Finance?Corporate finance addresses several important questions:1) What long-term investments should the firm take on? (Capital budgeting)2) Where will we get the long-term financing to pay for the investment? (Capital structure)3)How will we manage the everyday financial activities of the firm? (Working capital)2.The financial manager is concerned with three primary categories of financial decisions.1) Capital budgeting –process of planning and managing a firm’s investments in fixed assets. The key concerns are the size, timing and riskiness of future cash flows.2) Capital structure –mix of debt (borrowing) and equity (ownership interest) used by a firm. What are the least expensive sources of funds? Is there an optimal mix of debt and equity? When and where should the firm raise funds?3) Working capital management – managing short-term assets and liabilities. How much inventory should the firm carry? What credit policy is best? Where will we get our short-term loans?3.The Balance Sheetassets = liabilities + owners’ equity4. Net Working CapitalThe difference between a firm’s current assets and its current liabilities.Assets are listed on a balance sheet in order of how long it takes to convert them to cash. Liability order reflects time to maturity.5.Noncash ItemsThe largest noncash deduction for most firms is depreciation. It reduces a firm’s taxes and its net income. Noncash deductions are part of the reason that net income is not equivalent to cash flow.6.Cash FlowFree Cash Flow (FCF)FCF= Operating cash flow – net capital spending – changes in net working capitalOperating cash flow (OCF) = EBIT + depreciation – taxesNet capital spending (NCS) = ending fixed assets – beginning fixed assets + depreciation Changes in NWC = ending NWC – beginning NWCWorking capital = current assets-current liabilities7. Sources and Uses of CashActivities that bring cash in are sources. Firms raise cash by selling assets, borrowing money, or selling securities.Activities that involve cash outflows are uses. Firms use cash to buy assets, pay off debt, repurchase stock, or pay dividends.Mechanical Rules for determining Sources and Uses:Sources:Decrease in asset accountIncrease in liabilities or equity accountUses:Increase in asset accountDecrease in liabilities or equity account8. The Statement of Cash FlowsThe idea is to group cash flows into one of three categories: operating activities, investment activities, and financing activities.A general Statement of Cash FlowsOperating Activities+ Net Income+ Depreciation+ Decrease in current asset accounts (except cash)+ Increase in current liability accounts (except notes payable)- Increase in current asset accounts (except cash)- Decrease in current liability accounts (except notes payable)Investment Activities+ Ending net fixed assets- Beginning net fixed assets+ DepreciationFinancing Activities± Change in notes payable± Change in long-term debt± Change in common stock- DividendsPutting it all together:± Net cash flow from operating activities± Fixed asset acquisition± Net cash flow from financing activities= Net increase (decrease) in cash over the period9. Categories of Financial Ratios:A. Short-term Solvency, or Liquidity, MeasuresCurrent Ratio = current assets / current liabilitiesQuick Ratio = (current assets – inventory) / current liabilitiesCash Ratio = cash / current liabilitiesNWC to TA = (current assets – current liabilities) / total assetsInterval Measure = current assets / average daily operating costsB. Long-Term Solvency MeasuresTotal debt ratio = (total assets – total equity) / total assetsvariations:debt/equity ratio = (total assets – total equity) / total equityequity multiplier = 1 + debt/equity ratioC.Asset Management, or Turnover, MeasuresInventory turnover = cost of goods sold / inventoryDays’ sales in inventory = 365 days / inventory turnoverReceivables turnover = sales / accounts receivableDays’ sales in receivables = 365 days / receivables turnoverThis ratio may also be called “average collection period” or “days’ sales outstanding.”D. Profitability MeasuresThese measures are based on book values, so they are not comparable with returns that you see on publicly traded assets.Profit margin = net income / salesReturn on assets = net income / total assetsReturn on equity = net income / total equityE. Market Value MeasuresEarnings per share = net income / shares outstandingPrice-earnings ratio = price per share / earnings per sharePrice-sales ratio = price per share / sales per shareMarket-to-book ratio = market value per share / book value per shareTobin’s Q = market value of firm’s assets / replacement cost of firm’s assetsEnterprise Value = total market value of the stock + book value of all liabilities – cashEBITDA ratio = Enterprise Value / EDITDATotal asset turnover = sales / total assetsLong-term debt ratio = long-term debt / (long-term debt + total equity)10. Future Value and CompoundingInvesting for a single periodIf you invest $X today at an interest rate of r, you will have $X + $X(r) = $X(1 + r) in one period.Example: $100 at 10% interest gives $100(1.1) = $110Investing for more than one periodReinvesting the interest, we earn interest on interest, i.e., compoundingFV = $X(1 + r)(1 + r) = $X(1 + r)2In general, for t periods, FV = $X(1 + r)t, where (1 + r)t is the future value interest factor, FVIF(r,t)11.Present Value and DiscountingThe Single-Period CaseGiven r, what amount today (Present Value or PV) will produce a given future amount? Remember that FV = $X(1 + r). Rearrange and solve for $X, which is the present value. Therefore,PV = FV / (1 + r).Example: $110 in 1 period with an interest rate of 10% has a PV = 110 / (1.1) = $100 Discounting – the process of finding the present value.Present Values for Multiple PeriodsPV of future amount in t periods at r is:PV = FV [1 / (1 + r)t], where [1 / (1 + r)t] is the discount factor, or the present value interest factor, PVIF(r,t)Example: If you have $259.37 in 10 periods and the interest rate was 10%, how much did you deposit initially?PV = 259.37 [1/(1.1)10] = 259.37(.3855) = $100Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) – the process of valuation by finding the present value12.Present Value for Annuity Cash FlowsOrdinary Annuity – multiple, identical cash flows occurring at the end of each period for a fixed number of periods.The present value of an annuity of $C per period for t periods at r percent interest:PV = C[1 – 1/(1 + r)t] / rExample: If you are willing to make 36 monthly payments of $100 at 1.5% per month, what size loan can you obtain?PV = 100[1 – 1/(1.015)36] / .015 = 100(27.6607) = 2766.0713.Future Value for AnnuitiesFV = C[(1 + r)t– 1] / rExample: If you make 20 payments of $1000 at the end of each period at 10% per period, how much will be in your account after the last payment?FV = 1,000[(1.1)20– 1] / .1 = 1,000(57.275) = $57,27514.PerpetuitiesPerpetuity – series of level cash flows foreverPV = C / rPreferred stock is a good example of a perpetuity. Present Valuea.The Basic IdeaNet present value –the difference between the market value of an investment and its cost. Estimating cost is usually straightforward; however, finding the market value of assets can be tricky.b. Estimating Net Present ValueDiscounted cash flow (DCF) valuation – finding the market value of assets or their benefits by taking the present value of future cash flows, i.e., by estimating what the future cash flows would trade for in today’s dollars.16.The Internal Rate of ReturnInternal rate of return (IRR) – the rate that makes the present value of the future cash flows equal to the initial cost or investment. In other words, the discount rate that gives a project a $0 NPV.IRR decision rule – the investment is acceptable if its IRR exceeds the required return.Problems with the IRR – If cash flows change sign more than once, then you will have multiple internal rates of return. This is problematic for the IRR rule; however, the NPV rule still works fine.17.Relevant Cash FlowsRelevant cash flows –cash flows that occur (or don’t occur) because a project is undertaken. Cash flows that will occur whether or not we accept a project aren’t relevant.Incremental cash flows –any a nd all changes in the firm’s future cash flows that are a direct consequence of taking the project18.Incremental Cash Flowsa.Sunk cost –a cash flow already paid or accrued. These costs should not be included in the incremental cash flows of a project. From a financial standpoint, it does not matter what investment has already been made. We need to make our decision based on future cash flows, even if it means abandoning a project that has already had a substantial investment. Examples: the compensation for the president’s son, no matter whether he is hired for the new projectb. Opportunity CostsOpportunity costs –any cash flows lost or forgone by taking one course of action rather than another. Applies to any asset or resource that has value if sold, or leased, rather than used.c.Side EffectsWith multi-line firms, projects often affect one another – sometimes helping, sometimes hurting. The point is to be aware of such effects in calculating incremental cash flows.Erosion (or Cannibalization) –new project revenues gained at the expense of existing products/services.Examples: Coca-cola new products: coca-cola zero vs. Coca-cola diet Working Capitalworking capital=current assets- current liabilitiesNew projects often require incremental investments in cash, inventories, and receivables that need to be included in cash flows if they are not offset by changes in payables. Later, as projects end, this investment is often recovered.20. Tax considerationUse after-tax cash flows, not pretax (the tax bill is a cash outlay, even though it is based on accounting numbers).21.Project Cash FlowsFrom the pro forma statements compute:Operating cash flow = EBIT + depreciation – taxes = NI + depreciation (in the absence of interest expense)Cash flow from assets = operating cash flow – net capital spending – changes in NWCBased on the form of the equation, you subtract increases in NWC and add decreases in NWC. Or, Free Cash Flow =EBIT*(1-t) + Non-Cash Expenses- Capital Expenditures - Incremental Working Capital“Free” refers to those cash flows that are available to stakeholders (e.g., equity and debt holders) after consideration for taxes, capital expenditures and working capital needs.22.Returnsa.Dollar ReturnsIncome component – direct cash payments such as dividends or interestPrice change – loosely, capital gain or lossTotal dollar return = income component + price changeThe return is unaffected by the decision to sell or hold securities.b.Percentage ReturnsPercentage return = dollar return / initial investment= dividend yield + capital gains yieldDividend yield = D t+1 / P tCapital gains yield = (P t+1– P t) / P t23.Total riskTotal risk = nondiversifiable risk + diversifiable risk = systematic risk + unsystematic risk24. Systematic risk and unsystematic riskSystematic risk is a surprise that affects a large number of assets, although at varying degrees. It is sometimes called market risk.Unsystematic risk is a surprise that affects a small number of assets (or one). It is sometimes called unique or asset-specific risk.Example: Changes in GDP, interest rates, and inflation are examples of systematic risk. Strikes,accidents, and takeovers are examples of unsystematic risk.25.Diversification and Unsystematic RiskWhen securities are combined into portfolios, their unique or unsystematic risks tend to cancel out, leaving only the variability that affects all securities to some degree. Thus, diversifiable risk is synonymous with unsystematic risk. Large portfolios have little or no unsystematic risk.26.Diversification and Systematic RiskSystematic risk cannot be eliminated by diversification since it represents the variability due to influences that affect all securities to some degree. Therefore, systematic risk and nondiversifiable risk are the same.27.Beta coefficientBeta coefficient – measures how much systematic risk an asset has relative to an asset of average risk.28.The Security Market LineThe line that gives the expected return/systematic risk combinations of assets in a well functioning, active financial market is called the security market line.29.Market PortfoliosConsider a portfolio of all the assets in the market and call it the market portfolio. This portfolio, by definition, has “average” systematic risk with a beta of 1. Since all assets must lie on the SML when appropriately priced, the market portfolio must also lie on the SML. Let the expected return on the market portfolio = E(R M). Then, the slope of the SML = reward-to-risk ratio = [E(R M) – R f] / βM = [E(R M) – R f] / 1 = E(R M) – R f30.CAPM: Capital Asset Pricing ModelE(R j) = R f + slope(βj)E(R j) = R f + (E(R M) – R f)(βj)The CAPM states that the expected return for an asset depends on:-The time value of money, as measured by R f-The reward per unit risk, as measured by E(R M) - R f-The asset’s systematic risk, as measured by β31. Cost of CapitalCost of capital –the minimum expected return an investment must offer to be attractive. Sometimes referred to as the required return.32.The Cost of EquityA. The Dividend Growth Model ApproachAccording to the dividend growth model,P0 = D1 / (R E– g)Rearranging and solving for the cost of equity gives:R E = (D1 / P0) + gwhich is equal to the dividend yield plus the growth rate (capital gains yield).B. The SML ApproachCAPM, R E = R f + E(E(R M) – R f)33.The Cost of DebtCost of debt (R D) –the interest rate on new debt can easily be estimated using the yield to maturity on outstanding debt or by knowing the bond rating and looking up rates on new issues with the same rating.The Cost of Preferred Stock34.Preferred stock is generally considered to be a perpetuity, so you rearrange the perpetuity equation to get the cost of preferred, R PR P = D / P035.Taxes and the Weighted Average Cost of Capital(WACC)After-tax cash flows require an after-tax discount rate. Let T C denote the firm’s marginal tax rate. Then, the weighted average cost of capital is:WACC = (E/V)R E + (D/V)R D(1-T C)36.The SML and the WACCThe W ACC is the appropriate discount rate only if the proposed investment is of similar risk as the firm’s existing assets.37.Capital Structure and the Cost of CapitalThe “optimal” or “target” capital structure is that debt/equity mix that simultaneously (a) maximizes the value of the firm, (b) minimizes the weighted average cost of capital, and (c) maximizes the market value of the common stock.Maximizing the value of the firm is the goal of managing capital structure.38.Capital Structure and the Cost of Equity CapitalM&M Proposition I: The Pie ModelM&M Proposition I –without corporate taxes and bankruptcy costs, the firm cannot affect its value by altering its capital structure.The Cost of Equity and Financial Leverage: M&M Proposition IIM&M Proposition II –a firm’s cost of equity capital is a positive linear function of its capital structure (still assuming no taxes):WACC = R A = (E/V)R E + (D/V)R D;R E = R A + (R A– R D)(D/E)As more debt is used, the return on equity increases, but the change in the proportion of debt versus equity just offsets that increase and the W ACC does not change.According to Proposition II,R E = R A + (R A– R D)(D/E). An alternative explanation is as follows: In the absence of debt, the required return on equity equals the return on the firm’s assets, R A. As we add debt, we increase the variability of cash flows available to stockholders, thereby increasing stockholder risk.39.Business and Financial RiskYou may wish to skip over the distinction between the asset beta and the equity beta. The key point is that Proposition II shows that return on equity depends on both business risk and financial risk.Business risk –the risk inherent in a firm’s operations; it depends on the systematic risk of the firm’s assets and it determines the first component of the required return on equity, R A. Financial risk – the extra risk to stockholders that results from debt financing; it determines the second component of the required return on equity, (R A– R D)(D/E).40.Optimal Capital Structurea.The Static Theory of Capital Structure-Firms borrow because tax shields are valuable-Borrowing is constrained by the costs of financial distress-The optimal capital structure balances the incremental benefits and costs of borrowingb.Optimal Capital Structure and the Cost of CapitalThe optimal capital structure is the debt-equity mix that minimizes the WACC.c.Optimal Capital Structure: A RecapCase I – No taxes or bankruptcy costs; firm value is unaffected by the choice of capital structure Case II – Corporate taxes, no bankruptcy costs; firm value is maximized when the firm uses as much debt as possible due to the interest tax shieldCase III – Corporate taxes and bankruptcy costs; firm value is maximized where the additional benefit from the interest tax shield is just offset by the increase in expected bankruptcy costs –there is an optimal capital structure41.The Cash BudgetCash budget – a schedule of projected cash receipts and disbursementsa. cash budget requires sales forecasts for a series of periods. The other cash flows in the cash budget are generally based on the sales estimates. We also need to know the average collection period on receivables to determine when the cash inflow from sales actually occurs.b.Cash OutflowsCommon cash outflows:-Accounts payable – what is the accounts payables period?-Wages, taxes and other expenses – usually expressed as a percent of sales (implies that they are variable costs)-Fixed expenses, when applicable-Capital expenditures – determined by the capital budget-Long-term financing expenses – interest expense, dividends, sinking fund payments, etc.-Short-term borrowing – determined based on the other informationThe Cash BalanceNet cash inflow is the difference between cash collections and cash disbursements42.Line of credit – formal or informal prearranged short-term loans43.Pro Forma Operating StatementThis statement is built around an estimate of the expected sales for the forecast period.44.Pro Forma Balance SheetThe balance sheet is partially based on the information represented in the operating statement, as well as the schedule and budgets, if any, supporting the latter.45.Financial Leverage and riskExpected return=risk free rate+risk premiumExpected return=risk-free rate+ business risk premium + financial risk premiumUnder the assumption of CAPM there is a simple relationship between levered and unlevered betas.β(L)=β(U)[1+D/E], or β(U)=β(L)/(1+D/E)A stock’s levered beta is equal to its levered beta multiplied by one plus the firm’s ratio of debt to equity, D/E therefore, a stock’s beta ( and its expected return) increases as its debt ratio increases. Expected return = RF + β(U)[Rm-Rf]+β(L)(D/E)(Rm-Rf)46. The Du Pont IdentityA Closer Look at ROEThe Du Pont Identity provides analysts with a way to break down (i.e., decompose) ROE and investigate what areas of the firm need improvement.ROE = (NI / total equity)multiply by one (assets / assets) and rearrangeROE = (NI / assets) (assets / total equity) = ROA*EMmultiply by one (sales / sales) and rearrangeROE = (NI / sales) (sales / assets) (assets / total equity)ROE = PM*TAT*EMThese three ratios indicate that a firm’s return on equity depends on its operating efficiency (profit margin), asset use efficiency (total asset turnover) and financial leverage (equity multiplier).47.EFN and GrowthFinancial Policy and GrowthThe internal growth rate (IGR) is the growth rate the firm can maintain with internal financing only.IGR = (ROA*b) / [1 – ROA*b]The sustainable growth rate (SGR) is the maximum growth rate a firm can achieve without external equity financing, while maintaining a constant debt-to-equity ratio.SGR = (ROE*b) / [1 – ROE*b]48.Calculating and Comparing Effective Annual Rates (EAR)EAR = [1 + (quoted rate)/m]m– 1, where m is the number of periods per yearExample: 18% compounded monthly is [1 + (.18/12)]12– 1 = 19.56%49. Bonds and Bond ValuationA. Bond Features and PricesBonds – long-term IOUs, usually interest-only loans (interest is paid by the borrower every period with the principal repaid at the end of the loan).Coupons – the regular interest payments (if fixed amount – level coupon).Face or par value – principal, amount repaid at the end of the loanCoupon rate – coupon quoted as a percent of face valueMaturity – time until face value is paid, usually given in yearsB. Bond V alues and YieldsThe cash flows from a bond are the coupons and the face value. The value of a bond (market price) is the present value of the expected cash flows discounted at the market rate of interest.Yield to maturity (YTM) – the required market rate or return, or rate that makes the discounted cash flows from a bond equal to the bond’s market price.Bond value = present value of coupons + present value of parBond value = C[1 – 1/(1+r)t] / r + FV / (1+r)tSemiannual coupons – coupons are paid twice a year. Everything is quoted on an annual basis so you divide the annual coupon and the yield by two and multiply the number of years by 2.Example: A $1,000 bond with an 8% coupon rate, with coupons paid semiannually, is maturing in 10 years. If the quoted YTM is 10%, what is the bond price?Bond value = 40[1 – 1/(1.05)20] / .05 + 1,000 / (1.05)20Bond value = 498.49 + 376.89 = $875.38Inflation and Interest RatesA. Real versus Nominal RatesNominal rates – rates that have not been adjusted for inflationReal rates – rates that have been adjusted for inflationB. The Fisher EffectThe Fisher Effect is a theoretical relationship between nominal returns, real returns, and the expected inflation rate. Let R be the nominal rate, r the real rate, and h the expected inflation rate; then,(1 + R) = (1 + r)(1 + h)A reasonable approximation, when expected inflation is relatively low, is R = r + h.A definition whereby the real rate can be found by deflating the nominal rate by the inflation rate: r = [(1 + R) / (1 + h)] – 1.50. Common Stock ValuationA. Cash FlowsStock valuation is more difficult than bond valuation because the cash flows are uncertain, the life is infinite, and the required rate of return is unobservable.The cash flows to stockholders consist of dividends plus a future sale price. You can illustrate that the current stock price is ultimately the present value of all expected future dividends:P0 = D1/(1+R) + D2/(1+R)2 + D3/(1+R)3+ …B. Some Special Cases1)Zero-growth – implies that D0 = D1 = D2… = DSince the cash flow is always the same, the PV is that for a perpetuity:P0 = D / RExample: Suppose a stock is expected to pay a $2 dividend each period, forever, and the required return is 10%. What is the stock worth?P0 = 2 / .1 = $202)Constant growth – Dividends are expected to grow at a constant percentage rate each period. D1 = D0(1+g); D2 = D1(1+g); in general D t = D0(1+g)t Note that this is really just a future value.P0 = D1 / (R – g)=D0(1+g)/(1+g)C. Components of the Required ReturnRearrange P0 = D1 / (R – g) to find R:R = (D1 / P0 ) + gDividend yield = D1 / P0Capital gains yield = g, andR = dividend yield + capital gains yieldD. Stock Valuation Using MultiplesFor stocks that do not currently pay dividends, a common valuation approach is to make use of the PE ratio. For instance, using a benchmark PE ratio for a firm and their current earnings per share, we can calculate a projected price for the firm:Price at time t = P t =Benchmark PE ratio x EPS t51. Alternative Definitions of Operating Cash FlowSuppose that sales = 1,000; operating costs = 600; depreciation = 200 and the tax rate = 34% With our standard definition of OCF = EBIT – taxes + depreciation, we compute the following: EBIT = 1,000 – 600 – 200 = 200Taxes = 200(.34) = 68OCF = 200 – 68 + 200 = 332A. The Bottom-Up ApproachOCF = NI + depreciationNI = 200 – 68 = 132OCF = 132 + 200 = 332It is extremely important to remember that this definition will only work when there is no interest expense. For that reason, it is often ideal for capital budgeting problems, but not for finding historical OCF.B. The Top-Down ApproachOCF = Sales – Costs – TaxesOCF = 1,000 – 600 – 68 = 332C. The Tax Shield ApproachOCF = (Sales – Costs)*(1 – T) + Depreciation * TOCF = (1,000 – 600)(1 - .34) + 200(.34)OCF = 264 + 68 = 332Under this approach we consider the cash flow without any noncash deductions and then add back the depreciation tax shield. If we had other noncash deductions, we would need to compute the tax shield associated with each one and add those back as well.D. ConclusionThe best choice of operating cash flow calculation method is determined by the convenience for the problem at hand.52.Break-Even AnalysisBreak-even analysis is a widely used technique for analyzing sales volume and profitability. More to the point, it determines the sales volume necessary to cover costs and implicitly asks, “Are things likely to go that well?”A. Fixed and Variable CostsVariable costs (VC) are the costs that change as the volume of sales changes (direct labor and materials, for example)variable costs = quantity*cost per unitVC = Q*vB. Accounting Break-EvenThe sales volume at which the project net income = $0.P = price per unitv = variable cost per unitQ = # of units or quantityFC = fixed costsD = depreciationT = tax rateNet income = sales – costs – taxesNI = [Q*P – FC – Q*v – D](1 – T) = 0Q*P – Q*v = FC + DQ(P – v) = FC + DQ = (FC + D) / (P – v)*:Again, ignore taxes for simplification, OCF = net income + depreciation53.Operating LeverageA. The Basic IdeaOperating leverage is the degree to which a project or firm uses fixed costs in production. Plant and equipment and non-cancelable rentals are typical fixed cost items.B. Implications of Operating LeverageSince fixed costs do not change with sales, they make good situations better and bad situations worse, i.e., they “lever” results.C. Measuring Operating LeverageDegree of Operating Leverage (DOL) is the percentage change in OCF relative to a percentage change in quantity.Percentage change in OCF = DOL*(percentage change in Q)DOL = 1 + FC / OCFDOL depends on your starting point – what quantity you use to determine the OCF.54.Risk PremiumsUsing the T-bill rate as the risk-free return and aggregate common stocks as an average risk, define excess return as the difference between an average-risk return and the return on T-bills.Risk premium –reward for bearing risk, the difference between a risky investment return and the risk-free rate.55. The Variability of Returns: The Second LessonA. Frequency Distributions and VariabilityVariance and standard deviation are the most commonly used measures of volatility.B. The Historical Variance and Standard DeviationVariance – the average squared deviation between actual returns and their meanStandard Deviation – square root of variance56. The Forms of Market EfficiencyA. Strong form efficiency – All information, both public and private, is already incorporated in the price. Empirical evidence indicates that this form of efficiency does NOT hold.。