深圳地铁运营安全评价体系研究

摘要深圳地铁是我国起步较晚的地铁建设项目之一。

在国内早期地铁建设经验的总结参考之下，其在设备设施建设、人才治理建设等方面都处于我国乃至世界先进水平。

自通车至今为止，无重大运营事故发生。

为了确保今后安全工作的可持续进展，对深圳地铁安全运营评价体系研究的工作不容忽视。

本文在参考我国地铁安全评价工作进展现状的基础上，结合深圳地铁的具体情况，从硬件、软件以及结果三大方面着手确立了设施、治理、故障三大指标，通过对地铁各子系统的组成和职能分析确立了分不对应三大指标的具体衡量指标，并将具体指标细化，从而搭建起四层级结构的安全评价指标体系。

通过构造，以及计算推断矩阵，量化指标，得到安全指标体系中不同层级指标的权重排序。

依照量化结果，得到指标体系的一级指标权重排序为治理、故障、设施，其中治理、故障权重值明显高于设施的权重值；在二级指标中对应于一级指标进行排序，处于第一位的分不为车站客运设施、人员安全素养、突发事故。

最终由结果分析确定了地铁安全工作的重点——应急响应系统的完善，并给出了从人子系统、软件子系统、硬件子系统三个方面完善应急响应系统的建议。

关键词：地铁安全评价；层次分析法；指标体系；应急响应AbstractShenzhen subway is one of the latest subway construction projects in our country. With the summary and the reference of the construction experience about the domestic subway at earlier stage, the constructions about the equipment, facility, as well as the personnel management have reached the advanced level in our country and even around the world. From coming into use, there has not happened any significant operation accident. In order to ensure the sustainable development of safety task in future, the research to the evaluation system of Shenzhen subway safety operation is inspected.Based on the present situation of safety evaluation about domestic subway and combined with the real situation of Shenzhen subway, this paper sets three main indexes, namely facility,management and fault, in the view of hardware, software and result. Then the 2nd and 3rd indexes according to the composition and responsibility analysis of sub systems are established, and those indexes are refined either so as to build the quaternary structure of safety evaluation index system. Through building and calculating judgment matrix, every index has been quantified so as to obtain the weight sequence of those indexes in different hierarchy.According to the quantitative results, the weight sequences of the first indexes are management, fault and facility, in which the weight value of management and fault are much higher than that of facility. And the weight sequences of the second indexes take their positions as customer services facility in station, personnel safety quality and emergent accidents. From the analysis on the weight sequence, the perfection to emergency response system is determined as the working emphasis in guaranteeing subway safety. And advices in perfecting emergency response system are proposed as the conclusion of this paper, which could be done from person, software and hardware subsystems.KeyWords：Safety Evaluation of Subway；AHP；Index System；Emergency Response目录1绪论.................................................... I X1.1设计背景及意义.................................... I X1.2设计内容.......................................... X I2国内外地铁进展现状..................................... X II2.1地铁的进展简史.................................. X II2.2国际要紧都市地铁的进展........................... X IV2.2.1伦敦地铁................................... X IV2.2.2巴黎地铁................................... X IV2.2.3莫斯科地铁.................................. X V2.2.4香港地铁................................... X VI2.3地铁在我国的进展................................ X VI2.4地铁进展面临的挑战 (XVII)3深圳地铁安全运营现状及其阻碍因素分析总结.............. X X3.1深圳地铁安全运营现状............................ X XI3.1.1深圳地铁概况.............................. X XI3.1.2深圳地铁安全状况 (XXIII)3.2当前我国地铁安全存在的要紧问题 (XXVIII)3.2.1地铁安全治理的法规和技术规范滞后 (XXVIII)3.2.2安全隐患突出，物防和技防手段落后 (XXIX)3.2.3缺乏统一的应急处置和协调机制............. X XX3.2.4地铁安全治理水平亟待提高 (XXXI)3.2.5地铁安全保卫力量薄弱 (XXXI)3.3阻碍深圳地铁运营安全因素之浅析 (XXXII)4.深圳地铁安全评价指标体系的搭建 (XXXIV)4.1层次分析法 (XXXV)4.1.1方法原理 (XXXV)4.1.2建模过程 (XXXV)4.2深圳地铁的系统组成分析 (XXXVIII)4.2.1车站客运系统 (XXXVIII)4.2.2安全操纵系统 (XXXIX)4.2.3运营设备系统................................ X L4.2.4安全治理系统............................... X LI4.2.5外部环境系统............................. XLIII4.3指标体系的构建.................................. XLIV4.3.1一级指标.................................. XLIV4.3.2二级指标................................... X LV4.3.3三级指标.................................. XLVI4.3.4深圳地铁运营安全评价指标体系............. XLVII4.4推断矩阵的构造.................................. XLIX4.5层次单排序及一致性检验........................... L IV4.6计算结果分析.................................... LVII 5深圳地铁应急响应系统的完善........................... LVIII5.1应急响应系统结构功能分析....................... LVIII5.1.1应急响应系统结构分析..................... LVIII5.1.2应急响应系统功能分析........................ L X5.1.3应急响应系统结构和功能的相互联系........... L XI5.2深圳地铁应急响应系统的建设...................... LXII5.2.1人子系统的建设............................ LXII5.2.2 软件子系统的建设 ......................... LXIV5.2.3硬件子系统的建设.......................... L XV5.3环境监控系统BAS在深圳地铁中的应用............... L XV5.3.1 BAS系统要紧功能........................... L XV5.3.2 BAS 系统硬件组成 ......................... LXVI5.3.3系统监控模式............................ LXVIII5.3.4 BAS 系统在深圳地铁3号线中的应用 .......... L XX5.4小结............................................ LXXI 结论 .................................................. LXXII致谢 ................................................. LXXIII 参考文献…………………………………………………………………………………LXXV1绪论1.1设计背景及意义随着世界都市边缘化规模的不断扩大，国际各大都市人口流通量急剧增加，交通拥挤现象日益严峻，传统的公共交通工具差不多无法满足都市人群日常的出行需求。