金融学(第二版)陈学彬_课后问题详解[1]

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《金融学(第二版)》讲义大纲及课后习题答案详解 第四章

《金融学(第二版)》讲义大纲及课后习题答案详解 第四章

CHAPTER 4THE TIME VALUE OF MONEY AND DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW ANALYSISObjectives•To explain the concepts of compounding and discounting, future value and present value.•To show how these concepts are applied to making financial decisions.Outline4.1 Compounding4.2 The Frequency of Compounding4.3 Present Value and Discounting4.4 Alternative Discounted Cash Flow Decision Rules4.5 Multiple Cash Flows4.6 Annuities4.7 Perpetual Annuities4.8 Loan Amortization4.9 Exchange Rates and Time Value of Money4.10 Inflation and Discounted Cash Flow Analysis4.11 Taxes and Investment DecisionsSummary•Compounding is the process of going from present value (PV) to future value (FV). The future value of $1 earning interest at rate i per period for n periods is (1+i)n.•Discounting is finding the present value of some future amount. The present value of $1 discounted at rate i per period for n periods is 1/(1+i)n.•One can make financial decisions by comparing the present values of streams of expected future cash flows resulting from alternative courses of action. The present value of cash inflows less the present value of cash outflows is called net present value (NPV). If a course of action has a positive NPV, it is worth undertaking. •In any time value of money calculation, the cash flows and the interest rate must be denominated in the same currency.•Never use a nominal interest rate when discounting real cash flows or a real interest rate when discounting nominal cash flows.How to Do TVM Calculations in MS ExcelAssume you have the following cash flows set up in a spreadsheet:Move the cursor to cell B6 in the spreadsheet. Click the function wizard f x in the tool bar and when a menu appears, select financial and then NPV. Then follow the instructions for inputting the discount rate and cash flows. You can input the column of cash flows by selecting and moving it with your mouse. Ultimately cell B6should contain the following:=NPV(0.1,B3:B5)+B2The first variable in parenthesis is the discount rate. Make sure to input the discount rate as a decimal fraction (i.e., 10% is .1). Note that the NPV function in Excel treats the cash flows as occurring at the end of each period, and therefore the initial cash flow of 100 in cell B2 is added after the closing parenthesis. When you hit the ENTER key, the result should be $47.63.Now move the cursor to cell B7to compute IRR. This time select IRR from the list of financial functions appearing in the menu. Ultimately cell B7 should contain the following:=IRR(B2:B5)When you hit the ENTER key, the result should be 34%.Your spreadsheet should look like this when you have finished:Solutions to Problems at End of Chapter1. If you invest $1000 today at an interest rate of 10% per year, how much will you have 20 years from now,assuming no withdrawals in the interim?2. a. If you invest $100 every year for the next 20 years, starting one year from today and you earninterest of 10% per year, how much will you have at the end of the 20 years?b. How much must you invest each year if you want to have $50,000 at the end of the 20 years?3. What is the present value of the following cash flows at an interest rate of 10% per year?a. $100 received five years from now.b. $100 received 60 years from now.c. $100 received each year beginning one year from now and ending 10 years from now.d. $100 received each year for 10 years beginning now.e. $100 each year beginning one year from now and continuing forever.e. PV = $100 = $1,000.104. You want to establish a “wasting” fund which will provide you with $1000 per year for four years, at which time the fund will be exhausted. How much must you put in the fund now if you can earn 10% interest per year?SOLUTION:5. You take a one-year installment loan of $1000 at an interest rate of 12% per year (1% per month) to be repaid in 12 equal monthly payments.a. What is the monthly payment?b. What is the total amount of interest paid over the 12-month term of the loan?SOLUTION:b. 12 x $88.85 - $1,000 = $66.206. You are taking out a $100,000 mortgage loan to be repaid over 25 years in 300 monthly payments.a.If the interest rate is 16% per year what is the amount of the monthly payment?b.If you can only afford to pay $1000 per month, how large a loan could you take?c.If you can afford to pay $1500 per month and need to borrow $100,000, how many months would it taketo pay off the mortgage?d.If you can pay $1500 per month, need to borrow $100,000, and want a 25 year mortgage, what is thehighest interest rate you can pay?SOLUTION:a.Note: Do not round off the interest rate when computing the monthly rate or you will not get the same answerreported here. Divide 16 by 12 and then press the i key.b.Note: You must input PMT and PV with opposite signs.c.Note: You must input PMT and PV with opposite signs.7. In 1626 Peter Minuit purchased Manhattan Island from the Native Americans for about $24 worth of trinkets. If the tribe had taken cash instead and invested it to earn 6% per year compounded annually, how much would the Indians have had in 1986, 360 years later?SOLUTION:8. You win a $1 million lottery which pays you $50,000 per year for 20 years, beginning one year from now. How much is your prize really worth assuming an interest rate of 8% per year?SOLUTION:9. Your great-aunt left you $20,000 when she died. You can invest the money to earn 12% per year. If you spend $3,540 per year out of this inheritance, how long will the money last?SOLUTION:10. You borrow $100,000 from a bank for 30 years at an APR of 10.5%. What is the monthly payment? If you must pay two points up front, meaning that you only get $98,000 from the bank, what is the true APR on the mortgage loan?SOLUTION:If you must pay 2 points up front, the bank is in effect lending you only $98,000. Keying in 98000 as PV and computing i, we get:11. Suppose that the mortgage loan described in question 10 is a one-year adjustable rate mortgage (ARM), which means that the 10.5% interest applies for only the first year. If the interest rate goes up to 12% in the second year of the loan, what will your new monthly payment be?SOLUTION:Step 2 is to compute the new monthly payment at an interest rate of 1% per month:12. You just received a gift of $500 from your grandmother and you are thinking about saving this money for graduation which is four years away. You have your choice between Bank A which is paying 7% for one-year deposits and Bank B which is paying 6% on one-year deposits. Each bank compounds interest annually. What is the future value of your savings one year from today if you save your money in Bank A? Bank B? Which is the better decision? What savings decision will most individuals make? What likely reaction will Bank B have? SOLUTION:$500 x (1.07) = $535Formula:$500 x (1.06) = $530a.You will decide to save your money in Bank A because you will have more money at the end of the year. Youmade an extra $5 because of your savings decision. That is an increase in value of 1%. Because interestcompounded only once per year and your money was left in the account for only one year, the increase in value is strictly due to the 1% difference in interest rates.b.Most individuals will make the same decision and eventually Bank B will have to raise its rates. However, it isalso possible that Bank A is paying a high rate just to attract depositors even though this rate is not profitable for the bank. Eventually Bank A will have to lower its rate to Bank B’s rate in order to make money.13.Sue Consultant has just been given a bonus of $2,500 by her employer. She is thinking about using the money to start saving for the future. She can invest to earn an annual rate of interest of 10%.a.According to the Rule of 72, approximately how long will it take for Sue to increase her wealth to $5,000?b.Exactly how long does it actually take?SOLUTION:a.According to the Rule of 72: n = 72/10 = 7.2 yearsIt will take approximately 7.2 years for Sue’s $2,500 to double to $5,000 at 10% interest.b.At 10% interestn i PV FV PMTSolve10 - $2,500 $5,0007.27 YearsFormula:$2,500 x (1.10)n = $5,000Hence, (1.10)n = 2.0n log 1.10 = log 2.0n = .693147 = 7.27 Years.095310rry’s bank account has a “floating” interest rate on certa in deposits. Every year the interest rate is adjusted. Larry deposited $20,000 three years ago, when interest rates were 7% (annual compounding). Last year the rate was only 6%, and this year the rate fell again to 5%. How much will be in his account at the end of this year?SOLUTION:$20,000 x 1.07 x 1.06 x 1.05 = $23,818.2015.You have your choice between investing in a bank savings account which pays 8% compounded annually (BankAnnual) and one which pays 7.5% compounded daily (BankDaily).a.Based on effective annual rates, which bank would you prefer?b.Suppose BankAnnual is only offering one-year Certificates of Deposit and if you withdraw your moneyearly you lose all interest. How would you evaluate this additional piece of information when making your decision?SOLUTION:a.Effective Annual Rate: BankAnnual = 8%.Effective Annual Rate BankDaily = [1 + .075]365 - 1 = .07788 = 7.788%365Based on effective annual rates, you would prefer BankAnnual (you will earn more money.)b.If BankAnnual’s 8% annual return i s conditioned upon leaving the money in for one full year, I would need tobe sure that I did not need my money within the one year period. If I were unsure of when I might need the money, it might be safer to go for BankDaily. The option to withdraw my money whenever I might need it will cost me the potential difference in interest:FV (BankAnnual) = $1,000 x 1.08 = $1,080FV (BankDaily) = $1,000 x 1.07788 = $1,077.88Difference = $2.12.16.What are the effective annual rates of the following:a.12% APR compounded monthly?b.10% APR compounded annually?c.6% APR compounded daily?SOLUTION:Effective Annual Rate (EFF) = [1 + APR] m - 1ma.(1 + .12)12 - 1 = .1268 = 12.68%12b.(1 + .10)- 1 = .10 = 10%1c.(1 + .06)365 - 1 = .0618 = 6.18%36517.Harry promises that an investment in his firm will double in six years. Interest is assumed to be paid quarterly and reinvested. What effective annual yield does this represent?EAR=(1.029302)4-1=12.25%18.Suppose you know that you will need $2,500 two years from now in order to make a down payment on a car.a.BankOne is offering 4% interest (compounded annually) for two-year accounts, and BankTwo is offering4.5% (compounded annually) for two-year accounts. If you know you need $2,500 two years from today,how much will you need to invest in BankOne to reach your goal? Alternatively, how much will you need to invest in BankTwo? Which Bank account do you prefer?b.Now suppose you do not need the money for three years, how much will you need to deposit today inBankOne? BankTwo?SOLUTION:PV = $2,500 = $2,311.39(1.04)2PV = $2,500 = $2,289.32(1.045)2You would prefer BankTwo because you earn more; therefore, you can deposit fewer dollars today in order to reach your goal of $2,500 two years from today.b.PV = $2,500 = $2,222.49(1.04)3PV = $2,500 = $2,190.74(1.045)3Again, you would prefer BankTwo because you earn more; therefore, you can deposit fewer dollars today in order to reach your goal of $2,500 three years from today.19.Lucky Lynn has a choice between receiving $1,000 from her great-uncle one year from today or $900 from her great-aunt today. She believes she could invest the $900 at a one-year return of 12%.a.What is the future value of the gift from her great-uncle upon receipt? From her great-aunt?b.Which gift should she choose?c.How does your answer change if you believed she could invest the $900 from her great-aunt at only 10%?At what rate is she indifferent?SOLUTION:a. Future Value of gift from great-uncle is simply equal to what she will receive one year from today ($1000). Sheearns no interest as she doesn’t receive the money until next year.b. Future Value of gift from great-aunt: $900 x (1.12) = $1,008.c. She should choose the gift from her great-aunt because it has future value of $1008 one year from today. Thegift from her great-uncle has a future value of $1,000. This assumes that she will able to earn 12% interest on the $900 deposited at the bank today.d. If she could invest the money at only 10%, the future value of her investment from her great-aunt would only be$990: $900 x (1.10) = $990. Therefore she would choose the $1,000 one year from today. Lucky Lynn would be indifferent at an annual interest rate of 11.11%:$1000 = $900 or (1+i) = 1,000 = 1.1111(1+i) 900i = .1111 = 11.11%20.As manager of short-term projects, you are trying to decide whether or not to invest in a short-term project that pays one cash flow of $1,000 one year from today. The total cost of the project is $950. Your alternative investment is to deposit the money in a one-year bank Certificate of Deposit which will pay 4% compounded annually.a.Assuming the cash flow of $1,000 is guaranteed (there is no risk you will not receive it) what would be alogical discount rate to use to determine the present value of the cash flows of the project?b.What is the present value of the project if you discount the cash flow at 4% per year? What is the netpresent value of that investment? Should you invest in the project?c.What would you do if the bank increases its quoted rate on one-year CDs to 5.5%?d.At what bank one-year CD rate would you be indifferent between the two investments?SOLUTION:a.Because alternative investments are earning 4%, a logical choice would be to discount the project’s cash flowsat 4%. This is because 4% can be considered as your opportunity cost for taking the project; hence, it is your cost of funds.b.Present Value of Project Cash Flows:PV = $1,000 = $961.54(1.04)The net present value of the project = $961.54 - $950 (cost) = $11.54The net present value is positive so you should go ahead and invest in the project.c.If the bank increased its one-year CD rate to 5.5%, then the present value changes to:PV = $1,000 = $947.87(1.055)Now the net present value is negative: $947.87 - $950 = - $2.13. Therefore you would not want to invest in the project.d.You would be indifferent between the two investments when the bank is paying the following one-year interestrate:$1,000 = $950 hence i = 5.26%(1+i)21.Calculate the net present value of the following cash flows: you invest $2,000 today and receive $200 one year from now, $800 two years from now, and $1,000 a year for 10 years starting four years from now. Assume that the interest rate is 8%.SOLUTION:Since there are a number of different cash flows, it is easiest to do this problem using cash flow keys on the calculator:22.Your cousin has asked for your advice on whether or not to buy a bond for $995 which will make one payment of $1,200 five years from today or invest in a local bank account.a.What is the internal rate of return on the bond’s cash flows? What additional information do you need tomake a choice?b.What advice would you give her if you learned the bank is paying 3.5% per year for five years(compounded annually?)c.How would your advice change if the bank were paying 5% annually for five years? If the price of thebond were $900 and the bank pays 5% annually?SOLUTION:a.$995 x (1+i)5 = $1,200.(1+i)5 = $1,200$995Take 5th root of both sides:(1+i) =1.0382i = .0382 = 3.82%In order to make a choice, you need to know what interest rate is being offered by the local bank.b.Upon learning that the bank is paying 3.5%, you would tell her to choose the bond because it is earning a higherrate of return of 3.82% .c.If the bank were paying 5% per year, you would tell her to deposit her money in the bank. She would earn ahigher rate of return.5.92% is higher than the rate the bank is paying (5%); hence, she should choose to buy the bond.23.You and your sister have just inherited $300 and a US savings bond from your great-grandfather who had left them in a safe deposit box. Because you are the oldest, you get to choose whether you want the cash or the bond. The bond has only four years left to maturity at which time it will pay the holder $500.a.If you took the $300 today and invested it at an interest rate 6% per year, how long (in years) would ittake for your $300 to grow to $500? (Hint: you want to solve for n or number of periods. Given these circumstances, which are you going to choose?b.Would your answer change if you could invest the $300 at 10% per year? At 15% per year? What otherDecision Rules could you use to analyze this decision?SOLUTION:a.$300 x (1.06)n = $500(1.06)n = 1.6667n log 1.06 = log 1.6667n = .510845 = 8.77 Years.0582689You would choose the bond because it will increase in value to $500 in 4 years. If you tookthe $300 today, it would take more than 8 years to grow to $500.b.You could also analyze this decision by computing the NPV of the bond investment at the different interest rates:In the calculations of the NPV, $300 can be considered your “cost” for acquiring the bond since you will give up $300 in cash by choosing the bond. Note that the first two interest rates give positive NPVs for the bond, i.e. you should go for the bond, while the last NPV is negative, hence choose the cash instead. These results confirm the previous method’s results.24.Suppose you have three personal loans outstanding to your friend Elizabeth. A payment of $1,000 is due today, a $500 payment is due one year from now and a $250 payment is due two years from now. You would like to consolidate the three loans into one, with 36 equal monthly payments, beginning one month from today. Assume the agreed interest rate is 8% (effective annual rate) per year.a.What is the annual percentage rate you will be paying?b.How large will the new monthly payment be?SOLUTION:a.To find the APR, you must first compute the monthly interest rate that corresponds to an effective annual rate of8% and then multiply it by 12:1.08 = (1+ i)12Take 12th root of both sides:1.006434 = 1+ ii = .006434 or .6434% per monthOr using the financial calculator:b.The method is to first compute the PV of the 3 loans and then compute a 36 month annuity payment with thesame PV. Most financial calculators have keys which allow you to enter several cash flows at once. This approach will give the user the PV of the 3 loans.Note: The APR used to discount the cash flows is the effective rate in this case, because this method is assuming annual compounding.25.As CEO of ToysRFun, you are offered the chance to participate, without initial charge, in a project that produces cash flows of $5,000 at the end of the first period, $4,000 at the end of the next period and a loss of $11,000 at the end of the third and final year.a.What is the net present value if the relevant discount rate (the company’s cost of capital) is 10%?b.Would you accept the offer?c.What is the internal rate of return? Can you explain why you would reject a project which has aninternal rate of return greater than its cost of capital?SOLUTION:At 10% discount rate:Net Present Value = - 0 + $5,000 + $4,000 - $11,000 = - 413.22(1.10) (1.10)2 (1.10)3c.This example is a project with cash flows that begin positive and then turn negative--it is like a loan. The 13.6% IRR is therefore like an interest rate on that loan. The opportunity to take a loan at 13.6% when the cost of capital is only 10% is not worthwhile.26.You must pay a creditor $6,000 one year from now, $5,000 two years from now, $4,000 three years from now, $2,000 four years from now, and a final $1,000 five years from now. You would like to restructure the loan into five equal annual payments due at the end of each year. If the agreed interest rate is 6% compounded annually, what is the payment?SOLUTION:Since there are a number of different cash flows, it is easiest to do the first step of this problem using cash flow keys on the calculator. To find the present value of the current loan payments:27.Find the future value of the following ordinary annuities (payments begin one year from today and all interest rates compound annually):a.$100 per year for 10 years at 9%.b.$500 per year for 8 years at 15%.c.$800 per year for 20 years at 7%.d.$1,000 per year for 5 years at 0%.e.Now find the present values of the annuities in a-d.f.What is the relationship between present values and future values?SOLUTION:Future Value of Annuity:e.f.The relationship between present value and future value is the following:nbeginning three years from today in an account that yields 11% compounded annually. How large should the annual deposit be?SOLUTION:You will be making 7 payments beginning 3 years from today. So, we need to find the value of an immediate annuity with 7 payments whose FV is $50,000:29.Suppose an investment offers $100 per year for five years at 5% beginning one year from today.a.What is the present value? How does the present value calculation change if one additional payment isadded today?b.What is the future value of this ordinary annuity? How does the future value change if one additionalpayment is added today?SOLUTION:$100 x [(1.05)5] - 1 = $552.56.05If you were to add one additional payment of $100 today, the future value would increase by:$100 x (1.05)5 = $127.63. Total future value = $552.56 + $127.63 = $680.19.Another way to do it would be to use the BGN mode for 5 payments of $100 at 5%, find the future value of that, and then add $100. The same $680.19 is obtained.30.You are buying a $20,000 car. The dealer offers you two alternatives: (1) pay the full $20,000 purchase price and finance it with a loan at 4.0% APR over 3 years or (2) receive $1,500 cash back and finance the rest at a bank rate of 9.5% APR. Both loans have monthly payments over three years. Which should you choose? SOLUTION:31.You are looking to buy a sports car costing $23,000. One dealer is offering a special reduced financing rate of 2.9% APR on new car purchases for three year loans, with monthly payments. A second dealer is offering a cash rebate. Any customer taking the cash rebate would of course be ineligible for the special loan rate and would have to borrow the balance of the purchase price from the local bank at the 9%annual rate. How large must the cash rebate be on this $23,000 car to entice a customer away from the dealer who is offering the special 2.9% financing?SOLUTION:of the 2.9% financing.32.Show proof that investing $475.48 today at 10% allows you to withdraw $150 at the end of each of the next 4 years and have nothing remaining.SOLUTION:You deposit $475.48 and earn 10% interest after one year. Then you withdraw $150. The table shows what happensAnother way to do it is simply to compute the PV of the $150 annual withdrawals at 10% : it turns out to be exactly $475.48, hence both amounts are equal.33.As a pension manager, you are considering investing in a preferred stock which pays $5,000,000 per year forever beginning one year from now. If your alternative investment choice is yielding 10% per year, what is the present value of this investment? What is the highest price you would be willing to pay for this investment? If you paid this price, what would be the dividend yield on this investment?SOLUTION:Present Value of Investment:PV = $5,000,000 = $50,000,000.10Highest price you would be willing to pay is $50,000,000.Dividend yield = $5,000,000 = 10%.$50,000,00034. A new lottery game offers a choice for the grand prize winner. You can receive either a lump sum of $1,000,000 immediately or a perpetuity of $100,000 per year forever, with the first payment today. (If you die, your estate will still continue to receive payments). If the relevant interest rate is 9.5% compounded annually, what is the difference in value between the two prizes?SOLUTION:The present value of the perpetuity assuming that payments begin at the end of the year is:$100,000/.095 = $1,052,631.58If the payments begin immediately, you need to add the first payment. $100,000 + 1,052,632 = $1,152,632.So the annuity has a PV which is greater than the lump sum by $152,632.35.Find the future value of a $1,000 lump sum investment under the following compounding assumptions:a.7% compounded annually for 10 yearsb.7% compounded semiannually for 10 yearsc.7% compounded monthly for 10 yearsd.7% compounded daily for 10 yearse.7% compounded continuously for 10 yearsa.$1,000 x (1.07)10 = $1,967.15b.$1,000 x (1.035)20 = $1,989.79c.$1,000 x (1.0058)120 = $2,009.66d.$1,000 x (1.0019178)3650 = $2,013.62e.$1,000 x e.07x10 = $2,013.7536.Sammy Jo charged $1,000 worth of merchandise one year ago on her MasterCard which has a stated interest rate of 18% APR compounded monthly. She made 12 regular monthly payments of $50, at the end of each month, and refrained from using the card for the past year. How much does she still owe? SOLUTION:Sammy Jo has taken a $1,000 loan at 1.5% per month and is paying it off in monthly installments of $50. We could work out the amortization schedule to find out how much she still owes after 12 payments, but a shortcut on the financial calculator is to solve for FV as follows:37.Suppose you are considering borrowing $120,000 to finance your dream house. The annual percentage rate is 9% and payments are made monthly,a.If the mortgage has a 30 year amortization schedule, what are the monthly payments?b.What effective annual rate would you be paying?c.How do your answers to parts a and b change if the loan amortizes over 15 years rather than 30?EFF = [1 + .09]1238.Suppose last year you took out the loan described in problem #37a. Now interest rates have declined to 8% per year. Assume there will be no refinancing fees.a.What is the remaining balance of your current mortgage after 12 payments?b.What would be your payment if you refinanced your mortgage at the lower rate for 29 years? SOLUTION:Exchange Rates and the Time Value of Money39.The exchange rate between the pound sterling and the dollar is currently $1.50 per pound, the dollar interest rate is 7% per year, and the pound interest rate is 9% per year. You have $100,000 in a one-year account that allows you to choose between either currency, and it pays the corresponding interest rate.a.If you expect the dollar/pound exchange rate to be $1.40 per pound a year from now and are indifferentto risk, which currency should you choose?b.What is the “break-even” value of the dollar/pound exchange rate one year from now?SOLUTION:a.You could invest $1 today in dollar-denominated bonds and have $1.07 one year from now. Or you couldconvert the dollar today into 2/3 (i.e., 1/1.5) of a pound and invest in pound-denominated bonds to have .726667(i.e., 2/3 x 1.09) pounds one year from now. At an exchange rate of $1.4 per pound, this would yield 0.726667(1.4) = $1.017 (this is lower than $1.07), so you would choose the dollar currency.b.For you to break-even the .726667 pounds would have to be worth $1.07 one year from now, so the break-evenexchange rate is $1.07/.726667 or $1.4725 per pound. So for exchange rates lower than $1.4725 per pound one year from now, the dollar currency will give a better return.。

金融学习题集及参考答案解析word版第二版

金融学习题集及参考答案解析word版第二版

金融学习题集及参考答案解析(第二版)金融学习题集(第二版)带★内容为非金融学专业选做题目第一章货币概述一、单项选择题(在每小题列出的四个备选项中只有一个是最符合题目要求的,请将其代码写在题后的括弧内。

)1.金融的本源性要素是【】A. 货币B. 资金C. 资本D. 市场2.商品价值最原始的表现形式是【】A. 货币价值形式B. 一般价值形式C.总和的或扩大的价值形式D. 简单的或偶然的价值形式3.一切商品的价值共同表现在某一种从商品世界中分离出来而充当一般等价物的商品上时,价值表现形式为【】A. 货币价值形式B. 一般价值形式C.总和的或扩大的价值形式D. 简单的或偶然的价值形式4.价值形式的最高阶段是【】A. 货币价值形式B. 一般价值形式C.总和的或扩大的价值形式D. 简单的或偶然的价值形式5.货币最早的形态是【】A. 实物货币B.代用货币C.信用货币D. 电子货币6.最适宜的实物货币是【】A. 天然贝B. 大理石C. 贵金属D. 硬质合金硬币7.中国最早的货币是【】A. 银圆B. 铜钱C. 金属刀币D. 贝币8.信用货币本身的价值与其货币价值的关系是【】A. 本身价值大于其货币价值B.本身价值等于其货币价值C. 本身价值小于其货币价值D. 无法确定9.在货币层次中M0是指【】A. 投放的现金B. 回笼的现金C. 流通的现金D. 贮藏的现金10.从近期来看,我国货币供给量相含层次指标系列中观察和控制的重点是【】A. M0B. M1C. M2D. M0和M111.从中长期来看,我国货币供给量相含层次指标系列中观察和控制的重点是【】A. M0B. M1C. M2D. M0和M112.货币在表现商品价值并衡量商品价值量的大小时,发挥的职能是【】A. 价值尺度B. 流通手段C. 贮藏手段D. 支付手段13.货币在充当商品流通媒介时发挥的职能是【】A. 价值尺度B. 流通手段C. 贮藏手段D. 支付手段14.当货币退出流通领域,被持有者当作独立的价值形态和社会财富的绝对值化身而保存起来时,货币发挥的职能是【】A. 价值尺度B. 流通手段C. 贮藏手段D. 支付手段15.货币在支付租金、赋税、工资等的时候发挥的职能是【】A. 价值尺度B. 流通手段C. 贮藏手段D. 支付手段16.观念货币可以发挥的职能是【】A. 价值尺度B. 流通手段C. 贮藏手段D. 支付手段17.货币最基本、最重要的职能是【】A. 价值尺度B. 流通手段C. 贮藏手段D. 支付手段18.“劣币驱逐良币现象”产生的货币制度背景是【】A. 银本位B. 平行本位C. 双本位D. 金本位19.最早实行金币本位制的国家是【】A. 美国B. 英国C. 中国D. 德国20.人民币是【】A. 实物货币B. 代用货币C. 金属货币D. 信用货币二、多项选择题(在小题列出的五个备选项中,至少有二个是符合题目要求的,请将其代码写在题后的括弧内。

金融学讲义(陈学彬主编)

金融学讲义(陈学彬主编)
金融机构的分类
按照业务性质的不同,金融机构可分为银行类金融机构和非银行类金融机构;按照是否接受公众 存款,可分为存款性金融机构和非存款性金融机构。
金融机构的作用
金融机构在现代经济中发挥着信用中介、支付中介、金融服务、风险管理等重要功能。
金融市场与金融机构的关系
相互依存关系
金融市场和金融机构是相互依存的,金融市场为金融机构提供了交易场所和交易工具,而金融机构则是金融市场的参 与者和推动者。
金融学的研究方法
01
实证研究方法
实证研究方法是通过收集和分析实际数据来验证理论假设的方法。在金
融学中,实证研究方法被广泛应用于金融市场、金融机构等领域的研究。
02
规范研究方法
规范研究方法是通过逻辑推理和演绎分析来研究金融问题的方法。这种
方法强调理论分析和逻辑推理,注重从一般到特殊的推导过程。
03
案例研究方法
货币政策工具
法定存款准备金率
再贴现政策
中央银行通过调整法定存款准备金率,影 响商业银行的信贷扩张能力,从而调节市 场中的货币供应量。
中央银行通过调整再贴现率,影响商业银 行从中央银行获得资金的成本,进而调节 市场利率和货币供应量。
公开市场操作
利率政策
中央银行在公开市场上买卖有价证券,从 而调节市场中的流动性,影响市场利率和 货币供应量。
和评估等。
金融风险与金融监管的关系
金融风险是金融监管的前 提
正是由于金融风险的存在,才需要金融监管 来防范和化解风险。
金融监管是控制金融风险的 重要手段
通过有效的监管措施,可以及时发现和处置金融风 险,维护金融市场的稳定和秩序。
金融风险与金融监管相互 促进
在应对金融风险的过程中,金融监管不断完 善和创新,同时金融风险的演变也促使金融 监管不断改进和完善。

金融学第二版课后复习思考题参考答案.docx

金融学第二版课后复习思考题参考答案.docx

第一章货币与货币制度一、单项选择题1.B2. C3. B4. C5. A6.B7. C1、多项选择题1. ACDE2. CDE3. CD4. ABCD5. ABCDE6. ABCD三、简答题1.货币的职能有哪些?价值尺度;流通手段;支付手段;贮藏手段;世界货币2.人民币制度包括哪些内容?(1)人民币是我国的法定货币;(2)人民币是我国唯一的合法通货;(3)人民币的发行权集中于中央银行;(4)人民币以商品物资作为发行的首要保证,也以大量的政府政府债券、商业票据、商业银行票据等为发行的信用保证,还有黄金、外汇储备等也是人民币发行的现金保证;(5)人民币实行有管理的货币制度;(6)人民币称为可兑换货币。

3.货币制度的构成要素是什么?货币材料;货币单位;各种通货的铸造、发行和流通程序;准备制度4.不兑现的信用货币制度有哪些特点?(1)不兑现信用货币一般由屮央银行发行,并由国家赋予其无限法偿能力,这是不兑现信用货币制度最基本的特点;(2)信用货币不与任何金属保持等价关系,也不能兑换黄金;(3)货币通过信用程序投入流通领域;(4)信用货币制度是一种管理货币制度;5.钱、货币、通货、现金是一回事吗?银行卡是货币吗?墓不一样。

(1)钱的概念在不同场景下有很多不同的意思。

可以是个收入的概念、也可以是个财富的概念,也可以特指现金货币;(2)货币是在商品劳务交换与债券债务清偿时,被社会公众所普遍接受的东西。

(3)通货是流通中的货币,指流通与银行体系之外的货币。

范围小于货币。

(4)现金就是现钞,包括纸币、硬币。

现金是货币的一部分,流动性很强,对人们的日常消费影响很大。

(5)银行卡本身也称为“塑料货币”,包扌舌信用卡、支票卡,记账卡、自动出纳机卡等。

银行卡可以用于存取款和转账支付。

在发达西方国家,各种银行卡正在取代现钞和支票,称为经济生活中广泛的支付工具,因此现代社会银行卡也是货币6.社会经济生活中为什么离不开货币?为什么自古至今,人们又往往把金钱看做说万恶之源?(1)社会经济生活离不开货币,货币的产生和发展都有其客观必然性。

《金融学(第二版)》讲义大纲及课后习题答案详解 十四章

《金融学(第二版)》讲义大纲及课后习题答案详解 十四章

CHAPTE R 14FORWARD AND FUTURE S PRICE SObjectives∙ To explain the economic role of futures markets∙To show what information can and cannot be inferred from forward and futures prices.Outline14.1 Distinctions Between Forward and Futures Contracts14.2 The Economic Function of Futures Markets14.3 The Role of Speculators14.4 Relation Between Commodity Spot and Futures Prices14.5 Extracting Information from Commodity Futures Prices14.6 Spot-Futures Price Parity for Gold14.7 Financial Futures14.8 The Implied Risk-Free Rate14.9 The Forward Price Is Not a Forecast of the Spot Price14.10 Forward-Spot Parity with Cash Payouts14.11 Implied Dividends14.12 The Foreign-Exchange Parity Relation14.13 The Role of Expectations in Determining Exchange RatesSummary∙ Futures contracts make it possible to separate the decision of whether to physically store a commodity from thedecision to have financial exposure to its price changes.∙ Speculators in futures markets improve the informational content of futures prices and make futures marketsmore liquid than they would otherwise be.∙ The futures price of wheat cannot exceed the spot price by more than the cost of carry:∙ The forward-spot price parity relation for gold is that the forward price equals the spot price times the cost ofcarry:This relation is maintained by the force of arbitrage . ∙One can infer the implied cost of carry and the implied storage costs from the observed spot and forward prices and the risk-free interest rate. ∙ The forward-spot parity relation for stocks is that the forward price equals the spot price times 1 plus the risk-free rate less the expected cash dividend.This relation can therefore be used to infer the implied dividend from the observed spot and forward prices and the risk-free interest rate.∙ The forward-spot price parity relation for the dollar/yen exchange rate involves two interest rates:where F is the forward price of the yen, S is the current spot price, r Y is the yen interest rate, and r $ is the dollarinterest rate.∙If the forward dollar/yen exchange rate is an unbiased forecast of the future spot exchange rate, then one can infer that forecast either from the forward rate or from the dollar-denominated and yen-denominated risk-free interest rates. F S C-≤F S r s =++()1F S r D=+-()1F r S r Y11+=+$Solutions to Problems at End of ChapterForward Contracts and Forward-Spot Parity.1. Suppose that you are planning a trip to E ngland. The trip is a year from now, and you have reserved a hotel room in London at a price of ₤ 50 per day. You do not have to pay for the room in advance. The exchange rate is currently $1.50 to the pound sterling.a.E xplain several possible ways that you could completely hedge the exchange rate risk in this situation.b.Suppose that r₤=.12 and r$=.08. Because S=$1.50, what must the forward price of the pound be?c.Show that if F is $0.10 higher than in your answer to part b, there would be an arbitrage opportunity. SOLUTION:a.Ways to hedge the exchange rate risk:Pay for the room in advanceBuy the pounds you will need in the forward market.Invest the present value of the rental payments in a pound-denominated riskless asset.b. F = S (1+r$)/(1+r£) = $1.50 x 1.08/1.12 = $1.4464 per poundc.If F is $1.55 then arbitrage profits can be made by borrowing dollars, investing in pounds and selling themforward at the inflated forward price. After paying off principle and interest on the dollars borrowed, you would have pure arbitrage profits left over. For example,Borrow $1.50,Convert it into 1 pound,Invest it in pound-denominated bonds to have 1.12 pounds a year from now,Sell 1.12 pounds forward at $1.55 per pound to have $1.736 a year from now,After 1 year, pay off the principle and interest on the loan ($1.50x 1.08 = $1.62).This series of transactions leaves you with $.116 a year from now with no initial outlay of your money.Forward-Spot Parity Relation with Known Cash Payouts2. Suppose that the Treasury yield curve is flat at an interest rate of 7% per year (compounded semiannually).a.What is the spot price of a 30-year Treasury bond with an 8% coupon rate assuming coupons are paidsemiannually?b.What is the forward price of the bond for delivery six months from now?c.Show that if the forward price is $1 lower than in your answer to part b, there should be an arbitrageopportunity.SOLUTION:b. The forward price for delivery six months from now is $1,124.089:F = S(1+r) - C = $1,124.724 x 1.035 - 40 =$1,124.089c. If the forward price is only $1,123.089, then arbitrage profits can be made by selling the bond short and buying itforward at the low forward price. It can be described as follows:Sell short a bond at $1,124.724; buy it forward at $1,123.089; invest the proceeds of the short sale to earn 3.5% for6 monthsAfter 6 months, take delivery of the bond and cover your short saleForward-Spot Parity Relation with Uncertain Dividends3. A stock has a spot price of $100; the riskless interest rate is 7% per year (compounded annually), and the expected dividend on the stock is $3, to be received a year from now.a.What should be the one-year futures price?b.If the futures price is $1 higher than your answer to part a, what might that imply about the expected dividend? SOLUTION:a.S = $100, r = .07, D = $3. F = S ( 1+r) - D = $104b.If F is $105, that might imply that D is really only $2.Storage Costs versus Dividend Yield4. Compare the forward-spot price-parity relation for gold to the one for stocks. Is it fair to say that stocks have a negative storage cost equal to the dividend yield?SOLUTIONOne could definitely say that stocks have a negative storage cost equal to the dividend.5. Suppose you are a distributor of canola seed and you observe the spot price of canola to be $7.45 per bushel while the futures price for delivery one month from today is $7.60. Assuming a $.10 per bushel carrying cost, what would you do to hedge your price uncertainty?SOLUTIONWe see that F> S+C. If you short the futures contract, you can sell your seed at $7.60 per bushel.6. Infer the spot price of an ounce of gold if you observe the price of one ounce of gold for forward delivery in three months is $435.00, the interest rate on a 91-day Treasury bill is 1% and the quarterly carrying cost as a percentage of the spot price is .2%.SOLUTIONDeduce from the futures price parity condition for gold that F = S0 (1 + r + s) so that S0 = $429.84.7. You are a dealer in kryptonite and are contemplating a trade in a forward contract. You observe that the current spot price per ounce of kryptonite is $180.00, the forward price for delivery of one ounce of kryptonite in one year is $205.20, and annual carrying costs of the metal are 4% of the current spot price.a.Can you infer the annual return on a riskless zero-coupon security implied by the Law of One Price?b.Can you describe a trading strategy that would generate arbitrage profits for you if the annual return on theriskless security is only 5%? What would your arbitrage profit be, per ounce of kryptonite?SOLUTIONa.By no-arbitrage, we require that the riskless rate r satisfy:F = S0 (1 + r + s)205.2 = 180 (1 +r +.04) = 187.2 + 180rr = 18/180 = .10 or 10%b.The implicit risk-free rate that you can earn by buying kryptonite, storing it, and selling it forward at $205.2 perounce is 10%. If the riskless borrowing rate is five percent, you should borrow at that rate and invest in hedged kryptonite. If you buy an ounce of kryptonite for $180, you will get $205.2 for it for sure a year from now. If you borrow the $180, you will have to pay principal and interest of $180 x 1.05 plus another .04 x $180 in storage costs.This totals $196.2, thus leaving you with $9 in arbitrage profits.8. Calculate the implicit cost of carrying an ounce of gold and the implied storage cost per ounce of gold if the current spot price of gold per ounce is $425.00, the forward price of an ounce of gold for delivery in 273 days is $460.00, the yield over 91 days on a zero-coupon Treasury bill is 2% and the term structure of interest rates is flat. SOLUTIONFirst, we solve it assuming a simple compounding method for the risk free interest rate. Over 273 days, the Risk free rate is 2%*3=6%. Therefore we have,F = S (1 + r + s )460 = 425 (1.06 + s)s = (460 - 450.5)/425 = 9.5/425 = .02235 for 273 daysThus the carrying costs are roughly 8.24% for 273 days or 10.98% per year.Second, we solve it assuming we need to compound the interest rates. The risk free rate over 273 days will be(1+2%)3-1=6.12%.plug in the above formulae we get s=.021145 for 273 days.Thus the carrying costs are roughly 8.23% for 273 days or 11.13% per year.9. The forward price for a share of stock to be delivered in 182 days is $410.00, whereas the current yield on a 91-day T-bill is 2%. If the term structure of interest rates is fiat, what spot price for the stock is implied by the Law of One Price?SOLUTIONF = $410; r = .02 per quarter.S = F/(1+r)2 = $394.0810. You observe that the one-year forward price of a share of stock in Kramer,Inc.,a New York tour-bus company and purveyor of fine clothing, is $45.00 while the spot price of a share is $41.00. If the riskless yield on a one-year zero-coupon government bond is 5%:a.What is the forward price implied by the Law of One Price?b.Can you devise a trading strategy to generate arbitrage profits? How much would you earn per share?SOLUTIONa.The no-arbitrage value of the forward price is F = $43.05.b.The observed forward price is excessive. Consider short-selling a forward contract and taking a long position ina portfolio consisting of one stock and the sale of a bond with face value of F. Future liabilities for this positionare zero, while the current cash inflow is $1.86.11. Infer the yield on a 273-day, zero-coupon Japanese government security if the spot price of a share of stock in Mifune and Associates is 4,750 yen whereas the forward price for delivery of a share in 273 days is 5,000 yen.SOLUTIONThe implied yield over the 273 day term is r = 5.26%.12. On your first day of trading in Vietnamese forward contracts, you observe that the share price of Giap Industries is currently 54, 000 dong while the one-year forward price is 60, 000 dong. If the yield on a one-year riskless security is fifteen percent, are arbitrage profits possible in this market? If not, explain why not. If so, devise an appropriate trading strategy.SOLUTIONArbitrage profits would seem to be possible, since the no-arbitrage forward price implied by these parameters isF = $62,100.The futures contract is underpriced, relative to this no-arbitrage value. Consider taking a long position in the forward contract and simultaneously selling a share of Giap stock and buying a riskless bond with a face value equal to the observed forward price. The liabilities from these joint positions are zero, while the current cash inflow is $1826.09.13. The share price of Schleifer and Associates, a financial consultancy in Moscow, is currently 10, 000 roubles whereas the forward price for delivery of a share in 182 days is 11,000 roubles. If the yield on a riskless zero-coupon security with term to maturity of 182 days is 15%, infer the expected dividend to be paid by Schleifer and Associates over the next six months.SOLUTIONThe implied dividend is 500 roubles.14. The spot rate of exchange of yen for Canadian dollars is currently 113 yen per dollar but the one-year forward rate is 110 yen per dollar. Determine the yield on a one-year zero-coupon Canadian government security if the corresponding yield on a Japanese government security is 2.21%.SOLUTIONThe implied Canadian rate over this term is approximately 5.00%.。

金融学陈学彬课后答案

金融学陈学彬课后答案

金融学陈学彬课后答案【篇一:金融学第一章(讲稿)】t>教案2013~2014学年第一学期系(部、中心) 理工系教研室数学教研室课程名称金融学课程学时 68 授课方式课堂讲授授课对象数学1101 授课教师侯致武职称职务助教使用教材《金融学》高等教育出版社二〇一三年九月- 1 -(3)货币的价值取决于什么时候得到它——今天得到的1元钱比未来得到的1元钱更值钱;(4)不是每个人都知道相同的事情——金融市场上不同的参与者所持有的信息存在差别(信息不对称)。

2.如何界定目前的金融学?可见国内外学者对于金融和金融学的理解存在一定的偏差,考虑到目前国内学科发展的现状,我们的金融学在内容设置中将两部分兼顾,即以货币银行学的内容为基础,适度加入国外金融研究的基本知识点。

金融学就是研究金融系统的组织、结构、运行规律及其与经济系统的相互影响的科学。

金融学的主要研究对象是货币、信用、银行、金融调控的运动规律及其应用,研究范围是与经济发展紧密相关的金融领域,包括货币及货币制度、信用、利息与利率、金融机构与金融市场、商业银行、中央银行、金融监管、通货膨胀与通货紧缩、货币政策、金融与经济发展等内容。

二、《金融学》课程简介1.金融的重要性“大家都知道有那么回事,但不知道是怎么一回事。

”——旧约全书。

邓小平在1991年视察上海时指出:“金融很重要,是现代经济的核心。

金融搞好了,一着棋活,全盘皆活。

”再比如:(1)从普通的货币到引人入胜甚至眩目的股票债券市场、期货市场、各种神秘的衍生证券交易;(2)从纳斯达克一夜暴富的神话到认识金融危机的巨大破坏性和传染性。

例如,1997年爆发的亚洲金融危机:泰国、韩国、马来西亚;(3)从索罗斯量子基金掀起的金融风暴到国际金融市场上来去匆匆hot money(热钱)以及基金交易背后的黑幕揭露;(4)从人民币是否该升值的争论到巨额外汇储备的评判;(5)从倒金字塔形交易结构探究虚拟经济与实体经济。

金融学第二版课后习题答案

金融学第二版课后习题答案

金融学第二版课后习题答案金融学第二版课后习题答案金融学是一门研究金融市场、金融机构和金融工具的学科,它对于理解和解决现代金融问题具有重要意义。

而课后习题则是帮助学生巩固所学知识、提高解决问题能力的重要工具。

本文将为读者提供金融学第二版课后习题的答案,以帮助读者更好地理解金融学的概念和理论。

第一章:金融的基本概念和职能1. 金融的基本概念是指金融的定义和范围。

金融的定义是指金融活动和金融制度的总称。

金融的范围包括金融市场、金融机构和金融工具等。

2. 金融的职能是指金融对于经济发展和社会进步的作用。

金融的主要职能包括储蓄和融资、支付和结算、风险管理和信息中介等。

第二章:金融市场1. 金融市场的分类包括货币市场、资本市场和衍生品市场等。

货币市场是指短期资金融通的市场,资本市场是指长期资金融通的市场,衍生品市场是指金融衍生品交易的市场。

2. 金融市场的功能包括资源配置、风险管理和信息传递等。

资源配置是指将资金从供给者转移给需求者的过程,风险管理是指通过金融市场进行风险的转移和分散,信息传递是指金融市场通过价格和交易信息传递经济信息。

第三章:金融机构1. 金融机构的分类包括银行、非银行金融机构和金融市场机构等。

银行是最重要的金融机构,它包括商业银行、中央银行和政策性银行等。

2. 金融机构的职能包括储蓄和融资、支付和结算、风险管理和信息中介等。

储蓄和融资是指金融机构接受存款并提供贷款的过程,支付和结算是指金融机构提供支付和结算服务的过程,风险管理是指金融机构通过风险评估和风险转移来管理风险,信息中介是指金融机构通过收集、加工和传递信息来提供金融服务。

第四章:金融工具1. 金融工具的分类包括货币工具、债券、股票和衍生品等。

货币工具是指短期借贷和短期投资的金融工具,债券是指借款人向债权人发行的债务凭证,股票是指公司向股东发行的所有权凭证,衍生品是指衍生自其他金融资产的金融工具。

2. 金融工具的特点包括流动性、收益性和风险性等。

金融学第二版讲义大纲及课后习题答案详解第十章

金融学第二版讲义大纲及课后习题答案详解第十章

CHAPTER 10AN OVERVIEW OF RISK MANAGEMENTObjectives« To explore how risk affects finan cial decisi on-mak ing.« To provide a con ceptual framework for the man ageme nt of risk.«To explain how the financial system facilitates the efficient allocation of risk-bearing.Outline10.1 What Is Risk?10.2 Risk and Econo mic Decisi ons10.3 The Risk Ma nageme nt Process10.4 The Three Dime nsions of Risk Tran sfer10.5 Risk Tran sfer and Econo mic Efficie ncy10.6 In stituti ons for Risk Man ageme nt10.7 Portfolio Theory: Quan titative An alysis for Optimal Risk Man ageme nt10.8 Probability Distributions of ReturnsSummary* Risk is defined as uncertainty that matters to people. Risk management is the process of formulating the benefit- cost trade-offs of risk-reduction and deciding on a course of action to take. Portfolio theory is the quantitative analysis of those trade-offs to find an optimal course of action.* All risks are ultimately borne by people in their capacity as consumers, stakeholders of firms and other econo mic orga ni zati ons, or taxpayers.* The risk in ess of an asset or a tra nsacti on cannot be assessed in isolati on or in the abstract; it depe nds on the specific frame of refere nee. In on e con text, the purchase or sale of a particular asset may add to one ' s risk exposure; in another, the same transaction may be risk-reducing.* Speculators are in vestors who take positi ons that in crease their exposure to certa in risks in the hope of in creas ing their wealth. In con trast, hedgers take positi ons to reduce their exposures. The same pers on can be a speculator on some exposures and a hedger on others.* Many resource-allocation decisions, such as saving, investment, and financing decisions, are significantly in flue need by the prese nee of risk and therefore are partly risk-ma nageme nt decisi ons.* We disti nguish among five major categories of risk exposures for households: sick ness, disability, and death job loss; consumer-durable asset risk ; liability risk ; and financial asset risk .* Firms face several categories of risks: production risk , price risk of outputs , and price risk of in puts .* There are five steps in the risk-management process: risk identification, risk assessment, selection of riskman ageme nt tech ni ques, impleme ntati on, review.* There are four techniques of risk management: r isk avoidanee, loss prevention and control, risk retention, risk tra nsfer.* There are three dimensions of risk transfer: hedging , insuring , and diversifying .* Diversificati on improves welfare by spread ing risks among many people, so that the existi ng un certa inty matters less. * From society ' s perspective-n^ageme nt in stituti ons con tribute to econo mic efficie ncy in two importa nt ways. First, they shift risk away from those who are least willing or able to bear it to those who are most willing to bear it. Second, they cause a reallocation of resources to production and consumption in accordance with the new distribution of risk-bearing.By allowing people to reduce their exposure to the risk of undertaking certain bus in ess ven tures, they may en courage en trepre neurial behavior that can have a ben efit to society.* Over the cen turies, various econo mic orga ni zati ons and con tractual arra ngeme nts have evolved to facilitate a more efficient allocation of risk-bearing by expanding the scope of diversification and the types of risk that are shifted.* Among the factors limit ing the efficie nt allocati on of risks are tra nsacti ons costs and problems of adverse selecti on and moral hazard.Solutions to Problems at End of ChapterOn the Nature of Risk and Risk Management1. Suppose that you and a friend have decided to go to a movie together next Saturday. You will select any movie for which tickets are available when you get to the theater. Is this a risky situation for you? Explain. Now suppose that your friend has already purchased a ticket for a movie that is going to be released this Saturday. Why is this a risky situation? How would you deal with the risk?SOLUTION:No, the uncertainty doesn ' t represienncteriysokusdo not care which movie you see. However, if your friend has a ticket already, and if you wait till Saturday to buy yours, the show may be sold out. To eliminate the risk that you may not be able to sit with your friend and see the same movie, you might buy your ticket in advance.2. Suppose you are aware of the following investment opportunity: You could open a coffee shop around the corner from your home for $25,000. If business is strong, you could net $15,000 in after-tax cash flows each year over the next 5 years.a. If you knew for certain the business would be a success, would this be a risky investment?b. Now assume this is a risky venture and that there is a 50% chance it is a success and a 50% chance you gobankrupt within 2 years. You decide to go ahead and invest. If the business subsequently goes bankrupt, did you make the wrong decision based on the information you had at the time? Why or why not?SOLUTION:a. No, this investment would not be risky.b. No, you did not make a “ wrong ” decision. When you made your decision, you did not know for certain that thecompany would go bankrupt. You decided to invest for many reasons, including the possibility of making a lot of money.Given your tolerance for risk and the fact that you based our decision on the information available at the time, your decision was not wrong and may have been optimal at the time.3. Suppose you are a pension fund manager and you know today that you need to make a $100,000 payment in 3 months.a. What would be a risk-free investment for you?b. If you had to make that payment in 20 years instead, what would be a risk free investment?c. What do you conclude from your answers to Parts a and b of this question?SOLUTION:a. A risk-free investment for you would be a Treasury Bill (default risk free) which matures in exactly 3 months.b. A risk-free investment would be a zero coupon U.S. Treasury security maturing in 20 years and which would have thesame single payment of $100,000.c. Because risk is dependent upon circumstances, what is risk-free for one individual may be risky for another too. There canbe any number of risk-free investments depending upon circumstances. Your investment time horizon is critical tochoosing the best risk-free investment (so payments in can exactly match payments out so that you are left with no risk).4. Is it riskier to make a loan denominated in dollars or in yen?SOLUTION:It depends on the context. For people whose income and expenses are denominated in dollars (perhaps because they live in the U.S), denominating a loan in yen would be riskier than denominating it in dollars. But for someone whose income and expenses are denominated in yen, denominating the loan in yen would be less risky than in dollars.5. Which risk management technique has been chosen in each of the following situations?« Installing a smoke detector in your home« Investing savings in T-bills rather than in stocks« Deciding not to purchase collision insurance on your car« Purchasing a life insurance policy for yourselfSOLUTION:« Loss preve nti on and con trol.・Risk avoida nee« Risk rete nti on・Risk tran sfer6. You are considering a choice between investing $1,000 in a conventional one-year T-Bill offering an interest rate of 8% and a one-year Index 丄inked Inflation Plus T-Bill offering 3% plus the rate of inflation.a. Which is the safer investment?b. Which offers the higher expected return?c. What is the real return on the Index 丄inked Bond?SOLUTION:a. The inflation-indexed T-Bill offers a fixed real rate of return of 3% over the life of the investment. The realreturn on the conventional T- Bill ' s real return depends upon the expected rate of inflation over the life of thein vestme nt. The safer in vestme nt is the In flati on Plus T-Bill.b. The real rate of return on the conventional T-Bill depends upon the expected rate of inflation over the life of thein vestme nt. You do not know which expected retur n is higher unl ess you know what in flati on is expected to be.c. The real retur n on the in dex-l in ked T-Bill is 3%.Hedging and Insurance7. Suppose you are interested in financing your new home purchase. You have your choice of a myriad financing options. You could enter into any one of the following agreements: 8% fixed rate for 7 years, 8.5% fixed rate for 15 years, 9% fixed for 30 years. In addition, you could finance with a 30-year variable rate that begins at 5% and increases and decreases with the prime rate, or you could finance with a 30year variable rate that begins at 6% with ceilings of 2% per year to a maximum of 12% and no minimum.a. Suppose you believe that interest rates are on the rise. If you want to completely eliminate your risk of risinginterest rates for the longest period of time, which option should you choose?b. Would you consider that hedging or insuring? Why?c. What does you r risk management decision “ cost ” you in terms of quoted interest rates during the firstyear?SOLUTION:a. You would choose the 30-year fixed rate at 9%.b. That would be a hedge because you have elim in ated both the upside (decli ning rates) or dow nside ( rising rates).c. This costs me at least 4% since I could get a variable rate loa n at 5%.8. Referring to the information in problem 7, answer the following:a. Suppose you believe interest rates are going to fall, which option should you choose?b. What risk do you face in that transaction?c. How might you insure against that risk? What does that cost you (in terms of quoted interest rates?). SOLUTION:a. You would want one of the variable rate options, in particular the variable loan tied to the prime rate, currently equal to5%.b. You face the risk of rising rates.c. You could in sure aga inst that risk by purchas ing the opti on to have a 12% ceil ing on the rate (2% in crease per year.This option cost you 1% (the difference between 6% and 5%).9. Suppose you are thinking of investing in real estate. How might you achieve a diversified real estate investment?SOLUTION:« You could own several differe nt build ings in the same gen eral area.« You could own several differe nt build ings in differe nt geographic areas.« You could sell some of your equity own ership to other owners to lower your own in dividual exposure to decli ning market values.10. Suppose the following represents the historical returns for Microsoft and Lotus Development Corporation:Historical ReturnsYear MSFT LOTS110%9%215%12%3-12%-7%420%18%57%5%a. What is the mean return for Microsoft? For Lotus?b. What is the standard deviation of returns for Microsoft? For Lotus?c. Suppose the returns for Microsoft and Lotus have normally distributed returns with means and standarddeviations calculated above. For each stock, determine the range of returns within one expected standard deviation of the mean and within two standard deviations of the mean.SOLUTION:a. Mea n return Microsoft: 8.0%; Lotus: 7.4%b. If you use the formula for the sta ndard deviati on based on a sample of size n:You find that the standard deviations are: MSFT: 10.94%; Lotus: 8.357%.However, if you use the formula for the population standard deviation:You find that the standard deviations are: MSFT 12.23% and LOTS 9.34%.c. Range of returns within 1 standard deviation Microsoft: -2.94% to +18.94% Range of returns within 1 standarddeviation Lotus: -0.957% to + 15.76% Range of returns within 2 standard deviations Microsoft: -13.88% to+29.88% Range of returns within 1 standard deviation Lotus: -9.31% to + 24.11%。

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第三章 货币的时间价值2、你现在有10000元资金准备存在银行5年,有3种存款方式可选择:存1年期存款,每年到期后连本代利转存4次;存3年期存款,到期后连本代利转存1年期存款2次;存5年期存款1期。

1年期、3年期5年期存款的年利率分别为2%、2.2%和3%。

请问3种方式5年后的终值各为多少?哪种方案最优? 解:5110000(12%)11040.81FV =⨯+=2210000(1 2.2%3)(12%)11090.66FV =⨯+⨯⨯+=310000(13%5)11500FV =⨯+⨯=因此,方案3 最优3.你现在每个月存款1000元,年利率为3%,10年后你有多少钱?这10年存款的现值为多少钱?解:12013%1000(1)139741.42 ()12tt FV ==⨯+=∑元 11911000103561.75 ()3%(1)12t t PV ==⨯=+∑元 4.你准备购买价值40万元的住房一套,目前1年期存款利率为5%,贷款利率为6%,利息收入税为20%,预测未来5年房地产价格平均每年上涨3%。

你有3种方案可供选择,以A 方案所需的时间计算,各方案的净现值和涵报酬率为多少?哪种方案最优?A . 你每个月存款5000元,多长时间你可以存储到可以一次性全额付款方式(一次性付清房款打九八折)购买该类住房所需的资金?B . 你现在贷款购买该住房,每月还款5000元,多长时间能够还清贷款?C . 如果你将贷款购买的住房出租,每月房租为1500元,一并用于归还贷款,多长时间能够还清贷款?解:方案A :粗略估计50.98400000(13%)/600005⨯⨯+>年,所以在第六年起房价不上涨的假设下,付款的终值为50.98400000(13%)454435.44 ()⨯⨯+=元 一年期存款实际利率为0.85%4%⨯=,设从现在起第n 月底可以一次性全额付款,则终值满足下列方程514%0.98400000(13%)5000(1)12nn tt -=⨯⨯+=⨯+∑ 得到80n =,也即第7年8月底可以一次性全额付款。

方案B :每月月底还款5000元,则现值满足1140000050006%(1)12nt t ==⨯+∑ 得到103n =,也即第9年7月底可以还清贷款。

方案C :加上每月月租1500,每月月底还款6500元,则现值满足1140000065006%(1)12nt t ==⨯+∑ 得到74n =,也即第7年2月底可以还清贷款。

以A 方案所需的时间80个月计算,各方案的净现值和部收益率(IRR 的计算上,这里直接用excel 工具进行不断尝试,找到四位小数条件下净现值最接近零者。

当然,用IRR 函数也能计算之)分别为: 方案A :5808010.98400000(13%)150002378.53 ()4%4%(1)(1)1212t t NPV =⨯⨯+=-⨯=-++∑元0.351%IRR =方案B :8011400000500049402.11 ()4%(1)12t t NPV ==-⨯=+∑元 0.00%IRR =方案C :8011400000650055777.26 ()4%(1)12t t NPV ==-⨯=-+∑元 0.6803%IRR =5.你现在有10万元美元可进行投资,美元存款年利率为3%,日元存款年利率为1%,预测未来两年日元汇率将升值5%,哪种投资方案较优?解:美元存款在第二年末的终值为:2110(13%)10.609 ()FV =⨯+=万美元 日元存款在第二年末的终值是:2210(11%)(1+5%)10.711 ()FV =⨯+⨯=万美元所以,存日元存款并与第二年结束兑换为美元的投资方案较优。

第四章 资源的时间配置4、 如果您2007年的可支配收入为80000元,消费支出为60000元,2008年的可支配收入为100000元,消费支出为65000元。

假定您的边际消费倾向不变,如果2009年您的可支配收入为120000元,根据绝对收入假说,您的消费和储蓄各为多少?平均消费和储蓄倾向有何变化?解:C a cY =+边际消费倾向 65000600000.2510000080000MPC -==-消费函数常数600000.258000040000 ()a C cY =-=-⨯=元 所以,消费函数是400000.25C Y =+2009年的消费2009400000.2512000070000 ()C =+⨯=元 2009年的储蓄2009200920091200007000050000 ()S Y C =-=-=元2007年-2009年平均消费倾向逐年下降:2007600000.7580000APC ==,2008650000.65100000APC ==,2009700000.58120000APC ==相应地,2007年-2009年平均储蓄倾向逐年递增:200710.750.25APS =-=,200810.650.35APS =-=,200910.580.42APS =-=5、假设一个人22岁大学毕业开始工作,父母给他10万元资金的支持1,第一年劳动收入为5万元,每年按5%的速度增长,60岁退休,预期寿命为80岁。

预测未来几十年的年平均通货膨胀率为2%,名义投资收益率为4%。

他希望实际消费水平也能够每年增长2%,还给子女留下遗产100万元。

不考虑所得税和养老金的影响。

请你给他做一个生命周期的消费储蓄规划。

解:考虑有遗产的生命周期规划:0(1)(1)(1)nmt t tt t tt T t TC B Y W i i i ==+=++++∑∑ 1(1)t t Y g Y -=+ 1(1)t t C k C π-=++ t t t S Y C =- 1(1)t t t W i W S -=++其中,22T =,60m =,80n =,4%i =,1000000t B =,0100000W =,5%g =,4%i =,2%k =,2%π=利用excel 可以生成生命周期的消费支出情况如下表4-1和下图4-1:表4-1 修正的生命周期消费储蓄规划 单位:元 年龄T收入t Y消费t C储蓄t S期末财富t W1这里,我们考虑父母的10万元支持源于22岁的期初。

21 100000.0022 50000.00 39891.46 10108.54 114108.5423 52500.00 41487.12 11012.88 129685.7624 55125.00 43146.60 11978.40 146851.5925 57881.25 44872.47 13008.78 165734.4426 60775.31 46667.37 14107.95 186471.7627 63814.08 48534.06 15280.02 209210.6528 67004.78 50475.42 16529.36 234108.4329 70355.02 52494.44 17860.58 261333.3530 73872.77 54594.22 19278.55 291065.2431 77566.41 56777.99 20788.42 323496.2832 81444.73 59049.11 22395.63 358831.7533 85516.97 61411.07 24105.90 397290.9234 89792.82 63867.51 25925.30 439107.8635 94282.46 66422.21 27860.24 484532.4236 98996.58 69079.10 29917.48 533831.1937 103946.41 71842.27 32104.14 587288.5838 109143.73 74715.96 34427.77 645207.9039 114600.92 77704.59 36896.32 707912.5440 120330.96 80812.78 39518.18 775747.2241 126347.51 84045.29 42302.22 849079.3342 132664.89 87407.10 45257.78 928300.2943 139298.13 90903.39 48394.74 1013827.0544 146263.04 94539.52 51723.52 1106103.6445 153576.19 98321.10 55255.09 1205602.8746 161255.00 102253.95 59001.05 1312828.0447 169317.75 106344.10 62973.64 1428314.8148 177783.63 110597.87 67185.77 1552633.1749 186672.82 115021.78 71651.03 1686389.5350 196006.46 119622.65 76383.80 1830228.9151 205806.78 124407.56 81399.22 1984837.2952 216097.12 129383.86 86713.26 2150944.0453 226901.97 134559.22 92342.76 2329324.5554 238247.07 139941.59 98305.49 2520803.0355 250159.43 145539.25 104620.18 2726255.3256 262667.40 151360.82 111306.58 2946612.1257 275800.77 157415.25 118385.52 3182862.1258 289590.81 163711.86 125878.95 3436055.5559 304070.35 170260.34 133810.01 3707307.7860 319273.86 177070.75 142203.12 3997803.2161 0.00 184153.58 -184153.58 3973561.7662 0.00 191519.72 -191519.72 3940984.5163 0.00 199180.51 -199180.51 3899443.3864 0.00 207147.73 -207147.73 3848273.3865 0.00 215433.64 -215433.64 3786770.6766 0.00 224050.99 -224050.99 3714190.5167 0.00 233013.03 -233013.03 3629745.1168 0.00 242333.55 -242333.55 3532601.3769 0.00 252026.89 -252026.89 3421878.5370 0.00 262107.96 -262107.96 3296645.7171 0.00 272592.28 -272592.28 3155919.2572 0.00 283495.97 -283495.97 2998660.0573 0.00 294835.81 -294835.81 2823770.6474 0.00 306629.25 -306629.25 2630092.2275 0.00 318894.42 -318894.42 2416401.4976 0.00 331650.19 -331650.19 2181407.3677 0.00 344916.20 -344916.20 1923747.4578 0.00 358712.85 -358712.85 1641984.5079 0.00 373061.36 -373061.36 1334602.5280 0.00 387983.82 -387983.82 1000002.80图4-1修正的生命周期消费储蓄规划(单位:元)第六章 资产价值评估2、如果美元对欧元汇率伦敦市场为1:1.010,纽约市场为1:1.012,外汇交易成本为0.1%,你是否可以从中套利?如果可以,盈利率是多少?解:由于1.0121.0100.182%0.1%1.010-=>,所以可以从中套利,盈利率为0.082%。

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